Tearsheet

Palmer Square Capital BDC (PSBD)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.37 | Market Cap: $396.9 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Palmer Square Capital BDC (PSBD)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.37
Market Cap: $396.9 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 15%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%, FCF Yield is 35%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 190%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 743%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 743%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 21x
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -69%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -50%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit, and Private Equity.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 15%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%, FCF Yield is 35%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 743%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 743%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit, and Private Equity.
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 190%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 21x
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -69%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -50%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PSBD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -10.6% movement in Palmer Square Capital BDC (PSBD) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: **1. Decline in Net Asset Value (NAV) per share.** Palmer Square Capital BDC's net asset value per share decreased to $15.39 as of September 30, 2025, from $15.68 as of June 30, 2025. This decline in intrinsic value per share often correlates with a negative stock price movement.

**2. Decrease in Net Investment Income (NII) year-over-year.** For the third quarter of 2025, the company reported net investment income of $0.43 per share, which was a decrease compared to $0.48 per share in the comparable period of the previous year. While exceeding analyst estimates, the year-over-year decline in core profitability can raise investor concerns.

**3. Increase in net realized and unrealized losses.** Palmer Square Capital BDC reported total net realized and unrealized losses of $10.3 million for the third quarter of 2025, an increase from losses of $8.2 million in the third quarter of 2024. These losses indicate a deterioration in the value of the company's investment portfolio.

**4. Analyst downgrade and price target reduction.** Around December 1, 2025, RBC Capital downgraded PSBD and reduced its price target to $13.00, which can negatively influence investor sentiment and contribute to a stock price decline.

**5. Concerns regarding dividend sustainability and increased short interest.** The company's dividend payout ratio stands at a high 334.88%, with projections suggesting it may not be sustainable given future earnings per share estimates. Concurrently, short interest in PSBD increased by 25.89% recently, reflecting growing investor skepticism and a decreasing sentiment towards the stock.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PSBD Return------12%-12%
Peers Return18%14%-11%8%1%1%33%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PSBD Win Rate----64%50% 
Peers Win Rate50%40%28%45%38%36% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PSBD Max Drawdown------18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-10%-25%-9%-9%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, FGNX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

PSBD has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven525 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven295 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven338 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven515.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4470 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Palmer Square Capital BDC (PSBD)

Better Bets than Palmer Square Capital BDC (PSBD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PSBD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Palmer Square Capital BDC

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PSBDVRTSSLRCDHILGEGFGNXMedian
NamePalmer S.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmFG Nexus  
Mkt Price12.28163.1616.02116.902.603.1714.15
Mkt Cap0.41.10.90.30.1-0.4
Rev LTM19874100152161259
Op Inc LTM-179-44-8-44
FCF LTM13970104-35-9-433
FCF 3Y Avg-2612513816-10-65
CFO LTM13977104-32-9-437
CFO 3Y Avg-2613213817-9-66

Growth & Margins

PSBDVRTSSLRCDHILGEGFGNXMedian
NamePalmer S.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmFG Nexus  
Rev Chg LTM-69.5%-1.2%-6.2%2.9%-8.5%-41.5%-7.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg42.0%-2.4%159.6%-2.1%13.5%80.0%27.8%
Rev Chg Q-49.5%-4.8%8.2%-2.0%-37.1%73.2%-3.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-18.9%-1.2%2.1%-0.6%-16.9%47.7%-0.9%
Op Mgn LTM-20.5%-28.8%-49.1%-20.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-18.9%-26.5%-74.1%-18.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.1%--0.2%-6.5%--0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM742.8%8.9%104.5%-21.2%-55.2%-33.1%-6.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg127.4%15.6%142.9%11.7%-56.6%-34.5%13.6%
FCF/Rev LTM742.8%8.0%104.5%-23.1%-55.2%-33.5%-7.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg127.4%14.7%142.9%11.0%-66.7%-35.0%12.9%

Valuation

PSBDVRTSSLRCDHILGEGFGNXMedian
NamePalmer S.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmFG Nexus  
Mkt Cap0.41.10.90.30.1-0.4
P/S21.01.58.32.53.4-3.4
P/EBIT-3.6-8.72.8-3.6
P/E28.09.49.38.14.3-9.3
P/CFO2.816.68.0-11.8-6.1-2.8
Total Yield18.1%15.6%21.5%16.6%23.4%-18.1%
Dividend Yield14.5%5.0%10.7%4.3%0.0%-5.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.7%16.7%2.9%-17.7%-5.8%
D/E1.92.01.40.01.1-1.4
Net D/E1.91.60.9-0.1-0.9-0.9

Returns

PSBDVRTSSLRCDHILGEGFGNXMedian
NamePalmer S.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmFG Nexus  
1M Rtn0.0%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.4%-12.2%0.9%
3M Rtn-8.1%-14.1%-0.8%-14.0%-15.9%-72.2%-14.1%
6M Rtn-6.0%-1.2%0.7%-10.1%20.6%--1.2%
12M Rtn-12.9%-30.3%5.6%-24.3%43.6%--12.9%
3Y Rtn--7.0%43.3%-24.8%31.3%-12.1%
1M Excs Rtn0.0%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.5%-12.2%0.9%
3M Excs Rtn-13.6%-21.2%-6.9%-21.0%-18.7%-74.5%-19.8%
6M Excs Rtn-20.7%-15.9%-14.1%-24.8%5.9%--15.9%
12M Excs Rtn-27.0%-44.0%-8.0%-37.4%29.3%--27.0%
3Y Excs Rtn--75.8%-22.7%-96.4%-43.4%--59.6%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity153,048
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202525.9%
Average Daily Volume95,024
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.61
Basic Shares Quantity32,084,902
Short % of Basic Shares0.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
123120221182024424B1 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021311202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211115202110-Q 9/30/2021