Siebert Financial (SIEB)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.97 | Market Cap: $120.0 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Capital Markets
Siebert Financial (SIEB)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.97Market Cap: $120.0 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Diversified Capital Markets
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 39x |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -157% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -29% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 23.09 |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -157% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 39x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -29% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 23.09 |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SIEB Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Siebert Financial (SIEB) has experienced several key developments recently that could influence its stock performance, particularly around significant percentage movements. The requested timeframe, August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, it is not possible to provide specific reasons for a 9.5% stock movement within that precise future period. However, based on recent information, here are potential factors that could drive such a change for Siebert Financial:
1. Strategic Partnerships and Expanded Reach: On December 4, 2025, Siebert Financial announced an expanded strategic collaboration with Kakao Pay Securities to provide daily U.S. market commentary to approximately 8 million Korean investors. This partnership aims to integrate AI technology and digital platform expertise with Siebert's financial infrastructure, potentially widening its global reach and enhancing its service offerings. Earlier, on October 1, 2025, Siebert Financial also formed a strategic alliance with Next Securities to combine their strengths in financial infrastructure and AI technology. Such collaborations can generate positive market sentiment due to increased potential for revenue growth and market expansion.
2. Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: Siebert Financial reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 12, 2025. The company experienced a 19% increase in revenue to $26.8 million compared to the prior-year quarter, driven by stronger principal activity and trading services. Stock borrow/stock loan revenue also significantly increased by 73.7% to $10.0 million, and advisory fees grew by 32.1% to $0.8 million. These positive financial indicators could lead to increased investor confidence.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SIEB Return | -51% | -45% | -41% | 24% | 88% | -4% | -65% |
| Peers Return | -1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -19% | -19% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SIEB Win Rate | 42% | 25% | 42% | 42% | 58% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SIEB Max Drawdown | -63% | -51% | -47% | -2% | -12% | -30% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ABTC, FIGR, GEMI, MIAX, STKE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SIEB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -85.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 574.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -63.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 175.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -62.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 169.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 96 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -73.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 270.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3203 days | 1480 days |
Compare to ABTC, FIGR, GEMI, MIAX, STKE
In The Past
Siebert Financial's stock fell -85.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/29/2021. A -85.2% loss requires a 574.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Can Siebert Financial Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SIEB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Siebert Financial
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 6.88 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.1 |
| Rev LTM | 84 |
| Op Inc LTM | 12 |
| FCF LTM | 1 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -20 |
| CFO LTM | 5 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -3 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 19.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 16.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 22.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -11.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -12.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 0.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -16.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.1 |
| P/S | 2.1 |
| P/EBIT | 15.1 |
| P/E | 18.8 |
| P/CFO | 39.0 |
| Total Yield | 5.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -21.1% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -1.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -15.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -27.4% |
| 6M Rtn | -68.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -47.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | -4.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -15.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -27.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -83.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -58.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -68.7% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin interest | 16 | ||||
| Stock locate services | 13 | ||||
| Interest income | 12 | 4 | |||
| Riskless principal transactions with customers | 9 | ||||
| Brokerage commissions | 6 | ||||
| Proprietary trading | 4 | ||||
| Stock rebate revenue | 3 | ||||
| Advisory fees | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Marketing and distribution fees | 2 | ||||
| Market making | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| Distribution fees | 1 | ||||
| Payment for order flow | 1 | ||||
| Administrative fees | 1 | ||||
| Insurance commissions | 0 | ||||
| Other commissions | 0 | ||||
| Retail fees (rebates) | -0 | ||||
| Commissions and fees | 7 | 18 | 20 | 10 | |
| Interest, marketing and distribution fees | 17 | 13 | 14 | 15 | |
| Other income | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Principal transactions and proprietary trading | 4 | 16 | 12 | 9 | |
| Stock borrow / stock loan | 15 | 12 | 4 | 2 | |
| Total | 72 | 50 | 68 | 55 | 43 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3312025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5222024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 5102024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3292023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5232022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3302022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11152021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |