Theravance Biopharma (TBPH)


Market Price (8/23/2026): $17.015 | Market Cap: $879.1 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Theravance Biopharma (TBPH)


Market Price (8/23/2026): $17.015
Market Cap: $879.1 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, FCF Yield is 6.1%

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -40%

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies.

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -21%

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%

Key risks
TBPH key risks include [1] a high dependence on the clinical success of its pipeline candidate, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, FCF Yield is 6.1%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -40%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies.
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -21%
7 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
8 Key risks
TBPH key risks include [1] a high dependence on the clinical success of its pipeline candidate, Show more.

TBPH in ETFs

Weight = TBPH's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWM0.02%
IBB0.06%
NUSC0.05%
IWO0.03%
VTWO0.02%
SCHA0.01%
+6 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/5/2026

Theravance Biopharma (TBPH) stock has remained largely at the same level since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Acquisition Agreement by Zymeworks Inc. at a Fixed Price.

On June 29, 2026, Theravance Biopharma announced a definitive agreement to be acquired by Zymeworks Inc. for $17.00 per share in cash, alongside a contingent value right (CVR) entitling shareholders to 80% of net proceeds from any future monetization of ampreloxetine. This fixed cash offer price provided a strong anchor for the stock's valuation, leading to its stabilization around the $17.00 mark as the market priced in the impending acquisition, expected to close in the second half of 2026.

2. Mixed Analyst Ratings and a "Hold" Consensus.

Throughout the period, equity research analysts maintained a consensus "Hold" rating for Theravance Biopharma. Multiple firms, including Wall Street Zen, BTIG Research, JonesTrading, and Zacks Research, downgraded the stock to "Hold" from "Buy" ratings between May and June 2026. The average 12-month price target among covering analysts ranged from $17.67 to $19.40, indicating limited upside potential beyond the acquisition price and contributing to the stock's stable performance.

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Updated on 8/5/2026

Theravance Biopharma (TBPH) stock has remained largely at the same level since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Acquisition Agreement by Zymeworks Inc. at a Fixed Price.

On June 29, 2026, Theravance Biopharma announced a definitive agreement to be acquired by Zymeworks Inc. for $17.00 per share in cash, alongside a contingent value right (CVR) entitling shareholders to 80% of net proceeds from any future monetization of ampreloxetine. This fixed cash offer price provided a strong anchor for the stock's valuation, leading to its stabilization around the $17.00 mark as the market priced in the impending acquisition, expected to close in the second half of 2026.

2. Mixed Analyst Ratings and a "Hold" Consensus.

Throughout the period, equity research analysts maintained a consensus "Hold" rating for Theravance Biopharma. Multiple firms, including Wall Street Zen, BTIG Research, JonesTrading, and Zacks Research, downgraded the stock to "Hold" from "Buy" ratings between May and June 2026. The average 12-month price target among covering analysts ranged from $17.67 to $19.40, indicating limited upside potential beyond the acquisition price and contributing to the stock's stable performance.

3. Q1 2026 Earnings Miss Amidst Organizational Restructuring and Cost Reductions.

Theravance Biopharma reported a GAAP net loss per share of ($0.10) for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026) on May 7, 2026, missing analysts' expectations of $0.06. This earnings miss followed the announcement in March 2026 that the Phase 3 CYPRESS study did not meet its primary endpoint, leading to a decision to wind down the ampreloxetine program. The company simultaneously implemented an organizational restructuring aimed at reducing operating expenses by approximately 60%, or $70 million, relative to fiscal year 2025 actuals, with full run-rate cost savings anticipated in fiscal Q3 2026. While the cost-cutting measures were positive, the initial earnings disappointment and strategic shift likely created a cautious sentiment, balancing potential gains from efficiency.

4. Significant Insider Selling.

Between May and July 2026, insiders engaged in substantial selling activity. Notably, Eli Samaha, a 10% owner, sold 273,871 shares valued at approximately $4.72 million on June 29, 2026, followed by additional sales of 37,799 shares for approximately $642,583 on July 1, 2026, and 25,027 shares for about $428,712 on June 30, 2026. Total insider sales exceeded $6.0 million over the 90 days leading up to August 4, 2026. This significant insider selling, particularly after the acquisition announcement, likely signaled to the market that internal stakeholders did not foresee substantial upside beyond the agreed-upon takeover price.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 1.6% change in TBPH stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 103.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268222026Change
Stock Price ($)16.7417.011.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)107104-2.9%
Net Income Margin (%)98.5%51.6%-47.7%
P/E Multiple8.016.3103.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5152-1.6%
Cumulative Contribution1.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TBPH1.6% 
Market (SPY)6.5%-12.6%
Sector (XLV)19.6%34.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The -10.2% change in TBPH stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/22/2026 was primarily driven by a -49.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120268222026Change
Stock Price ($)18.9417.01-10.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8010429.9%
Net Income Margin (%)36.5%51.6%41.2%
P/E Multiple32.616.3-49.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5152-2.2%
Cumulative Contribution-10.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TBPH-10.2% 
Market (SPY)11.0%18.7%
Sector (XLV)13.3%24.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 52.4% change in TBPH stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 59.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)73120258222026Change
Stock Price ($)11.1617.0152.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6510459.8%
P/S Multiple8.58.4-0.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5052-3.8%
Cumulative Contribution52.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TBPH52.4% 
Market (SPY)22.2%17.7%
Sector (XLV)35.6%27.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 72.0% change in TBPH stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 2198.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120238222026Change
Stock Price ($)9.8917.0172.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)49104114.8%
Net Income Margin (%)1803.7%51.6%-97.1%
P/E Multiple0.716.32198.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)635221.8%
Cumulative Contribution72.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TBPH72.0% 
Market (SPY)73.2%18.8%
Sector (XLV)36.3%18.7%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
TBPH Return-38%2%0%-16%99%-9%-5%
Peers Return16%11%24%-5%17%17%107%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TBPH Win Rate42%58%42%42%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate50%52%56%50%60%59% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TBPH Max Drawdown-70%-36%-30%-34%-21%-35% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-25%-18%-26%-27%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: INVA, REGN, VRTX, AMGN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/21/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventTBPHS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-14.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.2%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven17 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-13.2%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.1%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven91 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-12.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven13.8%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven34 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-32.2%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven47.4%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1297 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-29.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven41.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven28 days140 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-33.4%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven50.2%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven146 days6 days

Compare to INVA, REGN, VRTX, AMGN

In The Past

Theravance Biopharma's stock fell -14.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 17.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventTBPHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-32.2%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven47.4%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1297 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-29.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven41.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven28 days140 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-33.4%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven50.2%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven146 days6 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-62.9%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven169.9%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven343 days15 days

Compare to INVA, REGN, VRTX, AMGN

In The Past

Theravance Biopharma's stock fell -14.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 17.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Theravance Biopharma (TBPH)

Theravance Biopharma (TBPH) is a biopharmaceutical company dedicated to discovering, developing, and commercializing innovative medicines, with a primary focus on respiratory diseases. Its flagship commercial product is YUPELRI, a once-daily, nebulized long-acting muscarinic antagonist specifically designed for the treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). The company actively commercializes YUPELRI, serving patients across the United States, Europe, and Asia, and also receives economic interests from TRELEGY, a successful COPD and asthma treatment developed through a partnership.

Beyond its established respiratory portfolio, Theravance Biopharma possesses a robust development pipeline addressing a range of therapeutic areas. A key investigational asset is Izencitinib, a gut-selective pan-janus kinase (JAK) inhibitor currently in advanced clinical trials for inflammatory conditions such as rheumatoid arthritis, ulcerative colitis, and Crohn's disease. Additionally, the company has Ampreloxetine, which has completed Phase III studies for neurogenic orthostatic hypotension, and earlier-stage candidates like Nezulcitinib for acute lung injury and inhaled ALK5i for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

The company's primary customers are patients suffering from chronic respiratory conditions, various inflammatory disorders, and specialized neurological conditions in need of new treatment options. Theravance Biopharma serves markets across the United States, Europe, and Asia. It strategically leverages both direct commercialization for products like YUPELRI and extensive licensing and collaboration agreements with major pharmaceutical partners such as Pfizer, Janssen, and Takeda to advance and bring its innovative therapies to a global patient base.

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A specialized GSK or AstraZeneca focused on respiratory and inflammatory diseases.

A Gilead Sciences for respiratory and inflammatory drug development.

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  • YUPELRI: A once-daily, nebulized long-acting muscarinic antagonist used for the treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).
  • Izencitinib: A gut-selective pan-Janus kinase (JAK) inhibitor in advanced clinical trials for rheumatoid arthritis, myelofibrosis, and inflammatory intestinal diseases including ulcerative colitis.
  • Ampreloxetine: An investigational norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor that has completed Phase III study for neurogenic orthostatic hypotension.
  • Nezulcitinib: A lung-selective, nebulized JAK inhibitor in Phase II clinical development for the potential treatment of hospitalized patients with acute lung injury caused by COVID-19.
  • Inhaled ALK5i: A potential inhaled anti-fibrotic agent in Phase I for the treatment of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.
  • TD-5202: An investigational, orally administered, gut-selective, irreversible JAK3 inhibitor in Phase I clinical study for treatment of inflammatory intestinal diseases.
  • TRELEGY: A treatment for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and asthma.
  • Velusetrag: An oral and investigational medicine for gastrointestinal motility disorders.
  • Selective 5-HT4 Agonist: An investigational medicine for the treatment of gastrointestinal motility disorders.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Theravance Biopharma (TBPH) primarily sells to other companies through licensing and collaboration agreements for the development and commercialization of its pharmaceutical products. Its major customers/partners include:

