Tearsheet

Oxford Square Capital (OXSQ)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.845 | Market Cap: $146.4 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Oxford Square Capital (OXSQ)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.845
Market Cap: $146.4 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 22%, Dividend Yield is 24%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -73%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 80%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 971%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 70x
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -487%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit, and Private Equity.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1203%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1203%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 22%, Dividend Yield is 24%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 971%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit, and Private Equity.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -73%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 80%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 70x
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -487%
8 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1203%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1203%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OXSQ Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The request pertains to a future time period (August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025). As an AI, I do not have access to real-time future market data or news. Therefore, I cannot provide specific reasons for a stock movement in a period that has not yet occurred. However, based on the instruction to "simply ignore that date and use the most recent date for which you have information," and to provide potential explanatory factors for a stock decline, the following general points, drawn from available historical analysis of Oxford Square Capital (OXSQ) and Business Development Companies (BDCs), could contribute to a negative stock performance.

1. Declining Net Asset Value (NAV) and Net Investment Income: Oxford Square Capital's stock price has shown a long-term decline, and its net asset value (NAV) per share has been steadily decreasing. This trend can raise concerns about the company's fundamental health. Additionally, recent reports indicate declining net investment income, which is a key measure of profitability for BDCs.

2. Dividend Sustainability Concerns: Oxford Square Capital has a history of dividend cuts, with significant reductions in 2017, 2020, 2021, and 2024. The company's net investment income has often not been sufficient to cover its dividend payments, leading to a high dividend payout ratio based on earnings and cash flow. This inconsistency and the potential for future dividend reductions can make the stock less attractive to income-focused investors.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OXSQ Return-32%47%-14%11%-2%-12%-18%
Peers Return18%14%-11%8%1%1%33%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OXSQ Win Rate50%58%67%42%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate50%40%28%45%38%36% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OXSQ Max Drawdown-60%0%-23%-9%-3%-26% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-10%-25%-9%-9%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, FGNX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOXSQS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-43.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-66.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven201.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-33.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-84.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven547.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, FGNX


In The Past

Oxford Square Capital's stock fell -43.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2021. A -43.4% loss requires a 76.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Oxford Square Capital (OXSQ)

Better Bets than Oxford Square Capital (OXSQ)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OXSQ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Oxford Square Capital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OXSQVRTSSLRCDHILGEGFGNXMedian
NameOxford S.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmFG Nexus  
Mkt Price1.84163.1616.02116.902.603.179.59
Mkt Cap0.11.10.90.30.1-0.3
Rev LTM2874100152161258
Op Inc LTM-179-44-8-44
FCF LTM-2270104-35-9-4-6
FCF 3Y Avg2612513816-10-621
CFO LTM-2277104-32-9-4-6
CFO 3Y Avg2613213817-9-621

Growth & Margins

OXSQVRTSSLRCDHILGEGFGNXMedian
NameOxford S.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmFG Nexus  
Rev Chg LTM971.4%-1.2%-6.2%2.9%-8.5%-41.5%-3.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg326.6%-2.4%159.6%-2.1%13.5%80.0%46.7%
Rev Chg Q-487.5%-4.8%8.2%-2.0%-37.1%73.2%-3.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-38.5%-1.2%2.1%-0.6%-16.9%47.7%-0.9%
Op Mgn LTM-20.5%-28.8%-49.1%-20.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-18.9%-26.5%-74.1%-18.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.1%--0.2%-6.5%--0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-1,202.7%8.9%104.5%-21.2%-55.2%-33.1%-27.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-15.6%142.9%11.7%-56.6%-34.5%11.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-1,202.7%8.0%104.5%-23.1%-55.2%-33.5%-28.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-14.7%142.9%11.0%-66.7%-35.0%11.0%

Valuation

OXSQVRTSSLRCDHILGEGFGNXMedian
NameOxford S.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmFG Nexus  
Mkt Cap0.11.10.90.30.1-0.3
P/S69.61.58.32.53.4-3.4
P/EBIT-3.6-8.72.8-3.6
P/E-49.29.49.38.14.3-8.1
P/CFO-5.816.68.0-11.8-6.1--5.8
Total Yield21.5%15.6%21.5%16.6%23.4%-21.5%
Dividend Yield23.6%5.0%10.7%4.3%0.0%-5.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.0%8.7%16.7%2.9%-17.7%-8.7%
D/E1.22.01.40.01.1-1.2
Net D/E0.81.60.9-0.1-0.9-0.8

Returns

OXSQVRTSSLRCDHILGEGFGNXMedian
NameOxford S.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmFG Nexus  
1M Rtn-0.9%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.4%-12.2%0.4%
3M Rtn-11.8%-14.1%-0.8%-14.0%-15.9%-72.2%-14.1%
6M Rtn-10.9%-1.2%0.7%-10.1%20.6%--1.2%
12M Rtn-16.7%-30.3%5.6%-24.3%43.6%--16.7%
3Y Rtn-5.0%-7.0%43.3%-24.8%31.3%--5.0%
1M Excs Rtn-0.8%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.5%-12.2%0.5%
3M Excs Rtn-17.1%-21.2%-6.9%-21.0%-18.7%-74.5%-19.8%
6M Excs Rtn-25.7%-15.9%-14.1%-24.8%5.9%--15.9%
12M Excs Rtn-32.1%-44.0%-8.0%-37.4%29.3%--32.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-72.8%-75.8%-22.7%-96.4%-43.4%--72.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment42-6361-974
Total42-6361-974


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,551,131
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202534.0%
Average Daily Volume854,711
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.98
Basic Shares Quantity79,362,161
Short % of Basic Shares3.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024305202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023319202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022323202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021307202210-K 12/31/2021