Qualcomm (QCOM)
Market Price (2/12/2026): $140.92 | Market Cap: $150.8 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
Qualcomm (QCOM)
Market Price (2/12/2026): $140.92Market Cap: $150.8 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, FCF Yield is 8.6% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -55% | Key risksQCOM key risks include [1] the development of in-house chips by key customers like Apple, Show more. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 27% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, CFO LTM is 14 Bil, FCF LTM is 13 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, FCF Yield is 8.6% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 27% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, CFO LTM is 14 Bil, FCF LTM is 13 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -55% |
| Key risksQCOM key risks include [1] the development of in-house chips by key customers like Apple, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Weaker-than-Expected Q2 Fiscal 2026 Guidance. Qualcomm's stock experienced a significant downturn after the company provided a disappointing outlook for its fiscal second quarter of 2026. Despite reporting solid first-quarter fiscal 2026 results that met or exceeded analyst expectations for revenue and adjusted earnings per share, the company's forward guidance for Q2 revenue and EPS fell substantially below consensus estimates, signaling potential demand challenges and dampening investor enthusiasm for near-term growth.
2. Global Memory Chip Shortage Impacting Handset Business. A primary driver for Qualcomm's conservative Q2 fiscal 2026 guidance was an industry-wide global memory chip shortage. This shortage, intensified by robust demand from AI data centers, led to increased pricing and constrained supply of memory components for smartphone manufacturers. As a result, Qualcomm's key customers (handset OEMs) reduced their production plans and channel inventory, directly impacting demand for Qualcomm's crucial handset chips.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -21.6% change in QCOM stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/11/2026 was primarily driven by a -55.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 179.98 | 141.04 | -21.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 43,257 | 44,867 | 3.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 26.8% | 12.0% | -55.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 17.0 | 28.1 | 65.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,092 | 1,070 | 2.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -21.6% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| QCOM | -21.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.5% | 61.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | -4.9% | 50.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -2.9% change in QCOM stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/11/2026 was primarily driven by a -55.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 145.19 | 141.04 | -2.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 43,257 | 44,867 | 3.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 26.8% | 12.0% | -55.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.7 | 28.1 | 105.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,092 | 1,070 | 2.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -2.9% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| QCOM | -2.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 59.3% |
| Sector (XLK) | 9.0% | 50.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -16.6% change in QCOM stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/11/2026 was primarily driven by a -54.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 169.14 | 141.04 | -16.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 38,961 | 44,867 | 15.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 26.0% | 12.0% | -54.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 18.6 | 28.1 | 51.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,116 | 1,070 | 4.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -16.6% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| QCOM | -16.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.0% | 72.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 24.5% | 70.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 13.3% change in QCOM stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 161.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 124.44 | 141.04 | 13.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 44,200 | 44,867 | 1.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 29.3% | 12.0% | -59.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.8 | 28.1 | 161.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,120 | 1,070 | 4.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 13.3% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| QCOM | 13.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 76.6% | 66.5% |
| Sector (XLK) | 114.6% | 69.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| QCOM Return | 22% | -39% | 35% | 8% | 14% | -18% | 2% |
| Peers Return | 52% | -35% | 114% | 43% | 49% | 11% | 405% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 85% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| QCOM Win Rate | 58% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 42% | 70% | 58% | 55% | 70% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 100% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| QCOM Max Drawdown | -19% | -42% | -6% | -6% | -18% | -20% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -45% | -5% | -20% | -27% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AVGO, NVDA, INTC, TXN, AMD. See QCOM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/11/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | QCOM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -45.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 82.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 559 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -36.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 57.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 132 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -34.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 78 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -48.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 93.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 812 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to AVGO, NVDA, INTC, TXN, AMD
In The Past
Qualcomm's stock fell -45.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/15/2021. A -45.1% loss requires a 82.2% gain to breakeven.
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About Qualcomm (QCOM)
AI Analysis | Feedback
- The Intel of the smartphone world.
- The Dolby Labs of mobile communication technology.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Snapdragon Processors: These are system-on-a-chip (SoC) platforms powering smartphones, tablets, PCs, XR devices, and other connected products.
- Qualcomm Technology Licensing (QTL): This segment licenses Qualcomm's extensive patent portfolio, primarily related to foundational cellular communication technologies, to manufacturers worldwide (categorized as: Intellectual Property Licensing).
- Automotive Platforms: Comprehensive solutions like the Snapdragon Digital Chassis, providing advanced features for in-car infotainment, telematics, and assisted driving systems.
- IoT Chipsets: Integrated circuits designed for a wide range of Internet of Things applications, including smart home devices, wearables, industrial automation, and retail solutions.
- RF Front-End (RFFE) Solutions: Modules and components that optimize radio performance for 5G and other wireless communication standards in mobile and IoT devices.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Qualcomm (QCOM) primarily sells its products and intellectual property to other companies (B2B), which then integrate Qualcomm's chipsets, modems, and other technologies into their end devices. Its major customers are global manufacturers of smartphones, automotive systems, IoT devices, and other connected products.
Here are some of its major customer companies:
- Apple Inc. (Symbol: AAPL) - A critical customer for modems and other components, particularly for its iPhone and iPad product lines, and also a licensee of Qualcomm's patent portfolio.
- Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. (Symbol: 005930.KS) - A major global smartphone manufacturer that widely uses Qualcomm's Snapdragon processors and modems in many of its flagship and mid-range devices across various regions.
- Xiaomi Corporation (Symbol: 1810.HK) - A leading Chinese smartphone manufacturer that heavily relies on Qualcomm's Snapdragon mobile platforms for a vast majority of its smartphone and other connected device offerings.
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- Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM)
- Samsung Electronics (SSNLF)
- GlobalFoundries (GFS)
- Amkor Technology (AMKR)
- ASE Technology Holding (ASX)
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Cristiano Amon, President and Chief Executive Officer
Cristiano Amon is a Brazilian electrical engineer who serves as the President and Chief Executive Officer of Qualcomm. He joined Qualcomm in 1995 as an engineer. Amon briefly left Qualcomm to work for Ericsson, VeloCom, and Vésper. While at Vésper, he served as Chief Technology Officer and Chief Operating Officer, where he played a crucial role in turning the struggling telecom company profitable, which subsequently led to its sale to Embratel in 2003. He rejoined Qualcomm in 2004 and has since held various leadership positions, including President of Qualcomm CDMA Technologies (QCT). He was appointed CEO in June 2021 and has been instrumental in shaping Qualcomm's 5G strategy and diversifying the company's business into areas such as automotive, computing, and virtual reality.
Akash Palkhiwala, Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer
Akash Palkhiwala serves as the Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer of Qualcomm. He joined Qualcomm in 2001, and prior to that, he worked as an Analyst at KeyBank and as a Private Equity Analyst at Key Principal Partners from 1999 to 2001. Throughout his tenure at Qualcomm, he has held several finance leadership roles, including Treasurer, Financial Planning & Analysis, and Corporate Development. Palkhiwala was appointed Chief Financial Officer in 2019 and took on the additional role of Chief Operating Officer in January 2024.
Dr. Baaziz Achour, Chief Technology Officer
Dr. Baaziz Achour is the Chief Technology Officer of Qualcomm Technologies, Inc. He began his career at Qualcomm as a Systems Engineer in 1993. Over his long tenure, Dr. Achour has held various leadership roles within the engineering organization, contributing significantly to the development of nearly every generation of wireless technology. He was a key member of the leadership team responsible for the accelerated launch of 5G and will now lead the evolution of cellular technology towards 6G. He was named Deputy Chief Technology Officer in 2023 and assumed the role of Chief Technology Officer effective February 3, 2025.
Ann Chaplin, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
Ann Chaplin is the General Counsel and Corporate Secretary of Qualcomm Incorporated, a position she assumed in November 2021. Before joining Qualcomm, Chaplin served as corporate secretary and deputy general counsel for General Motors (GM) for nearly six years. Prior to her time at GM, she was a partner at Fish & Richardson, where she managed the firm's litigation practice group with a focus on patent, trade secret, trademark, and copyright litigation.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to Qualcomm's business:1. Customer Concentration and In-house Chip Development
Qualcomm faces a significant risk due to its reliance on a few major customers, most notably Apple. Apple's ongoing initiatives to develop its own cellular modems pose a substantial threat to Qualcomm's high-margin Qualcomm Technology Licensing (QTL) revenue stream, as well as its overall sales. The current licensing agreement with Apple extends only until at least 2027, after which a substantial impact on revenue is anticipated if Apple fully transitions to its own modems. Apple is estimated to account for over 20% of Qualcomm's total sales, making this a critical area of concern. Other major customers, like Samsung, are also looking to reduce their dependence on Qualcomm's Snapdragon chipsets.2. Geopolitical and Regulatory Risks
Qualcomm's substantial dependence on the Chinese market, which accounted for 46% of its fiscal year 2024 revenue, exposes it to considerable geopolitical risks, including U.S.-China trade disputes, tariffs, and China's drive for semiconductor self-sufficiency. The company is currently under an antitrust probe launched by China's State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR) in October 2025, investigating suspected anti-monopoly violations, including its acquisition of Autotalks without proper notification. Additionally, Qualcomm is subject to antitrust investigations by the European Commission concerning alleged abusive behavior in selling baseband chips and potential predatory pricing. These regulatory challenges and geopolitical tensions could lead to significant fines or necessitate changes to Qualcomm's business practices.3. Intense Competition and Intellectual Property Disputes
The semiconductor industry in which Qualcomm operates is characterized by rapid technological change and fierce competition. Qualcomm faces strong rivals such as MediaTek and Samsung in the mobile chipset market, which can put pressure on pricing and market share. Furthermore, Qualcomm is engaged in an ongoing global legal battle with Arm Holdings over licensing practices, with allegations from Qualcomm that Arm is restricting access to its technology. These disputes and the continuous need for innovation against a backdrop of intense competition present ongoing challenges to Qualcomm's market position and profitability.AI Analysis | Feedback
There are clear emerging threats to Qualcomm (QCOM):
- Major customers developing in-house chip solutions: Key customers are increasingly designing their own system-on-chips (SoCs) and modems, directly competing with Qualcomm's core QCT (chip) business. An example is Google, which now uses its custom Tensor chips in its Pixel smartphones, displacing Qualcomm's Snapdragon in those devices. Similarly, Apple is actively developing its own 5G modems to replace Qualcomm's components in its iPhones, a move that would significantly impact Qualcomm's revenue from its most lucrative customer. This trend mirrors how Apple's in-house A-series chips displaced third-party suppliers and how Intel's Mac business was eventually replaced by Apple Silicon.
- The rise of the RISC-V architecture: The open-source RISC-V instruction set architecture is gaining significant traction across various computing segments, including embedded systems, IoT, and potentially more powerful edge devices. As an open standard, RISC-V allows companies to design highly customized and potentially lower-cost chips without relying on proprietary instruction set licenses (like ARM, which Qualcomm heavily leverages). This growing ecosystem could enable new competitors or customers to develop their own purpose-built chips, eroding Qualcomm's market share in specific areas, especially as it pushes into new markets like automotive and IoT beyond its traditional mobile stronghold.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Qualcomm (QCOM) operates in several significant addressable markets for its main products and services. The company projects its overall total addressable market (TAM) to expand to approximately $900 billion globally by 2030, driven by the proliferation of connectivity and an estimated 50 billion connected edge device shipments during this period.
Here's a breakdown of the addressable markets for Qualcomm's primary offerings:
- Automotive: The addressable market for chips in the automotive sector is estimated to exceed $100 billion globally by 2030. Qualcomm aims to achieve $8 billion in annual revenue from its automotive segment by fiscal year 2029.
- Internet of Things (IoT): The global IoT chipset market was valued at over $450 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $750 billion by 2032, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) exceeding 6.4% between 2024 and 2032. Qualcomm anticipates its IoT revenues to reach $14 billion by fiscal year 2029.
- PC (Personal Computers): Qualcomm is targeting $4 billion in revenue from PC applications by fiscal year 2029. The Snapdragon X compute platform is designed to address the PC market, specifically targeting devices in the $600 price range and above. In the first calendar quarter of 2025, Snapdragon-based PCs held approximately 9% share of Windows laptops priced above $600 in the U.S. and top five European countries.
- Extended Reality (XR - VR, MR, AR): Qualcomm expects to generate $2 billion in revenue from its XR business by fiscal year 2029.
- RF Front-End (RFFE): The global RFFE mobile handset market (including 3G and 4G) was approximately $13 billion in 2019 and was projected to grow to about $18 billion with 5G within three years (by 2022). The North America RF Front-End Chip Market was valued at $5,210.41 million in 2022 and is projected to reach $13,067.96 million by 2030, exhibiting a CAGR of approximately 12.2%. The automotive RF TAM is estimated to be $3 billion, based on 70% of cars being connected in 2024 and 5G RF content per car up to $30.
- 5G Technology (Chipsets and Infrastructure): The global 5G chipset market was valued at $33.08 billion in 2024 and is forecast to grow to $300.88 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 31.7% during the forecast period. The Asia Pacific region held the largest share (39.48%) of this market in 2024. The global 5G infrastructure market is anticipated to reach $43.50 billion in 2025 and $675.9 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 41.7% from 2025 to 2034. Overall, sales enabled by 5G technology are projected to reach $13.1 trillion globally by 2035.
- Wi-Fi (Chipsets and Connectivity): The global Wi-Fi market size is estimated at $18.48 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to $35.89 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 14.20%. The global Wi-Fi 6, Wi-Fi 6E, and Wi-Fi 7 chipset market was valued at $39.03 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $89.34 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 13.6% from 2025 to 2030. Annual shipments of Wi-Fi-enabled devices globally are expected to increase from 3.5 billion in 2022 to over 5.5 billion by 2028.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Qualcomm (QCOM) is strategically positioning itself for significant revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by its diversification efforts beyond its traditional smartphone market. Key drivers include expansion into the automotive and Internet of Things (IoT) sectors, a strong push into AI-enabled PCs, the emerging data center AI market, and continued advancements in premium-tier Android handsets.
- Automotive Sector Expansion: Qualcomm is heavily investing in the automotive market with its Snapdragon Digital Chassis platform, including autonomous driving technology like Snapdragon Ride Pilot. The company aims for its automotive revenues to reach $8 billion by fiscal year 2029. This segment has shown consistent growth, with automotive sales increasing by 17% year-over-year in a recent quarter.
- Growth in Internet of Things (IoT): The IoT segment, encompassing industrial automation, connected devices, and extended reality (XR), is another significant growth area. Qualcomm projects IoT revenues to expand to $14 billion by fiscal year 2029. This includes products for industrial, Wi-Fi 7 access points, 5G fixed wireless, and smart glasses.
- AI-enabled PCs: Qualcomm is targeting the burgeoning market for AI PCs with its Snapdragon X Series processors. The company expects its PC segment to generate $4 billion in revenues by fiscal year 2029, with approximately 150 designs anticipated to be commercialized through 2026.
- Data Center AI Solutions: Qualcomm is entering the data center market with new AI inference hardware, specifically the AI 200 and AI 250 chips, aimed at hyperscaler deployments. This initiative represents a potential multi-billion-dollar revenue opportunity within a few years, with commercial availability expected in 2026 and 2027.
- Advancements in Handset Content and Capabilities: While diversifying, Qualcomm continues to see growth in its core QCT handset business, particularly with the introduction of new flagship Android handset launches powered by Snapdragon platforms featuring advanced 5G and on-device AI capabilities. The company anticipates low-teens percentage sequential growth in QCT handset revenues.
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Share Repurchases
- Qualcomm announced a new $15 billion share repurchase authorization on November 6, 2024.
- A $10 billion stock repurchase authorization was approved in July 2021, in addition to $0.9 billion remaining from a previous program.
- The company executed $2.8 billion in share repurchases in Q3 2025 alone and over $1.74 billion in the first half of 2025.
Outbound Investments
- Qualcomm acquired Nuvia, a server CPU startup, for approximately $1.4 billion in March 2021.
- The company acquired the advanced driver-assistance systems and autonomous driving software brand Arriver in March 2022.
- Qualcomm completed the acquisition of Autotalks on June 5, 2025, for an undisclosed amount, and agreed to acquire Alphawave IP Group for $2.4 billion on June 9, 2025, to expand into data center and AI infrastructure markets.
Capital Expenditures
- Qualcomm's capital expenditures were $1.888 billion in fiscal year 2021, peaked at $2.262 billion in fiscal year 2022, and subsequently decreased to $1.450 billion in fiscal year 2023 and $1.041 billion in fiscal year 2024.
- Cash outflows for capital expenditures were $1.2 billion in fiscal year 2025.
- Capital expenditures are expected to increase from fiscal year 2025 in the near term, primarily to support the testing of integrated circuits, with a forecast of $1.114 billion for fiscal year 2026.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 201.81 |
| Mkt Cap | 290.8 |
| Rev LTM | 48,860 |
| Op Inc LTM | 9,172 |
| FCF LTM | 9,830 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,635 |
| CFO LTM | 12,044 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 11,473 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 18.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 19.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 31.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 31.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 36.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 35.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 24.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 290.8 |
| P/S | 10.8 |
| P/EBIT | 51.1 |
| P/E | 43.9 |
| P/CFO | 36.9 |
| Total Yield | 1.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 13.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 45.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 120.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 6.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 30.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 45.0% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualcomm Code Division Multiple Access (CDMA) Technologies (QCT) | 33,196 | 30,382 | 37,677 | 27,019 | 16,493 |
| Qualcomm Technology Licensing (QTL) | 5,572 | 5,306 | 6,358 | 6,320 | 5,028 |
| Nonreportable segments | 176 | ||||
| Qualcomm Strategic Initiatives (QSI) | 18 | 28 | 31 | 45 | 36 |
| Unallocated revenues | 0 | ||||
| Reconciling Items | 104 | 134 | 182 | 1,974 | |
| Total | 38,962 | 35,820 | 44,200 | 33,566 | 23,531 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $141.04 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 152.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/16/1991 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -24.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $165.44 | $159.72 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -14.7% | -11.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 32.1% | 39.6% |
| Downside Capture | 220.26 | 159.68 |
| Upside Capture | 79.35 | 119.06 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 60.1% | 73.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.41 | 1.54 | 1.64 | 1.83 | 1.47 | 1.57 |
| Up Beta | 3.67 | 2.75 | 1.07 | 2.17 | 1.49 | 1.51 |
| Down Beta | 1.48 | 1.66 | 1.96 | 2.35 | 1.59 | 1.45 |
| Up Capture | -62% | 50% | 100% | 136% | 133% | 426% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 6 | 19 | 28 | 64 | 130 | 398 |
| Down Capture | 232% | 186% | 200% | 153% | 127% | 111% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 14 | 22 | 33 | 61 | 121 | 354 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with QCOM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QCOM | -15.9% | 39.4% | -0.35 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 21.7% | 27.4% | 0.70 | 70.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 19.3% | 0.62 | 73.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 75.7% | 24.9% | 2.23 | 5.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.8% | 16.6% | 0.34 | 30.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.0% | 16.6% | 0.18 | 48.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -29.3% | 44.7% | -0.64 | 38.6% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with QCOM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QCOM | 1.2% | 38.0% | 0.13 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 17.0% | 24.7% | 0.62 | 75.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.9% | 17.0% | 0.65 | 70.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.9% | 16.9% | 1.10 | 10.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.4% | 18.9% | 0.49 | 16.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 18.8% | 0.18 | 40.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 13.3% | 57.9% | 0.45 | 27.5% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with QCOM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QCOM | 15.4% | 37.4% | 0.50 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 22.9% | 24.2% | 0.86 | 69.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.6% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 65.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.7% | 15.5% | 0.85 | 4.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 21.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.1% | 20.7% | 0.26 | 39.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.7% | 66.7% | 1.08 | 18.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | -3.6% | -1.7% | -2.0% |
| 7/30/2025 | -7.7% | -8.3% | 1.1% |
| 4/30/2025 | -8.9% | -2.8% | -2.2% |
| 2/5/2025 | -3.7% | -3.2% | -7.8% |
| 11/6/2024 | -0.0% | -7.3% | -7.3% |
| 7/31/2024 | -9.4% | -13.7% | -6.3% |
| 5/1/2024 | 9.7% | 10.0% | 24.8% |
| 1/31/2024 | -5.0% | -1.8% | 10.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| # Negative | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 9.7% | 10.2% | 15.0% |
| Median Negative | -4.9% | -3.0% | -6.8% |
| Max Positive | 15.2% | 19.7% | 27.9% |
| Max Negative | -9.4% | -13.7% | -19.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/04/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/06/2024 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 01/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/01/2023 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/02/2022 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/27/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palkhiwala, Akash J | EVP, CFO & COO | Direct | Sell | 1052026 | 173.30 | 3,333 | 577,620 | 6,747,045 | Form |
| 2 | Palkhiwala, Akash J | EVP, CFO & COO | Direct | Sell | 12192025 | 175.12 | 10,000 | 1,751,175 | 7,845,790 | Form |
| 3 | Palkhiwala, Akash J | EVP, CFO & COO | Direct | Sell | 12192025 | 175.95 | 2,538 | 446,561 | 7,436,522 | Form |
| 4 | Chaplin, Ann C | EVP, GenCounsel&CorpSecretary | Direct | Sell | 12172025 | 178.03 | 7,180 | 1,278,238 | 4,262,691 | Form |
| 5 | Rogers, Alexander H | EVP, Pres QTL & Global Affairs | Direct | Sell | 12172025 | 178.01 | 15,917 | 2,833,331 | 4,640,809 | Form |
QCOM Trade Sentinel
Core Investment Debate
Diversification Growth vs. Core Market Decay
BULL VIEW
The $45B+ automotive pipeline and IoT growth represent a successful pivot, justifying a higher multiple as handset cyclicality becomes less relevant.
