Theravance Biopharma (TBPH)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $18.61 | Market Cap: $940.2 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Theravance Biopharma (TBPH)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $18.61Market Cap: $940.2 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -30% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -3.4% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -41% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 303%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 303% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 32x |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 26% | Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% | Key risksTBPH key risks include [1] a high dependence on the clinical success of its pipeline candidate, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -30% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 303%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 303% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 26% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -3.4% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -41% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 32x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25% |
| Key risksTBPH key risks include [1] a high dependence on the clinical success of its pipeline candidate, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
TBPH Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points explaining the stock movement for Theravance Biopharma (TBPH) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 22, 2025:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: Theravance Biopharma reported a robust third quarter for 2025, with earnings per share reaching $0.07, significantly surpassing the forecasted loss of $0.13. Additionally, collaboration revenue increased by 19%, totaling $20 million. These positive financial results contributed to investor optimism and the stock's upward momentum.
2. Positive Developments for Ampreloxetine and Upcoming Clinical Data: The company announced on November 20, 2025, that it would host a virtual Key Opinion Leader (KOL) investor event on December 8, 2025. This event was planned to review the Phase 3 clinical development program for ampreloxetine, a drug for symptomatic neurogenic orthostatic hypotension (nOH) in multiple system atrophy (MSA), ahead of topline data expected in the first quarter of 2026. This highlights continued progress and potential future approval for a key pipeline asset, driving investor interest.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TBPH Return | -31% | -38% | 2% | 0% | -16% | 93% | -30% |
| Peers Return | 6% | 16% | 11% | 24% | -5% | 15% | 85% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TBPH Win Rate | 33% | 42% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 54% | 50% | 52% | 56% | 50% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TBPH Max Drawdown | -43% | -62% | -25% | -25% | -32% | -12% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -21% | -13% | -12% | -11% | -10% | -11% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: INVA, REGN, VRTX, AMGN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TBPH | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -69.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 231.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -52.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 111.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -63.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 172.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN
In The Past
Theravance Biopharma's stock fell -69.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/21/2021. A -69.9% loss requires a 231.8% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| With Theravance Biopharma Stock Surging, Have You Considered The Downside? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to TBPH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.7% | -6.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | 10.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | 2.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.4% | 11.4% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.7% | -6.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | 10.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | 2.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.4% | 11.4% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Theravance Biopharma
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 327.38 |
| Mkt Cap | 79.6 |
| Rev LTM | 11,723 |
| Op Inc LTM | 168 |
| FCF LTM | 3,337 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,064 |
| CFO LTM | 3,718 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,419 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 24.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 26.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 36.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 32.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 32.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 79.6 |
| P/S | 5.6 |
| P/EBIT | 15.9 |
| P/E | 25.1 |
| P/CFO | 13.4 |
| Total Yield | 6.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 19.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 14.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 14.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 48.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 17.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 8.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -4.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -24.9% |
FDA Approved Drugs Data
Expand for More| Post-Approval Fwd Returns | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA App # | Brand Name | Generic Name | Dosage Form | FDA Approval | 3M Rtn | 6M Rtn | 1Y Rtn | 2Y Rtn | Total Rtn |
| NDA022407 | VIBATIV | telavancin | injectable | 6212013 | |||||
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development and commercialization of human therapeutics | 57 | ||||
| Collaboration revenue | 0 | 11 | 26 | 31 | |
| Licensing revenue | 2 | 2 | 28 | ||
| Viatris collaboration agreement | 49 | 44 | 44 | 14 | |
| Viatris royalties (Non-US) | 0 | ||||
| Total | 57 | 51 | 55 | 72 | 73 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development and commercialization of human therapeutics | -56 | ||||
| Total | -56 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development and commercialization of human therapeutics | -55 | ||||
| Total | -55 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/10/2025 | 22.7% | 19.6% | 17.2% |
| 8/12/2025 | 4.2% | 12.8% | 14.9% |
| 5/8/2025 | -9.3% | -7.7% | 10.6% |
| 2/26/2025 | 2.1% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| 11/12/2024 | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% |
| 8/5/2024 | -18.4% | -14.1% | -16.2% |
| 5/13/2024 | -2.0% | -5.0% | -9.8% |
| 2/26/2024 | 5.0% | -1.4% | -4.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 11 | 11 |
| # Negative | 12 | 13 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 4.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% |
| Median Negative | -4.4% | -5.0% | -8.1% |
| Max Positive | 22.7% | 19.6% | 17.2% |
| Max Negative | -18.4% | -18.8% | -39.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11122025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8132025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3072025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5152024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3012024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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