Tearsheet

SES AI (SES)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $1.79 | Market Cap: $593.8 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

SES AI (SES)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $1.79
Market Cap: $593.8 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -35%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -63%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -134%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -110 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -965%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -93%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 55x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, and EV Manufacturing.
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 121%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 601%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -604%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -635%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -20%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 188%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -35%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -93%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, and EV Manufacturing.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -63%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -134%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -110 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -965%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 55x
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 121%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 601%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -604%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -635%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -20%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 188%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

SES Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

SES AI (symbol: SES) experienced a 45.4% stock movement between approximately July 31, 2025, and November 18, 2025, driven by several key developments:

1. SES AI regained compliance with the New York Stock Exchange's minimum price requirement in early August 2025. This removed the risk of delisting, a significant positive for investor confidence as the stock price rose above the $1.00 threshold for the 30-trading day period ending July 31, 2025.

2. The company announced and completed the acquisition of UZ Energy. An agreement to acquire UZ Energy was announced in late July 2025, and the acquisition officially closed on September 18, 2025. This strategic move was aimed at expanding SES AI's market share in the global energy storage systems (ESS) market, particularly targeting data centers.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SES Return---68%-42%20%-14%-81%
Peers Return23%0%-4%14%-27%-29%-30%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SES Win Rate-44%50%42%17%50% 
Peers Win Rate37%30%27%30%38%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SES Max Drawdown---68%-56%-85%-82% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-9%-23%-7%-40%-50% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PATK, VC, CVGI, CREV, INEO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSESS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-87.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven707.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to PATK, VC, CVGI, CREV, INEO


In The Past

SES AI's stock fell -87.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -87.6% loss requires a 707.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About SES AI (SES)

Better Bets than SES AI (SES)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SES. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.8%-7.8%-7.8%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-1.0%-1.0%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-4.3%-4.3%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.8%-7.8%-7.8%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-1.0%-1.0%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-4.3%-4.3%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for SES AI

Financials

SESPATKVCCVGICREVINEOMedian
NameSES AI Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Carbon R.INNEOVA  
Mkt Price1.8996.97100.081.502.660.772.27
Mkt Cap0.63.12.70.1--1.7
Rev LTM113,8733,759677--2,218
Op Inc LTM-110258341-4--127
FCF LTM-72183366-22--81
FCF 3Y Avg-7029025819--139
CFO LTM-69301495-10--146
CFO 3Y Avg-5837238437--205

Growth & Margins

SESPATKVCCVGICREVINEOMedian
NameSES AI Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Carbon R.INNEOVA  
Rev Chg LTM-6.1%-4.0%-13.8%---4.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--7.3%3.0%-11.0%---7.3%
Rev Chg Q-6.1%-6.4%-11.2%---6.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM45.0%1.5%-1.6%-3.1%---0.1%
Op Mgn LTM-965.1%6.7%9.1%-0.6%--3.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-7.2%7.9%2.3%--7.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM455.2%-0.3%0.1%-0.1%--0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-604.5%7.8%13.2%-1.4%--3.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-10.0%9.9%4.6%--9.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-635.0%4.7%9.7%-3.3%--0.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-7.9%6.7%2.2%--6.7%

Valuation

SESPATKVCCVGICREVINEOMedian
NameSES AI Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Carbon R.INNEOVA  
Mkt Cap0.63.12.70.1--1.7
P/S55.20.80.70.1--0.8
P/EBIT-5.713.47.4-17.9--0.8
P/E-6.326.18.8-1.3--3.8
P/CFO-9.110.45.5-5.3--0.1
Total Yield-15.9%5.5%11.3%-75.5%---5.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.7%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-17.1%13.3%8.0%-4.2%--1.9%
D/E0.00.50.22.6--0.3
Net D/E-0.40.5-0.11.7--0.2

Returns

SESPATKVCCVGICREVINEOMedian
NameSES AI Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Carbon R.INNEOVA  
1M Rtn-38.4%-0.7%-12.0%-4.7%-50.2%-6.0%-9.0%
3M Rtn68.7%-12.0%-17.0%-19.5%-39.5%-9.7%-14.5%
6M Rtn121.3%11.4%17.8%3.8%-25.1%-12.8%7.6%
12M Rtn600.5%15.1%9.4%-39.3%-11.0%-69.7%-0.8%
3Y Rtn-59.9%184.9%-32.1%-76.5%---46.0%
1M Excs Rtn-38.6%-0.8%-12.2%-4.9%-50.3%-6.1%-9.1%
3M Excs Rtn70.9%-17.8%-22.0%-22.3%-41.9%-12.1%-19.9%
6M Excs Rtn109.4%-0.5%5.9%-8.1%-37.0%-24.7%-4.3%
12M Excs Rtn526.6%0.2%-4.6%-53.1%-30.4%-83.8%-17.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-133.6%122.1%-99.2%-145.6%---116.4%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,220,505
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-48.1%
Average Daily Volume19,082,456
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity331,731,923
Short % of Basic Shares1.3%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-1.8%-0.4% 
7/28/202515.3%2.5%-1.7%
4/24/202518.5%3.6%9.5%
1/31/202512.4%24.8%-45.4%
10/31/2024-4.6%-19.2%-20.9%
7/29/2024-9.2%-23.6%-18.5%
2/26/202414.1%14.8%5.4%
11/7/20239.0%13.2%20.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive874
# Negative569
Median Positive13.6%13.2%7.4%
Median Negative-3.1%-11.8%-20.0%
Max Positive18.5%35.3%20.6%
Max Negative-9.2%-23.6%-45.4%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
123120201072022424B3 12/31/2020

Insider Activity

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