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Spero Therapeutics (SPRO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $2.32 | Market Cap: $130.6 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Spero Therapeutics (SPRO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $2.32
Market Cap: $130.6 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, and Antimicrobial Resistance Solutions.
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -33%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -45 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -154%
1   Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 123%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -67%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -61%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -94%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -94%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 156%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 254%
6   Key risks
SPRO key risks include [1] the discontinuation of its SPR720 program following a failed trial, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, and Antimicrobial Resistance Solutions.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -33%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -45 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -154%
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 123%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -67%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -61%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -94%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -94%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 156%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 254%
8 Key risks
SPRO key risks include [1] the discontinuation of its SPR720 program following a failed trial, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SPRO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. Spero Therapeutics reported strong Q2 2025 financial results, including a significantly reduced net loss and increased revenue. The company announced a net loss of $1.7 million for the second quarter of 2025, a substantial improvement from a $17.9 million net loss in Q2 2024. Total revenue also rose to $14.2 million from $10.2 million year-over-year. This positive financial update, announced on August 12, 2025, led to an immediate stock increase of 7.27%.

2. The PIVOT-PO Phase 3 trial for tebipenem HBr was stopped early due to meeting efficacy endpoints. Spero Therapeutics, in collaboration with GSK, announced in May 2025 that the Phase 3 PIVOT-PO trial for tebipenem HBr, an oral carbapenem antibiotic for complicated urinary tract infections (cUTI), achieved its primary endpoint. This early termination for efficacy significantly de-risked the program and highlighted its potential.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SPRO Return102%-17%-89%-15%-30%120%-76%
Peers Return6%2%11%30%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SPRO Win Rate58%33%17%42%33%25% 
Peers Win Rate42%47%37%38%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SPRO Max Drawdown-45%-37%-96%-42%-37%-46% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-31%-30%-30% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: INSM, GILD, PFE, MRK, ACXP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSPROS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-96.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3058.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven97.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven43 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-68.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven213.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven715 days120 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Spero Therapeutics's stock fell -96.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2021. A -96.8% loss requires a 3058.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Spero Therapeutics (SPRO)

Better Bets than Spero Therapeutics (SPRO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SPRO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Spero Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SPROINSMGILDPFEMRKACXPMedian
NameSpero Th.Insmed Gilead S.Pfizer Merck Acurx Ph. 
Mkt Price2.31198.46121.3625.0499.183.5062.11
Mkt Cap0.142.0150.9142.4247.50.092.2
Rev LTM2944729,08662,78664,235014,767
Op Inc LTM-45-99011,15115,41722,391-95,571
FCF LTM-28-9069,16210,37613,049-84,577
FCF 3Y Avg-5-6898,8158,92713,685-94,405
CFO LTM-28-8839,66713,07717,065-84,830
CFO 3Y Avg-5-6709,36412,12717,506-94,679

Growth & Margins

SPROINSMGILDPFEMRKACXPMedian
NameSpero Th.Insmed Gilead S.Pfizer Merck Acurx Ph. 
Rev Chg LTM-67.4%30.3%2.8%3.9%1.7%-2.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg910.4%22.8%2.3%-13.2%2.9%-2.9%
Rev Chg Q-61.0%52.4%3.0%-5.9%3.7%-3.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-14.0%12.3%0.8%-1.6%1.0%-0.8%
Op Mgn LTM-153.8%-221.5%38.3%24.6%34.9%-24.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-50.7%-222.0%39.2%19.4%23.7%-19.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM11.5%11.5%0.9%-1.4%3.7%-3.7%
CFO/Rev LTM-94.4%-197.6%33.2%20.8%26.6%-20.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-24.4%-186.4%33.1%18.9%28.2%-18.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-94.4%-202.7%31.5%16.5%20.3%-16.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-24.4%-191.6%31.2%13.9%22.0%-13.9%

Valuation

SPROINSMGILDPFEMRKACXPMedian
NameSpero Th.Insmed Gilead S.Pfizer Merck Acurx Ph. 
Mkt Cap0.142.0150.9142.4247.50.092.2
P/S3.668.24.72.33.3-3.6
P/EBIT--27.712.712.29.1-10.6
P/E-2.4-25.817.014.711.0-0.85.1
P/CFO-3.8-34.514.311.112.3-0.95.1
Total Yield-41.4%-3.9%8.8%13.5%13.0%-131.5%2.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%2.9%6.7%3.9%0.0%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--7.5%8.0%5.5%5.5%-5.5%
D/E-0.00.20.40.2-0.2
Net D/E--0.00.10.30.1-0.1

Returns

SPROINSMGILDPFEMRKACXPMedian
NameSpero Th.Insmed Gilead S.Pfizer Merck Acurx Ph. 
1M Rtn-4.9%0.5%-1.6%-0.2%7.7%-17.1%-0.9%
3M Rtn21.6%37.1%8.8%5.9%23.3%-15.0%15.2%
6M Rtn-21.4%99.5%13.9%8.5%27.4%-75.7%11.2%
12M Rtn123.2%168.7%34.4%1.6%2.8%-79.7%18.6%
3Y Rtn37.5%939.1%55.4%-42.1%-0.5%-95.4%18.5%
1M Excs Rtn-5.7%-0.2%-2.3%-0.9%7.0%-17.8%-1.6%
3M Excs Rtn14.2%34.7%6.2%4.2%21.3%-20.7%10.2%
6M Excs Rtn-33.8%87.2%1.5%-3.8%15.0%-88.1%-1.2%
12M Excs Rtn104.8%166.0%24.7%-6.1%-9.4%-90.6%9.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-32.6%856.1%-14.8%-111.3%-68.0%-163.5%-50.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Identifying and developing novel treatments for rare diseases and diseases caused by multi-drug104    
Collaboration revenue 3305
Collaboration revenue - related party 46   
Grant revenue 515913
Total1045418918


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Identifying and developing novel treatments for rare diseases and diseases caused by multi-drug23    
Total23    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity825,698
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202534.1%
Average Daily Volume385,653
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.14
Basic Shares Quantity56,280,844
Short % of Basic Shares1.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/13/2025-1.2%-7.4% 
8/12/2025-18.0%-22.0%-17.4%
3/27/2025-10.9%-27.5%-17.5%
1/10/2025-2.0%-16.5%-20.4%
10/29/2024-1.5%0.0%-13.7%
8/5/2024-5.2%-3.7%-2.2%
3/13/20244.8%6.0%-1.2%
11/13/2023-1.8%10.8%16.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive466
# Negative161414
Median Positive1.5%5.4%26.6%
Median Negative-3.4%-8.2%-17.5%
Max Positive4.8%25.9%31.8%
Max Negative-18.3%-27.5%-41.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251113202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024327202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023313202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022330202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021