Phoenix Education Partners (PXED)
Market Price (5/23/2026): $30.31 | Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Education Services
Phoenix Education Partners (PXED)
Market Price (5/23/2026): $30.31Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Education Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.9%, FCF Yield is 12% Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Education & Lifelong Learning. Themes include Online Learning Platforms, Education Technology Solutions, and Workforce Development & Upskilling. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -100% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.4% Key risksPXED key risks include [1] its history of significant regulatory sanctions and high dependence on federal funding, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.9%, FCF Yield is 12% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Education & Lifelong Learning. Themes include Online Learning Platforms, Education Technology Solutions, and Workforce Development & Upskilling. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -100% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.4% |
| Key risksPXED key risks include [1] its history of significant regulatory sanctions and high dependence on federal funding, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Mixed Financial Results with IPO-Related and One-Time Cost Pressures: Phoenix Education Partners reported mixed financial results in both Q1 and Q2 2026. While the company consistently beat adjusted earnings per share (EPS) estimates (Q1 2026 EPS of $1.38 beat estimates by $0.09; Q2 2026 adjusted EPS of $0.58 significantly surpassed estimates by $0.23), revenue slightly missed expectations in both quarters. A significant factor impacting reported GAAP net income was the substantial non-cash share-based compensation and other expenses totaling $39.2 million related to its 2025 Initial Public Offering (IPO), causing net income to decline year-over-year. Additionally, Q2 2026 results included $4.8 million in cybersecurity-incident expenses. This divergence between stronger adjusted performance and weaker GAAP profitability, largely due to one-time IPO costs and specific incidents, likely created investor uncertainty, preventing a clear upward or downward trend.
2. Significant Insider Selling Activity: Substantial insider selling activity was reported leading up to and during the initial part of the specified period. Three insiders, Martin H. Nesbitt, Adnan A. Nisar, and Holdings, LP TVG-I-E-AEG, each conducted two sales of 808,467 shares, totaling an estimated $24,189,332 per insider, within the six months prior to the Q1 2026 and Q2 2026 earnings reports. These large-scale sales, well exceeding the $5 million threshold, likely exerted downward pressure or capped any significant upward momentum in the stock price, as they signal a lack of strong conviction from company leadership regarding future appreciation.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -0.9% change in PXED stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 30.28 | 30.01 | -0.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | � | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | � | � | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | � | � | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 36 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PXED | -0.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.1% | 28.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | -1.4% | 31.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -17.6% change in PXED stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 36.42 | 30.01 | -17.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | � | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | � | � | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | � | � | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 36 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PXED | -17.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 24.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | -0.3% | 31.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PXED | ||
| Market (SPY) | 36.0% | 27.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | 21.8% | 32.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PXED | ||
| Market (SPY) | 86.3% | 27.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | 65.2% | 32.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PXED Return | - | - | - | - | -21% | -3% | -23% |
| Peers Return | -3% | -27% | 53% | 18% | -33% | -39% | -48% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PXED Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 0% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 35% | 44% | 50% | 52% | 35% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PXED Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -19% | -45% | -37% | -38% | -51% | -54% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: LOPE, FCHL, GV, DUOL, GHC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/22/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
PXED has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.
| Event | XLY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.9% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -11.2% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.6% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 37 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -13.6% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.8% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 42 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -35.9% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.0% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 874 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 82 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -19.6% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.4% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 98 days | 105 days |
In The Past
State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -21.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
PXED has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.
| Event | XLY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.9% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 79 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -35.9% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.0% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 874 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 82 days | 140 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -51.0% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 104.3% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 372 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -21.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Phoenix Education Partners (PXED)
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Phoenix Education Partners (PXED):
- It's the Carvana of accredited degrees for working adults, offering a fully online and career-focused university experience.
- Think of it as LinkedIn Learning for accredited degrees, providing comprehensive online higher education tailored for career advancement and employer partnerships.
- It's like the Amazon of online higher education for working professionals – a vast, digitally-driven platform providing flexible, career-aligned degrees and certificates.
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- Degree Programs: Comprehensive online higher education programs leading to Associate's, Bachelor's, Master's, and Doctoral degrees in various disciplines.
- Non-Degree Certificate Programs: Shorter, credit-bearing certificate programs designed to provide students with critical skills for career advancement.
- Professional Development Courses: Non-credit courses offering specialized training and skill development for individuals and employees seeking career growth.
- Talent Source: A talent-sourcing platform that connects employers directly with students whose skill profiles align with specific job postings.
- Skillmore: An AI-powered tool that assists employers by scanning their skill inventory and designing internal development pathways for employees.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Phoenix Education Partners (PXED) primarily serves individual students, with the majority (approximately 70% in fiscal year 2024) of its total degreed enrollment being independent enrollees. While the company also has significant and growing business-to-business (B2B) relationships with over 2,500 employers, the names of these specific customer companies are not provided in the background information.
The company's major categories of individual customers are:
- Working Adults Seeking Career Advancement: This represents the largest segment of their student body, consisting primarily of employed individuals (76% are currently employed) looking to develop knowledge and skills to achieve professional goals and advance their careers. Their education is often pursued to meet the demands of the modern workforce.
- Adult Learners with Significant Life Responsibilities: These students face unique challenges that traditional programs often do not address, including time constraints, work commitments, and caring for dependents (64% care for dependents at home). They are typically older, with an average age of 37 and 95% of new students over the age of 22, and benefit from the University's flexible, asynchronous learning models.
- First-Generation College Students and Minority Groups: A substantial portion of the student body comprises individuals who are the first in their families to attend college (61% are first-generation college students) and those who identify as members of minority groups (62% of students who completed an optional survey). These students are seeking accessible higher education opportunities tailored to their needs.
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Christopher M. Lynne, Chief Executive Officer
Christopher M. Lynne has spent over 20 years in higher education, advocating for career-focused education for nontraditional students, and was the first in his immediate family to attend higher education. He joined the University of Phoenix in 2018 as Chief Financial Officer, became President in 2022, and was appointed CEO of Phoenix Education Partners in October 2025. Mr. Lynne led the company's transition to a public company in 2025. During his tenure, he has driven the university's transformation, expanding its focus beyond degrees to include innovative career mobility solutions for students, alumni, and employers. He previously held leadership roles at Northcentral University as COO and CFO, at HotChalk as President and COO, and was the owner of Transcend Education Group. Phoenix Education Partners, the parent company of the University of Phoenix, has received backing from Apollo Global Management and Vistria Group. Mr. Lynne holds a B.S. in Accounting from Purdue University and an MBA from the Booth School of Business at the University of Chicago.
Blair Wilde Westblom, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Blair Wilde Westblom leads the finance, real estate, and facilities functions for Phoenix Education Partners. She has over 21 years of finance leadership experience, including in publicly traded and private companies across various industries such as higher education, biotechnology, investment banking, and REITs. Ms. Westblom joined the University of Phoenix in 2010 as an associate director of finance, progressing through several promotions to become Chief Financial Officer in January 2023. Before joining the University, she served as a senior group controller at Genentech, a Roche subsidiary, where she managed the fiscal operations for its $3 billion biologic oncology business. In conjunction with the company's Initial Public Offering (IPO) in October 2025, Ms. Westblom received a significant equity compensation package.
Raghu Krishnaiah, Chief Operating Officer
Raghu Krishnaiah serves as the Chief Operating Officer of Phoenix Education Partners.
Srini Medi, Chief Legal Officer, Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary
Srini Medi is the Chief Legal Officer, Senior Vice President, General Counsel, and Secretary for Phoenix Education Partners.
John Woods, Ph.D., Chief Academic Officer and Provost
John Woods, Ph.D. is the Chief Academic Officer and Provost at the University of Phoenix. He holds a PhD in higher education administration from Bowling Green State University.
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1. Securities Probe and Allegations of Misleading Information: Phoenix Education Partners (PXED) is currently under investigation by law firms, including Rosen Law Firm, for potentially issuing "materially misleading business information" to the market. This ongoing probe, announced in February 2026, could lead to significant legal and financial liabilities, as well as lasting reputational damage for the company, and is expected to place downward pressure on its stock price.
2. Significant Data Breach Incident: In January 2026, a major data breach affecting nearly 3.5 million individuals at the University of Phoenix was reported, with unauthorized access to sensitive information occurring as early as August 2025. This cybersecurity incident highlights deficiencies in data security management and could result in decreased investor confidence, potential legal actions, and further damage to the company's reputation and stock value.
3. Regulatory Scrutiny and Potential Policy Changes: The for-profit education sector, in which Phoenix Education Partners operates, is subject to extensive regulatory requirements and ongoing scrutiny. Risks include potential Department of Education policy changes and a failure to comply with applicable regulations, which could lead to significant monetary liabilities, fines, penalties, and even the loss of access to federal student loans and grants. Such outcomes could have a material adverse effect on the company's business and financial condition.
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Phoenix Education Partners (PXED), operating as the University of Phoenix, addresses several key markets within the education and professional development sectors, primarily in the U.S.
The addressable market for their core offering of **online higher education, including degree-granting programs** for adult learners, is significant. The U.S. online education market, which encompasses both academic and corporate online training, is valued at approximately USD 74.8 billion. More specifically, the market for fully online higher education in the U.S. is over USD 20 billion and is experiencing rapid growth. Another estimate places the U.S. e-learning market, which includes K-12, higher education, and corporate training, at over USD 128.37 billion in 2024, with projections to grow to USD 278.27 billion by 2033. The broader U.S. online education market is projected to grow from USD 12.35 billion in 2025 to USD 128.54 billion by 2034, covering academic degrees, professional certifications, and corporate workforce training.
