Ocean Power Technologies (OPTT)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $0.44 | Market Cap: $76.1 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Ocean Power Technologies (OPTT)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $0.44Market Cap: $76.1 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -42% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -102% | Penny stockMkt Price is 0.4 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Wave Energy Technology, and Offshore Remote Power Solutions. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -24 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -423% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 14x | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.1% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -316%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -347% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -34% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 160% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -42% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Wave Energy Technology, and Offshore Remote Power Solutions. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -102% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 0.4 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -24 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -423% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 14x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.1% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -316%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -347% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -34% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 160% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
OPTT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Ocean Power Technologies (OPTT) experienced a stock price decline of 15.2% during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025. This movement can be attributed to several key factors:
1. Continuing Net Losses in Financial Reports: Despite an increase in backlog, the company reported a net loss of $4.453 million on operating revenue of $1.301 million for its fiscal first quarter 2026 (ended July 31, 2025), which was announced on September 15, 2025. Additionally, the fiscal fourth quarter 2025 results, reported on November 20, 2025, showed a net loss of $21.5 million, even with a 7% increase in revenue. These ongoing losses likely contributed to investor uncertainty regarding profitability.
2. Proposal for Increased Authorized Common Stock: Around December 1, 2025, a proxy statement was released proposing to increase the authorized common stock from 300 million to 400 million shares. Such a proposal often raises concerns among investors about potential future share dilution, which can negatively impact the stock price.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OPTT Return | 209% | -45% | -70% | -30% | 223% | -57% | -49% |
| Peers Return | 17% | 14% | -9% | 52% | 40% | 13% | 192% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OPTT Win Rate | 50% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 58% | 38% | 62% | 60% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OPTT Max Drawdown | -61% | -45% | -70% | -40% | -60% | -68% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -40% | -11% | -29% | -2% | -5% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GGG, GHM, PH, ITW, GWW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | OPTT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -95.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2063.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -67.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 208.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 141 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -98.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 8171.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -97.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 4582.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to GGG, GHM, PH, ITW, GWW
In The Past
Ocean Power Technologies's stock fell -95.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/25/2021. A -95.4% loss requires a 2063.0% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Ocean Power Technologies Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to OPTT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.5% | 9.5% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.5% | 9.5% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Ocean Power Technologies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 166.40 |
| Mkt Cap | 30.1 |
| Rev LTM | 9,038 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,538 |
| FCF LTM | 928 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,003 |
| CFO LTM | 1,360 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,331 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 30.1 |
| P/S | 4.8 |
| P/EBIT | 19.3 |
| P/E | 26.3 |
| P/CFO | 22.7 |
| Total Yield | 4.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.7% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 1.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 0.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 47.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -8.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -14.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -20.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -25.8% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9152025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 7242025 | 10-K 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3172025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12162024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9162024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 7252024 | 10-K 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3132024 | 10-Q 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12132023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9132023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 7282023 | 10-K 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3132023 | 10-Q 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12142022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9122022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 7132022 | 10-K 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3142022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12142021 | 10-Q 10/31/2021 |
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