SES AI (SES)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $1.79 | Market Cap: $593.8 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
SES AI (SES)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $1.79Market Cap: $593.8 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -35% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -63%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -134% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -110 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -965% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -93% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 55x | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, and EV Manufacturing. | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 121%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 601% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -604%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -635% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -20% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 188% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -35% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -93% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, and EV Manufacturing. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -63%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -134% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -110 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -965% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 55x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 121%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 601% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -604%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -635% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -20% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 188% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
SES Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
SES AI (symbol: SES) experienced a 45.4% stock movement between approximately July 31, 2025, and November 18, 2025, driven by several key developments:
1. SES AI regained compliance with the New York Stock Exchange's minimum price requirement in early August 2025. This removed the risk of delisting, a significant positive for investor confidence as the stock price rose above the $1.00 threshold for the 30-trading day period ending July 31, 2025.
2. The company announced and completed the acquisition of UZ Energy. An agreement to acquire UZ Energy was announced in late July 2025, and the acquisition officially closed on September 18, 2025. This strategic move was aimed at expanding SES AI's market share in the global energy storage systems (ESS) market, particularly targeting data centers.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SES Return | - | - | -68% | -42% | 20% | -14% | -81% |
| Peers Return | 23% | 0% | -4% | 14% | -27% | -29% | -30% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SES Win Rate | - | 44% | 50% | 42% | 17% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 37% | 30% | 27% | 30% | 38% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SES Max Drawdown | - | - | -68% | -56% | -85% | -82% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -39% | -9% | -23% | -7% | -40% | -50% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PATK, VC, CVGI, CREV, INEO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SES | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -87.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 707.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to PATK, VC, CVGI, CREV, INEO
In The Past
SES AI's stock fell -87.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -87.6% loss requires a 707.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Can SES AI Stock Recover If Markets Fall? | Return | |
| Day 7 of Gains Streak for SES AI Stock with 91% Return (vs. 53% YTD) [10/13/2025] | Notification | |
| Day 6 of Gains Streak for SES AI Stock with 73% Return (vs. 38% YTD) [10/10/2025] | Notification |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SES. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.8% | -7.8% | -7.8% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -1.0% | -1.0% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -4.3% | -4.3% | -5.9% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -6.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.8% | -7.8% | -7.8% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -1.0% | -1.0% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -4.3% | -4.3% | -5.9% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -6.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for SES AI
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 2.27 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.7 |
| Rev LTM | 2,218 |
| Op Inc LTM | 127 |
| FCF LTM | 81 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 139 |
| CFO LTM | 146 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 205 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -4.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -7.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | -6.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 0.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.7 |
| P/S | 0.8 |
| P/EBIT | 0.8 |
| P/E | 3.8 |
| P/CFO | 0.1 |
| Total Yield | -5.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.9% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -9.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -14.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 7.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -0.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | -46.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -9.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -19.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -4.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -17.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -116.4% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | -1.8% | -0.4% | |
| 7/28/2025 | 15.3% | 2.5% | -1.7% |
| 4/24/2025 | 18.5% | 3.6% | 9.5% |
| 1/31/2025 | 12.4% | 24.8% | -45.4% |
| 10/31/2024 | -4.6% | -19.2% | -20.9% |
| 7/29/2024 | -9.2% | -23.6% | -18.5% |
| 2/26/2024 | 14.1% | 14.8% | 5.4% |
| 11/7/2023 | 9.0% | 13.2% | 20.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| # Negative | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 13.6% | 13.2% | 7.4% |
| Median Negative | -3.1% | -11.8% | -20.0% |
| Max Positive | 18.5% | 35.3% | 20.6% |
| Max Negative | -9.2% | -23.6% | -45.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7302024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8122022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312020 | 1072022 | 424B3 12/31/2020 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |