Tearsheet

SES AI (SES)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.13 | Market Cap: $706.6 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

SES AI (SES)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.13
Market Cap: $706.6 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -75%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -131%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -110 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -965%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -93%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 26x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, and EV Manufacturing.
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 106%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 450%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -604%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -635%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -38%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 186%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -75%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -93%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, and EV Manufacturing.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -131%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -110 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -965%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 26x
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 106%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 450%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -604%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -635%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -38%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 186%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SES Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the movement of SES AI (symbol: SES) stock between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025: 1. Strategic Acquisition of UZ Energy: The completion of SES AI's acquisition of UZ Energy for approximately $25.5 million was a significant catalyst, expanding the company's presence in the lucrative $300 billion Energy Storage Systems (ESS) market. This acquisition was highlighted multiple times as a driver for growth.

2. Launch of Molecular Universe 1.0 (MU-1) and Subscription Model: SES AI's announcement and subsequent launch of Molecular Universe 1.0, an advanced AI-powered software for battery material discovery, generated considerable investor interest. The company's plans to transition to a subscription-based business model for MU-1 were seen as a significant potential revenue stream and a way to enter new markets beyond batteries.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SES Return---68%-42%20%-16%-82%
Peers Return37%9%-19%15%-25%14%18%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SES Win Rate-44%50%42%17%50% 
Peers Win Rate63%53%38%47%35%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SES Max Drawdown---68%-56%-85%-82% 
Peers Max Drawdown-63%-9%-41%-14%-37%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PATK, VC, CVGI, APTV, MGA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSESS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-87.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven707.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to PATK, VC, CVGI, APTV, MGA


In The Past

SES AI's stock fell -87.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -87.6% loss requires a 707.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About SES AI (SES)

Better Bets than SES AI (SES)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SES. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for SES AI

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SESPATKVCCVGIAPTVMGAMedian
NameSES AI Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Aptiv Magna In. 
Mkt Price2.00108.33101.641.7278.0949.5063.80
Mkt Cap0.73.52.80.117.013.93.1
Rev LTM113,8733,75967719,79441,7903,816
Op Inc LTM-110258341-42,0891,988300
FCF LTM-72183366-221,6572,036275
FCF 3Y Avg-70290258191,3411,133274
CFO LTM-69301495-102,3423,526398
CFO 3Y Avg-58372384372,1653,218378

Growth & Margins

SESPATKVCCVGIAPTVMGAMedian
NameSES AI Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Aptiv Magna In. 
Rev Chg LTM-6.1%-4.0%-13.8%-1.0%-2.0%-2.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--7.3%3.0%-11.0%7.7%4.0%3.0%
Rev Chg Q-6.1%-6.4%-11.2%3.1%1.8%1.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM45.0%1.5%-1.6%-3.1%0.8%0.4%0.6%
Op Mgn LTM-965.1%6.7%9.1%-0.6%10.6%4.8%5.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-7.2%7.9%2.3%9.8%4.6%7.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM455.2%-0.3%0.1%-0.1%0.1%-0.0%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-604.5%7.8%13.2%-1.4%11.8%8.4%8.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-10.0%9.9%4.6%11.0%7.6%9.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-635.0%4.7%9.7%-3.3%8.4%4.9%4.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-7.9%6.7%2.2%6.8%2.7%6.7%

Valuation

SESPATKVCCVGIAPTVMGAMedian
NameSES AI Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Aptiv Magna In. 
Mkt Cap0.73.52.80.117.013.93.1
P/S25.90.90.90.10.90.30.9
P/EBIT-2.714.38.8-19.89.67.18.0
P/E-3.027.810.6-1.518.512.911.8
P/CFO-4.311.16.6-5.88.03.85.2
Total Yield-33.9%5.2%9.4%-68.2%5.4%11.8%5.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%4.1%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-17.1%13.3%8.0%-4.2%6.5%8.6%7.2%
D/E0.00.50.12.30.40.60.5
Net D/E-0.70.5-0.11.50.40.50.4

Returns

SESPATKVCCVGIAPTVMGAMedian
NameSES AI Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Aptiv Magna In. 
1M Rtn-11.9%5.8%-4.7%8.2%-4.5%1.5%-1.5%
3M Rtn88.7%-2.8%-16.9%3.0%-1.9%11.1%0.5%
6M Rtn105.7%25.7%23.4%22.9%18.5%39.5%24.6%
12M Rtn449.8%23.2%7.4%-28.3%40.2%13.8%18.5%
3Y Rtn-59.4%198.4%-31.8%-76.5%-24.7%-8.8%-28.3%
1M Excs Rtn-11.9%5.9%-4.7%8.2%-4.5%1.5%-1.5%
3M Excs Rtn85.1%-10.0%-24.1%-2.4%-8.3%4.9%-5.3%
6M Excs Rtn91.0%11.0%8.7%8.1%3.8%24.7%9.8%
12M Excs Rtn457.6%9.4%-4.1%-42.2%27.1%1.4%5.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-131.5%143.7%-101.4%-146.0%-96.3%-79.2%-98.8%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,228,978
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120250.2%
Average Daily Volume11,631,189
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity331,731,923
Short % of Basic Shares1.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
123120201072022424B3 12/31/2020