For their **non-degree certificate programs, professional development courses, and talent solutions programs for employers (B2B enrollments)**, the relevant markets include corporate training and professional development in the U.S. The U.S. professional development market is valued at over USD 70 billion. The corporate training market in North America reached approximately USD 62.1 billion in 2024. Other estimates indicate the U.S. corporate training market is poised to grow, with some projections citing it around USD 163.5 billion.
Considering the company's dedicated focus on **adult learners**, the U.S. market for adult education, often referred to as continuing education, was valued at USD 66.91 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 95.98 billion by 2030.
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Phoenix Education Partners (PXED) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through the following key strategies:
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Continued Growth in Business-to-Business (B2B) Enrollments: The company identifies B2B enrollments as a "significant opportunity for further growth." This segment has shown robust expansion, with Average Total Degreed Enrollment increasing from 13,300 in fiscal year 2022 to 23,300 in fiscal year 2024, reflecting a 32% compound annual growth rate (CAGR). B2B enrollments now represent 30% of the University’s Average Total Degreed Enrollment.
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Expansion of Non-Degree Offerings and New Talent Solutions Programs: Phoenix Education Partners considers its non-degree offerings for students and employers a "growing priority." This includes shorter credit-bearing certificates and non-credit professional development courses aimed at career advancement and employee upskilling. Additionally, the company is developing new talent solutions like Talent Source, a talent-sourcing platform, and Skillmore, an AI-powered tool for designing development pathways. These new programs and services are designed to address evolving workforce demands and create new revenue streams.
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Increased Overall Enrollment of Adult Learners through Tailored Education Solutions: The company is dedicated to adult learners, who represent an attractive and growing sub-segment of the higher education market. Phoenix Education Partners is "constantly evolving the flexible, asynchronous learning models and the robust technology solutions designed to meet their unique needs." This focus on a differentiated value proposition for working adults is evidenced by the increase in Average Total Degreed Enrollment from 78,900 in fiscal year 2024 to 82,700 during the first nine months of fiscal year 2025, indicating continued success in attracting and retaining this demographic.
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Share Issuance
- Phoenix Education Partners completed an initial public offering (IPO) on October 10, 2025, by selling 4.25 million shares of common stock at $32.00 per share, raising approximately $136 million.
- The offering included an option for underwriters to purchase an additional 637,500 shares, bringing the total to 4.9 million shares sold.
- The proceeds from the IPO went to certain existing shareholders, primarily Apollo Global Management and The Vistria Group, not to Phoenix Education Partners itself.
Inbound Investments
- Prior to its IPO in 2025, the University of Phoenix, the company's main operating entity, was taken private in a $1.1 billion buyout in 2017 by Apollo Global Management and The Vistria Group.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for the fiscal year ended August 31, 2025, totaled $22.5 million.
- For the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 (ended November 30, 2025), capital expenditures amounted to $4.7 million.
- The company's capital spending supports its "asset-light model" and is focused on purpose-built platforms, AI-ready data infrastructure, and technology to enhance the student experience and connectivity.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Phoenix Education Partners Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
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| 04022026 | SKY | Champion Homes | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | -1.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 68.31 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.5 |
| Rev LTM | 1,112 |
| Op Inc LTM | 232 |
| FCF LTM | 277 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 271 |
| CFO LTM | 331 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 316 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 10.7% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 15.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 16.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 17.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.5 |
| P/S | 2.4 |
| P/Op Inc | 15.4 |
| P/EBIT | 11.4 |
| P/E | 13.9 |
| P/CFO | 12.2 |
| Total Yield | 7.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -20.4% |
| 12M Rtn | -49.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | -24.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -8.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -33.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -77.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -102.3% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/7/2026 | -0.8% | -8.7% | -2.7% |
| 11/20/2025 | 2.8% | 11.2% | 7.7% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| # Negative | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Median Positive | 2.8% | 11.2% | 7.7% |
| Median Negative | -0.8% | -8.7% | -2.7% |
| Max Positive | 2.8% | 11.2% | 7.7% |
| Max Negative | -0.8% | -8.7% | -2.7% |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nisar, Adnan A | TVG-I-E-AEG Holdings, LP | Sell | 10172025 | 29.92 | 105,452 | 3,155,124 | 147,669,053 | Form | |
| 2 | Nesbitt, Martin H | TVG-I-E-AEG Holdings, LP | Sell | 10172025 | 29.92 | 105,452 | 3,155,124 | 147,669,053 | Form | |
| 3 | Tvg-I-E-Aeg, Holdings, LP | Direct | Sell | 10172025 | 29.92 | 105,452 | 3,155,124 | 147,669,053 | Form | |
| 4 | Nisar, Adnan A | TVG-I-E-AEG Holdings, LP | Sell | 10142025 | 29.92 | 703,015 | 21,034,209 | 150,824,177 | Form | |
| 5 | Nesbitt, Martin H | TVG-I-E-AEG Holdings, LP | Sell | 10142025 | 29.92 | 703,015 | 21,034,209 | 150,824,177 | Form |
External Quote Links
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