PROCEPT BioRobotics (PRCT)
Market Price (1/19/2026): $30.58 | Market Cap: $1.7 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
PROCEPT BioRobotics (PRCT)
Market Price (1/19/2026): $30.58Market Cap: $1.7 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -81% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -93 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -31% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics. Themes include Surgical Robotics, Advanced Medical Devices, and Minimally Invasive Surgery. | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.2% | ||
| Key risksPRCT key risks include [1] a history of unprofitability, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics. Themes include Surgical Robotics, Advanced Medical Devices, and Minimally Invasive Surgery. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -81% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -93 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -31% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.2% |
| Key risksPRCT key risks include [1] a history of unprofitability, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Continued Unprofitability Despite Revenue Growth: While PROCEPT BioRobotics reported a 43% increase in third-quarter 2025 revenue, reaching $83.3 million, and surpassed consensus revenue and EPS estimates, the company continued to post quarterly losses. Fundamental concerns, such as a negative forward P/E ratio, negative EPS of -1.53, and approximately $49.1 million in negative free cash flow, highlighted persistent unprofitability and operational challenges, contributing to a bearish sentiment.
2. Analyst Downgrade: A significant factor contributing to downward pressure was the downgrade by BofA Securities on December 8, 2025, which changed its rating on PROCEPT BioRobotics' stock from "Strong Buy" to "Hold". Accompanying this downgrade, the firm also reduced its price target for PRCT from $55 to $38, indicating a more cautious outlook from a major financial institution.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -10.7% change in PRCT stock from 10/31/2025 to 1/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -17.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 10312025 | 1182026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 34.03 | 30.38 | -10.73% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 274.95 | 299.91 | 9.08% |
| P/S Multiple | 6.86 | 5.65 | -17.74% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 55.45 | 55.73 | -0.51% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -10.73% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 1/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PRCT | -10.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.4% | 20.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | 8.0% | 32.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -37.4% change in PRCT stock from 7/31/2025 to 1/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -47.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 7312025 | 1182026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 48.51 | 30.38 | -37.37% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 249.12 | 299.91 | 20.39% |
| P/S Multiple | 10.69 | 5.65 | -47.21% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 54.92 | 55.73 | -1.47% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -37.39% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 1/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PRCT | -37.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.7% | 21.2% |
| Sector (XLV) | 20.0% | 37.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -58.1% change in PRCT stock from 1/31/2025 to 1/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -70.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 1312025 | 1182026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 72.50 | 30.38 | -58.10% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 199.84 | 299.91 | 50.07% |
| P/S Multiple | 18.87 | 5.65 | -70.08% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 52.01 | 55.73 | -7.14% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -58.31% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 1/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PRCT | -58.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.9% | 38.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | 7.4% | 37.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -21.9% change in PRCT stock from 1/31/2023 to 1/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -80.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 1312023 | 1182026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 38.89 | 30.38 | -21.88% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 61.38 | 299.91 | 388.65% |
| P/S Multiple | 28.29 | 5.65 | -80.04% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 44.64 | 55.73 | -24.84% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -26.70% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 1/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PRCT | -21.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 76.5% | 28.4% |
| Sector (XLV) | 22.2% | 29.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PRCT Return | -40% | 66% | 1% | 92% | -61% | -3% | -27% |
| Peers Return | 6% | -14% | 17% | 21% | 1% | -4% | 26% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 85% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PRCT Win Rate | 25% | 67% | 42% | 83% | 8% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 48% | 53% | 62% | 53% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 100% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PRCT Max Drawdown | -41% | -32% | -40% | -4% | -65% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -14% | -33% | -11% | -8% | -13% | -5% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | 0% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ISRG, MDT, BSX, TFX, SYK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 1/16/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PRCT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -63.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 174.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 224 days | 464 days |
Compare to ISRG, MDT, BSX, TFX, SYK
In The Past
PROCEPT BioRobotics's stock fell -63.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/13/2021. A -63.5% loss requires a 174.1% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for PROCEPT BioRobotics (PRCT):- Intuitive Surgical for prostate treatment
- Boston Scientific, but exclusively for robotic prostate therapies
AI Analysis | Feedback
- AquaBeam Robotic System: A robotic system designed for precise, image-guided removal of prostate tissue using a high-velocity waterjet.
- AquaBlation therapy: A minimally invasive surgical procedure for benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH) that uses a heat-free, robotically controlled waterjet to remove obstructive prostate tissue.
AI Analysis | Feedback
PROCEPT BioRobotics (symbol: PRCT) sells its AquaBeam Robotic System and associated consumables primarily to other companies within the healthcare sector. Therefore, it operates primarily in a Business-to-Business (B2B) model.
The company's major customers are healthcare providers that purchase its system for the treatment of benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH). These customers typically include:
- Hospitals: This includes both general hospitals and those with specialized urology departments that offer surgical and procedural treatments.
- Ambulatory Surgical Centers (ASCs): These are outpatient facilities where surgical procedures, including those for BPH, are performed.
- Other Healthcare Providers: This category can encompass large urology practices, clinics, and other medical facilities focused on men's health.
PROCEPT BioRobotics does not typically disclose specific major customer companies by name in its public filings (such as its 10-K reports). This is because its sales are distributed across a broad base of individual hospitals, ASCs, and clinics rather than being concentrated with a few large, named corporate entities. Consequently, no specific public company customer names or symbols can be provided as "major customers."
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Larry Wood, President & Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Wood has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of PROCEPT BioRobotics since September 2025, and a member of its board of directors since April 2024. Prior to joining PROCEPT BioRobotics, he spent over 35 years in the medical technology industry, most recently at Edwards Lifesciences, where he served as Corporate Vice President, Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement from February 2007 to September 2025, and as Group President for Surgical Structural Heart from 2023 to September 2025.
Kevin Waters, Executive VP, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Waters has served as EVP, Chief Financial Officer of PROCEPT BioRobotics since January 2022, and previously as SVP, Chief Financial Officer from October 2018 until December 2021. Before joining PROCEPT BioRobotics, Mr. Waters was Chief Financial Officer at Accuray Inc. from September 2015 to October 2018. He also held financial leadership positions at three publicly traded medical device companies—Conceptus, Laserscope, and VISX—all of which were acquired by strategic acquirers, generating approximately $3 billion in shareholder value. Mr. Waters began his career at PricewaterhouseCoopers, LLP.
Alaleh Nouri, Executive VP, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary
Ms. Nouri has served as PROCEPT BioRobotics' EVP, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary since January 2022, and as Chief Compliance Officer since September 2018. She was previously the SVP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary from July 2018 to December 2021. Before PROCEPT BioRobotics, Ms. Nouri served as Senior Vice President, General Counsel, Corporate Secretary and Chief Compliance Officer at Accuray Inc. from February 2014 to July 2018.
Hisham Shiblaq, Executive VP, Chief Commercial Officer
Mr. Shiblaq serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer at PROCEPT BioRobotics.
Bijesh Chandran, Senior Vice President of Regulatory Affairs & Quality Assurance
Mr. Chandran brings 20 years of combined experience in quality assurance, regulatory affairs, test engineering, and program management. He has held quality and regulatory leadership positions at several medical device companies, including Stryker Endoscopy, Siemens Ultrasound, and Arthrocare Corporation.
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Key Risks to PROCEPT BioRobotics (PRCT)
- Financial Instability and Path to Profitability: PROCEPT BioRobotics has a history of significant net losses and an accumulated deficit, reaching $546.0 million as of December 31, 2024. The company relies on equity and debt financing to sustain its operations. A failure to achieve profitability could compromise its ability to invest in growth initiatives and maintain competitive momentum, potentially affecting investor confidence and stock valuation.
- Dependence on Key Products and Market Adoption Challenges: The company's revenue is heavily concentrated on its AquaBeam Robotic System and single-use disposable handpieces for Benign Prostatic Hyperplasia (BPH) treatment. This limited product portfolio makes PROCEPT BioRobotics vulnerable to market shifts, technological obsolescence, and competitive pressures. Concerns have also been raised regarding slower-than-expected adoption of Aquablation therapy and decelerating system sales due to tighter hospital capital budgets, which could undermine growth projections.
- Intense Competition and Market Share Limitations: PROCEPT BioRobotics operates in a highly competitive market for prostate treatment, competing with both established medical device companies and newer entrants offering various alternative therapies. There are also questions regarding the company's estimates of its addressable market and the realistic potential for its Aquablation technology to become a standard treatment, suggesting that its market penetration might be more limited than projected.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
PROCEPT BioRobotics (PRCT) primarily focuses on the AquaBeam Robotic System, which utilizes Aquablation therapy for the treatment of benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH). The company is also exploring the use of its AquaBeam Robotic System for localized prostate cancer treatment.
- For the treatment of **Benign Prostatic Hyperplasia (BPH)**, the global market was valued at approximately $4.2 billion in 2024. In the United States, the total addressable market opportunity for Aquablation therapy is estimated to be in excess of $20 billion.
- For **Prostate Cancer** therapeutics, the global market was valued at $11.3 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $21.7 billion by 2032.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for PROCEPT BioRobotics (PRCT) over the next 2-3 years:- Increased Adoption and Utilization of Aquablation Systems (AquaBeam & HYDROS) for Benign Prostatic Hyperplasia (BPH) Treatment: The company anticipates continued growth through expanding its installed base of AquaBeam and the recently launched HYDROS robotic systems. This expansion directly drives recurring revenue from the increased sales and utilization of disposable handpieces, which have shown significant year-over-year growth. The HYDROS system, with its AI-powered FirstAssist technology, is expected to further accelerate adoption and improve operational efficiency for physicians, fueling this growth.
- International Market Expansion: PROCEPT BioRobotics has demonstrated strong momentum in its international business, particularly in the United Kingdom, and is actively developing its pipeline in other global markets. Initiatives such as expanding market access through guidance from bodies like NICE are expected to strengthen the continued global growth of Aquablation therapy.
- Expansion into the Prostate Cancer Treatment Market: A significant long-term growth driver is the potential expansion of Aquablation therapy beyond BPH to include localized prostate cancer treatment. The ongoing WATER IV trial, a prospective global multi-center randomized clinical study, aims to confirm Aquablation's efficacy in this larger market, which is estimated to be over $10 billion. Successful outcomes and commercialization in this indication would open a substantial new revenue stream.
- Enhanced Commercial Execution and Operational Efficiencies: The company is focused on improving its commercial execution, including initiatives to speed up new account launches and expand its commercial organization. These efforts are expected to lead to higher system placements and increased procedural volumes, contributing to overall revenue growth and improved profitability.
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Share Issuance
- In September 2021, PROCEPT BioRobotics completed its initial public offering, issuing 7,539,400 shares at $25.00 per share, raising approximately $188.5 million in gross proceeds.
- The company conducted an underwritten public offering in October 2024, pricing 1,923,076 shares of common stock at $91.00 per share, which aimed to raise approximately $175 million in gross proceeds.
- The number of shares outstanding for PROCEPT BioRobotics increased from 35.13 million in 2020 to 55.445 million as of November 2025.
Inbound Investments
- On September 30, 2024, Vanguard Group Inc. acquired 131,204 shares of PROCEPT BioRobotics, increasing its total holdings to 4,843,351 shares at a price of $80.12 each. This transaction increased Vanguard's stake to 9.32%.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were -$8.68 million in the last 12 months as of November 2025.
- The company's free cash flow, which accounts for capital expenditures, was -$103.62 million for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024.
- Significant investment in research and development, totaling $52.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, is a key area of capital allocation, focused on advancing robotic surgical systems like the AquaBeam and HYDROS systems.
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Peer Comparisons for PROCEPT BioRobotics
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 99.88 |
| Mkt Cap | 127.3 |
| Rev LTM | 14,481 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,268 |
| FCF LTM | 2,950 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,875 |
| CFO LTM | 3,793 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,787 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 16.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 13.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 19.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 15.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 127.3 |
| P/S | 5.7 |
| P/EBIT | 24.2 |
| P/E | 36.4 |
| P/CFO | 22.8 |
| Total Yield | 1.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $30.38 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/15/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -60.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $32.19 | $44.23 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -5.6% | -31.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 59.3% | 54.4% |
| Downside Capture | 198.78 | 154.72 |
| Upside Capture | 112.87 | 36.65 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 25.7% | 35.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.56 | 1.13 | 1.33 | 1.18 | 0.98 | 1.10 |
| Up Beta | -4.90 | -0.01 | 1.15 | 1.21 | 0.99 | 0.73 |
| Down Beta | 1.92 | -0.18 | 1.48 | 0.36 | 1.03 | 1.25 |
| Up Capture | 397% | 148% | 80% | 38% | 21% | 108% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 23 | 37 | 72 | 143 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 16 | 28 | 52 | 107 | 357 |
| Down Capture | 348% | 197% | 154% | 217% | 125% | 108% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 18 | 27 | 55 | 108 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 24 | 35 | 73 | 142 | 390 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
nullBased On 5-Year Data
nullBased On 10-Year Data
nullReturns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q (09/30/2025) |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q (06/30/2025) |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/02/2025 | 10-Q (03/31/2025) |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K (12/31/2024) |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/28/2024 | 10-Q (09/30/2024) |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/02/2024 | 10-Q (06/30/2024) |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q (03/31/2024) |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K (12/31/2023) |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q (09/30/2023) |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/28/2023 | 10-Q (06/30/2023) |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q (03/31/2023) |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K (12/31/2022) |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q (09/30/2022) |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q (06/30/2022) |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/06/2022 | 10-Q (03/31/2022) |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/22/2022 | 10-K (12/31/2021) |
External Quote Links
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