  • Pfizer Inc. (PFE)
  • Viatris Inc. (VTRS)
  • Janssen Biotech, Inc. (a subsidiary of Johnson & Johnson, JNJ)
  • Alfasigma S.p.A
  • Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TAK)

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Rick E. Winningham, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman

Rick E. Winningham has served as the Chief Executive Officer of Theravance Biopharma since its spin-off from Innoviva in June 2014, and as Chairman of the board of directors since July 2013. Prior to this, he served as Chief Executive Officer of Innoviva from October 2001 to August 2014, and as Chairman of Innoviva's board from April 2010 to October 2014. From 1997 to 2001, he held positions at Bristol-Myers Squibb, including President of Oncology/Immunology/Oncology Therapeutics Network and President of Global Marketing. During his 15-year tenure with Bristol-Myers Squibb, he held various U.S. and global management positions and was associated with the development and commercialization of several major pharmaceutical products. Mr. Winningham serves on the board of directors for Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc and the Biotechnology Industry Organization (BIO), and previously chaired the California Life Sciences Association (CLSA).

Aziz Sawaf, Chief Financial Officer and Senior Vice President of Operations Strategy

Aziz Sawaf assumed the role of Chief Financial Officer and Senior Vice President of Operations Strategy in March 2025, having previously served as Chief Financial Officer from January 2023 to February 2025. He also held the position of Vice President of Finance and was a member of the Senior Leadership Team from October 2021 to December 2022. Mr. Sawaf joined Theravance Biopharma in June 2014 and has held various finance roles of increasing responsibility within the company. Before joining Theravance Biopharma, he spent four years in finance roles supporting the Commercial and R&D organizations at Gilead Sciences.

Rhonda Farnum, Chief Business Officer and Senior Vice President, Commercial and Medical Affairs

Rhonda Farnum was appointed Chief Business Officer and Senior Vice President, Commercial and Medical Affairs in December 2021. She joined Theravance Biopharma in July 2018 as Vice President, Sales and Marketing, where she became responsible for the commercial execution of the company's branded products, including sales, marketing, and managed markets. Prior to her time at Theravance Biopharma, Ms. Farnum led marketing efforts for multiple products within Amgen, Inc.'s oncology business unit from June 2015 to July 2018.

Brett A. Grimaud, Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary

Brett A. Grimaud has served as Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary since June 2022, following his role as Vice President and General Counsel from October 2021 to June 2022. He joined Theravance Biopharma in June 2014 and has progressed through various roles of increasing responsibility within the legal department. Before the spin-off from Innoviva, Mr. Grimaud was Senior Director and Senior Corporate Counsel at Innoviva from January 2012 to June 2014.

Brett K. Haumann, M.D., M.B.A., Chief Medical Officer and Senior Vice President of Clinical Development

Dr. Brett K. Haumann joined Theravance Biopharma in June 2014, concurrent with the company's spin-off from Innoviva. He initially joined Innoviva as Vice President, Clinical Development, in October 2013, and later became Vice President, Clinical Development and Operations for Innoviva in March 2014. In December 2014, he was appointed Senior Vice President, Clinical Development at Theravance Biopharma. Dr. Haumann previously served as Chief Medical Officer and on the board of directors of Circassia Limited from September 2012 to June 2013, and on the board of directors of Reacta Biotech LTD from June 2014 to November 2016.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks for Theravance Biopharma (TBPH) are primarily centered around the inherent challenges of drug development, commercialization of its sole approved product, and underlying financial uncertainties, particularly following recent significant clinical setbacks.

1. Clinical Trial Failures and Pipeline Dependence

Theravance Biopharma faces a significant risk from the potential failure of its drug candidates in clinical trials and its substantial dependence on the success of its product pipeline. This risk was recently underscored by the announcement in March 2026 that its Phase 3 CYPRESS study for ampreloxetine, an investigational norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor for neurogenic orthostatic hypotension, failed to meet its primary endpoint. This failure led the company to wind down the ampreloxetine program and resulted in a notable decline in its share price. Previous setbacks also include the failure of its oral JAK-inhibitor candidate, izencitinib, in a Phase IIb study for ulcerative colitis and nezulcitinib for acute lung injury in COVID-19 patients. Such failures necessitate costly organizational restructuring, including a significant reduction in workforce and operating expenses, and severely impact future revenue streams and growth potential.

2. Financial Instability and Strategic Uncertainty

Theravance Biopharma exhibits signs of financial instability and faces strategic uncertainty regarding its future direction. Despite some positive financial indicators, the company's Altman Z-Score of 1.44 places it in the "distress zone," indicating a potential risk of bankruptcy within the next two years. Additionally, insider activity has shown a trend of selling shares. Following the ampreloxetine trial failure, the company's board has accelerated its strategic review to evaluate alternatives, including a potential sale of the company, which suggests significant underlying challenges and an uncertain long-term outlook.

3. Commercialization Challenges and Market Competition for YUPELRI

With the significant reduction in its research and development efforts and the wind-down of pipeline programs, Theravance Biopharma's business is becoming increasingly reliant on the commercial success of its sole approved product, YUPELRI (revefenacin), for the treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). While YUPELRI has U.S. intellectual property protection into 2039, it operates in a competitive market. The company faces risks related to increasing competition from generic formulations, challenges in obtaining and maintaining favorable payer coverage, and other market dynamics that could hinder its sales growth and profitability.

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The addressable markets for Theravance Biopharma's main products or services are as follows:

  • YUPELRI (Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease - COPD): The global COPD treatment market was estimated to be approximately $11.2 billion in 2023. YUPELRI aims to serve roughly 15 million COPD patients in the U.S. and broader markets, holding an estimated 2-3% of the inhaled COPD drug segment. The overall COPD market in the seven major markets (7MM: U.S., France, Germany, Italy, Spain, U.K., and Japan) is projected to grow from $11.5 billion in 2023 to $30.8 billion in 2033.
  • Izencitinib:
    • Myelofibrosis: The myelofibrosis market size in the 7MM (U.S., EU4: Germany, Italy, France, and Spain, U.K., and Japan) was approximately USD 2.2 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 5,638 million in 2034, with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 9% from 2025 to 2034. The global myelofibrosis treatment market size is estimated to be valued at USD 1.2 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 2.75 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 12.3% from 2025 to 2032.
    • Ulcerative Colitis: Null
    • Crohn's Disease: The therapeutic market size of Crohn's disease in the 7MM (U.S., EU4: Germany, Italy, France, and Spain, U.K., and Japan) was approximately USD 10,777 million in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 16,840 million in 2034, with a CAGR of 4.4% from 2025 to 2034. The global Crohn's disease therapeutics market size was valued at USD 13.20 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 2.7% from 2024 to 2030.
    • Rheumatoid Arthritis: Null
  • Ampreloxetine (Neurogenic Orthostatic Hypotension - nOH): The global neurogenic orthostatic hypotension market size is expected to grow from USD 403.0 million in 2024 to USD 855.0 million by 2035, at a CAGR of 7.08% during the forecast period of 2025-2035. The broader orthostatic hypotension market is estimated to be valued at USD 2.07 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 3.41 billion by 2032. Neurogenic orthostatic hypotension (nOH) is expected to hold a 55.7% share of the orthostatic hypotension market in 2025.
  • Nezulcitinib (Acute Lung Injury caused by COVID-19): The 7 major acute lung injury market reached a value of USD 3.3 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 4.9 billion by 2035, exhibiting a CAGR of 4.09% during 2025-2035.
  • Inhaled ALK5i (Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis - IPF): The global idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis treatment market size was valued at USD 4,103.66 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 7,315.80 million by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.30% during 2025-2033. The market size was approximately USD 3,300 million in 2023 in the 7MM (U.S., EU4: Germany, Italy, France, and Spain, U.K., Japan).
  • TD-5202 (Inflammatory Intestinal Diseases): The global gastrointestinal therapeutics market size, which includes treatments for inflammatory intestinal diseases, was valued at USD 80.60 billion in 2025. It is projected to grow to USD 140.98 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.09% during the forecast period. North America dominated this market with a 42.32% share in 2025.
  • TRELEGY:
    • COPD: The COPD market in the 7MM (U.S., France, Germany, Italy, Spain, U.K., and Japan) is projected to grow from sales of $11.5 billion in 2023 to $30.8 billion in 2033. The global COPD therapeutics market size was valued at USD 23.7 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 51.17 billion by the end of 2035, rising at a CAGR of 8% during the forecast period of 2026-2035. Global net sales for TRELEGY ELLIPTA for the full year 2024 were $3.46 billion.
    • Asthma: The global asthma therapeutics market size was estimated at USD 26,409.9 million in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 37,910.5 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 5.3% from 2024 to 2030. The global asthma treatment market size will be USD 30,400 million in 2025 and is expected to boost sales to USD 47,009.4 million by 2033, with a CAGR of 5.60% from 2025 to 2033. The asthma market size in the 7MM (U.S., EU4: Germany, France, Italy, and Spain, U.K., and Japan) was USD 27 billion in 2024.
    • Combined COPD and Asthma: The global asthma and COPD drugs market size was valued at USD 37.22 billion in 2022 and is anticipated to reach USD 61.54 billion by 2032.
  • Velusetrag (Gastrointestinal Motility Disorders): The global gastric motility disorder drugs market reached USD 57,750 million in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 87,957.59 million by 2032, at a CAGR of 5.4%. The gastric motility disorder drug market is estimated to be valued at USD 60.88 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 89.22 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.6% from 2025 to 2032. North America dominates this market with a 38.6% share in 2024.
  • Selective 5-HT4 Agonist (Gastrointestinal Motility Disorders): The global gastric motility disorder drugs market reached USD 57,750 million in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 87,957.59 million by 2032, at a CAGR of 5.4%.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Theravance Biopharma (TBPH) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key areas:
  1. Continued Growth of YUPELRI Net Sales: YUPELRI, a once-daily nebulized treatment for COPD, consistently demonstrates strong sales performance. For instance, Q3 2025 net sales increased 15% year-over-year to $71.4 million, driven by a 6% year-over-year demand growth and improved net pricing due to a favorable channel mix. Hospital channel volume for YUPELRI also saw a significant increase of 29% compared to Q3 2024. The company anticipates achieving a $25 million milestone payment from Viatris when annual US net sales of YUPELRI reach $250 million. This continued expansion in demand, particularly in the hospital setting, and strategic pricing are expected to fuel revenue growth.
  2. TRELEGY Milestone Payments: Theravance Biopharma is eligible for substantial milestone payments from Royalty Pharma tied to the global net sales of TRELEGY, a product licensed to GSK. The company expects to achieve $150 million in additional TRELEGY milestones through 2026. Specifically, a $50 million milestone was achieved in FY 2024 due to TRELEGY sales, and another $50 million milestone is anticipated in Q4 2025, with a further $100 million milestone expected in 2026. These contractual milestone payments will contribute directly to revenue.
  3. Geographic Expansion of YUPELRI: The potential expansion of YUPELRI into new international markets, particularly China, is another anticipated driver of revenue. A New Drug Application (NDA) for YUPELRI was submitted in China in June 2024. Regulatory approval in China could trigger a $7.5 million milestone payment and generate tiered royalties for Theravance Biopharma, leveraging Viatris's international market infrastructure.

