Tearsheet

QuantumScape (QS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.61 | Market Cap: $7.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

QuantumScape (QS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.61
Market Cap: $7.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more.
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -491 Mil
2  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 192%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 148%
3  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10%
4  High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 104%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more.
2 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -491 Mil
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 192%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 148%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 104%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

QS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for QuantumScape (QS) during the approximate period leading up to December 4, 2025: 1. Positive Q4 2024 Business and Financial Results and 2025 Outlook. QuantumScape released its fourth-quarter 2024 business and financial results on February 12, 2025, highlighting the achievement of its four key goals for 2024. These included the shipment of Alpha-2 samples with advanced packaging and high-loading cathodes, the ramping of the Raptor process, and the initiation of low-volume B0 sample production of QSE-5 cells, which demonstrated industry-leading performance. The company also set forward 2025 goals, including shipping initial volumes of QSE-5 B1 cells for a demonstration phase with a prospective customer.

2. Strategic Partnership with PowerCo and Significant Prepayment. The company announced a significant industrialization partnership with PowerCo, Volkswagen Group's battery manufacturing company, aimed at scaling the QSE-5 technology platform for electric vehicles. This collaboration includes knowledge-sharing and a substantial $130 million prepayment for licensing rights, contingent on technical progress, signaling strong validation and financial commitment from a major automotive player.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
QS Return--74%-74%23%-25%134%-86%
Peers Return197%16%-23%15%-8%18%227%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
QS Win Rate75%33%25%50%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate62%58%37%48%47%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
QS Max Drawdown--77%-77%-10%-32%-33% 
Peers Max Drawdown-42%-21%-44%-25%-40%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TSLA, EMR, ALB, FLUX, APTV. See QS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventQSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-94.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1559.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven94.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven28 days148 days

Compare to TSLA, EMR, ALB, FLUX, APTV


In The Past

QuantumScape's stock fell -94.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/1/2021. A -94.0% loss requires a 1559.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About QuantumScape (QS)

Better Bets than QuantumScape (QS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to QS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for QuantumScape

Peers to compare with:

Financials

QSTSLAEMRALBFLUXAPTVMedian
NameQuantumS.Tesla Emerson .AlbemarleFlux Pow.Aptiv  
Mkt Price12.41446.74134.89126.491.6478.09102.29
Mkt Cap7.31,441.675.814.90.017.015.9
Rev LTM095,63317,7794,9466619,79411,363
Op Inc LTM-4914,8683,33919-52,0891,054
FCF LTM-2806,8342,741121-01,657889
FCF 3Y Avg-3244,7192,043-281-31,341669
CFO LTM-24515,7483,17290412,3421,623
CFO 3Y Avg-25514,1302,4251,291-32,1651,728

Growth & Margins

QSTSLAEMRALBFLUXAPTVMedian
NameQuantumS.Tesla Emerson .AlbemarleFlux Pow.Aptiv  
Rev Chg LTM--1.6%4.8%-23.9%9.2%-1.0%-1.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-9.3%24.9%6.2%19.3%7.7%9.3%
Rev Chg Q-11.6%3.9%-3.5%25.1%3.1%3.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.1%1.0%-0.9%5.3%0.8%1.0%
Op Mgn LTM-5.1%18.8%0.4%-7.6%10.6%5.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-8.3%17.5%-1.3%-9.4%9.8%8.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--1.1%0.5%5.0%2.1%0.1%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-16.5%17.8%18.3%0.9%11.8%16.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-14.7%14.7%17.1%-4.1%11.0%14.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-7.1%15.4%2.4%-0.1%8.4%7.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-4.9%12.4%-4.9%-5.4%6.8%4.9%

Valuation

QSTSLAEMRALBFLUXAPTVMedian
NameQuantumS.Tesla Emerson .AlbemarleFlux Pow.Aptiv  
Mkt Cap7.31,441.675.814.90.017.015.9
P/S-15.04.21.90.40.91.9
P/EBIT-16.2205.923.32,260.0-5.19.616.5
P/E-16.1282.628.3-451.0-3.818.57.4
P/CFO-29.691.123.610.641.68.017.1
Total Yield-6.2%0.4%3.9%1.8%-26.3%5.4%1.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.4%2.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.9%0.5%3.3%-3.1%-5.9%6.5%-1.3%
D/E0.00.00.20.40.60.40.3
Net D/E-0.1-0.00.20.20.60.40.2

Returns

QSTSLAEMRALBFLUXAPTVMedian
NameQuantumS.Tesla Emerson .AlbemarleFlux Pow.Aptiv  
1M Rtn-23.4%-4.6%-3.3%31.0%-38.3%-4.5%-4.6%
3M Rtn59.5%33.7%4.6%58.8%3.1%-1.9%19.2%
6M Rtn192.0%34.5%11.8%114.4%5.8%18.5%26.5%
12M Rtn147.7%27.1%2.8%18.5%-5.2%40.2%22.8%
3Y Rtn64.4%129.3%47.8%-53.5%-68.8%-24.7%11.5%
1M Excs Rtn-23.4%-4.6%-3.2%31.1%-38.3%-4.5%-4.5%
3M Excs Rtn56.9%26.6%-3.6%55.1%4.7%-8.3%15.7%
6M Excs Rtn177.3%19.8%-2.9%99.7%-8.9%3.8%11.8%
12M Excs Rtn123.7%15.9%-10.1%6.4%-27.2%27.1%11.2%
3Y Excs Rtn14.4%71.4%-20.9%-123.2%-133.7%-96.3%-58.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment1,5021,4751,7161,067172
Total1,5021,4751,7161,067172


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity53,772,162
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202516.8%
Average Daily Volume35,904,396
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.50
Basic Shares Quantity588,728,000
Short % of Basic Shares9.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251024202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025725202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025425202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241025202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024726202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022502202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021