Stagwell (STGW)
Market Price (2/4/2026): $5.4 | Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Advertising
Stagwell (STGW)
Market Price (2/4/2026): $5.4Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Advertising
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 11% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -59%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 121% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Creator Economy Monetization, and Ad-Tech Platforms. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 71x | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7% | ||
| Key risksSTGW key risks include [1] significant client concentration coupled with a lack of long-term contracts and [2] a high level of indebtedness that restricts financial flexibility. |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 11% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Creator Economy Monetization, and Ad-Tech Platforms. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -59%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 121% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 71x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7% |
| Key risksSTGW key risks include [1] significant client concentration coupled with a lack of long-term contracts and [2] a high level of indebtedness that restricts financial flexibility. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat and Positive Financial Outlook.
Stagwell reported its Q3 2025 earnings on November 6, 2025, with an adjusted EPS of $0.24, surpassing analyst expectations by 4.35% to 14.29%. The company also demonstrated a 4% year-over-year increase in Q3 revenue, reaching $743 million, and a 6% rise in net revenue, which grew to 10% excluding advocacy. The positive financial momentum was further supported by a 12% growth in Digital Transformation Net Revenue and a 9% increase in Marketing Services Net Revenue. Stagwell also provided optimistic 2025 guidance, projecting approximately 8% total net revenue growth and an adjusted EPS range of $0.75–$0.88.
2. Strategic Partnership with Palantir and Enhanced Focus on AI.
Concurrent with its Q3 2025 earnings report, Stagwell announced a "Groundbreaking Partnership with Palantir" on November 6, 2025. CEO Mark Penn highlighted this collaboration as evidence of Stagwell's leadership in applying AI for marketing. This strategic move signals a significant pivot towards technology-driven marketing solutions, with an anticipated increase in software sales from 2% to 5% in 2025.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 14.3% change in STGW stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.75 | 5.43 | 14.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,859 | 2,890 | 1.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 0.5 | 11.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 261 | 256 | 1.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 14.3% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| STGW | 14.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.1% | 12.2% |
| Sector (XLC) | 2.6% | 11.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -5.2% change in STGW stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -8.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.73 | 5.43 | -5.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,859 | 2,890 | 1.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.5 | 0.5 | -8.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 261 | 256 | 1.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -5.2% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| STGW | -5.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.4% | 16.2% |
| Sector (XLC) | 10.0% | 18.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -13.0% change in STGW stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -96.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.24 | 5.43 | -13.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,707 | 2,890 | 6.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.0% | 0.7% | 5845.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 2,177.9 | 70.6 | -96.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 108 | 256 | -57.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -13.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| STGW | -13.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.6% | 37.7% |
| Sector (XLC) | 16.0% | 38.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -22.6% change in STGW stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -51.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.02 | 5.43 | -22.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,592 | 2,890 | 11.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.3% | 0.7% | -49.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 25.5 | 70.6 | 177.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 125 | 256 | -51.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -22.6% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| STGW | -22.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.9% | 36.6% |
| Sector (XLC) | 120.1% | 31.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| STGW Return | 245% | -28% | 7% | -1% | -26% | 24% | 142% |
| Peers Return | 31% | -18% | 26% | 3% | -5% | -2% | 29% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 2% | 86% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| STGW Win Rate | 75% | 50% | 42% | 33% | 33% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 44% | 61% | 58% | 47% | 33% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 100% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| STGW Max Drawdown | -5% | -44% | -35% | -22% | -37% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -9% | -31% | -5% | -12% | -22% | -4% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: OMC, ACN, CTSH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/3/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | STGW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -62.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 163.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -64.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 178.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 319 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -86.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 620.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -79.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 390.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 510 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to OMC, ACN, CTSH
In The Past
Stagwell's stock fell -62.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/5/2021. A -62.1% loss requires a 163.9% gain to breakeven.
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About Stagwell (STGW)
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Stagwell (STGW):
- A modern WPP.
- The digitally-driven Omnicom.
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- Creative & Content Services: Developing advertising campaigns, brand identities, and digital content across various platforms.
- Media Services: Strategic planning, buying, and optimization of media placements across digital, traditional, and emerging channels.
- Digital Transformation & Consulting: Advising clients on digital strategy, customer experience, technology implementation, and product innovation.
- Data, Insights & Performance Marketing: Leveraging data analytics to gain consumer insights, measure campaign effectiveness, and drive optimized marketing performance.
- Public Relations & Influencer Marketing: Managing corporate communications, media relations, crisis management, and engaging with influencers to shape public perception.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Stagwell (STGW) operates primarily on a business-to-business (B2B) model, providing marketing, advertising, public relations, and digital transformation services to other companies.
Stagwell's client base is highly diversified, serving thousands of companies globally across a wide range of industries. According to their public filings, no single client represents a significant portion of their total net revenue. For instance, in 2023, their largest client accounted for approximately 1.5% of their total net revenue, and their top 100 clients represented approximately 30% of their total net revenue. This client diversification means there are no "major customers" that individually account for a material percentage of their revenue.
Due to the confidential nature of client relationships in the advertising and marketing industry, and the absence of any individually significant clients that would require public disclosure, Stagwell does not publicly identify its specific major customers by name. Their client portfolio includes both well-established, "world's most recognizable brands" and emerging "challenger brands" across various sectors.
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nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Mark Penn Chairman & CEO
Mark J. Penn is the Chairman and CEO of Stagwell Inc., which he founded. He also founded The Stagwell Group, a private equity firm that invests in marketing services agencies, with a $250 million investment from former Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer. Penn spearheaded the combination of The Stagwell Group with MDC Partners to create Stagwell Inc.. He was the co-founder and CEO of Penn Schoen Berland, a market research firm he built and sold to WPP. Additionally, he served as CEO of Burson-Marsteller (part of WPP) and was Executive Vice President and Chief Strategy Officer at Microsoft Corporation. He also served as White House Pollster to President Bill Clinton for six years and was chief strategist for his 1996 re-election campaign.
Ryan Greene Chief Financial Officer
Ryan Greene was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Stagwell in July 2025, after previously serving as the company's Chief Operating Officer (COO). In his role as COO, he was responsible for achieving $65 million in cost synergies for Stagwell since 2021. Before the 2021 merger that formed Stagwell Inc., Greene held the position of CFO for Stagwell Media and The Stagwell Group.
Frank Lanuto EVP, Finance
Frank Lanuto transitioned to the role of EVP, Finance in July 2025, having previously served as Stagwell Inc.'s Chief Financial Officer. He joined Stagwell Global in 2019, bringing extensive experience in public company accounting and finance within the advertising and marketing agency sector, including work with Interpublic, Publicis, and Omnicom. His prior roles include Vice President, Corporate Controller at Movado Group, Inc., and Chief Financial Officer at Randstad USA. He also served as Executive Vice President and CFO at Initiative Media Worldwide, a division of Interpublic Group, and CFO at Publicis Healthcare Communications, as well as COO and CFO of Rapp Collins Worldwide, part of the Omnicom Group.
Jay Leveton President
Jay Leveton serves as the President of Stagwell.
Ryan Linder EVP, Global Chief Marketing Officer
Ryan Linder holds the position of EVP, Global Chief Marketing Officer at Stagwell. He possesses an extensive background in marketing, with previous roles including Chief Marketing Officer, US at MDC Partners, and SVP of Chief Growth Officer at Doner Advertising & Media and Media Assembly. His career commenced with activating brands for Jack Morton Worldwide.
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Here are the key business risks for Stagwell (STGW):- Client Concentration and Lack of Long-Term Contracts: A substantial portion of Stagwell's revenue is generated from a limited number of clients, with the top ten clients accounting for approximately 21% of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2024. This creates a significant risk, as the loss of even a few major clients or a reduction in their spending could lead to a material decline in revenue growth. Furthermore, clients typically do not sign long-term contracts and have the ability to terminate their relationships with Stagwell on relatively short notice for various reasons, including competitive reviews, economic conditions, financial distress, or dissatisfaction with services.
- High Indebtedness and Limited Financial Flexibility: Stagwell carries a significant amount of debt, reporting US$1.47 billion in debt as of March 2025, with net debt around US$1.33 billion. The company's interest coverage is weak, and its total liabilities significantly outweigh its cash and near-term receivables. This substantial indebtedness could restrict the company's financial flexibility, increase its vulnerability to adverse economic changes, and make it challenging to service debt, especially if earnings decline.
- Sensitivity to Economic Conditions and Client Spending: Stagwell's financial performance is highly susceptible to broader economic conditions. Unfavorable macroeconomic factors such as inflation, currency fluctuations, and elevated interest rates can lead clients to reduce their marketing and advertising budgets. A downturn in client spending directly impacts Stagwell's revenue and profitability, as marketing expenditures are often among the first areas companies cut during economic uncertainty.
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The rapid advancement and widespread adoption of generative artificial intelligence (AI) and automation tools, which are increasingly capable of performing tasks central to marketing services. These tasks include creative content generation (copywriting, imagery, video), media planning and optimization, and data analysis. This development threatens to fundamentally alter the demand for human-led agency services by enabling brands to execute more marketing functions internally at lower costs, diminishing the perceived value of traditional agency outputs, and shifting the landscape of marketing service delivery.
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Stagwell's main products and services operate within several addressable markets:
- Marketing Services and Digital Transformation: The global digital advertising and marketing market was estimated at $667 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $786.2 billion by 2026. The U.S. digital advertising and marketing market was estimated at $460 billion in 2024.
- Communications (Public Relations): The global public relations market is estimated at USD 106.63 billion in 2025 and is forecast to reach USD 153.18 billion by 2030. North America dominated this market with a 38% share in 2024.
- Media & Commerce (Media Buying): The global media buying services market is expected to reach USD 80,510 million by 2025. North America holds the largest share of the media buying services market.
- The Marketing Cloud: null
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Stagwell Inc. (STGW) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market trends:
- Growth in Digital Transformation Services: Stagwell's Digital Transformation capability has been a significant growth engine, with net revenue growth of 18% in Q3 2024 and 12% in Q3 2025 (excluding advocacy). The company continues to see accelerating growth in this area, particularly with increasing demand for AI projects and digital transformation initiatives.
- Expansion and Monetization of Stagwell Marketing Cloud (SMC) and AI-driven Solutions: The Stagwell Marketing Cloud has shown strong performance, growing 30% in Q3 2024 and 9.2% in Q3 2025, with organic net revenue growth of 23% in Q3 2024 and 45% (excluding advocacy) in Q1 2025. Stagwell is making substantial investments in AI and proprietary platforms, including a strategic partnership with Palantir to develop an AI-driven marketing platform and the launch of Agent Cloud. The company anticipates the Marketing Cloud achieving positive adjusted EBITDA by late 2026.
- New Business Wins and Deepening Existing Client Relationships: Stagwell consistently reports strong net new business, with a record $130 million in Q1 2025. The company has secured significant wins with major clients such as PayPal, Panera, CarMax, Celsius, and Hyatt. Additionally, its top 25 clients showed a 16% year-over-year increase in annual net revenue in Q3 2025, reaching an average of $28 million per client.
- International Market Expansion: International markets represent a notable growth opportunity for Stagwell. The company reported a 25.9% increase in total net revenue from international operations in Q3 2025, with EMEA leading the growth at 39.6%. Stagwell has focused on cementing its footprint in regions like the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) and Asia-Pacific (APAC) throughout 2024 to support global clients.
- Targeted Growth in Government Services: Stagwell aims for its government services segment to account for 10% to 15% of its total business over the next 2-3 years. This strategic focus involves developing dedicated government service units and concentrating on securing major contracts within this sector.
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Share Repurchases
- Stagwell's Board of Directors initially authorized a $125 million stock repurchase program on March 23, 2022, set to expire on March 23, 2025.
- The program was increased to an aggregate of $250 million on March 1, 2023, and further to $375 million on November 6, 2024, with a new expiration date of November 6, 2027.
- As of Q3 2025, Stagwell repurchased 17.6 million Class A shares for $90 million year-to-date, with $79.6 million remaining under the authorization.
Share Issuance
- On April 2, 2025, Stagwell converted all outstanding Class C shares to Class A common stock to simplify its capital structure and enhance stock liquidity.
Outbound Investments
- Stagwell made 11 acquisitions throughout 2024, and continued with further acquisitions in 2025 including Gold Rabbit Sports in February and JetFuel in May.
- Recent acquisitions in Q3 2025 included ADK for $21.7 million cash, JetFuel for $22.2 million in cash and shares (with up to $59.5 million contingent consideration), and Create for $15.7 million (with up to ~$24.0 million contingent consideration).
- Key strategic acquisitions focused on expanding digital capabilities, global footprint, and AI-enabled marketing solutions, such as Brand New Galaxy in April 2022 and LEADERS (including InfluencerMarketing.AI) in July 2024.
Capital Expenditures
- Year-to-date capital expenditures as of Q3 2025 totaled $72 million.
- Approximately $45 million of these capital expenditures were for capitalized software, primarily supporting technology investments in the Stagwell Marketing Cloud, market research platforms, and ongoing product development.
- An additional $26 million was invested in acquiring key data assets for IP platforms, technology refreshes, and leasehold improvements.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Stagwell Stock (+8.5%): OPPO Win Signals APAC Traction | 01/16/2026 | |
| Stagwell Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 71.25 |
| Mkt Cap | 24.7 |
| Rev LTM | 18,461 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,708 |
| FCF LTM | 2,160 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,693 |
| CFO LTM | 2,385 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,902 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 24.7 |
| P/S | 1.3 |
| P/EBIT | 10.2 |
| P/E | 18.3 |
| P/CFO | 9.8 |
| Total Yield | 7.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.6% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -7.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -2.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -16.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -15.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -12.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -30.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -80.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Integrated Agencies Network | 1,419 | 1,475 | 770 | 230 | |
| Brand Performance Network | 728 | 757 | 425 | ||
| Communications Network | 334 | 436 | 249 | 383 | |
| Elimination | 47 | ||||
| All Other | 20 | 26 | 21 | 40 | |
| Media Network | 254 | ||||
| Communications, Public Affairs and Advocacy | 112 | ||||
| Digital — Content | 158 | ||||
| Digital — Marketing | 208 | ||||
| Research — Corporate | 52 | ||||
| Research — Technology | 58 | ||||
| Total | 2,527 | 2,688 | 1,469 | 888 | 629 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Integrated Agencies Network | 270 | 292 | 164 | 42 | |
| Brand Performance Network | 98 | 116 | 66 | ||
| Communications Network | 52 | 87 | 46 | 79 | |
| All Other | -11 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -3 |
| Impairment and other losses | -11 | -122 | -16 | ||
| Deferred acquisition consideration | -13 | 13 | -19 | -4 | -16 |
| Other items, net | -45 | -19 | -21 | -14 | -7 |
| Corporate | -48 | -43 | -21 | -4 | -3 |
| Stock-based compensation | -57 | -33 | -75 | ||
| Depreciation and amortization | -143 | -131 | -78 | -41 | |
| Media Network | 28 | ||||
| Communications, Public Affairs and Advocacy | 14 | ||||
| Digital — Content | 11 | ||||
| Digital — Marketing | 25 | ||||
| Research — Corporate | 6 | ||||
| Research — Technology | 13 | ||||
| Total | 91 | 159 | 45 | 84 | 41 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $5.43 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/17/1995 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -22.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $5.57 | $5.25 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | up |
| Distance from DMA | -2.5% | 3.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 71.0% | 57.0% |
| Downside Capture | 62.82 | 116.02 |
| Upside Capture | 135.90 | 83.75 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 8.0% | 37.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.01 | 1.51 | 0.46 | 0.63 | 1.09 | 1.34 |
| Up Beta | 2.98 | 0.01 | 0.75 | 1.09 | 1.22 | 1.37 |
| Down Beta | -0.29 | 1.21 | 0.01 | 0.60 | 1.09 | 1.38 |
| Up Capture | 370% | 265% | 136% | 48% | 76% | 144% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 19 | 28 | 59 | 117 | 353 |
| Down Capture | -79% | 139% | -6% | 50% | 103% | 108% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 21 | 31 | 62 | 126 | 372 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with STGW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STGW | -12.5% | 57.0% | -0.02 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 16.1% | 18.7% | 0.66 | 38.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.6% | 19.2% | 0.63 | 37.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 77.2% | 24.5% | 2.30 | -2.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.0% | 16.5% | 0.40 | 2.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.9% | 16.5% | -0.00 | 32.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -23.4% | 40.3% | -0.56 | 1.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with STGW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STGW | 14.2% | 56.7% | 0.46 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 12.7% | 20.8% | 0.51 | 34.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 17.0% | 0.68 | 38.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.5% | 16.8% | 1.04 | 2.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 12.0% | 18.9% | 0.51 | 7.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 18.8% | 0.16 | 32.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 20.9% | 57.5% | 0.56 | 13.7% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with STGW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STGW | -11.1% | 72.2% | 0.16 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 9.7% | 22.5% | 0.53 | 29.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.6% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 31.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.6% | 15.5% | 0.84 | -2.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 10.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.8% | 0.24 | 27.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 69.9% | 66.5% | 1.09 | 9.0% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 16.8% | 7.3% | 16.6% |
| 7/31/2025 | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% |
| 5/8/2025 | -14.0% | -7.9% | -22.7% |
| 2/27/2025 | -5.2% | -7.2% | -9.8% |
| 11/7/2024 | 2.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% |
| 8/1/2024 | -5.5% | -9.0% | 4.9% |
| 2/27/2024 | -25.0% | -19.9% | -18.7% |
| 11/2/2023 | 5.6% | 11.9% | 26.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| # Negative | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 8.3% | 11.9% | 7.2% |
| Median Negative | -5.4% | -9.0% | -10.2% |
| Max Positive | 24.6% | 29.5% | 31.7% |
| Max Negative | -25.0% | -19.9% | -32.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/11/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/11/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/06/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/17/2022 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Samaha, Eli | See footnote | Buy | 6062025 | 4.27 | 425,757 | 1,817,982 | 33,196,355 | Form | |
| 2 | Samaha, Eli | See footnote | Buy | 6062025 | 4.43 | 240,000 | 1,063,200 | 35,503,446 | Form | |
| 3 | Barshefsky, Charlene | Direct | Buy | 6042025 | 4.30 | 24,350 | 104,827 | 797,785 | Form | |
| 4 | Rogers, Desiree G | Direct | Buy | 6042025 | 4.75 | 2,086 | 9,917 | 770,215 | Form | |
| 5 | Leveton, Jay | President | Direct | Buy | 6032025 | 4.06 | 2,500 | 10,150 | 10,936,503 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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