Shoals Technologies (SHLS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $7.78 | Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
Shoals Technologies (SHLS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $7.78Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -95%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -147% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 100% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -95%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -147% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 100% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SHLS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested timeframe for Shoals Technologies (SHLS) stock movement, from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, lies entirely in the future. As an AI, I do not have access to real-time future market data or events that have not yet occurred. Therefore, I cannot provide an explanation for a hypothetical 16.9% stock movement within this future period.
However, based on recent available information concerning Shoals Technologies, here are key points related to its performance and outlook, which generally influence stock movements:
1. Strong Backlog and Awarded Orders: Shoals Technologies has reported a significant backlog and awarded orders, reaching $720.9 million as of September 30, 2025, representing a 21.0% increase year-over-year. This indicates consistent demand for its products and strong future revenue potential, with approximately $575 million scheduled for delivery within the next four quarters. This robust order book suggests sustained business activity.
2. Q3 2025 Financial Performance: For the third quarter of 2025, Shoals Technologies reported a record revenue of $135.8 million, a 32.9% increase year-over-year, surpassing analysts' expectations. Net income significantly improved to $11.9 million, compared to a loss in the prior-year period, with adjusted diluted earnings per share reaching $0.12. Gross profit also increased, reaching 37.0% of revenue, partly due to the absence of significant wire insulation shrinkback warranty expenses that affected the prior year.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SHLS Return | - | - | 2% | -37% | -64% | 41% | -68% |
| Peers Return | 30% | 66% | -36% | -7% | -2% | 11% | 39% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SHLS Win Rate | - | 36% | 58% | 42% | 25% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 50% | 25% | 40% | 33% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SHLS Max Drawdown | - | - | -60% | -48% | -73% | -49% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -35% | -6% | -43% | -28% | -30% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMBA, VIAV, KLIC, MXL, SPWR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SHLS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -75.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 310.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to AMBA, VIAV, KLIC, MXL, SPWR
In The Past
Shoals Technologies's stock fell -75.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/19/2021. A -75.7% loss requires a 310.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SHLS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Shoals Technologies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 17.72 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.0 |
| Rev LTM | 429 |
| Op Inc LTM | -41 |
| FCF LTM | 22 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 61 |
| CFO LTM | 44 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 76 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -5.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 41.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 9.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -13.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -9.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 4.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.0 |
| P/S | 2.8 |
| P/EBIT | 6.8 |
| P/E | 17.0 |
| P/CFO | 22.4 |
| Total Yield | -1.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 15.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 44.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 3.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | -8.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 5.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 29.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 5.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -73.7% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2252025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8162022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5172022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3112022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |