Tearsheet

Penumbra (PEN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $309.25 | Market Cap: $12.1 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Equipment

Penumbra (PEN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $309.25
Market Cap: $12.1 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Health Care Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.9%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 53x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 49x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 60x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -14%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -25%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.5%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Geriatric Care.
  Key risks
PEN key risks include [1] significant litigation and regulatory fallout from the Class I recall of its Jet 7 catheter linked to patient deaths, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Geriatric Care.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.9%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -14%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -25%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 53x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 49x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 60x
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.5%
7 Key risks
PEN key risks include [1] significant litigation and regulatory fallout from the Class I recall of its Jet 7 catheter linked to patient deaths, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PEN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for Penumbra's stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Penumbra reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 5, 2025, exceeding analyst expectations for both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. The company's Q3 2025 revenue was $354.7 million, an increase of 17.8% year-over-year, surpassing the consensus estimate of $340.77 million. Additionally, Penumbra's Q3 2025 EPS of $0.97 beat the analyst consensus of $0.90.

2. The company raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance, indicating continued positive outlook. Following its strong Q3 performance, Penumbra increased its total revenue guidance for 2025 to a range of $1,375 million to $1,380 million, representing 15% to 16% growth over 2024 revenue.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PEN Return7%64%-23%13%-6%30%88%
Peers Return4%8%-4%12%18%19%69%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PEN Win Rate42%58%50%67%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate54%52%52%54%58%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PEN Max Drawdown-24%0%-60%-18%-35%-5% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-7%-19%-7%-4%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SYK, MDT, JNJ, BSX. See PEN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPENS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-62.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven167.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven327 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-35.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven55 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven172 days120 days

Compare to SYK, MASI, DAVI, EMI, IAMR


In The Past

Penumbra's stock fell -62.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/28/2021. A -62.6% loss requires a 167.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Penumbra (PEN)

Better Bets than Penumbra (PEN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PEN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Penumbra

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PENSYKMDTJNJBSXMedian
NamePenumbra Stryker MedtronicJohnson .Boston S. 
Mkt Price309.26352.5898.30210.3394.48210.33
Mkt Cap12.1134.8126.0506.5140.0134.8
Rev LTM1,33424,38134,75892,14919,35024,381
Op Inc LTM1734,7856,71924,1463,7204,785
FCF LTM1534,0735,20618,6793,6284,073
FCF 3Y Avg1113,2824,91717,8142,3783,282
CFO LTM2034,8327,11324,2044,6264,832
CFO 3Y Avg1403,9526,62623,2093,3053,952

Growth & Margins

PENSYKMDTJNJBSXMedian
NamePenumbra Stryker MedtronicJohnson .Boston S. 
Rev Chg LTM14.6%11.0%5.3%5.1%21.6%11.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg17.2%10.8%4.1%6.1%15.6%10.8%
Rev Chg Q17.8%10.2%6.6%6.8%20.3%10.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.2%2.4%1.6%1.7%4.6%2.4%
Op Mgn LTM13.0%19.6%19.3%26.2%19.2%19.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.6%19.5%18.6%26.4%18.0%18.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.5%0.0%-0.1%1.7%0.9%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM15.2%19.8%20.5%26.3%23.9%20.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.6%17.8%19.9%26.4%19.8%19.8%
FCF/Rev LTM11.4%16.7%15.0%20.3%18.7%16.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.2%14.7%14.8%20.3%14.1%14.7%

Valuation

PENSYKMDTJNJBSXMedian
NamePenumbra Stryker MedtronicJohnson .Boston S. 
Mkt Cap12.1134.8126.0506.5140.0134.8
P/S7.45.83.64.87.55.8
P/EBIT52.929.519.713.840.129.5
P/E60.448.026.517.851.848.0
P/CFO48.729.317.718.431.329.3
Total Yield1.7%3.0%6.6%8.4%1.9%3.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.9%2.9%2.7%0.0%0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.3%2.6%4.3%4.4%2.0%2.6%
D/E0.00.10.20.10.10.1
Net D/E-0.00.10.20.10.10.1

Returns

PENSYKMDTJNJBSXMedian
NamePenumbra Stryker MedtronicJohnson .Boston S. 
1M Rtn11.0%-2.1%2.1%6.1%-7.2%2.1%
3M Rtn20.7%-6.2%4.7%19.5%-4.1%4.7%
6M Rtn20.3%-5.1%16.5%41.5%-6.8%16.5%
12M Rtn24.9%-4.1%24.8%48.1%4.5%24.8%
3Y Rtn38.6%51.4%41.5%31.2%106.2%41.5%
1M Excs Rtn10.3%-2.8%1.4%5.3%-7.9%1.4%
3M Excs Rtn18.6%-7.8%2.3%20.2%-5.2%2.3%
6M Excs Rtn7.9%-17.5%4.1%29.1%-19.2%4.1%
12M Excs Rtn14.9%-16.1%12.0%36.8%-6.2%12.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-24.8%-22.7%-32.2%-38.9%32.0%-24.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Thrombectomy677511   
Embolization and Access381336   
Neuro  339293332
Vascular  409268216
Total1,059847748560547


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,514,769
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-10.2%
Average Daily Volume495,947
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.05
Basic Shares Quantity39,078,378
Short % of Basic Shares3.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/202517.3%24.3%30.7%
7/29/202511.9%5.7%17.5%
2/18/202512.0%3.9%3.1%
10/30/20248.3%10.6%15.5%
7/30/2024-3.5%-1.0%15.8%
5/7/2024-3.3%-0.6%-6.5%
2/22/2024-9.3%-10.6%-14.4%
11/2/2023-0.2%-7.3%15.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101011
# Negative121211
Median Positive10.1%8.8%15.5%
Median Negative-3.1%-5.7%-11.2%
Max Positive17.3%25.7%40.5%
Max Negative-9.7%-19.0%-16.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025423202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021222202210-K 12/31/2021