RTB Digital (RTB)
Market Price (7/9/2026): $18.96 | Market Cap: $109.5 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
RTB Digital (RTB)
Market Price (7/9/2026): $18.96Market Cap: $109.5 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Advertising. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 168%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 168% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 225% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Advertising. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 168%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 168% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 225% |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
RTB Digital (RTB) stock has gained about 170% since it went public on 5/13/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Successful Nasdaq Debut and Positioning as an Innovative AI/DeFi/Web3 Media Platform.
RTB Digital, formed through a merger with Ryvyl Inc., commenced trading on the Nasdaq Capital Market on May 13, 2026, following its successful business combination. The company's strategic positioning as the "world's only full-stack enterprise media platform," integrating AI, decentralized finance (DeFi), and Web3 infrastructure to modernize the global media industry, generated significant investor interest immediately after its market debut.
2. Launch of Real-Time, On-Chain Payment Platform with Strategic Coinbase Partnership.
A key catalyst for the stock's performance was the launch of Roundtable's real-time, on-chain payment infrastructure for professional media on June 22, 2026. This innovative platform allows publishers to receive ad revenue instantly in USDC, with settlements processed via Coinbase, directly addressing the traditionally slow payment cycles prevalent in the media industry. This technological advancement and the partnership with a major cryptocurrency platform boosted investor confidence in RTB Digital's market capture and monetization capabilities.
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RTB Digital (RTB) stock has gained about 170% since it went public on 5/13/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Successful Nasdaq Debut and Positioning as an Innovative AI/DeFi/Web3 Media Platform.
RTB Digital, formed through a merger with Ryvyl Inc., commenced trading on the Nasdaq Capital Market on May 13, 2026, following its successful business combination. The company's strategic positioning as the "world's only full-stack enterprise media platform," integrating AI, decentralized finance (DeFi), and Web3 infrastructure to modernize the global media industry, generated significant investor interest immediately after its market debut.
2. Launch of Real-Time, On-Chain Payment Platform with Strategic Coinbase Partnership.
A key catalyst for the stock's performance was the launch of Roundtable's real-time, on-chain payment infrastructure for professional media on June 22, 2026. This innovative platform allows publishers to receive ad revenue instantly in USDC, with settlements processed via Coinbase, directly addressing the traditionally slow payment cycles prevalent in the media industry. This technological advancement and the partnership with a major cryptocurrency platform boosted investor confidence in RTB Digital's market capture and monetization capabilities.
3. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgraded Price Targets.
Despite its recent IPO, RTB Digital has garnered positive attention from analysts. As of July 3, 2026, a consensus of 38 analysts showed a "Buy" rating, with 66% recommending a buy, 24% a hold, and 11% a sell. The median 12-month price target for RTB is $27.07, with a high estimate reaching $39.16, indicating substantial projected upside from its recent trading levels.
4. Significant Insider Buying Activity.
Insider sentiment for RTB Digital has been notably positive, with reports indicating collective insider buying of $5.23 million worth of shares across 26 transactions over the past year, with no insider sales reported. This strong insider confidence, with 7 different insiders engaging in purchases, suggests internal conviction in the company's future prospects, exceeding the $5 million threshold for significant insider transactions.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RTB | ||
| Market (SPY) | 14.6% | 29.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 36.5% | 21.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RTB | ||
| Market (SPY) | 9.6% | 29.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 26.2% | 21.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RTB | ||
| Market (SPY) | 21.7% | 29.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 43.8% | 21.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RTB | ||
| Market (SPY) | 74.1% | 29.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 112.6% | 21.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RTB Return | - | - | - | - | - | 134% | 134% |
| Peers Return | -8% | -34% | -15% | 89% | -46% | 18% | -37% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 100% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RTB Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 25% | 52% | 78% | 53% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 57% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RTB Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -42% | -17% | -55% | -62% | -44% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ADSK, HIT, BMR, QNT, RTB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/8/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
RTB has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.
| Event | XLK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 65 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -17.0% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.4% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 92 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -10.0% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11.2% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 15 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -33.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.5% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 246 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -31.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 78 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -23.8% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.2% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 100 days | 105 days |
In The Past
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -25.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
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RTB has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.
| Event | XLK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 65 days | 79 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -33.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.5% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 246 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -31.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 78 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -23.8% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.2% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 100 days | 105 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -51.5% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 106.2% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 797 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -25.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About RTB Digital (RTB)
RTB Digital, operating as GreenBox POS, is a technology company focused on developing, marketing, and selling blockchain-based payment solutions. The company's core business involves creating systems that facilitate, record, and securely store tokenized assets, which can represent cash or data, on a blockchain-based ledger. This fundamental approach allows businesses to leverage distributed ledger technology for enhanced security and efficiency in their payment and asset management processes.
The company offers a range of specific products to address various business needs. Key among these is the QuickCard Payment System, a comprehensive solution for physical and virtual cash management that includes software for handling deposits, cash, and e-wallet functions. RTB Digital also provides point-of-sale (POS) solutions, comprising both software and hardware components for transaction processing. Additionally, its Loopz software solution is designed for managing mobile delivery service operations, featuring automated dispatch functionality to streamline logistics.
RTB Digital serves a diverse client base across several industries. Its blockchain-based solutions are utilized by customers in the foreign exchange sector, facilitating secure currency transactions. The company also caters to the retail and e-commerce industries, providing tools that optimize payment processing, cash management, and operational efficiency for businesses operating in these dynamic markets.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for RTB Digital:
- Square (Block) built on blockchain technology.
- A blockchain-powered PayPal for digital cash and assets.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- QuickCard Payment System: A physical and virtual cash management system that facilitates deposits, cash, and e-wallet management.
- Point of Sale Solutions: Comprehensive software and hardware designed for transaction processing.
- Loopz Software Solution: A mobile delivery service operations management solution with automated dispatch functionality.
AI Analysis | Feedback
RTB Digital (symbol: RTB), also known as GreenBox POS, primarily sells its blockchain-based payment solutions and related software to other companies.
The company serves businesses in the following major sectors:
- Foreign exchange sector
- Retail sector
- E-commerce sector
Specific customer company names are not provided in the company description.
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- The emergence and widespread adoption of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) pose a significant threat. RTB Digital's business centers on blockchain-based tokenized assets representing cash and e-wallet management. If national central banks widely implement their own digital currencies, these government-backed CBDCs could become the primary form of digital cash, potentially reducing the need for or appeal of private tokenized asset solutions and associated payment systems.
- Accelerated adoption and deep integration of blockchain and distributed ledger technology (DLT) solutions by established financial institutions (e.g., Visa, Mastercard, PayPal, traditional banks) and major technology companies (e.g., Apple, Google). These incumbents possess immense scale, existing merchant networks, vast customer bases, and significant regulatory trust. If they successfully roll out their own robust and widely accepted blockchain-based payment solutions, they could leverage their dominant positions to capture significant market share in foreign exchange, retail, and e-commerce payments, making it challenging for specialized blockchain payment providers like RTB Digital to compete effectively.
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RTB Digital (NASDAQ: RTB) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives, primarily centered around its innovative full-stack enterprise media platform operating under the brand "Roundtable."
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Expansion of its AI/DeFi/Web3 Media Platform: RTB Digital is positioned as the sole full-stack enterprise media platform integrating artificial intelligence (AI), decentralized finance (DeFi), and Web3 infrastructure. This platform is designed to transform the $200 billion premium media industry by offering solutions for AI-driven intellectual property management and security, Web3 publishing, and real-time DeFi payment and reporting. The platform is already active, generating revenue for major clients such as Yahoo and TheStreet. The company aims to expand its reach by forming more platform partnerships with leading media companies globally.
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Strategic Partnerships and Client Acquisition: A significant driver for future revenue growth is the company's ability to forge and expand strategic partnerships. RTB Digital has already secured a binding agreement with a major, undisclosed media company, which includes a non-refundable $10 million deposit, signaling strong market confidence in its technology. Additionally, the migration of top revenue-producing publishers from Sports Illustrated to the Roundtable platform, alongside existing partnerships with entities like TheHockeyNews and Arena, demonstrates a clear path for customer growth.
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Advancement and Adoption of "Web4" Technology: RTB Digital is at the forefront of technological innovation, promoting a "Web4" vision that entails a deeper integration of autonomous AI systems with decentralized finance. This advanced "DeWeb" technology aims to streamline payment processing and reporting, providing real-time transparency and eliminating the delays and opaque fees common in digital advertising. The continuous development and successful implementation of these cutting-edge technologies are expected to attract a broader client base seeking efficient and transparent media operations, thereby boosting revenue.
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Enhanced Monetization and Operational Efficiency for Media Clients: The Roundtable platform offers comprehensive tools that enable media companies to better monetize their content. These include features for decentralized publishing, data encryption and IP protection, syndication, revenue optimization, and AI-based business intelligence for improved management and operations. By providing a unified system that replaces fragmented legacy technologies, RTB Digital helps clients gain real-time access to earnings and automate operational costs, directly contributing to the company's revenue growth through increased adoption and utilization of its services.
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Share Repurchases
- GreenBox POS repurchased approximately 800,000 shares in the second half of 2021.
- On January 6, 2022, GreenBox POS's board of directors approved a $10 million increase in funds allocated for the immediate repurchase of common shares.
- By March 31, 2022, an additional $10 million was approved for the company's accelerated share repurchase program.
Share Issuance
- In February 2021, GreenBox POS completed a public offering that raised $50.1 million from the sale of 4,772,500 shares at $10.50 each, which included the full exercise of the underwriter's over-allotment option.
- By March 31, 2022, the company secured $100 million in convertible debt financing to bolster its balance sheet and acquire growth capital.
Inbound Investments
- In November 2021, GreenBox POS closed a $100 million convertible note financing. These funds were earmarked for acquisitions, a planned stablecoin spin-off, and additional working capital to support future growth.
Outbound Investments
- On January 25, 2021, GreenBox POS announced a non-binding Memorandum of Understanding to acquire ChargeSavvy LLC for $31.2 million, to be paid in restricted shares of the company's common stock.
- On July 15, 2021, GreenBox POS announced the spin-off of its stablecoin platform, which included granting shareholders rights to common stock in the new Coin Platform as a special dividend.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 19.28 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.1 |
| Rev LTM | 3,771 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,013 |
| FCF LTM | 1,345 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 882 |
| CFO LTM | 1,390 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 924 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 35.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 13.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.2% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -76.8% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 27.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -2.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.4% |
Price Behavior
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 6.05 | -0.50 | 0.66 | -3.32 | 0.60 | -6.43 |
| Up Beta | 14.42 | -7.39 | -0.72 | 2.85 | 19.75 | -4.44 |
| Down Beta | 8.13 | -16.11 | 5.17 | 5.15 | -6.44 | 2.88 |
| Up Capture | 1700% | 465% | 226% | 139% | 61% | 6% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| Down Capture | -435% | -129% | -114% | -48% | -32% | -17% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RTB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RTB | 168.8% | 225.5% | 3.96 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 43.1% | 24.2% | 1.42 | 21.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.2% | 12.5% | 1.26 | 29.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.9% | 27.8% | 0.70 | 25.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 25.0% | 18.7% | 1.06 | 8.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.7% | 13.9% | 0.62 | -13.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -41.4% | 42.8% | -1.13 | 35.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RTB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RTB | 21.8% | 225.5% | 3.96 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 20.6% | 25.5% | 0.72 | 21.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.2% | 17.1% | 0.60 | 29.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.8% | 18.3% | 0.79 | 25.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.8% | 19.5% | 0.30 | 8.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.8% | 18.9% | 0.05 | -13.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.1% | 53.5% | 0.41 | 35.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RTB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RTB | 10.4% | 225.5% | 3.96 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 25.5% | 24.7% | 0.93 | 21.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.9% | 17.9% | 0.76 | 29.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.5% | 16.1% | 0.58 | 25.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.4% | 18.0% | 0.28 | 8.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.22 | -13.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.0% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 35.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/5/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 01/15/2026 | S-4 |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 01/15/2026 | S-4 |
Insider Activity
Updated 5/21/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S8, Global Fintech & Regtech Fund | Direct | Buy | 7172025 | 0.36 | 200,000 | 71,180 | 1,282,964 | Form | |
| 2 | S8, Global Fintech & Regtech Fund | Direct | Sell | 7032025 | 0.83 | 100,000 | 82,740 | 2,817,169 | Form | |
| 3 | S8, Global Fintech & Regtech Fund | Direct | Buy | 7012025 | 0.80 | 14,491 | 11,590 | 2,803,175 | Form | |
| 4 | S8, Global Fintech & Regtech Fund | Direct | Buy | 7012025 | 0.79 | 100,000 | 79,460 | 2,773,435 | Form | |
| 5 | S8, Global Fintech & Regtech Fund | Direct | Buy | 6272025 | 0.88 | 100,000 | 87,990 | 2,983,172 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S8, Global Fintech & Regtech Fund | Direct | Buy | 7172025 | 0.36 | 200,000 | 71,180 | 1,282,964 | Form | |
| 2 | S8, Global Fintech & Regtech Fund | Direct | Sell | 7032025 | 0.83 | 100,000 | 82,740 | 2,817,169 | Form | |
| 3 | S8, Global Fintech & Regtech Fund | Direct | Buy | 7012025 | 0.80 | 14,491 | 11,590 | 2,803,175 | Form | |
| 4 | S8, Global Fintech & Regtech Fund | Direct | Buy | 7012025 | 0.79 | 100,000 | 79,460 | 2,773,435 | Form | |
| 5 | S8, Global Fintech & Regtech Fund | Direct | Buy | 6272025 | 0.88 | 100,000 | 87,990 | 2,983,172 | Form | |
| 6 | S8, Global Fintech & Regtech Fund | Direct | Buy | 6272025 | 0.77 | 3,354 | 2,583 | 2,533,573 | Form | |
| 7 | S8, Global Fintech & Regtech Fund | Direct | Buy | 6242025 | 0.80 | 100,000 | 80,310 | 2,639,790 | Form | |
| 8 | S8, Global Fintech & Regtech Fund | Direct | Buy | 6242025 | 0.75 | 100,000 | 75,090 | 2,393,118 | Form | |
| 9 | Laniado, Ezra | Direct | Sell | 6062025 | 0.95 | 621 | 590 | 1,627 | Form | |
| 10 | Laniado, Ezra | Direct | Sell | 6062025 | 0.39 | 15,000 | 5,823 | 906 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Information Technology Resources |
| TechCrunch |
| Wired |
| CIO |
| MIT Technology Review |
| Gartner Insights |
| Ars Technica |
| Application Software Resources |
| Capterra |
| Software Advice |
| InfoWorld |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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