Tearsheet

Plains GP (PAGP)


Market Price (12/21/2025): $18.735 | Market Cap: $3.7 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

Plains GP (PAGP)


Market Price (12/21/2025): $18.735
Market Cap: $3.7 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 7.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.6%, FCF Yield is 56%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -2.8%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 228%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 2.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.1 Bil
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.0%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
  Key risks
PAGP key risks include [1] revenue instability from upcoming contract roll-offs on its significant Cactus II, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Infrastructure. Themes include Hydrocarbon Transportation & Storage.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 7.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.6%, FCF Yield is 56%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 2.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.1 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Infrastructure. Themes include Hydrocarbon Transportation & Storage.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -2.8%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 228%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.0%
7 Key risks
PAGP key risks include [1] revenue instability from upcoming contract roll-offs on its significant Cactus II, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PAGP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points highlighting why Plains GP (PAGP) stock moved by approximately -1% during the period from August 31, 2025, to December 21, 2025: 1. Missed Q3 2025 Earnings

Plains GP Holdings reported a slight miss on both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue forecasts for the third quarter of 2025 on November 5, 2025. The company posted an EPS of $0.41 against a $0.42 forecast and revenue of $11.56 billion, falling short of the expected $12.15 billion, which led to a pre-market stock price decline of 0.81%.

2. Outlook for Lower End of Guidance Ranges

During the Q2 2025 earnings call on August 8, 2025, management indicated that both the full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance and the Permian growth outlook were likely to track toward the lower half of their respective ranges, potentially tempering investor expectations for future performance.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PAGP Return-51%29%32%38%24%10%56%
Peers Return-36%63%28%13%75%-7%145%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PAGP Win Rate42%67%58%75%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate42%75%61%53%78%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PAGP Max Drawdown-81%-0%0%-2%0%-5% 
Peers Max Drawdown-73%-1%-3%-10%-4%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KMI, OKE, TRGP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPAGPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-25.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven370 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-82.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven465.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,568 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-50.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss -56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven 131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to ENB, WMB, KMI, TRP, OKE


In The Past

Plains GP's stock fell -25.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/14/2021. A -25.2% loss requires a 33.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Plains GP (PAGP)

Better Bets than Plains GP (PAGP)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PAGP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.2%11.2%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.7%4.7%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
27.0%27.0%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.5%-5.5%-7.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.2%11.2%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.7%4.7%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
27.0%27.0%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.5%-5.5%-7.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Plains GP

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PAGPKMIOKETRGPMedian
NamePlains GPKinder M.ONEOK Targa Re. 
Mkt Price18.7026.4971.67178.9349.08
Mkt Cap3.758.945.238.541.9
Rev LTM47,45016,41631,56417,37824,471
Op Inc LTM1,6414,4595,9073,1143,787
FCF LTM2,0842,7572,9206432,420
FCF 3Y Avg1,9093,3752,7635242,336
CFO LTM2,8735,7355,6643,7404,702
CFO 3Y Avg2,5625,9184,8013,2704,035

Growth & Margins

PAGPKMIOKETRGPMedian
NamePlains GPKinder M.ONEOK Targa Re. 
Rev Chg LTM-4.9%8.3%58.4%7.2%7.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.9%-4.3%16.4%-6.2%-5.1%
Rev Chg Q-7.0%12.1%71.9%7.8%9.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.8%2.8%12.9%1.8%2.3%
Op Mgn LTM3.5%27.2%18.7%17.9%18.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.9%27.6%21.2%16.6%18.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.5%-0.5%-0.9%0.3%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM6.1%34.9%17.9%21.5%19.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg5.3%37.5%21.5%19.6%20.6%
FCF/Rev LTM4.4%16.8%9.3%3.7%6.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.9%21.5%12.7%3.1%8.3%

Valuation

PAGPKMIOKETRGPMedian
NamePlains GPKinder M.ONEOK Targa Re. 
Mkt Cap3.758.945.238.541.9
P/S0.13.61.42.21.8
P/EBIT1.813.27.112.39.7
P/E19.921.613.522.320.8
P/CFO1.310.38.010.39.1
Total Yield12.8%9.0%7.4%6.1%8.2%
Dividend Yield7.8%4.4%0.0%1.6%3.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg54.5%7.2%6.9%2.0%7.0%
D/E2.60.60.70.50.6
Net D/E2.30.50.70.40.6

Returns

PAGPKMIOKETRGPMedian
NamePlains GPKinder M.ONEOK Targa Re. 
1M Rtn3.9%-0.9%2.8%5.1%3.4%
3M Rtn4.5%-2.3%1.7%9.5%3.1%
6M Rtn-0.9%-3.3%-10.5%6.2%-2.1%
12M Rtn11.2%3.0%-24.6%3.5%3.2%
3Y Rtn91.1%74.7%29.0%165.7%82.9%
1M Excs Rtn1.7%-4.1%0.3%2.3%1.0%
3M Excs Rtn3.4%-3.5%-0.5%6.9%1.4%
6M Excs Rtn-13.2%-17.1%-21.1%-3.4%-15.1%
12M Excs Rtn-5.3%-9.0%-38.8%-12.0%-10.5%
3Y Excs Rtn18.0%1.4%-45.1%90.3%9.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Crude Oil47,17455,08040,47022,199 
Natural gas liquids (NGL)1,9352,7611,9681,360 
Intersegment Revenues Elimination-397-499-360-269-471
Facilities    609
Supply and Logistics    32,272
Transportation    1,259
Total48,71257,34242,07823,29033,669


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,645,399
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-1.0%
Average Daily Volume1,335,570
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.47
Basic Shares Quantity198,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-0.9%1.7%8.9%
8/8/2025-0.3%-1.2%-4.6%
5/9/2025-2.7%1.1%1.9%
2/7/2025-1.8%-1.0%-1.8%
11/8/2024-2.9%-3.2%2.5%
8/2/2024-3.1%-1.7%1.1%
5/3/20241.9%2.7%-1.3%
2/9/20240.9%3.7%7.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91315
# Negative15119
Median Positive1.9%2.7%5.2%
Median Negative-2.7%-2.8%-6.3%
Max Positive5.4%12.6%30.6%
Max Negative-9.0%-10.1%-19.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021