Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -73%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -108%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -60 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 153%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -176%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 1149%
5   Key risks
NXTC key risks include [1] a history of significant losses and a high cash burn rate that necessitates ongoing funding, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -73%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -108%
3 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -60 Mil
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 153%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -176%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 1149%
8 Key risks
NXTC key risks include [1] a history of significant losses and a high cash burn rate that necessitates ongoing funding, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

NextCure (NXTC) stock has lost about 10% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Delay in Key Clinical Data Readouts.

NextCure provided an update on January 23, 2026, stating that Phase 1 dose escalation data for its SIM0505 (CDH6 ADC) program is now anticipated in Q2 2026. This represents a slight delay compared to earlier expectations from Q2 and Q3 2025 reports, which had suggested proof-of-concept data by the first half of 2026 or even Q4 2025. For a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company like NextCure, delays in presenting crucial clinical trial data can temper investor enthusiasm and contribute to a decline in stock value as immediate catalysts are pushed further out.

2. Continued Unprofitability and Lack of Revenue.

NextCure continues to report net losses, with Q3 2025 showing an EPS of -$3.22, and projected Q4 2025 earnings also anticipating a net loss (estimated -$2.28 or -$2.29 EPS). As a clinical-stage company, NextCure currently generates no revenue. The sustained unprofitability means the company's valuation is heavily reliant on future clinical successes, and consistent losses without a clear near-term path to generating revenue can exert downward pressure on the stock price.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -10.6% change in NXTC stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)113020253042026Change
Stock Price ($)14.0912.60-10.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)330.0%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NXTC-10.6% 
Market (SPY)0.3%2.3%
Sector (XLV)-0.4%18.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 150.5% change in NXTC stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)83120253042026Change
Stock Price ($)5.0312.60150.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)23-11.2%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NXTC150.5% 
Market (SPY)6.5%11.0%
Sector (XLV)14.8%4.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 34.8% change in NXTC stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)22820253042026Change
Stock Price ($)9.3512.6034.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)23-12.9%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NXTC34.8% 
Market (SPY)16.3%1.5%
Sector (XLV)6.9%0.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -32.3% change in NXTC stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.6% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)22820233042026Change
Stock Price ($)18.6012.60-32.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)23-13.6%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NXTC-32.3% 
Market (SPY)79.3%1.8%
Sector (XLV)29.2%0.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NXTC Return-45%-76%-19%-32%53%-15%-91%
Peers Return-26%-13%-15%-50%-32%2%-81%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-0%81%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NXTC Win Rate33%8%42%50%58%33% 
Peers Win Rate33%58%54%38%56%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NXTC Max Drawdown-48%-80%-27%-32%-96%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-32%-42%-51%-49%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VRTX, AKTS, ALPS, DCOY, DFTX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/4/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNXTCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-92.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1247.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven755 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-86.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven616.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days

Compare to VRTX, AKTS, ALPS, DCOY, DFTX

In The Past

NextCure's stock fell -92.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/11/2021. A -92.6% loss requires a 1247.6% gain to breakeven.

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About NextCure (NXTC)

NextCure, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in discovering and developing novel immunomedicines to treat cancer and other immune-related diseases by restoring normal immune function. Its lead product candidate is NC318, which is in Phase II clinical trials for the treatment of advanced or metastatic solid tumors. The company is also developing NC410, which is in Phase I for novel immunomedicine designed to block immune suppression mediated by an immune modulator called Leukocyte-Associated Immunoglobulin-like Receptor 1; NC762, an immunomedicine targeting a molecule called human B7 homolog 4 protein, or B7-H4; and NC525, a novel LAIR-1 antibody which is in Preclinical trails that targets acute myeloid leukemia, blast cells, and leukemic stem cells. Its discovery and research programs include an antibody in preclinical evaluation of other potential novel immunomodulatory molecules. The company has a license agreement with Yale University. NextCure, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Beltsville, Maryland.

AI Analysis | Feedback

A discovery-stage Regeneron, but entirely dedicated to finding new immunotherapies for cancer.

A smaller, early-stage Merck, singularly focused on finding the next breakthrough cancer immunotherapy.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • NC410: An immunomedicine designed to block Siglec-15, aiming to restore anti-tumor immunity in various cancers.
  • NC762: An immunomedicine designed to block B7-H4, aiming to enhance anti-tumor responses in multiple solid tumor types.

AI Analysis | Feedback

NextCure (NXTC) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering and developing novel immunomedicines. As such, it does not have "customers" in the traditional sense of selling a commercialized product directly to end-users or healthcare providers. Instead, its primary source of revenue comes from strategic collaboration and licensing agreements with other pharmaceutical companies.

Currently, NextCure's major customer, and its sole source of collaboration revenue, is:

  • Eli Lilly and Company (Symbol: LLY)

NextCure entered into an exclusive worldwide license and collaboration agreement with Eli Lilly and Company in December 2020 for the development and commercialization of NC762, an antibody targeting B7-H4. Under this agreement, NextCure receives upfront payments, is eligible for potential development and commercial milestone payments, and tiered royalties on future product sales if NC762 is successfully commercialized.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Michael Richman President & CEO

Mr. Richman co-founded NextCure in 2015. He brings over 30 years of industry experience, including roles in research, project management, intellectual property, business development, and strategic planning. Prior to NextCure, he served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Amplimmune, which he founded in 2007 and was acquired by MedImmune/AstraZeneca in 2013. Mr. Richman also held positions as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of MacroGenics from 2002 to 2007, and Senior Vice President of Corporate Development and Administration at MedImmune from 2000 to 2002. From 1985 to 1996, he worked at Chiron (now Novartis) in various business development and intellectual property roles.

Steven P. Cobourn, CPA Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Cobourn possesses over 20 years of experience in life sciences, encompassing financing, product launches, alliances, and operations. Before joining NextCure, he was the Chief Financial Officer of Vaccinex, Inc., a private biotech where he supported its financing and facilitated IPO readiness. Previously, he was the Vice President of Finance and Treasurer of Otsuka America Pharmaceutical, Inc., during a period of significant growth and a blockbuster product launch. He also supported Otsuka's parent company during its 2010 IPO in Japan.

Timothy Mayer, Ph.D. Chief Operating Officer

Dr. Mayer has over 25 years of extensive experience in the biopharmaceutical industry, covering antibody therapeutics, small molecule pharmaceuticals, and molecular biology research tools. Before NextCure, he served in several roles at MacroGenics, where he managed intellectual property matters, assisted with business development for licensing transactions, and helped facilitate MacroGenics' initial public offering. He also worked at an intellectual property law firm, drafting and prosecuting biotech and pharmaceutical applications, and developed cloning systems at Life Technologies and Invitrogen.

Sol Langermann, Ph.D. Chief Scientific Officer

Dr. Langermann most recently served as Senior Vice President and Chief Scientific Officer (CSO) of Amplimmune (now MedImmune/AstraZeneca), an acquisition by AstraZeneca. He played a critical role in developing Amplimmune, which led to multiple Investigational New Drug (IND) applications, successful partnering activities with GlaxoSmithKline and Daiichi Sankyo, and the company's acquisition. Prior to Amplimmune, Dr. Langermann held several positions at MedImmune, including Senior Director of Cell Biology and Director of Immunology and Molecular Genetics. He also headed Research and Development efforts and served as CSO at PharmAthene (now Altimmune).

Udayan Guha, M.D., Ph.D. Chief Medical Officer

Dr. Guha is a physician-scientist with more than 15 years of clinical development experience across academia, pharmaceutical, and biotech sectors, focusing on targeted therapy, immunotherapy, and cellular therapy. Before joining NextCure, he was the Vice President, Head of Clinical Development at TCR2 Therapeutics, which is now part of Adaptimmune. Prior to TCR2 Therapeutics, Dr. Guha held Senior Director and Director positions in Early Clinical Development at Bristol Myers Squibb, where he was the Clinical Lead for several first-in-class, first-in-human immunotherapy studies. He also had a productive academic career as an Investigator at the National Cancer Institute (NCI), National Institutes of Health (NIH).

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to NextCure (NXTC) are primarily associated with its status as a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company with no commercialized products.

  1. Limited Operating History, Significant Losses, and Need for Additional Financing: NextCure has a limited operating history and has not yet brought any products to market, nor has it generated revenue from product sales. The company consistently reports significant losses and anticipates these losses will continue for the foreseeable future, making profitability uncertain. This financial profile necessitates ongoing efforts to secure additional funding, which carries inherent risks regarding the availability and terms of such financing. Despite a recent private placement extending its cash runway into the first half of 2027, the company's high cash burn rate remains a concern.
  2. Clinical Development and Regulatory Approval Risks: As a biotechnology company, NextCure's success is heavily dependent on the successful outcome of its clinical trials, followed by regulatory approval and eventual commercialization of its product candidates. There is a significant risk that positive results observed in preclinical studies or early-stage clinical trials may not be replicated or predictive of success in later, larger clinical trials. The company has previously faced challenges, including disappointing study results that led to the abandonment of a former lead therapy.
  3. Dependence on Key Personnel: NextCure's operations and strategic execution rely significantly on its key management and scientific personnel. The loss of such individuals could adversely affect the company's ability to discover, develop, and advance its product pipeline.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

NextCure (NXTC) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing immunomedicines to treat cancer and other immune-related diseases. The addressable markets for their main product candidates are detailed below:

NC410 (LAIR-2 fusion protein)

NC410 is being evaluated in combination with pembrolizumab for the treatment of ovarian cancer and immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) naive and refractory microsatellite stable (MSS)/microsatellite instability-low (MSI-L) colorectal cancer (CRC).

  • Ovarian Cancer Market: The global ovarian cancer market size was valued at USD 1.35 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach USD 31.64 billion by 2033, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 23.8% from 2025 to 2033. Other estimates place the global ovarian cancer market at USD 2.3 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 5.5 billion by 2033 (CAGR of 9.59% from 2025-2033), and USD 3.06 billion in 2023, expected to reach USD 31.31 billion by 2034 (CAGR of 23.53% from 2024-2034). The global ovarian cancer drugs market was estimated at USD 3.37 billion in 2022 and is anticipated to reach USD 5.65 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 6.6% from 2023 to 2030.
  • Colorectal Cancer Market (MSS/MSI-L): The global colorectal cancer therapeutics market is expected to reach USD 30,095.9 million by 2033, from USD 22,275.3 million in 2024, at a CAGR of 3.4% from 2024 to 2033. Microsatellite Stable (MSS) Colorectal Cancer represents the majority of colorectal cancer cases. The metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) market was valued at US$ 5,662.9 million in 2023 and is forecasted to expand at a CAGR of 5.1% to reach US$ 9,787.5 million by 2034. Approximately 5% to 15% of colorectal cancers exhibit deficiencies in the mismatch repair (dMMR) system and high microsatellite instability (MSI-H).

LNCB74 (B7-H4 Antibody-Drug Conjugate - ADC)

LNCB74 targets B7-H4 expressing solid tumors, including breast, ovarian, and endometrial cancers, as well as subsets of other cancer types like lung and biliary tract cancer.

  • B7-H4 Targeting Therapies Market (7MM - US, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, UK, Japan): The total market size for B7-H4 targeting therapies in the 7MM is expected to surge significantly by 2040.
  • Antibody Drug Conjugates (ADCs) Market (Global): The global antibody drug conjugates market size was estimated at USD 11.29 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 24.01 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 9.2% from 2024 to 2030. North America accounted for the largest revenue share of 52.54% in 2023. Other projections estimate the global ADC market to reach USD 51.2 billion by 2033 (CAGR of 15.8%), or around USD 31.96 billion by 2034 (CAGR of 10.83% from 2025-2034). The U.S. ADC market is projected to be USD 4.9 billion in 2024, reaching USD 17.1 billion in 2033.

NC525 (LAIR-1 monoclonal antibody - mAb)

NC525 is in a Phase 1a dose escalation study for relapsed or refractory acute myeloid leukemia, myelodysplastic syndrome, and chronic myelomonocytic leukemia.

  • Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML) Treatment Market: The global acute myeloid leukemia treatment market size was estimated at USD 3.47 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 6.29 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 10.6% from 2025 to 2030. North America accounted for 37.6% of the global market in 2024, with the U.S. representing 90.9% of the North American market. Other estimates for the global AML market include USD 2.3 billion in 2022 (across 8MM), USD 2.88 billion in 2025, reaching USD 4.72 billion by 2030, and USD 2.1 billion in 2023, growing at a CAGR of 10.7% from 2024 to 2032.
  • Myelodysplastic Syndrome (MDS) Drugs Market: The global myelodysplastic syndrome drugs market size was estimated at USD 2.88 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 5.28 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 9.1% from 2024 to 2030. The global MDS treatment market size is estimated to be valued at US$ 3,265.6 million in 2022 and is expected to reach US$ 6,635.3 million in 2030, exhibiting a CAGR of 9.3%. The market size across the top 7 markets (US, EU4, UK, Japan) for MDS was USD 2.4 billion in 2024, expected to reach USD 4.8 billion by 2035 (CAGR of 6.29%). North America holds the largest market share, accounting for 40% of the global MDS treatment market.
  • Chronic Myelomonocytic Leukemia (CMML) Market: The chronic myelomonocytic leukemia market is estimated to be valued at USD 1012.9 million in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 1584.4 million by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 6.6% from 2025 to 2032. The global CMML market is valued at approximately $2.1 billion as of 2024 and is expected to reach around $4.5 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 8.1% from 2025 to 2034. North America currently dominates the market, contributing over 45% of the total revenue.

AI Analysis | Feedback

NextCure (NXTC), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, does not currently generate revenue from product sales. Therefore, its future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years will be driven by the advancement of its pipeline programs and potential strategic partnerships and milestone payments. Here are the key expected drivers of future revenue growth for NextCure:
  1. Advancement of LNCB74 (B7-H4 ADC) through clinical development: LNCB74, an antibody-drug conjugate (ADC) targeting B7-H4 for multiple cancers, is a primary focus for NextCure. The company completed cohort 1 of its Phase 1 trial in February 2025 and plans to initiate additional backfill cohorts in the second half of 2025. Proof of concept data readouts for LNCB74 are anticipated in the first half of 2026. Positive clinical trial results and progression towards later-stage development or potential regulatory approvals would be crucial for future revenue generation.
  2. Progress of SIM0505 (CDH6 ADC) in clinical trials and global expansion: NextCure acquired global rights (excluding Greater China) for SIM0505, another novel ADC targeting CDH6, in June 2025. The first U.S. patient was dosed in October 2025 in an ongoing Phase 1 trial. Proof of concept data readouts for SIM0505, including data from an ongoing Phase 1 trial in China by partner Simcere Zaiming, are expected in the first half of 2026. Successful clinical development and potential commercialization of SIM0505 represent a significant revenue driver.
  3. Strategic partnerships and milestone payments for pipeline candidates: As a clinical-stage company without product sales, NextCure relies on public offerings, partnerships, and milestone payments. The company is actively seeking strategic partners for its preclinical non-oncology programs, such as NC181 (targeting Alzheimer's disease) and NC605 (for osteogenesis imperfecta). Securing such partnerships could provide upfront payments and future milestone payments as these programs advance, contributing to revenue.

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Share Issuance

  • NextCure executed a 1-for-12 reverse stock split on July 14, 2025.
  • The number of shares outstanding increased by 0.78% in one year prior to October 28, 2025.

Inbound Investments

  • Simcere Zaiming, a US affiliate, made a $2.0 million equity investment in NextCure in June 2025.

Outbound Investments

  • NextCure acquired global rights to SIM0505 (CDH6 ADC) in June 2025, excluding Greater China.
  • This acquisition included a $12.0 million upfront license fee paid to Simcere Zaiming.