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Share Repurchases

  • Theravance Biopharma initiated a $250 million capital return program in September 2022, which included purchasing GSK's equity stake (approximately 9.6 million shares at $9.75 per share), a Dutch auction tender offer for up to $95 million, and a plan for $60 million in open market repurchases.
  • The capital return program was increased to $325 million in February 2023.
  • By April 30, 2023, the company had completed $215 million in share repurchases under the $325 million program, with $110 million remaining.

Inbound Investments

  • In November 2022, Theravance Biopharma sold its TRELEGY ELLIPTA royalty interests to Royalty Pharma for approximately $1.1 billion in upfront cash.
  • This agreement with Royalty Pharma also included up to $250 million in potential milestone payments between 2023 and 2026, with an initial $50 million milestone expected if TRELEGY global net sales reached or exceeded $2.9 billion in 2023.
  • As of November 2025, Theravance Biopharma was eligible to receive $200 million in milestone payments from Royalty Pharma based on TRELEGY sales thresholds and expected $75 million in milestone payments in Q4 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures were -$224,000 in the last 12 months as of March 6, 2026.
  • For the full year 2024, capital expenditure was -$332,000.
  • The company is undergoing significant restructuring, including winding down R&D efforts and reducing operating expenses by approximately 60% compared to 2025 preliminary actuals, with anticipated annual savings of $70 million fully reflected by Q3 2026.

Better Bets vs. Theravance Biopharma (TBPH)

Peer Outperformance in Biotechnology

TBPH has outperformed 77% of its 364 Biotechnology peers over 5Y. Biotechnology ranks 10th of 10 industries in Health Care by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Biotechnology constituents that TBPH has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
56%
of 460 industry peers · 22.3% return
3Y
74%
of 406 industry peers · 77.6% return
5Y
77%
of 364 industry peers · 20.0% return
null
Median price return by industry across the Health Care sector, ranked by 5Y. Biotechnology is TBPH's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Health Care Distributors 7 9.5%83.4%124.2% CAH 390% · MCK 336% · COR 180%
Health Care Services 20 20.6%45.3%9.4% HIMS 364% · RDNT 152% · DGX 79%
Managed Health Care 8 29.7%-3.2%0.4% OSCR 147% · HQY 66% · ELV 14%
Health Care Facilities 24 7.9%-1.7%-16.4% THC 285% · NHC 262% · ENSG 121%
Health Care Equipment 51 -4.5%-5.0%-17.0% POCI 11300% · UFPT 372% · GKOS 270%
Health Care Supplies 12 33.9%-13.2%-26.0% LNTH 288% · HAE 79% · MMSI 29%
Pharmaceuticals 63 4.5%4.6%-36.8% LQDA 2519% · INDV 1253% · ETON 1220%
Health Care Technology 21 -19.9%-55.1%-71.3% SPOK 108% · HSTM -4% · VEEV -23%
Life Sciences Tools & Services 108 -2.5%-28.7%-71.8% SNWV 1782% · MEDP 246% · ELMD 241%
Biotechnology ← 365 7.8%-24.9%-78.0% BRTX 107550% · CELZ 1771% · DNTH 1536%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TBPHINVAREGNVRTXAMGNMedian
NameTheravan.Innoviva Regenero.Vertex P.Amgen  
Mkt Price17.0121.07834.04548.05439.33439.33
Mkt Cap0.91.585.7139.0237.285.7
Rev LTM10444015,53512,58738,09512,587
Op Inc LTM101634,1744,77711,4264,174
FCF LTM541913,5753,79610,1753,575
FCF 3Y Avg961823,4391,9578,7541,957
CFO LTM541914,6814,29312,4784,293
CFO 3Y Avg971834,4982,39810,3122,398

Growth & Margins

TBPHINVAREGNVRTXAMGNMedian
NameTheravan.Innoviva Regenero.Vertex P.Amgen  
Rev Chg LTM35.1%18.8%9.3%10.2%9.1%10.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg26.9%14.9%7.0%9.8%12.8%12.8%
Rev Chg Q-20.9%19.3%16.7%12.5%9.5%12.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-5.0%4.6%4.1%3.0%2.4%3.0%
Op Inc Chg LTM126.8%-7.9%6.1%2,497.9%39.5%39.5%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg59.7%17.1%-1.7%792.2%12.3%17.1%
Op Mgn LTM9.2%36.9%26.9%37.9%30.0%30.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-33.3%41.9%28.2%23.9%24.5%24.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM4.6%-1.2%1.1%-0.2%1.6%1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM51.5%43.5%30.1%34.1%32.8%34.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg118.2%48.5%31.2%19.6%29.3%31.2%
FCF/Rev LTM51.5%43.3%23.0%30.2%26.7%30.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg117.7%48.0%23.9%15.7%24.9%24.9%

Valuation

TBPHINVAREGNVRTXAMGNMedian
NameTheravan.Innoviva Regenero.Vertex P.Amgen  
Mkt Cap0.91.585.7139.0237.285.7
P/S8.43.55.511.06.26.2
P/Op Inc92.09.520.529.120.820.8
P/EBIT14.63.516.427.618.316.4
P/E16.34.319.831.627.119.8
P/CFO16.48.118.332.419.018.3
Total Yield6.1%23.1%5.5%3.2%5.9%5.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.4%0.0%2.2%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg16.0%14.1%4.9%1.6%5.2%5.2%
D/E0.00.20.00.00.20.0
Net D/E-0.4-0.2-0.1-0.00.2-0.1

Returns

TBPHINVAREGNVRTXAMGNMedian
NameTheravan.Innoviva Regenero.Vertex P.Amgen  
1M Rtn0.9%-0.6%28.1%15.8%18.9%15.8%
3M Rtn3.9%-6.2%30.7%26.1%30.2%26.1%
6M Rtn-13.5%-9.9%7.3%14.9%18.8%7.3%
12M Rtn22.3%4.5%42.2%38.7%53.7%38.7%
3Y Rtn77.6%58.7%0.1%56.3%86.8%58.7%
1M Excs Rtn-2.7%-4.2%24.5%12.3%15.4%12.3%
3M Excs Rtn1.0%-8.2%26.9%23.3%27.9%23.3%
6M Excs Rtn-24.5%-21.0%-3.8%3.8%7.7%-3.8%
12M Excs Rtn7.0%-14.4%21.9%19.0%33.6%19.0%
3Y Excs Rtn0.2%-19.0%-68.7%-14.7%8.6%-14.7%

