Tearsheet

Paymentus (PAY)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $29.99 | Market Cap: $3.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Paymentus (PAY)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $29.99
Market Cap: $3.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.6%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
Key risks
PAY key risks include [1] margin pressure due to volume discounts and a strategic shift towards higher-volume, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Cloud Computing, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
 
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Cloud Computing, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
3 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.6%
4 Key risks
PAY key risks include [1] margin pressure due to volume discounts and a strategic shift towards higher-volume, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PAY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The Paymentus (PAY) stock experienced a decline of approximately 20% in the month leading up to December 18, 2025. While specific, explicit reasons for this exact percentage drop within the requested timeframe (August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025) are not clearly detailed in the available information, the observed movement reflects recent market activity. Notably, this decline occurred despite the company reporting strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025. Here are potential factors related to the stock's movement, drawing on available information and market dynamics: 1. Observed Stock Decline. The stock price of Paymentus decreased by 19.86% in the past month as of December 18, 2025, reflecting recent market activity. This is corroborated by a 20.35% decrease over one month as shown in stock performance charts. 2. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance. Paymentus reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results, with revenues of $310.7 million, marking a 34.2% year-over-year increase and outperforming analyst expectations by 10.7%. The company also achieved a strong beat on analysts' EBITDA estimates, and the market reacted positively initially, with the stock reportedly up 7.4% since the Q3 earnings were released. This suggests the subsequent decline was driven by factors beyond the headline Q3 performance.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PAY Return0%52%-77%123%83%-6%34%
Peers Return-13%10%24%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PAY Win Rate0%42%17%75%50%33% 
Peers Win Rate49%38%53%58%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PAY Max Drawdown0%-0%-80%-9%-17%-26% 
Peers Max Drawdown-26%-15%-13%-34% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FI, ACIW, JKHY, CSGS, FLYW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPAYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-80.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven420.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven693 days464 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-29.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven42.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-93.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1439.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven820 days1,480 days

Compare to GEN, PATH, S, VRNT, CHOW


In The Past

Paymentus's stock fell -80.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/6/2021. A -80.8% loss requires a 420.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Paymentus (PAY)

Better Bets than Paymentus (PAY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PAY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Paymentus

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PAYFIACIWJKHYCSGSFLYWMedian
NamePaymentusFiserv ACI Worl.Jack Hen.CSG Syst.Flywire  
Mkt Price29.99-48.20188.0976.9714.4448.20
Mkt Cap3.835.15.013.72.11.84.4
Rev LTM1,12421,1121,7312,4191,2175831,474
Op Inc LTM666,34434360215118247
FCF LTM1085,15728841316252225
FCF 3Y Avg534,12921629811793166
CFO LTM1456,77232864517960253
CFO 3Y Avg885,640257525139100198

Growth & Margins

PAYFIACIWJKHYCSGSFLYWMedian
NamePaymentusFiserv ACI Worl.Jack Hen.CSG Syst.Flywire  
Rev Chg LTM44.3%6.7%7.0%7.7%3.3%22.7%7.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg33.7%7.5%6.6%6.8%4.3%29.8%7.2%
Rev Chg Q34.2%8.0%6.8%7.3%2.9%27.6%7.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.6%2.0%1.8%1.8%0.7%8.0%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM5.8%30.0%19.8%24.9%12.4%3.1%16.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.3%26.7%18.6%23.3%12.0%-1.6%15.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%0.7%-0.1%0.9%0.0%2.0%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM12.9%32.1%18.9%26.7%14.7%10.2%16.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.3%28.4%15.8%23.0%11.7%21.3%18.5%
FCF/Rev LTM9.6%24.4%16.6%17.1%13.3%8.9%15.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.7%20.7%13.2%13.0%9.8%19.8%13.1%

Valuation

PAYFIACIWJKHYCSGSFLYWMedian
NamePaymentusFiserv ACI Worl.Jack Hen.CSG Syst.Flywire  
Mkt Cap3.835.15.013.72.11.84.4
P/S3.43.43.14.51.53.03.3
P/EBIT58.411.514.417.312.9189.215.8
P/E64.621.020.922.521.3-726.121.2
P/CFO26.510.516.616.89.929.716.7
Total Yield1.5%4.8%4.8%5.2%6.2%-0.1%4.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.8%1.5%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.7%5.3%4.6%2.6%7.4%4.4%4.5%
D/E0.00.40.20.00.30.00.1
Net D/E-0.10.40.1-0.00.2-0.20.1

Returns

PAYFIACIWJKHYCSGSFLYWMedian
NamePaymentusFiserv ACI Worl.Jack Hen.CSG Syst.Flywire  
1M Rtn-18.6%-4.1%15.3%-1.6%6.4%4.1%
3M Rtn-14.6%--3.1%18.1%17.7%6.7%6.7%
6M Rtn-8.3%-7.6%4.4%22.0%32.1%7.6%
12M Rtn-16.0%--10.4%7.3%46.7%-32.8%-10.4%
3Y Rtn273.9%-135.6%10.2%48.2%-33.9%48.2%
1M Excs Rtn-19.3%-3.4%14.6%-2.3%5.7%3.4%
3M Excs Rtn-14.6%--7.1%20.8%14.1%5.1%5.1%
6M Excs Rtn-20.7%--4.7%-8.0%9.6%19.7%-4.7%
12M Excs Rtn-23.8%--21.8%-5.1%35.1%-38.8%-21.8%
3Y Excs Rtn151.3%-63.9%-61.4%-27.2%-103.9%-27.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment614497396302
Total614497396302


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,223,184
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-7.2%
Average Daily Volume626,295
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.95
Basic Shares Quantity125,341,855
Short % of Basic Shares1.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/202526.2%32.1%27.6%
8/4/202512.0%16.5%29.6%
3/10/202524.6%14.9%-1.3%
11/12/202427.0%34.4%31.4%
8/8/202413.9%18.8%5.3%
3/4/202420.2%27.3%30.2%
11/6/20237.0%6.2%17.6%
8/7/202331.2%27.2%49.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive11118
# Negative447
Median Positive13.9%16.5%28.6%
Median Negative-18.0%-26.8%-10.3%
Max Positive31.2%34.4%49.2%
Max Negative-28.4%-38.4%-35.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024311202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023305202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022303202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021303202210-K 12/31/2021