Tearsheet

Prospect Capital (PSEC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.645 | Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Prospect Capital (PSEC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.645
Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 23%, FCF Yield is 36%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is -407 Mil
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.5
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 142%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -227%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -507%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14%
0 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 23%, FCF Yield is 36%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.5
5 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is -407 Mil
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 142%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -227%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -507%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PSEC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the -6.7% stock movement for Prospect Capital (PSEC) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Q4 FY2025 GAAP Net Loss and NAV Compression: Prospect Capital reported a significant GAAP net loss of $(226.369) million, or $(0.50) per share, for the fiscal fourth quarter ended June 30, 2025. This was accompanied by a decline in Net Asset Value (NAV) per share to $6.56 from $7.25 in the previous quarter and $8.74 year-over-year, primarily driven by realized and unrealized losses on non-control investments.

2. Revenue Miss Against Expectations: For Q4 FY2025, Prospect Capital's Total Investment Income of $166.946 million fell slightly short of the consensus estimate of $167.080 million. This revenue softness was noted as a recurring pattern, indicating persistent challenges in meeting top-line projections.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PSEC Return-4%70%-9%-4%-18%-29%-17%
Peers Return23%18%-13%10%1%1%42%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PSEC Win Rate58%58%50%50%25%20% 
Peers Win Rate67%50%35%56%48%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PSEC Max Drawdown-39%0%-22%-20%-22%-34% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-13%-31%-11%-12%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, BLKS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPSECS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-42.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven75.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven304 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-66.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven197.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, BLKS


In The Past

Prospect Capital's stock fell -42.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -42.9% loss requires a 75.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Prospect Capital (PSEC)

Better Bets than Prospect Capital (PSEC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PSEC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Prospect Capital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PSECVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameProspect.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Mkt Price2.65163.1616.02116.902.60-16.02
Mkt Cap1.21.10.90.30.1-0.9
Rev LTM-40787410015216-100
Op Inc LTM-179-44-8-44
FCF LTM52370104-35-9-70
FCF 3Y Avg19412513816-10-125
CFO LTM52377104-32-9-77
CFO 3Y Avg19413213817-9-132

Growth & Margins

PSECVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameProspect.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Rev Chg LTM-226.8%-1.2%-6.2%2.9%-8.5%--6.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg96.8%-2.4%159.6%-2.1%13.5%-13.5%
Rev Chg Q-506.8%-4.8%8.2%-2.0%-37.1%--4.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-122.6%-1.2%2.1%-0.6%-16.9%--1.2%
Op Mgn LTM-20.5%-28.8%-49.1%-20.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-18.9%-26.5%-74.1%-18.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.1%--0.2%-6.5%--0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-8.9%104.5%-21.2%-55.2%--6.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-15.6%142.9%11.7%-56.6%-13.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-8.0%104.5%-23.1%-55.2%--7.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-14.7%142.9%11.0%-66.7%-12.9%

Valuation

PSECVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameProspect.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Mkt Cap1.21.10.90.30.1-0.9
P/S-1.58.32.53.4-2.9
P/EBIT-3.6-8.72.8-3.6
P/E-3.19.49.38.14.3-8.1
P/CFO2.716.68.0-11.8-6.1-2.7
Total Yield-9.6%15.6%21.5%16.6%23.4%-16.6%
Dividend Yield23.1%5.0%10.7%4.3%0.0%-5.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.2%8.7%16.7%2.9%-17.7%-8.7%
D/E1.52.01.40.01.1-1.4
Net D/E1.41.60.9-0.1-0.9-0.9

Returns

PSECVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameProspect.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
1M Rtn3.1%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.4%-3.1%
3M Rtn-3.8%-14.1%-0.8%-14.0%-15.9%--14.0%
6M Rtn-10.1%-1.2%0.7%-10.1%20.6%--1.2%
12M Rtn-31.7%-30.3%5.6%-24.3%43.6%--24.3%
3Y Rtn-48.8%-7.0%43.3%-24.8%31.3%--7.0%
1M Excs Rtn3.1%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.5%-3.1%
3M Excs Rtn-8.8%-21.2%-6.9%-21.0%-18.7%--18.7%
6M Excs Rtn-24.8%-15.9%-14.1%-24.8%5.9%--15.9%
12M Excs Rtn-48.5%-44.0%-8.0%-37.4%29.3%--37.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-121.2%-75.8%-22.7%-96.4%-43.4%--75.8%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity38,778,375
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-3.0%
Average Daily Volume3,693,941
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.50
Basic Shares Quantity452,422,975
Short % of Basic Shares8.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025826202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024210202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024828202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023908202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022208202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022906202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021208202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211108202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Eliasek M GrierChief Operating Officer9292025Buy2.71370,0001,002,7006,778,063Form
1Barry John FCHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER9292025Buy2.72925,0002,517,758234,266,198Form
2Barry John FCHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER9252025Buy2.66384,0001,021,478224,515,101Form
3Barry John FCHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER9232025Buy2.66374,500997,219223,720,468Form
4Barry John FCHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER3262025Buy4.2424,000101,681349,928,286Form