CORE TENSION
Can high-growth Automotive/IoT segments scale fast enough to offset the mature, supply-constrained, and structurally threatened core Handset business?
PREVAILING SENTIMENT
Q2 FY26 revenue guidance of $10.2B - $11.0B missed consensus of $11.1B. Management attributed the miss to memory supply constraints impacting the core handset business.
BEAR VIEW
Diversification is too slow. Weak handset guidance, memory shortages, and major customers in-sourcing chips are overwhelming headwinds.
| Timeline | Event & Metric To Watch |
|---|---|
Late April 2026 | Q2 FY2026 Earnings Call Watch: Q3 Revenue Guidance and Handset segment commentary. Any mention of memory supply constraints easing is critical. |
March-April 2026 | Memory Manufacturer Earnings (e.g., Micron) Watch: Commentary on capital allocation between AI-focused HBM and consumer-focused DRAM memory chips. |
August 2026 | Samsung Next-Gen Smartphone Launch Watch: Chipset teardown reports revealing the % share of Snapdragon vs. Samsung's in-house Exynos chips. |
H2 2026 | ARM Litigation Pre-Trial Rulings Watch: Court rulings on the validity of Qualcomm's Nuvia architectural license for its next-gen CPUs. |
| Date | Event | Stock Impact |
|---|---|---|
9/24/2025 | Apple iPhone Launch Event Details: Apple launched its new iPhone lineup, which continued to use Qualcomm modems, confirming continued near-term revenue from its largest and most contentious customer. | Rose significantly by 2.4% $168.66 -> $172.66 |
10/27/2025 | Former Executive Sentenced in Fraud Case Details: A former executive was sentenced in a long-running fraud case against the company. The market reacted positively, viewing it as the end of an overhang. | Surged 11.1% $168.08 -> $186.72 |
11/5/2025 | Q4 FY2025 Earnings Report Details: Reported strong results for fiscal 2025, including 12% growth in the Handsets segment. Despite the beat, the stock declined on forward-looking concerns. | Fell notably by -3.6% $178.80 -> $172.31 |
12/10/2025 | Automotive Design Win Announcements Details: Qualcomm highlighted new design wins with major automakers including Volkswagen Group, Toyota, and Hyundai, reinforcing the automotive growth narrative. | Rose significantly by 3.5% $176.00 -> $182.21 |
1/6/2026 | Strategic Win: Bytedance AI Phone Launch Details: Bytedance launched a new AI smartphone powered by Snapdragon. This key design win in a high-growth area was viewed positively. | Rose significantly by 3.5% $176.31 -> $182.45 |
2/4/2026 | Q1 FY2026 Earnings & Guidance Details: Company beat Q1 estimates but provided weak Q2 guidance below consensus, citing global memory supply shortages impacting handset production. Stock reacted negatively. | Plummeted -8.5% $148.89 -> $136.30 |
Position Sizing
1%-3%
CONSERVATIVE
Stock is in an Explosive Volatility regime (3.2x S&P). This is combined with Bearish sentiment, Low near-term visibility, and a contested moat. This profile mandates a Conservative sizing to manage drawdown risk.
Diversification Alternatives
NXPI
SECTORUnlike QCOM, NXPI has high exposure to the secular Automotive/Industrial growth themes without the significant drag from the volatile and maturing consumer handset market.
AVGO
SECTORBroadcom offers best-in-class operational efficiency and a more diversified, infrastructure-focused business model across networking, software, and storage, making it less susceptible to consumer electronics cycles.
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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