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Remitly Global (RELY)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $14.46 | Market Cap: $3.0 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Remitly Global (RELY)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $14.46
Market Cap: $3.0 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -31%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 93x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 161x
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
  Key risks
RELY key risks include [1] its business model's reliance on a global network of third-party payment providers and banks, Show more.
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29%
  
4 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.7%
  
5 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 50%
  
6 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29%
4 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.7%
5 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 50%
6 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments.
7 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -31%
8 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 93x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 161x
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5%
10 Key risks
RELY key risks include [1] its business model's reliance on a global network of third-party payment providers and banks, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RELY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Missed Q3 2025 Earnings Per Share (EPS) Forecasts

Remitly Global reported an adjusted EPS of $0.04 for the third quarter of 2025, substantially missing the forecasted $0.18, which represented a 77.78% negative surprise. Although the company's revenue surpassed expectations, this significant earnings shortfall likely contributed to a decline in investor confidence during the period. 2. Downward Revision of Analyst Price Targets

Multiple financial analysts lowered their price targets for Remitly Global (RELY) shares. Notably, JMP Securities decreased its price target from $32 to $23 on September 15, 2025, and Goldman Sachs reduced its target from $26 to $21 on October 13, 2025. These revisions from the analyst community signaled a more cautious outlook for the stock's future performance. 3. Decelerating Revenue Growth Projections for 2026

During its Q3 2025 earnings call, Remitly Global indicated an anticipated revenue growth in the "high teens" for 2026. This projection, while positive, might have been perceived as a deceleration compared to the company's higher growth rates in previous periods (e.g., 25% revenue growth for Q3 2025), potentially tempering investor expectations for future expansion. 4. Concerns Regarding Competitive Pressures and Macroeconomic Uncertainties

Remitly acknowledged ongoing challenges such as potential for continued EPS volatility, intense competition within the digital remittance space, and broader economic uncertainties that could impact cross-border transaction volumes. These overarching concerns likely fostered investor apprehension about the company's operating environment. 5. Immigration Policy Concerns

Reports in November 2025 suggested that Remitly's stock experienced a pullback, partly due to concerns over a potential immigration crackdown. While the company's business showed growth, investor sentiment could have been negatively affected by the anticipation of external regulatory or policy shifts impacting the remittance market.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RELY Return-44%70%16%-38%
Peers Return-39%5%16%-7%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RELY Win Rate0%50%75%58%42% 
Peers Win Rate43%40%55%47%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RELY Max Drawdown-67%-4%-40%-46% 
Peers Max Drawdown-51%-24%-18%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PYPL, WU, EEFT, PAGS, PAYO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRELYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-85.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven604.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to GEN, PATH, S, CVLT, AGPU


In The Past

Remitly Global's stock fell -85.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/23/2021. A -85.8% loss requires a 604.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Remitly Global (RELY)

Better Bets than Remitly Global (RELY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RELY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%
RELY_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11072025RELYRemitly GlobalDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.8%13.8%-4.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%
RELY_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11072025RELYRemitly GlobalDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.8%13.8%-4.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Remitly Global

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RELYPYPLWUEEFTPAGSPAYOMedian
NameRemitly .PayPal Western .Euronet .PagSegur.Payoneer. 
Mkt Price14.4660.189.6576.909.345.9012.05
Mkt Cap3.057.23.13.12.92.23.0
Rev LTM1,54532,8624,1004,18319,5218034,142
Op Inc LTM356,2967505527,065-112651
FCF LTM1935,5654033342,803152368
FCF 3Y Avg585,265406576600126491
CFO LTM2316,4265424625,034224502
CFO 3Y Avg785,9725526862,726185619

Growth & Margins

RELYPYPLWUEEFTPAGSPAYOMedian
NameRemitly .PayPal Western .Euronet .PagSegur.Payoneer. 
Rev Chg LTM31.3%4.5%-2.5%7.2%10.9%18.3%9.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg37.4%6.7%-4.2%8.2%10.6%11.7%9.4%
Rev Chg Q24.7%7.3%-0.3%4.2%4.5%15.4%5.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.7%1.8%-0.1%1.1%1.1%3.6%1.4%
Op Mgn LTM2.3%19.2%18.3%13.2%36.2%-13.9%15.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-5.2%17.9%17.8%12.3%34.5%-19.2%15.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.7%0.1%0.9%0.2%1.6%1.4%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM15.0%19.6%13.2%11.1%25.8%27.9%17.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.1%19.0%13.0%17.9%15.6%26.9%16.8%
FCF/Rev LTM12.5%16.9%9.8%8.0%14.4%18.9%13.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.5%16.8%9.6%15.1%3.4%18.4%12.3%

Valuation

RELYPYPLWUEEFTPAGSPAYOMedian
NameRemitly .PayPal Western .Euronet .PagSegur.Payoneer. 
Mkt Cap3.057.23.13.12.92.23.0
P/S2.21.90.60.80.12.81.4
P/EBIT92.89.83.46.8-350.39.8
P/E160.813.03.311.71.330.812.3
P/CFO14.69.94.77.70.69.98.8
Total Yield0.6%7.7%42.2%8.6%82.6%3.2%8.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%12.2%0.0%6.7%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.3%7.5%11.3%14.5%-5.4%7.5%
D/E0.00.21.00.7-0.00.2
Net D/E-0.10.0-0.10.1--0.2-0.1

Returns

RELYPYPLWUEEFTPAGSPAYOMedian
NameRemitly .PayPal Western .Euronet .PagSegur.Payoneer. 
1M Rtn14.8%-2.8%8.4%8.7%-0.3%9.3%8.6%
3M Rtn-17.0%-12.1%15.7%-13.4%-11.1%-13.0%-12.5%
6M Rtn-29.6%-12.0%17.6%-23.1%3.7%-9.6%-10.8%
12M Rtn-33.4%-33.6%-4.2%-27.7%44.0%-42.6%-30.6%
3Y Rtn50.9%-12.9%-7.9%-14.8%26.6%12.2%2.2%
1M Excs Rtn14.0%-3.5%7.7%8.0%-1.1%8.5%7.8%
3M Excs Rtn-17.8%-13.3%16.3%-15.2%-12.4%-12.5%-12.9%
6M Excs Rtn-41.9%-24.4%5.2%-35.5%-8.6%-22.0%-23.2%
12M Excs Rtn-41.4%-44.8%-11.9%-36.7%27.2%-53.7%-39.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-31.1%-86.7%-80.3%-83.9%-57.6%-64.9%-72.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment944654459257
Total944654459257


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11,070,030
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-0.4%
Average Daily Volume3,421,379
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.24
Basic Shares Quantity207,150,067
Short % of Basic Shares5.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-25.1%-25.8%-17.8%
8/6/202515.1%21.3%18.3%
5/7/202514.6%9.7%2.1%
2/19/2025-0.5%-8.0%-20.6%
10/30/202417.8%29.3%34.7%
7/31/20244.0%0.4%4.1%
5/1/2024-12.2%-15.3%-25.9%
2/21/202418.0%18.2%21.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive9910
# Negative887
Median Positive15.1%18.2%14.7%
Median Negative-13.9%-20.2%-21.4%
Max Positive22.2%29.3%42.1%
Max Negative-31.9%-29.1%-45.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021329202210-K 12/31/2021