Tearsheet

PDF Solutions (PDFS)


Market Price (12/13/2025): $30.1 | Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

PDF Solutions (PDFS)


Market Price (12/13/2025): $30.1
Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -73%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 123x
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include AI Chips, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10.0%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.2%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include AI Chips, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -73%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 123x
4 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10.0%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.2%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PDFS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

PDF Solutions (PDFS) has experienced significant developments in the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 13, 2025, contributing to its stock movement. While a precise 47.4% movement within this exact timeframe isn't explicitly detailed, several factors indicate strong positive momentum and analyst confidence.

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: PDF Solutions reported record third-quarter 2025 total revenues of $57.1 million, marking a 23% increase over the comparable quarter last year. The company also achieved a GAAP gross margin of 72% and a non-GAAP gross margin of 76%, alongside an 8% GAAP operating margin and 23% non-GAAP operating margin.

2. Positive Analyst Ratings and Outlook: As of December 8, 2025, PDF Solutions held a "Strong Buy" consensus rating from analysts, with 67% recommending a Strong Buy. Analysts anticipate strong financial performance for Q3 2025, with expected revenue growth of approximately 21% year-over-year. Additionally, as of December 9, 2025, the average analyst rating was "Strong Buy," with an average price target of $34.50, forecasting an 8.08% increase over the next year.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PDFS Return28%47%-10%13%-16%18%89%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PDFS Win Rate50%58%33%67%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate70% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PDFS Max Drawdown-48%-23%-39%-7%-16%-39% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: Q, LRCX, AMAT, KLAC, TER.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPDFSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-44.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven80.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven99.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven79 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-67.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven205.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven645 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-93.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1427.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1408 days1480 days

Compare to Q, LRCX, AMAT, KLAC, TER


In The Past

PDF Solutions's stock fell -44.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/10/2023. A -44.5% loss requires a 80.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About PDF Solutions (PDFS)

Better Bets than PDF Solutions (PDFS)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PDFS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for PDF Solutions

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PDFSQLRCXAMATKLACTERMedian
NamePDF Solu.Qnity El.Lam Rese.Applied .KLA Teradyne  
Mkt Price30.1478.94160.52259.211,193.92193.37176.94
Mkt Cap1.2-203.0162.8157.330.7157.3
Rev LTM2074,66519,59228,36812,5242,8608,595
Op Inc LTM39946,4668,4705,2315393,113
FCF LTM-217885,5505,6983,8734572,330
FCF 3Y Avg0-4,9646,9263,4134273,413
CFO LTM81,0686,3847,9584,2486752,658
CFO 3Y Avg18-5,5318,4453,7376113,737

Growth & Margins

PDFSQLRCXAMATKLACTERMedian
NamePDF Solu.Qnity El.Lam Rese.Applied .KLA Teradyne  
Rev Chg LTM21.2%-25.7%4.4%22.1%4.5%21.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.7%-4.0%3.2%8.7%-4.3%4.0%
Rev Chg Q23.1%11.1%27.7%-3.5%13.0%4.3%12.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.5%2.8%6.3%-0.9%3.0%1.1%2.9%
Op Mgn LTM1.4%21.3%33.0%29.9%41.8%18.8%25.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg0.8%-30.2%29.2%38.9%19.4%29.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.3%0.0%1.0%-0.3%0.5%-0.4%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM4.0%22.9%32.6%28.1%33.9%23.6%25.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.8%-32.5%30.9%34.0%22.0%30.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-10.0%16.9%28.3%20.1%30.9%16.0%18.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.1%-29.3%25.4%31.1%15.4%25.4%

Valuation

PDFSQLRCXAMATKLACTERMedian
NamePDF Solu.Qnity El.Lam Rese.Applied .KLA Teradyne  
Mkt Cap1.2-203.0162.8157.330.7157.3
P/S4.9-8.65.711.37.67.6
P/EBIT-1,248.3-25.3-27.541.626.4
P/E-19,243.2-29.123.333.549.329.1
P/CFO122.6-26.520.533.532.332.3
Total Yield-0.0%-4.1%5.1%3.7%2.4%3.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%-0.7%0.9%0.7%0.4%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.1%-4.4%-3.6%2.2%2.9%
D/E0.1-0.0-0.00.00.0
Net D/E0.0--0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

Returns

PDFSQLRCXAMATKLACTERMedian
NamePDF Solu.Qnity El.Lam Rese.Applied .KLA Teradyne  
1M Rtn16.1%-14.1%-0.4%12.6%-0.3%7.9%3.8%
3M Rtn55.5%-37.7%54.8%24.1%72.4%54.8%
6M Rtn55.5%-80.4%52.7%38.1%133.2%55.5%
12M Rtn-0.8%-114.3%54.8%86.2%60.6%60.6%
3Y Rtn-2.7%-248.0%138.0%200.6%102.9%138.0%
1M Excs Rtn16.4%-13.8%-0.1%12.9%0.1%8.3%4.2%
3M Excs Rtn50.2%-31.9%48.7%17.7%66.4%48.7%
6M Excs Rtn41.3%-66.2%38.5%23.9%118.9%41.3%
12M Excs Rtn-13.4%-103.1%42.5%74.5%52.8%52.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-73.3%-200.6%77.4%143.3%40.8%77.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment166    
Analytics 130935750
Integrated Yield Ramp 18183136
Total1661491118886


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment3    
Total3    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,375,605
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520251.0%
Average Daily Volume291,876
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.71
Basic Shares Quantity39,500,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-3.8%-8.5% 
8/7/2025-11.0%-13.9%-10.4%
5/8/2025-6.1%4.5%0.2%
2/13/2025-18.2%-18.1%-22.3%
11/7/20243.2%-3.2%-4.0%
8/8/20242.8%10.0%-6.6%
5/9/20244.5%2.9%4.2%
2/15/20240.3%-4.0%-5.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121110
# Negative121314
Median Positive4.6%7.3%15.1%
Median Negative-8.6%-11.0%-10.4%
Max Positive26.1%31.6%23.4%
Max Negative-18.2%-19.3%-47.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021