Tearsheet

Oracle (ORCL)


Market Price (12/24/2025): $194.59 | Market Cap: $557.3 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Oracle (ORCL)


Market Price (12/24/2025): $194.59
Market Cap: $557.3 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 32%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, CFO LTM is 22 Bil
Key risks
ORCL key risks include [1] significant financial strain from its aggressive AI data center expansion, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, Cybersecurity, and Automation & Robotics. Show more.
 
0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 32%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, CFO LTM is 22 Bil
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, Cybersecurity, and Automation & Robotics. Show more.
3 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22%
4 Key risks
ORCL key risks include [1] significant financial strain from its aggressive AI data center expansion, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ORCL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

I am unable to provide information for a -13.5% stock movement for Oracle (ORCL) in the recent past leading up to December 24, 2025. This specific stock movement percentage and the implied future timeframe from the request do not correspond to publicly available data. Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -37.6% change in ORCL stock from 9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -49.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
923202512232025Change
Stock Price ($)313.29195.34-37.65%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)59018.0061017.003.39%
Net Income Margin (%)21.08%25.28%19.92%
P/E Multiple71.1636.27-49.03%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2826.002864.00-1.34%
Cumulative Contribution-37.66%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
ORCL-37.6% 
Market (SPY)3.7%35.0%
Sector (XLK)4.2%54.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The -8.9% change in ORCL stock from 6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -25.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
624202512232025Change
Stock Price ($)214.44195.34-8.91%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)57399.0061017.006.30%
Net Income Margin (%)21.68%25.28%16.61%
P/E Multiple48.3836.27-25.03%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2807.002864.00-2.03%
Cumulative Contribution-8.95%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
ORCL-8.9% 
Market (SPY)13.7%26.2%
Sector (XLK)18.2%46.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 16.6% change in ORCL stock from 12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 19.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
1223202412232025Change
Stock Price ($)167.47195.3416.64%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)54933.0061017.0011.08%
Net Income Margin (%)21.16%25.28%19.46%
P/E Multiple40.1936.27-9.76%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2790.002864.00-2.65%
Cumulative Contribution16.56%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
ORCL16.6% 
Market (SPY)16.7%45.7%
Sector (XLK)23.2%56.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 150.7% change in ORCL stock from 12/24/2022 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 52.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1224202212232025Change
Stock Price ($)77.90195.34150.75%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)46073.0061017.0032.44%
Net Income Margin (%)19.09%25.28%32.40%
P/E Multiple23.8736.2751.97%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2695.002864.00-6.27%
Cumulative Contribution149.76%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/24/2023 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
ORCL88.0% 
Market (SPY)48.4%47.7%
Sector (XLK)53.8%55.9%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ORCL Return24%37%-5%31%60%20%309%
Peers Return37%30%-31%64%32%21%223%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ORCL Win Rate67%58%33%58%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate62%65%32%67%68%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ORCL Max Drawdown-25%-6%-29%0%-3%-26% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-6%-37%-5%-7%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSFT, AMZN, CRM, GOOGL, IBM. See ORCL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/23/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventORCLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven237 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven112 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-19.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven23.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven266 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-41.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven284 days1,480 days

Compare to IBM, CRM, INTU, ADBE, SNPS

In The Past

Oracle's stock fell -41.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/15/2021. A -41.1% loss requires a 69.7% gain to breakeven.

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About Oracle (ORCL)

Oracle Corporation provides products and services that address enterprise information technology environments worldwide. Its Oracle cloud software as a service offering include various cloud software applications, including Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise resource planning (ERP), Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise performance management, Oracle Fusion cloud supply chain and manufacturing management, Oracle Fusion cloud human capital management, Oracle Fusion cloud advertising and customer experience, and NetSuite applications suite. The company also offers cloud-based industry solutions for various industries; Oracle application licenses; and Oracle license support services. In addition, it provides cloud and license business' infrastructure technologies, such as the Oracle Database, an enterprise database; Java, a software development language; and middleware, including development tools and others. The company's cloud and license business' infrastructure technologies also comprise cloud-based compute, storage, and networking capabilities through its Oracle cloud infrastructure as a service offerings. Further, it offers infrastructure offerings comprising Oracle autonomous data warehouse cloud service, Oracle autonomous transaction processing cloud service, Internet-of-Things, digital assistant, and blockchain. Additionally, the company provides hardware products and other hardware-related software offerings, including Oracle engineered systems, enterprise servers, storage solutions, industry-specific hardware, virtualization software, operating systems, management software, and related hardware services; and consulting services. The company markets and sells its cloud, license, hardware, support, and services offerings directly to businesses in various industries, government agencies, and educational institutions, as well as through indirect channels. Oracle Corporation was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Oracle is like **Microsoft, but with a primary focus on enterprise databases and business applications.**

Imagine **Amazon Web Services (AWS) combined with SAP**, offering both cloud infrastructure and a vast suite of enterprise software.

Oracle is like **the Cisco of enterprise software and databases**, providing the foundational IT plumbing for large corporations.

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  • Oracle Database: Oracle's flagship relational database management system, used for storing and retrieving data for enterprise applications.
  • Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI): This service provides a suite of public cloud infrastructure and platform services, including compute, storage, networking, and databases, for building and running applications (Category: Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS) & Platform as a Service (PaaS)).
  • Oracle Fusion Cloud Applications: These services offer a comprehensive suite of cloud-based enterprise software for functions like Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP), Human Capital Management (HCM), Supply Chain Management (SCM), and Customer Experience (CX) (Category: Software as a Service (SaaS)).
  • Java: A leading programming language and development platform, maintained by Oracle, used for building a wide range of enterprise, web, and mobile applications.

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Oracle Major Customers

Oracle (ORCL) primarily sells its software, hardware, and cloud services to other companies (business-to-business or B2B). Its extensive customer base spans a wide range of industries including financial services, telecommunications, retail, manufacturing, healthcare, and government agencies worldwide.

Some of Oracle's major customer companies that are publicly known users of its products and services include:

  • Bank of America (BAC)
  • JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)
  • AT&T Inc. (T)
  • Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)
  • Zoom Video Communications, Inc. (ZM)

These companies, among many others, utilize Oracle's diverse portfolio, which encompasses its leading database technologies, enterprise resource planning (ERP) systems (such as Oracle Fusion Cloud Applications and NetSuite), customer relationship management (CRM) solutions, and Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) services.

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Major suppliers for Oracle (ORCL) include:

  • AMD (AMD)
  • Intel (INTC)
  • NVIDIA (NVDA)
  • Micron Technology (MU)
  • Broadcom (AVGO)
  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM)

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Larry Ellison, Executive Chairman and Chief Technology Officer

Larry Ellison co-founded Oracle Corporation (originally Software Development Laboratories) in 1977 and served as its CEO until 2014, pioneering the relational database industry. He began his career as a computer programmer, notably building a database for the CIA that was code-named "Oracle," which inspired the company's name. Ellison never finished college, having briefly attended the University of Illinois and the University of Chicago. He has a history of diverse investments and board roles, including being an early investor in Theranos, serving on Tesla's board from 2018 to 2022, and currently owning nearly 50% of Paramount Skydance.

Safra Catz, Chief Executive Officer

Safra Catz joined Oracle in 1999. She became president in 2004, served as CFO from 2005 to 2008, and was appointed CEO in 2014, becoming the sole CEO in September 2019 after the passing of co-CEO Mark Hurd. Before her tenure at Oracle, Catz held various investment banking positions at Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette. She is recognized for leading numerous acquisitions for Oracle, including the significant $10.5 billion acquisition of PeopleSoft. She has served on the boards of HSBC and The Walt Disney Company, and in August 2025, she joined the board of Paramount Skydance.

Hiroshi "Hank" Kanno, Chief Financial Officer

Hiroshi "Hank" Kanno has served as Oracle's Chief Financial Officer since 2024, overseeing the company's global financial strategy, reporting, and investor relations. He joined Oracle in 2019 as Executive Vice President of Finance, bringing with him extensive experience from prominent investment banking roles at Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, where he specialized in the technology sector. Kanno holds an M.B.A. from Harvard Business School and a B.A. in Economics from the University of Tokyo.

Doug Kehring, Executive Vice President, Head of Operations

Doug Kehring joined Oracle in 2000 and currently serves as Executive Vice President and Head of Operations. In this role, he is responsible for facilitating operational changes and efficiencies, and overseeing corporate development, which has involved more than 140 acquisitions during his tenure. His background includes experience in investment banking at Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette and RBC Dain Rauscher before joining Oracle. He also oversees various global functions such as corporate real estate and facilities, global procurement, and corporate sustainability initiatives.

Clay Magouyrk, Executive Vice President, Oracle Cloud Infrastructure Development

Clay Magouyrk leads Oracle's Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) engineering organization, where he is responsible for the design and development of the company's second-generation cloud platform. Before joining Oracle, Magouyrk gained experience as a Software Development Engineer at Amazon Web Services (AWS). His expertise encompasses software development, cloud computing, and strategic leadership, which are critical to driving Oracle's cloud initiatives.

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Key Risks to Oracle's Business (ORCL)

  1. High Capital Expenditure, Increasing Debt, and Negative Free Cash Flow: Oracle is undertaking aggressive investments in AI-driven data center infrastructure, leading to substantial capital expenditures, a significant increase in its debt load (exceeding $93 billion to $111.6 billion), and persistent negative free cash flow. Analysts express concerns about Oracle's capacity to finance this expansion and convert its substantial contract backlog into profitable revenue streams. The company's lease commitments for data center space have surged to $248 billion, representing a timing mismatch with long-term lease agreements (15-19 years) versus shorter customer contracts (around 5 years), which could expose Oracle to risks if demand for AI services declines.
  2. Customer Concentration Risk: A significant portion of Oracle's Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) and future revenue is dependent on a few large AI customers, notably OpenAI and Meta Platforms. This concentration poses a substantial risk if these key partners experience financial difficulties, reduce their demand for Oracle's services, or choose to diversify their infrastructure providers. Some projections suggest that OpenAI alone could account for up to 33% of Oracle's revenue by 2028.
  3. Intense Competition in the Cloud Market: Oracle operates within a fiercely competitive technology landscape, contending with established hyperscale cloud providers such as Amazon Web Services (AWS), Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud across its core segments, including cloud infrastructure, database, and enterprise applications. Oracle also faces the challenge of shedding its perception as a legacy database company while aggressively expanding its modern cloud capabilities.

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The increasing preference among enterprises for cloud-native and managed open-source database solutions offered by rival hyperscale cloud providers (e.g., AWS Aurora, Azure SQL Database, Google Cloud Spanner) for new applications and migrations. This trend directly threatens Oracle's historically dominant proprietary database technology by offering more flexible, often more cost-effective, and cloud-optimized alternatives that can lock customers into competing cloud ecosystems, thereby diminishing Oracle's market share and revenue streams from its core database business.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Oracle (ORCL) operates in several large addressable markets, primarily focusing on cloud computing, enterprise resource planning (ERP) software, and database management systems. The market sizes for these key product and service areas are outlined below:

  • Cloud Computing (Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, SaaS, PaaS):
    • The global cloud computing market size was estimated at USD 752.44 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 2,390.18 billion by 2030, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 20.4% from 2025 to 2030.
    • Another estimate places the global cloud computing market at approximately USD 912.77 billion in 2025, with a projection to reach USD 5.15 trillion by 2034 at a CAGR of 21.2%.
    • The global cloud infrastructure services market reached USD 107 billion in Q3 2025.
    • North America held a significant revenue share of approximately 39.0% of the cloud computing market in 2024.
  • Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) Software (Oracle Fusion Cloud ERP, NetSuite ERP):
    • The global ERP software market was valued at USD 135.9 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 179.8 billion by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 5.7%.
    • Other sources indicate the global ERP market size is estimated at USD 73 billion in 2025.
    • The global ERP software market size was valued at USD 81.15 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow from USD 92.6 billion in 2025 to USD 229.79 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 13.8%.
    • The global cloud ERP market stood at USD 47.25 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 117.03 billion by 2030, reflecting a 19.89% CAGR.
    • In 2024, Oracle led the global ERP applications market with $8.7 billion in ERP software revenues, securing a 6.63% market share.
  • Database Software (Oracle Database):
    • The global database market size is valued at USD 150.38 billion in 2025 and is projected to climb to USD 292.22 billion by 2030, expanding at a 14.21% CAGR.
    • The global database management system market size was estimated at USD 100.79 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to reach USD 241.27 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 13.1%.
    • The global relational database market size was valued at USD 69.24 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 155.03 billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 10.60%.
    • North America dominated the database management system market with a share of 39.6% in 2023.

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Oracle (ORCL) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key areas:

  1. Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) Growth and AI Partnerships: A primary driver of Oracle's revenue growth is its rapidly expanding Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) business. Management projects OCI revenue to surge by 77% in fiscal year 2026, fueled by robust demand for artificial intelligence (AI) workloads and significant data center expansion. Oracle has established major AI partnerships, notably a five-year, $300 billion AI infrastructure agreement with OpenAI, positioning OCI as a crucial backbone for global AI workloads. Furthermore, OCI's growth is bolstered by strategic multi-cloud collaborations with Microsoft Azure, Amazon Web Services (AWS), and Google Cloud, which enable enterprises to seamlessly run Oracle's database services across these diverse platforms. Oracle is committed to expanding its global footprint by adding 20 more public cloud regions and investing $25 billion in capital expenditure for data center expansion.
  2. Expansion of SaaS Applications (Fusion Cloud ERP and NetSuite): Oracle's Software as a Service (SaaS) applications, particularly Fusion Cloud ERP and NetSuite, are consistently contributing to revenue growth. The applications segment, which encompasses ERP SaaS, has increased its share of Oracle's total revenue. In the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, Fusion ERP revenue grew by 17% year-over-year, while NetSuite saw a 16% increase. Both Fusion Cloud and NetSuite Cloud are identified as significant growth drivers within Oracle's SaaS portfolio, exhibiting strong growth rates of 15.6% and 19.4% respectively in fiscal year 2025. The broader cloud ERP market is expected to grow at an 18% compound annual growth rate (CAGR), providing a favorable environment for Oracle's offerings. Oracle is also enhancing its Fusion Suite by integrating AI agents, further driving demand for its consulting services in this area.
  3. Advancements in Oracle Autonomous Database and AI Capabilities: The Oracle Autonomous Database is a key innovation expected to drive future revenue. This fully automated and elastic database service supports a wide range of Oracle data types and workloads, including transaction processing, AI, and analytics. The Autonomous Database is specifically designed for AI, enabling businesses to develop scalable AI-powered applications that incorporate AI Vector Search. Its capabilities contribute to accelerated application development, improved uptime, and enhanced data security.
  4. Modernization and Integration of Cerner (Oracle Health): While the Cerner business (now Oracle Health) has experienced "near-term" challenges and impacted Oracle's growth in previous periods, the company views it as a significant long-term growth opportunity. Oracle is actively integrating Cerner into OCI and upgrading its Millennium platform. A key strategy involves leveraging generative AI within the Cerner electronic health record (EHR) platform and expanding Oracle Health's offerings across the healthcare ecosystem, with the aim of achieving dominance in the healthcare market.

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Share Repurchases

  • Oracle executed $5.3 billion in share repurchases during fiscal year 2025, a significant increase from $1.2 billion in the previous fiscal year.
  • In fiscal years 2022, 2023, and 2024, Oracle repurchased approximately $16.2 billion, $16.2 billion, and $16.2 billion, respectively.
  • The Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to an additional $10.0 billion of common stock in December 2021, under its existing share repurchase program, with no expiration date.

Share Issuance

  • Oracle's annual stock-based compensation expense, which contributes to share issuance, has increased from $3.547 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $3.974 billion in fiscal year 2024, and further to $4.674 billion in fiscal year 2025.

Outbound Investments

  • Oracle completed the acquisition of Cerner, a health information technology company, for approximately $28.3 billion in cash on June 8, 2022.
  • In January 2025, Oracle announced its participation in the "Stargate" joint venture with OpenAI, SoftBank, and MGX, which plans to invest $500 billion over four years in artificial intelligence infrastructure in the United States.
  • Oracle announced a $1 billion investment in Spain in June 2024 to enhance AI and cloud computing capabilities, including the creation of a new cloud region in Madrid.

Capital Expenditures

  • Oracle's capital expenditures have significantly increased, reaching $21.215 billion in fiscal year 2025, up from $6.866 billion in fiscal year 2024, $8.695 billion in fiscal year 2023, $4.511 billion in fiscal year 2022, and $2.135 billion in fiscal year 2021.
  • The company expects its capital expenditures for fiscal year 2026 to be over $35 billion, with forecasts indicating further increases to $42.739 billion in fiscal year 2027 and $61.258 billion in fiscal year 2028.
  • The primary focus of these capital expenditures is the rapid expansion of Oracle's global cloud infrastructure footprint, including building new cloud regions, high-density AI superclusters, and data centers, driven by surging demand for AI-driven workloads and cloud services.

Better Bets than Oracle (ORCL)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to ORCL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.2%10.2%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.2%16.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
ORCL_8312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%08312025ORCLOracleQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-13.5%-13.5%-20.9%
ORCL_8312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312022ORCLOracleMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
17.5%65.1%-17.6%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Oracle

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ORCLMSFTAMZNCRMGOOGLIBMMedian
NameOracle MicrosoftAmazon.c.Salesfor.Alphabet Internat. 
Mkt Price195.34486.85232.14263.43314.35303.78283.61
Mkt Cap559.53,618.82,469.3249.73,799.2283.71,514.4
Rev LTM61,017293,812670,03840,317385,47765,402179,607
Op Inc LTM19,490135,93776,1908,880124,07711,54447,840
FCF LTM-13,18178,01713,48112,89573,55211,85413,188
FCF 3Y Avg2,15571,30221,67711,19468,99811,75316,715
CFO LTM22,296147,039121,13713,502151,42413,48371,716
CFO 3Y Avg19,874121,38496,97711,882120,99013,49858,425

Growth & Margins

ORCLMSFTAMZNCRMGOOGLIBMMedian
NameOracle MicrosoftAmazon.c.Salesfor.Alphabet Internat. 
Rev Chg LTM11.1%15.6%10.9%8.4%13.4%4.5%11.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.8%13.2%11.3%10.0%11.0%2.6%10.5%
Rev Chg Q14.2%18.4%13.3%8.6%15.9%9.1%13.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.4%4.3%3.0%2.1%3.8%2.1%3.2%
Op Mgn LTM31.9%46.3%11.4%22.0%32.2%17.7%27.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg30.8%44.6%7.9%19.2%29.9%16.4%24.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%0.6%0.3%0.8%-0.5%0.6%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM36.5%50.0%18.1%33.5%39.3%20.6%35.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg35.5%47.2%15.8%31.8%35.3%21.4%33.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-21.6%26.6%2.0%32.0%19.1%18.1%18.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.1%28.0%3.5%30.0%20.5%18.6%19.6%

Valuation

ORCLMSFTAMZNCRMGOOGLIBMMedian
NameOracle MicrosoftAmazon.c.Salesfor.Alphabet Internat. 
Mkt Cap559.53,618.82,469.3249.73,799.2283.71,514.4
P/S9.212.33.76.29.94.37.7
P/EBIT26.427.829.028.124.924.927.1
P/E36.334.535.034.630.635.934.8
P/CFO25.124.620.418.525.121.022.8
Total Yield3.7%3.6%2.9%3.4%3.5%5.0%3.6%
Dividend Yield1.0%0.7%0.0%0.5%0.3%2.2%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.3%2.3%1.1%4.9%3.3%6.4%2.8%
D/E0.20.00.10.00.00.20.0
Net D/E0.2-0.00.0-0.0-0.00.20.0

Returns

ORCLMSFTAMZNCRMGOOGLIBMMedian
NameOracle MicrosoftAmazon.c.Salesfor.Alphabet Internat. 
1M Rtn-1.7%3.1%5.2%16.2%5.0%2.1%4.0%
3M Rtn-37.6%-4.2%5.2%7.9%25.0%12.2%6.5%
6M Rtn-8.9%-0.3%9.1%-2.5%88.8%4.7%2.2%
12M Rtn16.6%12.7%3.1%-22.7%62.1%40.4%14.7%
3Y Rtn150.7%108.8%172.3%106.0%255.0%139.3%145.0%
1M Excs Rtn-6.4%-1.5%0.5%11.5%0.3%-2.5%-0.6%
3M Excs Rtn-40.7%-8.5%1.3%3.2%23.2%10.1%2.3%
6M Excs Rtn-20.4%-14.2%-3.9%-14.7%71.0%-7.8%-11.0%
12M Excs Rtn-0.9%-5.6%-13.8%-38.9%49.6%21.4%-3.2%
3Y Excs Rtn75.4%24.4%84.9%28.5%171.5%62.5%68.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Cloud and software44,46441,08636,05234,10132,523
Services5,4315,5943,2053,0213,106
Hardware3,0663,2743,1833,3593,443
Cloud and license revenues  0-2-4
Total52,96149,95442,44040,47939,068


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Cloud and software28,514    
Hardware1,915    
Services916    
Acquisition related and other-314    
Restructuring-404    
Expense allocations and other, net-419    
Stock-based compensation for operating segments-1,382    
General and administrative-1,548    
Amortization of intangible assets-3,010    
Research and development-8,915    
Total15,353    


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$195.34 
Market Cap ($ Bil)552.0 
First Trading Date03/12/1986 
Distance from 52W High-40.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$232.58$213.54
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA-16.0%-8.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility51.5%61.7%
Downside Capture249.02188.90
Upside Capture-18.04176.43
Correlation (SPY)35.4%45.8%
ORCL Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.421.171.361.371.411.31
Up Beta0.700.87-1.64-0.251.001.05
Down Beta5.111.741.481.481.341.38
Up Capture-83%-30%151%204%285%373%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days8172566128410
Down Capture213%189%226%168%139%107%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days11243759120338

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of ORCL With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 ORCLSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return19.3%26.5%18.8%72.9%9.0%3.7%-11.4%
Annualized Volatility61.4%27.6%19.5%19.2%15.3%17.2%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio0.500.830.762.720.360.05-0.14
Correlation With Other Assets 56.7%45.6%5.6%22.7%17.7%21.2%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of ORCL With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 ORCLSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return27.6%19.1%14.8%18.9%11.8%4.7%35.5%
Annualized Volatility38.7%24.7%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.9%
Sharpe Ratio0.730.700.700.980.510.160.62
Correlation With Other Assets 52.4%48.1%6.4%11.0%26.6%13.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of ORCL With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 ORCLSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return19.5%22.4%14.8%15.1%6.8%5.4%69.1%
Annualized Volatility33.0%24.2%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.620.850.710.850.310.230.90
Correlation With Other Assets 58.5%56.1%4.1%17.3%35.6%11.3%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity25,279,450
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520253.7%
Average Daily Volume25,816,395
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity2,864,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/10/2025-10.8%-20.0% 
9/9/202535.9%27.0%19.5%
6/11/202513.3%19.6%33.5%
3/10/2025-3.1%3.5%-16.3%
12/9/2024-6.7%-10.1%-18.7%
9/9/202411.4%21.8%24.6%
6/11/202413.3%16.8%17.2%
3/11/202411.7%12.0%7.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111418
# Negative13106
Median Positive11.7%9.5%7.5%
Median Negative-5.6%-8.5%-16.3%
Max Positive35.9%27.0%33.7%
Max Negative-13.5%-20.0%-18.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
113020251211202510-Q 11/30/2025
8312025910202510-Q 8/31/2025
5312025618202510-K 5/31/2025
2282025311202510-Q 2/28/2025
113020241210202410-Q 11/30/2024
8312024910202410-Q 8/31/2024
5312024620202410-K 5/31/2024
2292024312202410-Q 2/29/2024
113020231212202310-Q 11/30/2023
8312023912202310-Q 8/31/2023
5312023620202310-K 5/31/2023
2282023310202310-Q 2/28/2023
113020221213202210-Q 11/30/2022
8312022913202210-Q 8/31/2022
5312022621202210-K 5/31/2022
2282022311202210-Q 2/28/2022