Tearsheet

Quad/Graphics (QUAD)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $6.48 | Market Cap: $307.8 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Diversified Support Services

Quad/Graphics (QUAD)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $6.48
Market Cap: $307.8 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Diversified Support Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.1%, FCF Yield is 20%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -11%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 177%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Advertising, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13%
2   Key risks
QUAD key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on declining traditional print services despite a strategic transformation and [2] a notable debt load that creates significant interest rate exposure.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.1%, FCF Yield is 20%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Advertising, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -11%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 177%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13%
5 Key risks
QUAD key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on declining traditional print services despite a strategic transformation and [2] a notable debt load that creates significant interest rate exposure.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

QUAD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the period from August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025, the -1.5% movement in Quad/Graphics (QUAD) stock can be attributed to several key factors.

1. Decline in Net Sales: Quad/Graphics reported a 13% decrease in net sales for the third quarter of 2025 compared to the third quarter of 2024. Excluding the divestiture of its European operations, net sales still declined by 7%. This was primarily driven by lower paper sales, reduced print volumes, and decreased sales from logistics and agency solutions.

2. Reduced Adjusted EBITDA: The company's Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter of 2025 was $53 million, a decline from $59 million in the same period of the prior year. This reduction was mainly a consequence of lower sales and increased investments in new offerings, despite some offsetting benefits from cost reduction initiatives and improved manufacturing productivity.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
QUAD Return-15%5%2%33%35%-1%59%
Peers Return-28%3%-29%76%4%2%0%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
QUAD Win Rate50%50%58%42%58%33% 
Peers Win Rate42%56%33%58%47%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
QUAD Max Drawdown-54%-22%-45%-33%-20%-31% 
Peers Max Drawdown-53%-8%-45%-12%-12%-34% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DLX, CMPR, EBF.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventQUADS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-69.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven227.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven756 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-66.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven196.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven313 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-88.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven734.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to TRI, CBZ, CTAS, CPRT, LDOS


In The Past

Quad/Graphics's stock fell -69.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -69.4% loss requires a 227.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Quad/Graphics (QUAD)

Better Bets than Quad/Graphics (QUAD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to QUAD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Quad/Graphics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

QUADDLXCMPREBFMedian
NameQuad/Gra.Deluxe Cimpress Ennis  
Mkt Price6.4722.4372.9918.0720.25
Mkt Cap0.31.01.80.50.7
Rev LTM2,4982,1193,4613882,308
Op Inc LTM12225824251182
FCF LTM611321544496
FCF 3Y Avg731101455492
CFO LTM10922931949169
CFO 3Y Avg13221027659171

Growth & Margins

QUADDLXCMPREBFMedian
NameQuad/Gra.Deluxe Cimpress Ennis  
Rev Chg LTM-9.2%-0.9%3.6%-3.9%-2.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-7.8%-1.9%5.7%-2.6%-2.3%
Rev Chg Q-12.9%2.2%7.2%-0.4%0.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.4%0.6%1.7%-0.1%0.2%
Op Mgn LTM4.9%12.2%7.0%13.0%9.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.2%10.6%6.5%13.1%8.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%1.1%0.2%-0.2%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM4.4%10.8%9.2%12.7%10.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.7%9.7%8.3%14.6%9.0%
FCF/Rev LTM2.4%6.2%4.4%11.4%5.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.6%5.1%4.3%13.1%4.7%

Valuation

QUADDLXCMPREBFMedian
NameQuad/Gra.Deluxe Cimpress Ennis  
Mkt Cap0.31.01.80.50.7
P/S0.10.50.51.20.5
P/EBIT3.94.27.69.25.9
P/E14.912.251.011.013.6
P/CFO2.84.45.69.45.0
Total Yield10.2%13.7%2.0%28.9%12.0%
Dividend Yield3.5%5.5%0.0%19.8%4.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg28.9%12.9%8.0%9.7%11.3%
D/E1.81.51.00.01.2
Net D/E1.81.50.8-0.01.2

Returns

QUADDLXCMPREBFMedian
NameQuad/Gra.Deluxe Cimpress Ennis  
1M Rtn24.9%20.4%8.2%8.6%14.5%
3M Rtn-0.2%17.2%17.1%1.1%9.1%
6M Rtn23.8%56.4%70.1%1.9%40.1%
12M Rtn-11.3%6.9%-1.0%-9.4%-5.2%
3Y Rtn116.5%63.5%192.9%4.3%90.0%
1M Excs Rtn22.0%17.5%5.3%5.7%11.6%
3M Excs Rtn-4.2%15.0%13.5%-3.5%5.0%
6M Excs Rtn8.6%39.4%53.7%-15.7%24.0%
12M Excs Rtn-27.9%-10.0%-20.0%-23.4%-21.7%
3Y Excs Rtn34.8%-18.8%92.9%-70.6%8.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Catalog, publications, retail inserts and directories1,6521,7591,6001,6322,316
Direct mail and other printed products673759638592765
Marketing services and medical services353359348  
Logistics services270330365374446
Other8119517
Imaging and other services   326379
Total2,9583,2172,9602,9303,923


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,878,745
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-1.8%
Average Daily Volume194,214
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.67
Basic Shares Quantity47,500,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/2025-12.4%-9.1%-5.0%
7/29/2025-12.6%14.8%11.9%
4/29/2025-7.9%3.3%16.2%
2/18/202510.8%-10.8%-17.5%
10/29/202411.1%22.7%24.2%
7/30/2024-18.4%-18.6%-15.1%
4/30/20240.9%0.4%3.5%
2/20/2024-9.3%-5.2%-20.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101211
# Negative141213
Median Positive7.2%15.6%16.2%
Median Negative-11.8%-13.3%-15.1%
Max Positive17.8%37.6%60.6%
Max Negative-23.5%-35.4%-36.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021