Comparison Analyses

null

FDA Approved Drugs Data

Expand for More
Post-Approval Fwd Returns
FDA
App #
Brand
Name
Generic
Name
Dosage
Form
FDA
Approval
3M
Rtn
6M
Rtn
1Y
Rtn
2Y
Rtn
Total
Rtn
NDA022407  VIBATIVtelavancininjectable6212013     
Collapse to Preview
Post-Approval Fwd Returns
FDA
App #
Brand
Name
Generic
Name
Dosage
Form
FDA
Approval
3M
Rtn
6M
Rtn
1Y
Rtn
2Y
Rtn
Total
Rtn
NDA022407  VIBATIVtelavancininjectable6212013     

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Development and commercialization of human therapeutics1076457  
Collaboration revenue   011
Licensing revenue   2 
Viatris collaboration agreement   4944
Viatris royalties (Non-US)   0 
Total10764575155


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
Development and commercialization of human therapeutics-4-47-56
Total-4-47-56


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
Development and commercialization of human therapeutics106-56-55
Total106-56-55


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$17.01 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.9 
First Trading Date05/16/2014 
Distance from 52W High-18.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$16.79$17.22
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA1.3%-1.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility15.5%45.3%
Downside Capture-41.0661.07
Upside Capture-18.0471.61
Correlation (SPY)-23.2%15.8%
TBPH Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.07-0.32-0.190.630.640.54
Up Beta0.04-0.67-0.150.770.740.26
Down Beta-0.170.160.130.330.280.47
Up Capture9%-23%-24%45%92%52%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days9202963135375
Down Capture23%-60%-42%95%65%90%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days10193058110355

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TBPH
TBPH27.2%45.2%0.67-
Sector ETF (XLV)28.8%16.0%1.3926.7%
Equity (SPY)21.1%12.9%1.2215.5%
Gold (GLD)37.5%28.8%1.1016.4%
Commodities (DBC)43.2%20.2%1.66-0.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.9%13.8%0.6417.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-31.6%44.1%-0.739.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TBPH
TBPH4.2%47.8%0.26-
Sector ETF (XLV)7.1%15.1%0.2820.1%
Equity (SPY)12.9%17.2%0.5721.6%
Gold (GLD)20.6%18.6%0.907.9%
Commodities (DBC)10.4%19.6%0.410.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.3%18.9%0.0217.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)10.4%52.8%0.3810.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TBPH
TBPH-4.4%49.7%0.11-
Sector ETF (XLV)10.7%16.7%0.5229.3%
Equity (SPY)15.2%17.9%0.7228.3%
Gold (GLD)12.7%16.2%0.645.3%
Commodities (DBC)8.0%18.0%0.369.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.2021.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.1%66.1%1.038.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 7152026-3.2%
Average Daily Volume0.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.6 days
Basic Shares Quantity51.7 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares8.1%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/19/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/10/2026-0.1%0.2% 
5/7/20260.5%-1.6%-3.8%
3/19/20261.3%10.6%24.6%
11/10/202522.7%19.6%17.2%
8/12/20254.2%12.8%14.9%
5/8/2025-9.3%-7.7%10.6%
2/26/20252.1%7.0%2.5%
11/12/20248.6%11.3%10.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131311
# Negative131314
Median Positive4.2%7.0%9.4%
Median Negative-4.6%-5.0%-6.5%
Max Positive22.7%19.6%24.6%
Max Negative-18.4%-18.8%-39.5%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/10/2026-0.1%0.2% 
5/7/20260.5%-1.6%-3.8%
3/19/20261.3%10.6%24.6%
11/10/202522.7%19.6%17.2%
8/12/20254.2%12.8%14.9%
5/8/2025-9.3%-7.7%10.6%
2/26/20252.1%7.0%2.5%
11/12/20248.6%11.3%10.8%
8/5/2024-18.4%-14.1%-16.2%
5/13/2024-2.0%-5.0%-9.8%
2/26/20245.0%-1.4%-4.4%
11/7/20235.3%5.9%8.9%
8/7/2023-0.9%2.4%-2.8%
5/8/20230.4%-0.6%-1.4%
2/27/20232.3%-3.9%0.2%
1/9/2023-7.0%0.9%-5.4%
11/7/20223.1%12.3%6.5%
8/4/2022-7.8%-0.2%-1.2%
5/5/2022-4.2%-7.4%-7.7%
2/23/20229.0%12.5%9.4%
11/3/20215.2%5.7%-3.8%
8/3/2021-4.6%-0.8%-39.5%
5/4/2021-1.6%-6.7%-15.7%
2/23/2021-0.9%4.2%9.1%
11/5/2020-13.8%-10.4%-11.4%
8/6/2020-13.8%-18.8%-17.7%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131311
# Negative131314
Median Positive4.2%7.0%9.4%
Median Negative-4.6%-5.0%-6.5%
Max Positive22.7%19.6%24.6%
Max Negative-18.4%-18.8%-39.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/11/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202503/23/202610-K
09/30/202511/12/202510-Q
06/30/202508/13/202510-Q
03/31/202505/12/202510-Q
12/31/202403/07/202510-K
09/30/202411/14/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/15/202410-Q
12/31/202303/01/202410-K
09/30/202311/09/202310-Q
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/10/202310-Q
12/31/202203/01/202310-K
09/30/202211/09/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/11/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202503/23/202610-K
09/30/202511/12/202510-Q
06/30/202508/13/202510-Q
03/31/202505/12/202510-Q
12/31/202403/07/202510-K
09/30/202411/14/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/15/202410-Q
12/31/202303/01/202410-K
09/30/202311/09/202310-Q
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/10/202310-Q
12/31/202203/01/202310-K
09/30/202211/09/202210-Q
06/30/202208/08/202210-Q
03/31/202205/06/202210-Q
12/31/202102/28/202210-K
09/30/202111/08/202110-Q
06/30/202108/05/202110-Q
03/31/202105/06/202110-Q
12/31/202002/26/202110-K
09/30/202011/09/202010-Q
06/30/202008/10/202010-Q
03/31/202005/08/202010-Q
12/31/201902/27/202010-K
09/30/201911/08/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/11/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/10/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Operating Expense Reduction 0.6    
2026 Annualized Cash Flow Savings60.00 Mil65.00 Mil70.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 65.00 Mil for 2026

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Annualized Cash Flow60.00 Mil65.00 Mil70.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 65.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Income from Operations45.00 Mil50.00 Mil55.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 50.00 Mil for 2026
2026 One-time cash severance costs5.00 Mil6.00 Mil7.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 6.00 Mil for 2026
2026 TRELEGY Global Net Sales 3.50 Bil    

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/19/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Cash and cash equivalents and marketable securities 400.00 Mil    
2026 Annualized Cash Flow60.00 Mil65.00 Mil70.00 Mil   
2026 Income from Operations45.00 Mil50.00 Mil55.00 Mil   
2026 Severance Costs5.00 Mil6.00 Mil7.00 Mil   

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/10/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 R&D Expenses32.00 Mil35.00 Mil38.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 35.00 Mil for 2025
2025 SG&A Expenses50.00 Mil55.00 Mil60.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 55.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Share-Based Compensation18.00 Mil19.00 Mil20.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 19.00 Mil for 2025
2025 TRELEGY Global Net Sales 3.40 Bil    
2026 TRELEGY Global Net Sales 3.50 Bil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 3.50 Bil for 2026

Insider Activity

Updated 7/8/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Samaha, Eli See FootnotesSell701202617.0037,799642,628155,976,710Form
2Samaha, Eli See FootnotesSell701202617.1325,027428,788157,833,514Form
3Samaha, Eli See FootnotesSell701202617.23273,8714,720,139159,203,580Form
4Farnum, RhondaSVP, COMM & MEDICAL AFFAIRSDirectSell617202616.3913,314218,1673,809,110Form
5Farnum, RhondaSVP, COMM & MEDICAL AFFAIRSDirectSell318202613.9631,067433,6373,248,042Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Samaha, Eli See FootnotesSell701202617.0037,799642,628155,976,710Form
2Samaha, Eli See FootnotesSell701202617.1325,027428,788157,833,514Form
3Samaha, Eli See FootnotesSell701202617.23273,8714,720,139159,203,580Form
4Farnum, RhondaSVP, COMM & MEDICAL AFFAIRSDirectSell617202616.3913,314218,1673,809,110Form
5Farnum, RhondaSVP, COMM & MEDICAL AFFAIRSDirectSell318202613.9631,067433,6373,248,042Form
6Farnum, RhondaSVP, COMM & MEDICAL AFFAIRSDirectSell1205202518.7531,067582,5015,206,733Form
7Broshy, EranDirectSell1201202520.0029,501590,020894,060Form
8Broshy, EranDirectSell1113202518.1159,0001,068,250836,566Form
9Farnum, RhondaSVP, COMM & MEDICAL AFFAIRSDirectSell716202511.3910,000113,8703,722,599Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 23, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Newtyn Management, LLC$78.6 Mil8.4%33ADD +12.6%13F
Madison Avenue Partners, LP$154.4 Mil6.7%27Hold13F
Irenic Capital Management LP$44.8 Mil4.1%42Hold13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Newtyn Management, LLC$78.6 Mil8.4%33ADD +12.6%13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Madison Avenue Partners, LP$154.4 Mil6.7%27Hold13F
Newtyn Management, LLC$78.6 Mil8.4%33ADD +12.6%13F
Irenic Capital Management LP$44.8 Mil4.1%42Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/22/2026