Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -95%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 116%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Creator Economy Monetization, and Ad-Tech Platforms.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 73x
2   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 108%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.8%
4   Key risks
STGW key risks include [1] significant client concentration coupled with a lack of long-term contracts and [2] a high level of indebtedness that restricts financial flexibility.
0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 11%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Creator Economy Monetization, and Ad-Tech Platforms.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -95%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 116%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 73x
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 108%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.8%
7 Key risks
STGW key risks include [1] significant client concentration coupled with a lack of long-term contracts and [2] a high level of indebtedness that restricts financial flexibility.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

STGW Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Benchmark Downgrade: On May 9, 2025, Stagwell Inc. (STGW) shares plummeted by 5.41% after Benchmark downgraded the stock from a "Buy" rating to "Hold."

2. Revenue Reporting Changes: A key factor in the downgrade was Stagwell's transition from quarterly to annual disclosure of organic net revenue growth.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
STGW Return-10%245%-28%7%-1%-16%99%
Peers Return12%39%-15%20%-1%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
STGW Win Rate42%75%50%42%33%42% 
Peers Win Rate54%60%42%58%56%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
STGW Max Drawdown-63%-5%-44%-35%-22%-37% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-7%-31%-8%-12%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: OMC, IPG, ACN, CTSH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSTGWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-62.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven163.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-64.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven178.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven319 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-86.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven620.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-79.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven390.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven510 days1,480 days

Compare to DV, TTD, OMC, IPG, MGNI


In The Past

Stagwell's stock fell -62.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/5/2021. A -62.1% loss requires a 163.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Stagwell (STGW)

Better Bets than Stagwell (STGW)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Stagwell Earnings Notes 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to STGW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.3%-4.3%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.4%-3.4%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.3%-0.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-27.9%-27.9%-29.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.3%-4.3%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.4%-3.4%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.3%-0.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-27.9%-27.9%-29.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Stagwell

Peers to compare with:

Financials

STGWOMCIPGACNCTSHMedian
NameStagwell Omnicom Interpub.AccentureCognizan. 
Mkt Price5.3182.70-273.7483.6383.16
Mkt Cap1.416.09.0170.540.616.0
Rev LTM2,89016,06510,34569,67320,85716,065
Op Inc LTM1462,1411,45010,2263,2742,141
FCF LTM1531,66884010,8742,6511,668
FCF 3Y Avg1171,2977909,4952,0891,297
CFO LTM2431,82695911,4742,9451,826
CFO 3Y Avg1761,41194810,0432,3941,411

Growth & Margins

STGWOMCIPGACNCTSHMedian
NameStagwell Omnicom Interpub.AccentureCognizan. 
Rev Chg LTM6.8%4.1%-5.2%7.4%7.4%6.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.7%4.0%-1.3%4.2%2.6%3.7%
Rev Chg Q4.5%4.0%-6.4%7.3%7.4%4.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.1%1.0%-1.6%1.7%1.8%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM5.1%13.3%14.0%14.7%15.7%14.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.2%14.1%13.5%14.4%15.2%14.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.6%-0.6%0.6%-0.7%0.2%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM8.4%11.4%9.3%16.5%14.1%11.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.4%9.1%8.9%15.1%12.0%9.1%
FCF/Rev LTM5.3%10.4%8.1%15.6%12.7%10.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.3%8.4%7.4%14.3%10.4%8.4%

Valuation

STGWOMCIPGACNCTSHMedian
NameStagwell Omnicom Interpub.AccentureCognizan. 
Mkt Cap1.416.09.0170.540.616.0
P/S0.51.00.92.21.61.0
P/EBIT10.17.29.714.69.69.7
P/E73.211.820.420.015.320.0
P/CFO5.98.79.413.411.19.4
Total Yield1.4%11.9%10.4%7.4%7.0%7.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.5%5.5%2.4%0.5%2.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg14.4%7.6%7.3%5.2%6.1%7.3%
D/E1.30.40.50.10.00.4
Net D/E1.20.20.3-0.0-0.00.2

Returns

STGWOMCIPGACNCTSHMedian
NameStagwell Omnicom Interpub.AccentureCognizan. 
1M Rtn5.6%13.2%-13.4%17.5%13.3%
3M Rtn1.9%8.0%-14.2%19.9%11.1%
6M Rtn23.5%20.2%--9.6%6.6%13.4%
12M Rtn-25.7%-3.7%--21.8%4.9%-12.8%
3Y Rtn-21.4%18.3%-9.1%58.1%13.7%
1M Excs Rtn4.8%12.5%-12.7%16.8%12.6%
3M Excs Rtn-1.2%7.4%-13.7%18.2%10.5%
6M Excs Rtn11.1%7.8%--22.0%-5.8%1.0%
12M Excs Rtn-38.2%-16.3%--33.2%-4.9%-24.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-94.7%-51.8%--69.8%-19.6%-60.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Integrated Agencies Network1,4191,475770230 
Brand Performance Network728757425  
Communications Network334436249383 
Elimination47    
All Other 20262140
Media Network   254 
Communications, Public Affairs and Advocacy    112
Digital — Content    158
Digital — Marketing    208
Research — Corporate    52
Research — Technology    58
Total2,5272,6881,469888629


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Integrated Agencies Network27029216442 
Brand Performance Network9811666  
Communications Network52874679 
All Other-11-1-1-2-3
Impairment and other losses-11-122-16  
Deferred acquisition consideration-1313-19-4-16
Other items, net-45-19-21-14-7
Corporate-48-43-21-4-3
Stock-based compensation-57-33-75  
Depreciation and amortization-143-131-78-41 
Media Network   28 
Communications, Public Affairs and Advocacy    14
Digital — Content    11
Digital — Marketing    25
Research — Corporate    6
Research — Technology    13
Total91159458441


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,764,677
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-0.2%
Average Daily Volume1,499,119
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.18
Basic Shares Quantity255,952,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/202516.8%7.3%16.6%
7/31/202511.0%9.7%7.4%
5/8/2025-14.0%-7.9%-22.7%
2/27/2025-5.2%-7.2%-9.8%
11/7/20242.9%7.7%7.0%
8/1/2024-5.5%-9.0%4.9%
2/27/2024-25.0%-19.9%-18.7%
11/2/20235.6%11.9%26.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1098
# Negative8910
Median Positive8.3%11.9%7.2%
Median Negative-5.4%-9.0%-10.2%
Max Positive24.6%29.5%31.7%
Max Negative-25.0%-19.9%-32.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024311202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023311202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022306202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021317202210-K 12/31/2021