Shoals Technologies (SHLS)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $8.425 | Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
Shoals Technologies (SHLS)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $8.425Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -86%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -133% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 100% |
| Key risksSHLS key risks include [1] substantial legal and warranty costs stemming from product defects and intellectual property disputes, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -86%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -133% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 100% |
| Key risksSHLS key risks include [1] substantial legal and warranty costs stemming from product defects and intellectual property disputes, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SHLS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The stock of Shoals Technologies (SHLS) experienced significant movement between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025. Here are key points that influenced the stock's trajectory during this period:
1. Strong Revenue Growth and Financial Health: Shoals Technologies demonstrated robust financial health with consistent revenue growth. For instance, Q3 2025 revenue reached $135.8 million, a 32.9% year-over-year increase. The company reported total revenues nearing $399 million, reflecting a substantial year-on-year increment. Profitability ratios remained strong, with a gross margin of 36.8% and an EBIT margin of 12.9%, indicating efficient cost management. Shoals also provided a positive full-year 2025 revenue guidance of $467–477 million, representing 17–20% year-over-year growth.
2. Expansion into Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) and International Markets: Shoals strategically expanded into high-growth segments such as Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) and international markets. BESS bookings accelerated, adding $18 million to the backlog and awarded orders, driven by new master supply agreements (MSAs) and growing opportunities in data centers and grid firming. The company's international pipeline exceeded 20 GW, with active projects in Latin America, Australia, and EMEA, and recognized $6 million in international revenue in Q3 2025. This diversification of revenue streams aimed to reduce reliance on the cyclical utility-scale solar market.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SHLS Return | � | � | 2% | -37% | -64% | 54% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | -43% | 58% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SHLS Win Rate | � | 36% | 58% | 42% | 25% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | 42% | 40% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SHLS Max Drawdown | � | � | -60% | -48% | -73% | -49% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | -53% | -29% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NXT, ARRY, ENPH, SEDG, FSLR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SHLS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -75.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 310.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to VIAV, AMBA, KLIC, MXL, SPWR
In The Past
Shoals Technologies's stock fell -75.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/19/2021. A -75.7% loss requires a 310.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SHLS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Shoals Technologies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 30.27 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.9 |
| Rev LTM | 1,423 |
| Op Inc LTM | 176 |
| FCF LTM | 76 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 112 |
| CFO LTM | 186 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 325 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 17.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 37.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 8.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.9 |
| P/S | 3.0 |
| P/EBIT | 18.1 |
| P/E | 18.9 |
| P/CFO | 21.3 |
| Total Yield | 3.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.0% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 11.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 53.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 62.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | -68.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 6.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 41.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 60.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -133.4% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | -10.6% | -9.2% | -23.3% |
| 8/5/2025 | -13.2% | -17.1% | 26.0% |
| 5/6/2025 | 17.3% | 42.6% | 30.3% |
| 2/25/2025 | -4.8% | -35.5% | -23.7% |
| 11/12/2024 | -15.9% | -26.2% | -20.8% |
| 2/28/2024 | -16.6% | -18.5% | -27.4% |
| 11/7/2023 | -10.0% | -7.1% | -16.1% |
| 8/1/2023 | -6.1% | -15.1% | -24.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| # Negative | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 6.8% | 18.9% | 23.4% |
| Median Negative | -8.1% | -15.0% | -20.8% |
| Max Positive | 21.9% | 42.6% | 30.3% |
| Max Negative | -16.6% | -35.5% | -27.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2252025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8162022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5172022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3112022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |