Paymentus (PAY)
Market Price (4/15/2026): $25.74 | Market Cap: $3.2 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Tobacco
Paymentus (PAY)
Market Price (4/15/2026): $25.74Market Cap: $3.2 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Tobacco
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Cloud Computing, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -14% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 43x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 48x Key risksPAY key risks include [1] margin pressure due to volume discounts and a strategic shift towards higher-volume, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Cloud Computing, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -14% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 43x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 48x |
| Key risksPAY key risks include [1] margin pressure due to volume discounts and a strategic shift towards higher-volume, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Disappointing 2026 Revenue Guidance and Projected Growth Deceleration.
Despite exceeding Q4 2025 revenue and adjusted EPS estimates, Paymentus provided revenue guidance for the first quarter of 2026 in the range of $330 million to $340 million, which was perceived as conservative and slightly below the consensus estimate of approximately $331.6 million to $334.1 million. More significantly, the full-year 2026 revenue guidance of $1.39 billion to $1.41 billion missed the consensus estimate of $1.429 billion. This full-year forecast implies a growth rate of 16-18%, representing a notable deceleration from the 37.3% revenue growth reported for the full year 2025 and the 28.1% year-over-year growth in Q4 2025. This anticipated slowdown in growth prompted a negative market reaction, with the stock falling approximately 6% on earnings day.
2. Analyst Price Target Reductions.
Following the release of the Q4 2025 earnings report and the conservative guidance for 2026, several investment firms adjusted their price targets for Paymentus, reflecting a more cautious outlook. For example, Wedbush adjusted its price target for Paymentus from $40 to $32.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -18.6% change in PAY stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -27.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 31.59 | 25.73 | -18.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,124 | 1,197 | 6.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 66.6 | 48.2 | -27.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 125 | 126 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -18.6% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PAY | -18.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 37.2% |
| Sector (XLP) | 4.9% | -13.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -15.9% change in PAY stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -29.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 30.60 | 25.73 | -15.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,045 | 1,197 | 14.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 68.2 | 48.2 | -29.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 125 | 126 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -15.9% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PAY | -15.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 16.7% |
| Sector (XLP) | 4.8% | -0.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -1.4% change in PAY stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -34.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 26.10 | 25.73 | -1.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 872 | 1,197 | 37.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.1% | 5.6% | 10.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 73.7 | 48.2 | -34.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 125 | 126 | -0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -1.4% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PAY | -1.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 37.7% |
| Sector (XLP) | 1.9% | 15.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 190.4% change in PAY stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 140.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.86 | 25.73 | 190.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 497 | 1,197 | 140.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.2 | 2.7 | 23.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 123 | 126 | -1.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 190.4% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PAY | 190.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 30.1% |
| Sector (XLP) | 17.7% | 9.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PAY Return | 52% | -77% | 123% | 83% | -3% | -23% | 6% |
| Peers Return | 1% | -9% | 7% | 11% | 1% | -8% | 1% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 81% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PAY Win Rate | 42% | 17% | 75% | 50% | 33% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 40% | 52% | 57% | 50% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PAY Max Drawdown | -0% | -80% | -9% | -17% | -26% | -27% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -25% | -15% | -16% | -27% | -13% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ACIW, JKHY, CSGS, FLYW, WEX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/14/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PAY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -80.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 420.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 693 days | 464 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -29.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -93.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1439.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 820 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to ACIW, JKHY, CSGS, FLYW, WEX
In The Past
Paymentus's stock fell -80.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/6/2021. A -80.8% loss requires a 420.3% gain to breakeven.
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About Paymentus (PAY)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Stripe for utility and government bill payments.
ADP for large-scale bill collection.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```html- Electronic Bill Presentment and Payment (EBPP) Services: Enables billers to present bills electronically to customers and process their payments efficiently through a cloud-based platform.
- Enterprise Customer Communication: Provides solutions for billers to manage and deliver communications to their customers, often related to billing, payments, and account information.
- Self-Service Revenue Management: Offers tools that allow customers to manage their accounts and make payments independently, streamlining revenue collection for billers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Paymentus (PAY) sells primarily to other companies, specifically to "billers" across various industries. The company provides its cloud-based bill payment technology and solutions to organizations in the utility, financial service, insurance, government, telecommunication, and healthcare sectors.
While Paymentus serves thousands of clients and typically does not disclose individual "major customers" that account for a significant portion of its revenue (no single customer accounted for 10% or more of revenue in its most recent disclosures), one highly significant strategic relationship that drives substantial business for Paymentus is its long-standing partnership with:
- Fiserv (FISV): A leading global provider of financial services technology. Fiserv integrates Paymentus's Instant Payment Network (IPN) into its offerings (such as the Carat platform) and resells Paymentus solutions to its vast network of financial institution clients. This partnership is a crucial component of Paymentus's revenue generation and market reach, making Fiserv a major partner and customer in a broader strategic sense.
Due to the nature of Paymentus's SaaS business model serving a broad and diverse client base of billers, specific names of other individual major customer companies are not publicly disclosed.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Dushyant Sharma, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Dushyant Sharma is the founder of Paymentus, serving as President, Chief Executive Officer, and a member of the Board of Directors since its inception, and currently also as Chairman. Before founding Paymentus in 2004, Mr. Sharma co-founded Derivion Corporation, a SaaS-based electronic billing company, in 1998. Derivion was acquired by Metavante Corporation, a banking and payment technologies provider, in 2001. Mr. Sharma continued his employment with Metavante from May 2001 to November 2004. Paymentus also received early backing from venture capital and private equity firms, including a significant Series B investment in 2011 from Accel-KKR.
Sanjay Kalra, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Sanjay Kalra has served as the Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Paymentus since March 2023. Prior to joining Paymentus, he was the Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Harmonic Inc., a Nasdaq-listed virtualized broadband and video delivery solutions company, from June 2017 to March 2023. Mr. Kalra also previously held the position of Chief Accounting Officer at Harmonic, Corporate Controller at TiVo, Inc., and Vice President and Corporate Controller at Model N, Inc.. He began his career in public accounting at Ernst & Young LLP.
Jerry Portocalis, Chief Commercial Officer
Jerry Portocalis has been the Chief Commercial Officer of Paymentus since October 2020. Before this role, he served as the Senior Vice President, Sales and Operations for Paymentus starting in October 2012. Prior to joining Paymentus, Mr. Portocalis was the President and Chief Executive Officer of QT Technologies, a business-process outsourcing and ePayments company, from October 2006 to March 2012.
Andrew Gerber, General Counsel and Secretary
Andrew Gerber has served as the General Counsel and Secretary of Paymentus since January 2022. Before joining Paymentus, he was an attorney at Premier, Inc., a publicly traded technology-driven healthcare improvement company, from 2013 to 2022, most recently holding the position of Deputy General Counsel and Assistant Secretary. From 1998 to 2013, Mr. Gerber worked as an associate and then partner at several international law firms, where he advised clients across various industries on matters related to securities, governance, and mergers and acquisitions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Paymentus Holdings, Inc. (PAY) include the highly competitive market landscape, significant regulatory and compliance challenges, and a reliance on strategic partnerships for revenue generation.
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Competitive Market Landscape and Sustaining Growth: Paymentus operates in a highly competitive and fragmented market, facing challenges from both legacy solution providers and newer fintech innovations like embedded finance solutions. The company must continuously innovate and offer superior services to maintain its competitive advantage and market share. There is no guarantee that Paymentus can sustain its historical growth momentum, as its ability to attract and retain billers and financial institutions is subject to intense competitive pressures and the need for ongoing platform enhancements.
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Regulatory and Compliance Risks: Handling a large volume of sensitive personal and financial data exposes Paymentus to extensive, complex, and frequently changing regulatory requirements at federal, state, and international levels. These regulations cover areas such as payments, data protection, privacy, and information security. Increased scrutiny on financial technology companies (FinTech) for consumer protection, including practices related to "junk fees," also poses a risk. Failures to comply can lead to significant liabilities, fines, reputational damage, and restrictions on operations. Moreover, the company faces ongoing cybersecurity threats, with potential material financial losses and reputational harm from breaches or fraudulent activities.
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Reliance on Partnerships: A substantial portion of Paymentus's revenue is dependent on its partnerships with financial institutions and other entities. The loss of a major partnership or the inability to establish, grow, or maintain these critical relationships could significantly impair the company's ability to compete effectively and would negatively impact its operating results and financial condition.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Two clear emerging threats for Paymentus are:
-
Rapid adoption of Real-Time Payment (RTP) networks like FedNow: These networks enable instant payment settlement and are being increasingly integrated by banks and financial institutions. While Paymentus can integrate with these networks, their rise could empower billers and banks to offer more direct, faster payment solutions, potentially disintermediating some of Paymentus's traditional payment processing services and shifting competition towards underlying payment infrastructure rather than comprehensive EBPP platforms.
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Embedded payments and "Payments-as-a-Service" (PaaS) offerings by enterprise software providers and major financial institutions: There is a growing trend for core enterprise resource planning (ERP) systems, industry-specific software (e.g., for utilities, healthcare), and large banks to integrate robust bill presentment, payment, and reconciliation functionalities directly into their primary platforms. This offers billers a more seamless, single-vendor solution, potentially reducing the need for standalone, specialized EBPP providers like Paymentus as payment capabilities become a standard feature of broader business management tools.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable markets for Paymentus Holdings, Inc.'s (PAY) main products and services are as follows:
-
Electronic Bill Presentment and Payment (EBPP) / Bill Payment Software:
- The global Electronic Bill Presentment and Payment market size was valued at USD 30.78 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 67.43 billion by 2033, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 10.3% during the forecast period (2026–2033).
- The United States Electronic Bill Presentment Payment Market size was valued at USD 54.45 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 117.09 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 8.88% from 2026-2034.
- The total number of bills paid annually in the United States is 16.8 billion, with 16.2 billion bills paid through non-Paymentus channels and billers, representing the remaining addressable market.
-
Cloud-based Bill Payment Technology (Cloud Billing Market):
- The global Cloud Billing Market is estimated to be valued at USD 6.2 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 25.3 billion by 2035, registering a CAGR of 15.2% over the forecast period.
- Another estimate places the global cloud billing market size at USD 15.83 billion in 2026, growing to USD 30.64 billion by 2031 at a CAGR of 14.12%.
-
Enterprise Customer Communication (Customer Communication Management - CCM):
- The global Enterprise Customer Communications Management Market size is likely to be valued at USD 2.8 billion in 2026 and is expected to reach USD 5.6 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 10.5% during the forecast period from 2026 and 2033.
- North America dominates the global Enterprise CCM market, commanding approximately 26.5% market value share in 2025, with the United States alone representing 18.20% of global market value. Another source indicates North America holds approximately 45% of the global share.
-
Self-Service Revenue Management (Revenue Management Solutions Market and broader Self-Service Market context):
- The global Revenue Management Solutions Market is estimated to be valued at USD 23.8 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 56.9 billion by 2035, registering a CAGR of 9.1% over the forecast period.
- The USA Revenue Management Solutions Market is estimated to be valued at USD 8.6 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to reach a valuation of USD 18.1 billion by 2035, with sales projected to rise at a CAGR of 7.8% over the forecast period.
- For the broader self-service market, the global Self-Service Market size was valued at USD 41.27 billion in 2024 and is poised to grow from USD 44.04 billion in 2025 to USD 73.98 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 6.7% during the forecast period (2026–2033). North America generated the highest revenue in the global self-service market in 2022.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Paymentus (NYSE: PAY) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies: * **Growth in New Biller Implementations:** The company consistently emphasizes that an increased number of billers and new implementations are significant contributors to its revenue growth. Paymentus reported strong customer activity and demand throughout 2025 and ended the year with a substantial backlog, providing visibility into continued growth from new client acquisitions for 2026 and beyond. * **Expansion into New Markets and Verticals, including Large Enterprise Clients:** Paymentus is strategically focusing on expanding its footprint by targeting larger enterprise clients and new industry verticals. This shift in customer mix is expected to lead to higher revenue and contribution profit per transaction. The company is also exploring opportunities in international expansion and the B2B sector. * **Increased Transaction Volume and Value from Existing Customers:** Beyond acquiring new billers, Paymentus sees substantial growth potential within its existing customer base, with opportunities to more than double its business through "same-store sales." This indicates that increasing the volume and value of transactions processed for current clients remains a significant revenue driver. * **Improved Pricing Strategies and Favorable Customer Mix Shift:** Revenue growth is also being driven by improved pricing strategies and a favorable shift in its customer mix towards larger enterprise and mid-market clients. This has led to an increase in the average price per transaction. * **Technological Advancements and Platform Enhancements:** Paymentus views technological innovation, particularly advancements in AI, as a "floodgate of opportunity" to enhance operational efficiency and expand its global reach. The Instant Payment Network (IPN) is also a key component of its platform that strengthens its competitive advantage and expands its service reach to millions of additional consumers.AI Analysis | Feedback
Capital Allocation Decisions (Last 3-5 Years)
Share Issuance
- Paymentus completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) on May 26, 2021, pricing 10,000,000 shares of its Class A common stock at $21.00 per share, raising $210 million. This included an over-allotment option for an additional 1,500,000 shares.
- The company issues Restricted Stock Units (RSUs) under its 2021 Equity Incentive Plan to executives and a broad base of employees, with recent grants approved on March 9, 2026, designed for retention and performance.
- In August 2022, Paymentus entered into a warrant agreement with JPMorgan Chase (JPMC) for up to 684,510 shares of Class A common stock at an exercise price of $10.10 per share, related to an amendment of an existing commercial agreement.
Outbound Investments
- Paymentus acquired Payveris in August 2021 for approximately $152.2 million, paid with 56% cash and 44% in Paymentus Class A common stock. This acquisition was intended to accelerate its initiatives to serve financial institutions and expand its Instant Payment Network®.
- The company also acquired Finovera, a bill aggregation technology company, around August 2021.
Capital Expenditures
- Paymentus does not anticipate any material planned capital expenditures in the next 12 months.
- The company primarily focuses its resource allocation on ongoing initiatives such as sales and marketing, technology infrastructure, product development, regulatory compliance, and international expansion.
- Free cash flow is calculated by deducting capital expenditures and capitalized internal-use software development costs from net cash provided by operating activities.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to PAY.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03272026 | MZTI | Marzetti | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | TAP | Molson Coors Beverage | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.8% | -0.8% | -1.1% |
| 03272026 | JKHY | Jack Henry & Associates | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 03202026 | KHC | Kraft Heinz | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.3% | 4.3% | -1.7% |
| 03202026 | KMB | Kimberly-Clark | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.8% | -1.8% | -1.9% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 60.80 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.7 |
| Rev LTM | 1,492 |
| Op Inc LTM | 234 |
| FCF LTM | 191 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 182 |
| CFO LTM | 242 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 212 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 13.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.7 |
| P/S | 2.4 |
| P/EBIT | 17.5 |
| P/E | 30.5 |
| P/CFO | 14.5 |
| Total Yield | 4.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -11.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -3.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 11.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 30.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -13.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -7.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -16.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -38.1% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $25.73 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 3.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/29/2005 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -35.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $24.89 | $30.50 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | 3.4% | -15.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 42.1% | 50.8% |
| Downside Capture | 0.90 | 0.58 |
| Upside Capture | 164.30 | 73.42 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 39.6% | 24.7% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.52 | 1.40 | 1.30 | 0.75 | 1.05 | 1.16 |
| Up Beta | -0.18 | 0.25 | 1.83 | 0.79 | 1.23 | 1.30 |
| Down Beta | 0.35 | 1.17 | 0.79 | 0.76 | 0.95 | 1.12 |
| Up Capture | 122% | 192% | 104% | 46% | 78% | 184% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 15 | 26 | 34 | 68 | 127 | 370 |
| Down Capture | 26% | 150% | 166% | 101% | 105% | 100% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 28 | 57 | 123 | 374 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PAY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAY | -2.1% | 50.9% | 0.12 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 4.9% | 12.8% | 0.11 | 7.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 24.2% | 12.9% | 1.49 | 26.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 53.4% | 27.6% | 1.55 | -12.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 26.8% | 16.2% | 1.47 | -10.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 18.7% | 13.8% | 1.00 | 20.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -6.8% | 42.9% | -0.05 | 13.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PAY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAY | -2.0% | 63.0% | 0.22 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.0% | 13.2% | 0.24 | 15.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.1% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 41.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.5% | 17.8% | 1.03 | 2.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.7% | 18.8% | 0.51 | 7.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.9% | 18.8% | 0.11 | 33.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 5.8% | 56.5% | 0.32 | 24.0% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PAY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAY | -2.8% | 57.9% | 0.16 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.1% | 14.7% | 0.35 | 13.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 38.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.3% | 15.9% | 0.75 | -0.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.8% | 17.6% | 0.42 | 7.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 27.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.7% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 16.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/3/2025 | 26.2% | 32.1% | 27.6% |
| 8/4/2025 | 12.0% | 16.5% | 29.6% |
| 3/10/2025 | 24.6% | 14.9% | -1.3% |
| 11/12/2024 | 27.0% | 34.4% | 31.4% |
| 8/8/2024 | 13.9% | 18.8% | 5.3% |
| 3/4/2024 | 20.2% | 27.3% | 30.2% |
| 11/6/2023 | 7.0% | 6.2% | 17.6% |
| 8/7/2023 | 31.2% | 27.2% | 49.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 11 | 8 |
| # Negative | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 13.9% | 16.5% | 28.6% |
| Median Negative | -18.0% | -26.8% | -10.3% |
| Max Positive | 31.2% | 34.4% | 49.2% |
| Max Negative | -28.4% | -38.4% | -35.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/24/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/11/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/05/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/03/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/06/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/3/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Revenue | 307.00 Mil | 309.50 Mil | 312.00 Mil | Higher New | |||
| Q4 2025 Contribution Profit | 99.00 Mil | 100.00 Mil | 101.00 Mil | Higher New | |||
| Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 34.00 Mil | 35.00 Mil | 36.00 Mil | Higher New | |||
| 2025 Revenue | 1.17 Bil | 1.18 Bil | 1.18 Bil | 4.3% | Raised | Guidance: 1.13 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Contribution Profit | 378.00 Mil | 379.00 Mil | 380.00 Mil | 2.2% | Raised | Guidance: 371.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 132.00 Mil | 133.00 Mil | 134.00 Mil | 6.4% | Raised | Guidance: 125.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Prior: Q2 2025 Earnings Reported 8/4/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q3 2025 Revenue | 278.00 Mil | 280.00 Mil | 282.00 Mil | ||||
| Q3 2025 Contribution Profit | 92.00 Mil | 93.00 Mil | 94.00 Mil | ||||
| Q3 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 30.00 Mil | 31.00 Mil | 32.00 Mil | ||||
| 2025 Revenue | 1.12 Bil | 1.13 Bil | 1.13 Bil | 4.2% | Raised | Guidance: 1.08 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Contribution Profit | 369.00 Mil | 371.00 Mil | 373.00 Mil | 1.4% | Raised | Guidance: 366.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 123.00 Mil | 125.00 Mil | 127.00 Mil | 4.2% | Raised | Guidance: 120.00 Mil for 2025 | |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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