Tearsheet

T-Mobile US (TMUS)


Market Price (12/13/2025): $195.11 | Market Cap: $219.3 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Wireless Telecommunication Services

T-Mobile US (TMUS)


Market Price (12/13/2025): $195.11
Market Cap: $219.3 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Wireless Telecommunication Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.9%, FCF Yield is 5.1%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -38%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 27 Bil, FCF LTM is 14 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Wireless Services, and Telecom Infrastructure.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.9%, FCF Yield is 5.1%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 27 Bil, FCF LTM is 14 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Wireless Services, and Telecom Infrastructure.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -38%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TMUS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The search results include information about T-Mobile US (TMUS) stock performance and analyst ratings for the specified period of December 2025, and some backward-looking information from earlier in 2025. While there's no single mention of a -22.2% drop for the *exact* period of 8/31/2025 to 12/13/2025, several sources indicate recent declines and bearish sentiment. For instance, one source mentions the stock declined by "nearly 3% on the last trading day which was Wednesday the 10th of December, 2025" and has faced a "decline of 6.33%...since the 3rd of December, 2025". Another source states the stock is "down about 8% over the past month and roughly 19% over the past 3 months" as of December 11, 2025. These indicate recent downward trends, although not precisely -22.2% within the entire requested period. Analyst ratings in December 2025 also show some price target reductions. Here are key points for the recent stock movement of T-Mobile US (TMUS): 1. T-Mobile US (TMUS) stock experienced recent declines leading up to December 2025, with one report indicating a nearly 3% drop on December 10, 2025, and a 6.33% decline since December 3, 2025.

2. The stock was reported to be down approximately 8% over the month leading up to December 11, 2025, and roughly 19% over the preceding three months, suggesting a fading momentum.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TMUS Return74%-14%21%15%40%-10%161%
Peers Return2%-1%-27%26%25%-6%8%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TMUS Win Rate75%42%58%58%83%33% 
Peers Win Rate48%48%40%55%58%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TMUS Max Drawdown-5%-21%-12%-10%0%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-10%-38%-16%-15%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: T, VZ, CMCSA, CHTR, TDS. See TMUS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTMUSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-32.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven280 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-26.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven61 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-19.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven23.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven310 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-85.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven589.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven3545 days1480 days

Compare to CMCSA, LUMN, TMUS, SATS, GOGO


In The Past

T-Mobile US's stock fell -32.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/16/2021. A -32.0% loss requires a 47.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About T-Mobile US (TMUS)

Better Bets than T-Mobile US (TMUS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TMUS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.5%-0.5%-0.5%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.4%-6.4%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.0%5.0%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.9%-28.9%-28.9%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.5%-0.5%-0.5%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.4%-6.4%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.0%5.0%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.9%-28.9%-28.9%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for T-Mobile US

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TMUSTVZCMCSACHTRTDSMedian
NameT-Mobile.AT&T Verizon .Comcast Charter .Telephon. 
Mkt Price195.1624.5840.8927.23206.6038.4539.67
Mkt Cap219.3175.9172.9101.328.64.5137.1
Rev LTM85,847124,480137,491124,18455,2226,611105,016
Op Inc LTM19,40724,21831,67622,50513,53029120,956
FCF LTM13,80719,95620,64916,5884,303-12615,198
FCF 3Y Avg9,99219,98516,05213,3803,753-6311,686
CFO LTM26,84540,86038,45531,21015,20178229,028
CFO 3Y Avg22,16138,78737,11728,37114,7481,03725,266

Growth & Margins

TMUSTVZCMCSACHTRTDSMedian
NameT-Mobile.AT&T Verizon .Comcast Charter .Telephon. 
Rev Chg LTM7.3%2.0%2.4%2.5%1.0%59.7%2.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.4%1.1%0.5%0.7%1.3%11.7%1.2%
Rev Chg Q8.9%1.6%1.5%2.1%0.6%-5.8%1.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.1%0.4%0.4%0.5%0.1%-0.3%0.4%
Op Mgn LTM22.6%19.5%23.0%18.1%24.5%4.4%21.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg20.3%19.9%21.9%18.9%23.6%3.3%20.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.5%-0.4%1.5%-0.6%-0.0%0.1%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM31.3%32.8%28.0%25.1%27.5%11.8%27.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg27.1%31.6%27.4%23.2%26.9%20.8%27.0%
FCF/Rev LTM16.1%16.0%15.0%13.4%7.8%-1.9%14.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg12.2%16.3%11.8%10.9%6.8%-0.9%11.4%

Valuation

TMUSTVZCMCSACHTRTDSMedian
NameT-Mobile.AT&T Verizon .Comcast Charter .Telephon. 
Mkt Cap219.3175.9172.9101.328.64.5137.1
P/S3.11.61.40.90.70.71.1
P/EBIT14.15.85.73.73.08.45.7
P/E22.79.19.45.17.2-79.78.2
P/CFO10.04.94.83.72.55.84.9
Total Yield5.9%11.0%16.8%23.8%13.8%0.7%12.4%
Dividend Yield1.5%0.0%6.1%4.2%0.0%1.9%1.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.4%13.7%9.5%9.3%8.0%-2.2%8.6%
D/E0.40.80.90.92.50.30.8
Net D/E0.40.70.90.82.50.10.7

Returns

TMUSTVZCMCSACHTRTDSMedian
NameT-Mobile.AT&T Verizon .Comcast Charter .Telephon. 
1M Rtn-7.8%-4.2%0.2%-2.4%-3.0%-3.2%-3.1%
3M Rtn-18.9%-16.0%-5.4%-16.8%-21.6%-2.0%-16.4%
6M Rtn-13.7%-11.0%-1.7%-20.7%-46.9%16.2%-12.3%
12M Rtn-15.0%9.9%3.9%-29.8%-46.8%10.7%-5.6%
3Y Rtn43.7%52.2%32.2%-18.4%-47.4%302.0%37.9%
1M Excs Rtn-7.4%-3.8%0.6%-2.0%-2.7%-2.8%-2.8%
3M Excs Rtn-21.4%-19.3%-8.4%-18.8%-24.0%-4.0%-19.1%
6M Excs Rtn-27.9%-25.2%-16.0%-34.9%-61.1%2.0%-26.6%
12M Excs Rtn-28.2%-3.9%-9.8%-41.6%-58.5%3.3%-19.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-37.8%-22.8%-38.9%-87.0%-118.4%239.4%-38.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Postpaid revenues48,69245,91942,56236,30622,673
Equipment revenues14,13817,13020,72717,3129,840
Prepaid revenues9,7679,8579,7339,4219,543
Wholesale and other service revenues4,7825,5476,074  
Other revenues1,1791,1181,022690658
Other service revenues   2,078 
Wholesale revenues   2,5901,279
Roaming and other service revenues    1,005
Total78,55879,57180,11868,39744,998


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15,124,576
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202533.9%
Average Daily Volume5,344,535
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.83
Basic Shares Quantity1,123,754,096
Short % of Basic Shares1.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/2025-3.3%-5.4%-7.4%
7/23/20255.8%3.3%10.4%
4/24/2025-11.2%-5.8%-7.4%
1/29/20256.3%7.3%19.5%
10/23/20245.7%0.8%7.1%
7/31/20243.9%8.3%14.9%
4/25/2024-0.1%0.5%1.2%
1/25/2024-0.2%-0.0%0.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161615
# Negative9910
Median Positive5.3%6.5%8.5%
Median Negative-0.8%-4.2%-4.7%
Max Positive10.2%16.9%19.5%
Max Negative-11.2%-5.8%-9.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025723202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024131202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241023202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023202202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231025202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022214202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021211202210-K 12/31/2021