Plug Power (PLUG)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $2.26 | Market Cap: $2.5 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Plug Power (PLUG)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $2.26Market Cap: $2.5 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Green Hydrogen Production, Fuel Cell Technology, and Hydrogen Infrastructure. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -95%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -158% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -906 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -135% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51% | ||
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 156% | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.7% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -90%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -122% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -122% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 117% | ||
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 27% | ||
| Short seller report |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Green Hydrogen Production, Fuel Cell Technology, and Hydrogen Infrastructure. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -95%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -158% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -906 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -135% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 156% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.7% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -90%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -122% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -122% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 117% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 27% |
| Short seller report |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PLUG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for Plug Power's (PLUG) stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 5, 2025:
1. Q3 2025 Earnings Beat and Improved Financial Outlook: Plug Power announced its third-quarter 2025 results on November 10, 2025, reporting an adjusted EPS of -$0.12, which surpassed analysts' consensus estimates of -$0.13. The company also highlighted a significant 49% year-over-year and 53% sequential improvement in net cash used in operating activities, alongside an improved adjusted gross loss. Furthermore, management outlined plans to generate over $275 million in liquidity through asset monetization and operational efficiencies.
2. Major Global Project Deployment with Galp: In October 2025, Plug Power announced the delivery of its first 10-megawatt (MW) GenEco electrolyzer array to Galp in Portugal, marking its largest global project to date. This deployment is the initial phase of a 100 MW installation aimed at replacing grey hydrogen, and its announcement was a significant catalyst, with the stock soaring 25.8% in a single day and having surged over 50% in the preceding month.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PLUG Return | 973% | -17% | -56% | -64% | -53% | 5% | -29% |
| Peers Return | 13% | 14% | -18% | 46% | 54% | 34% | 217% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PLUG Win Rate | 83% | 42% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 52% | 38% | 50% | 58% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PLUG Max Drawdown | -13% | -41% | -59% | -72% | -64% | -67% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -49% | -13% | -45% | -15% | -15% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VICR, POWL, AZZ, ENR, AIGO. See PLUG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PLUG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -95.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2039.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -51.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 107.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 99 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -67.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 211.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 328 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -84.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 556.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4145 days | 1480 days |
Compare to VICR, POWL, AZZ, ENR, AIGO
In The Past
Plug Power's stock fell -95.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/26/2021. A -95.3% loss requires a 2039.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Can Plug Power Stock Recover If Markets Fall? | Return | ||
| Plug Power Stock Surged 110%, Here's Why | |||
| Day 9 of Gains Streak for Plug Power Stock with 88% Return (vs. 24% YTD) [9/22/2025] | Notification | ||
| Day 8 of Gains Streak for Plug Power Stock with 55% Return (vs. 2.3% YTD) [9/21/2025] | Notification | ||
| Day 7 of Gains Streak for Plug Power Stock with 49% Return (vs. -1.4% YTD) [9/18/2025] | Notification | ||
| Plug Power (PLUG) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Plug Power (PLUG) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Plug Power (PLUG) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Plug Power (PLUG) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Plug Power (PLUG) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Is Plug Power Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Why Plug Power Stock Jumped 110%? | November 25th, 2025 | ||
| Can PLUG Stock Fall More? | November 17th, 2025 | ||
| What’s Happening With PLUG Stock? | October 10th, 2025 | ||
| PLUG Stock Up 88% after 9-Day Win Streak | September 23rd, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PLUG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.5% | 9.5% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.5% | 9.5% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Plug Power
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 94.54 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.2 |
| Rev LTM | 1,081 |
| Op Inc LTM | 211 |
| FCF LTM | 117 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 130 |
| CFO LTM | 134 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 141 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.2 |
| P/S | 2.3 |
| P/EBIT | 6.8 |
| P/E | 10.4 |
| P/CFO | 6.5 |
| Total Yield | 7.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 10.4% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -11.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 24.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 84.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 15.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 81.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -12.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 19.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 69.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -0.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 11.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales of cryogenic equipment and liquefiers | 232 | 88 | 8 | ||
| Sales of hydrogen infrastructure | 184 | 142 | 135 | -43 | 19 |
| Sales of fuel cell systems | 181 | 208 | 225 | -55 | 131 |
| Sales of electolyzers | 83 | 28 | 17 | 4 | |
| Fuel delivered to customers and related equipment | 66 | 57 | 47 | -16 | 29 |
| Power Purchase Agreements | 64 | 47 | 35 | 27 | 26 |
| Services performed on fuel cell systems and related infrastructure | 39 | 35 | 27 | -10 | 25 |
| Sales of engineered equipment | 32 | 93 | 8 | ||
| Other | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 891 | 701 | 502 | -93 | 230 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11092021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |