Phoenix Education Partners (PXED)
Market Price (2/4/2026): $29.77 | Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Education Services
Phoenix Education Partners (PXED)
Market Price (2/4/2026): $29.77Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Education Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.4% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -92% | Key risksPXED key risks include [1] its history of significant regulatory sanctions and high dependence on federal funding, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Education & Lifelong Learning. Themes include Online Learning Platforms, Education Technology Solutions, and Workforce Development & Upskilling. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.4% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Education & Lifelong Learning. Themes include Online Learning Platforms, Education Technology Solutions, and Workforce Development & Upskilling. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -92% |
| Key risksPXED key risks include [1] its history of significant regulatory sanctions and high dependence on federal funding, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Negative Investor Reaction to Q4 Fiscal 2025 Earnings. On November 20, 2025, Phoenix Education Partners' shares fell 8.3% after the company reported its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results. Despite beating revenue expectations and raising its outlook for fiscal year 2026, investors reacted negatively to the earnings report, and GAAP earnings per share missed analyst expectations.
2. Decreased Net Income in Q1 Fiscal 2026 Due to IPO Expenses. For the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, which ended November 30, 2025, Phoenix Education Partners reported a significant decrease in GAAP net income. Net income was $15.5 million, or $0.40 diluted earnings per share, compared to $46.4 million, or $1.23 diluted earnings per share, in the prior-year period. This decline was primarily attributed to expenses related to the company's Initial Public Offering (IPO), including share-based compensation.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -19.3% change in PXED stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 36.70 | 29.60 | -19.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | � | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | � | � | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | � | � | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 36 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PXED | -19.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.1% | 24.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | 0.9% | 34.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PXED | ||
| Market (SPY) | 9.4% | 29.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 9.5% | 36.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PXED | ||
| Market (SPY) | 15.6% | 29.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 4.9% | 36.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PXED | ||
| Market (SPY) | 75.9% | 29.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 66.6% | 36.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PXED Return | - | - | - | - | -21% | 4% | -18% |
| Peers Return | -4% | -36% | -11% | 1% | -41% | 5% | -66% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 2% | 86% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PXED Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 0% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 21% | 38% | 50% | 42% | 21% | 75% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 100% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PXED Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -28% | -6% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -12% | -52% | -38% | -36% | -47% | -2% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: LOPE, FCHL, GV, PXED, TTEI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/3/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
PXED has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.
| Event | XLY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -40.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 680 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 82 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -21.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -60.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 150.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 779 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to LOPE, FCHL, GV, PXED, TTEI
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -40.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -40.3% loss requires a 67.4% gain to breakeven.
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About Phoenix Education Partners (PXED)
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Netflix for online degrees
- Amazon for online degrees
- HCA Healthcare for higher education
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Online Degree Programs: Offering a wide range of accredited bachelor's, master's, and doctoral degrees entirely through online platforms.
- Professional Certifications: Providing non-degree certificate programs and courses designed for specific career advancement and skill acquisition.
- Corporate Training Solutions: Developing customized educational programs and training modules for businesses and organizations to upskill their workforce.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The symbol PXED is officially associated with Phoenix New Media Limited, a leading new media company in China, which operates internet and mobile platforms providing news, information, and entertainment. This company operates in the digital media sector and is not an education company as "Phoenix Education Partners" would suggest.
Considering Phoenix New Media Limited (symbol: PXED), its major customers are:
- Other Companies (B2B): Phoenix New Media Limited primarily sells advertising space and solutions across its various platforms (e.g., ifeng.com, mobile applications) to a wide range of businesses and advertising agencies. These companies are its core customers, leveraging PXED's extensive reach in China to promote their products and services. Due to the diverse and extensive nature of its advertiser base, specific "major customer companies" whose names are publicly disclosed as consistently representing a significant portion of revenue are not typically identified.
- Individuals (B2C): The company also serves a vast audience of individual users who consume its free content across its platforms. While these individuals are primarily content consumers, a segment of them become direct customers by subscribing to premium content, value-added services, or participating in e-commerce offerings facilitated by PXED.
Given its revenue structure, Phoenix New Media Limited sells primarily to other companies (advertisers).
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Christopher Lynne, Chief Executive Officer, President, and Director
Christopher Lynne was appointed CEO of Phoenix Education Partners in March 2023 and has over 20 years of experience in higher education, focusing on career-focused education for nontraditional students. He has served as president of the University of Phoenix since 2022, having joined the university as CFO in 2018. His previous leadership roles include COO and CFO at Northcentral University, President and COO at HotChalk, and owner of Transcend Education Group. Mr. Lynne holds a B.S. in Accounting from Purdue University and an MBA from the Booth School of Business at the University of Chicago.
Blair Westblom, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Blair Westblom was appointed Chief Financial Officer in January 2023 and is responsible for leading the finance, real estate, and facilities functions. She brings over 21 years of experience in publicly traded and private companies across various industries, including higher education, biotechnology, investment banking, and REITs. Ms. Westblom joined the University of Phoenix in 2010 as associate director of finance. Prior to that, she was a Senior Group Controller at Genentech, a subsidiary of Roche, where she managed the fiscal aspects of its $3 billion biologic oncology business. She also served as a financial analyst at Thomas Weisel Partners, which was subsequently acquired by Stifel Financial, advising on IPOs, private placements, and mergers and acquisitions. Ms. Westblom earned a Bachelor of Arts in Economics and a minor in Business Administration from Vanderbilt University.
Raghu Krishnaiah, Chief Operating Officer
Raghu Krishnaiah serves as the Chief Operating Officer of Phoenix Education Partners.
Srini Medi, Chief Legal Officer & Secretary
Srini Medi holds the position of Chief Legal Officer & Secretary at Phoenix Education Partners, also serving as Senior Vice President, General Counsel.
Jeff Honaker, Chief Accounting Officer
Jeff Honaker is the Chief Accounting Officer for Phoenix Education Partners.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Phoenix Education Partners (PXED) are primarily centered around regulatory scrutiny, the influence of its private equity ownership, and the ongoing challenge of market perception and valuation in the for-profit education sector.-
Regulatory and Reputational Risks
Phoenix Education Partners, through its subsidiary the University of Phoenix, faces significant regulatory and reputational risks. Historically, the University of Phoenix has been subject to numerous government investigations and lawsuits concerning deceptive marketing and recruitment practices. For instance, in 2019, the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) settled with the University of Phoenix for a record $191 million due to allegations of deceptive advertising, including falsely touting job opportunities and partnerships with major companies. This led to substantial loan forgiveness for affected students. The company's reliance on Title IV funding, which constituted 88% of its cash-basis revenue in fiscal year 2024, makes it highly vulnerable to changes in federal regulations like the "90/10 rule," which mandates that at least 10% of a for-profit college's revenue come from non-federal sources. Persistent governmental scrutiny and past misconduct can negatively impact enrollment growth and brand equity, as evidenced by the complexities and public perception challenges highlighted during the failed acquisition attempt by the University of Idaho.
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Private Equity Control and Capital Structure
The substantial control maintained by its private equity sponsors, Apollo and Vistria, presents another significant risk. These sponsors collectively retain approximately 70% of the voting power post-IPO, which limits the influence of minority shareholders. The IPO itself was structured as a secondary offering, meaning the company did not receive any proceeds for business expansion, research and development, or acquisitions; instead, the offering primarily provided liquidity to existing investors. There is an ongoing risk of future secondary offerings by these private equity owners, which could exert downward pressure on the stock price. Additionally, the authorization of 1.46 billion unissued shares after the IPO means that future share sales could dilute existing shareholders.
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Market Sentiment and Valuation Uncertainty
Phoenix Education Partners is also exposed to risks related to fluctuating market sentiment and valuation uncertainty. The stock has recently experienced significant price declines, dipping 3% in one day and 20% over a month as of November 2025. Despite reported underlying financial growth, the company's shares trade at a considerable discount compared to its industry and peer averages (a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.4x versus a peer average of 22.8x and an industry average of 17x as of November 2025). This valuation gap suggests market uncertainty regarding the company's future growth and stability. The business model, while profitable, is not characterized by disruptive technology or recurring revenue streams typical of high-growth tech companies, which may limit its valuation upside. Furthermore, periods of low trading volume can increase the general risk associated with the stock.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The clear emerging threat for Phoenix Education Partners (PXED) is the rapid proliferation and increasing mainstream acceptance of alternative online learning platforms and credentialing programs. This includes:
- Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) offered by leading universities and platforms such as Coursera and edX, which often provide low-cost or free access to high-quality content and optional paid certificates.
- Specialized online bootcamps and academies focused on in-demand skills (e.g., coding, data science, cybersecurity) that offer faster, career-focused pathways compared to traditional degree programs.
- Industry-backed professional certificate programs, such as those offered by Google, IBM, and Microsoft, which are gaining recognition from employers as valid demonstrations of competency.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Phoenix Education Partners (symbol: PXED), through its subsidiary the University of Phoenix, Inc., focuses primarily on providing online higher education for working adults in the United States. Their core offerings include degree programs in fields like healthcare, IT, and business, as well as short-form certificates and bootcamps in areas such as cybersecurity and data analytics. The company also offers talent solutions programs for employers, including the Talent Source platform and the AI-powered Skillmore tool. The addressable markets for Phoenix Education Partners' main products and services are sizable and growing:- For **Online Higher Education** (degree programs, certificates, and bootcamps for working adults):
- The U.S. online higher education market is valued at over $20 billion.
- The online higher education market in the U.S. is projected to grow by an estimated $33.35 billion from 2021 to 2026.
- More broadly, the U.S. online education market, which includes higher education, was valued at $100 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach $686.9 billion by 2030.
- Globally, the online degree market is forecast to reach $74 billion in 2025.
- For **Talent Solutions for Employers** (including upskilling, reskilling, and corporate training platforms):
- This segment is part of the larger online education market. The U.S. online education market, which encompasses corporate demand for upskilling programs, is valued at $74.8 billion.
- Corporate online training programs are experiencing a surge in the U.S., with over 5,000 companies adopting online platforms for employee training in 2024.
- Globally, the online education market was estimated at $49 billion in 2022 and is expected to reach $200 billion by 2030. Another estimate places the global online education market at $49.99 billion in 2023, expected to reach $324.95 billion by 2032.
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Phoenix Education Partners (PXED) anticipates several key drivers to fuel its revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, focusing on expanding its reach and enhancing its educational offerings.
- Expanding Employer Relationships and Business-to-Business (B2B) Enrollment Growth: The company places a strong emphasis on growing its partnerships with employers. This B2B enrollment segment has demonstrated significant growth, with a 32% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) since 2022, and is considered a stable channel for future expansion and regulatory compliance. Approximately 30% of degreed enrollments in fiscal year 2024 came through employer relationships.
- Digital Innovation and Investment in AI-driven Platforms: Phoenix Education Partners plans substantial investments, including $500 million in technology, to advance its AI-driven platforms and data infrastructure. This strategic focus on digital innovation aims to enhance the student experience and improve overall student success.
- Growth in Student Enrollment and Improved Retention: A core driver involves increasing average total degreed enrollment, which was 82,700 during the first nine months of fiscal year 2025. Coupled with this is a focus on improving student retention, which has already seen significant gains, reaching 71.5% post-transformation. Management anticipates strong revenue growth supported by high retention.
- Launch of New Digital Products and Services: The company's strategy includes launching new digital products and expanding its online and hybrid educational offerings. This product and service diversification aims to meet evolving market demands and provide flexible, career-oriented education primarily to adult learners.
- Market Share Expansion in the Online Education Segment: Phoenix Education Partners aims to increase its market share within the competitive online education sector. This growth strategy specifically targets the working adult and career-focused segments, leveraging its resources and technological investments to attract new students.
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Share Issuance
- Phoenix Education Partners (PXED) completed its initial public offering (IPO) on October 10, 2025, with shares beginning to trade on the New York Stock Exchange on October 9, 2025.
- The IPO involved the sale of 4,250,000 shares of common stock at a price of $32.00 per share, resulting in aggregate gross proceeds of approximately $136 million.
- The company did not receive any proceeds from this offering, as all shares were sold by existing shareholders.
Capital Expenditures
- Over the past five years (2020-2025), Phoenix Education Partners has invested approximately $500 million in technology resources.
- The primary focus of these capital expenditures is leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) to improve student retention, enhance student-facing capabilities, and boost internal efficiency.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Phoenix Education Partners Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 15.41 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.8 |
| Rev LTM | 1,052 |
| Op Inc LTM | 244 |
| FCF LTM | 137 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 223 |
| CFO LTM | 167 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 262 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 23.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 26.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 25.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.8 |
| P/S | 2.6 |
| P/EBIT | 10.9 |
| P/E | 16.7 |
| P/CFO | 17.7 |
| Total Yield | 6.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -16.6% |
| 6M Rtn | -31.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -18.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | -55.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -22.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -22.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -34.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -125.2% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/20/2025 | 2.8% | 11.2% | 7.7% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | 2.8% | 11.2% | 7.7% |
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | 2.8% | 11.2% | 7.7% |
| Max Negative | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nisar, Adnan A | TVG-I-E-AEG Holdings, LP | Sell | 10172025 | 29.92 | 105,452 | 3,155,124 | 147,669,053 | Form | |
| 2 | Nesbitt, Martin H | TVG-I-E-AEG Holdings, LP | Sell | 10172025 | 29.92 | 105,452 | 3,155,124 | 147,669,053 | Form | |
| 3 | Tvg-I-E-Aeg, Holdings, Lp | Direct | Sell | 10172025 | 29.92 | 105,452 | 3,155,124 | 147,669,053 | Form | |
| 4 | Nisar, Adnan A | TVG-I-E-AEG Holdings, LP | Sell | 10142025 | 29.92 | 703,015 | 21,034,209 | 150,824,177 | Form | |
| 5 | Nesbitt, Martin H | TVG-I-E-AEG Holdings, LP | Sell | 10142025 | 29.92 | 703,015 | 21,034,209 | 150,824,177 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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