Capital Expenditures

  • NextCure's capital expenditures for the last 12 months (prior to October 28, 2025) were approximately $136,000.
  • As of November 2025, NextCure expects its current financial resources to be sufficient to fund operating expenses and capital expenditures into mid-2026.
  • Previously, as of March 2025, the company expected to fund operating expenses and capital expenditures into the second half of 2026.

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleDate
0DASHBOARDS 
1NextCure Earnings Notes12/16/2025
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to NXTC.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
QDEL_2282026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K02282026QDELQuidelOrthoInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
0.0%0.0%0.0%
CHE_2272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02272026CHEChemedDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
LLY_2272026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02272026LLYEli LillyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.0%0.0%0.0%
HAE_2202026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02202026HAEHaemoneticsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.5%3.5%0.0%
IQV_2132026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02132026IQVIQVIADip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.1%7.1%-3.0%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NXTCVRTXAKTSALPSDCOYDFTXMedian
NameNextCure Vertex P.Aktis On.ALPS Decoy Th.Definium. 
Mkt Price12.60477.8920.850.910.6617.7615.18
Mkt Cap0.0121.2----60.6
Rev LTM012,001--000
Op Inc LTM-604,554---6-104-33
FCF LTM-493,194---5-79-27
FCF 3Y Avg-491,832---12-65-31
CFO LTM-493,631---5-79-27
CFO 3Y Avg-482,225---12-65-30

Growth & Margins

NXTCVRTXAKTSALPSDCOYDFTXMedian
NameNextCure Vertex P.Aktis On.ALPS Decoy Th.Definium. 
Rev Chg LTM-8.9%----8.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.4%----10.4%
Rev Chg Q-9.5%----9.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.4%----2.4%
Op Mgn LTM-37.9%----37.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-24.7%----24.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-38.7%----38.7%
CFO/Rev LTM-30.3%----30.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-20.5%----20.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-26.6%----26.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-17.0%----17.0%

Valuation

NXTCVRTXAKTSALPSDCOYDFTXMedian
NameNextCure Vertex P.Aktis On.ALPS Decoy Th.Definium. 
Mkt Cap0.0121.2----60.6
P/S-10.1----10.1
P/EBIT-0.626.0----12.7
P/E-0.630.7----15.0
P/CFO-0.733.4----16.3
Total Yield-172.0%3.3%-----84.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1,545.0%1.7%-----771.7%
D/E0.10.0----0.1
Net D/E-0.7-0.0-----0.4

Returns

NXTCVRTXAKTSALPSDCOYDFTXMedian
NameNextCure Vertex P.Aktis On.ALPS Decoy Th.Definium. 
1M Rtn15.3%1.2%-5.1%-7.3%-8.7%-2.6%-3.9%
3M Rtn4.7%3.2%∞%-14.7%-19.9%18.0%3.2%
6M Rtn153.0%20.5%∞%-3.8%-19.9%18.0%18.0%
12M Rtn42.1%-1.7%260,525.0%-3.8%-19.9%18.0%8.1%
3Y Rtn-30.0%64.5%471.2%-3.8%-19.9%18.0%7.1%
1M Excs Rtn16.8%2.8%-3.6%-5.7%-7.2%-1.0%-2.3%
3M Excs Rtn-6.9%11.5%∞%-37.4%-20.7%17.2%-6.9%
6M Excs Rtn148.5%12.1%∞%-10.9%-26.9%10.9%10.9%
12M Excs Rtn26.6%-18.6%245,176.7%-21.3%-37.3%0.6%-9.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-107.7%-6.2%403.5%-76.3%-92.4%-54.5%-65.4%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Life sciences    6
Total    6


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Life sciences128184242307 
Total128184242307 


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$12.60 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.0 
First Trading Date05/09/2019 
Distance from 52W High-11.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$12.61$8.40
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-0.1%49.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility66.1%1,151.5%
Downside Capture-31.84374.40
Upside Capture-2.21347.70
Correlation (SPY)1.2%1.5%
NXTC Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.31-1.09-0.001.060.840.81
Up Beta-0.461.341.621.92-5.01-2.45
Down Beta2.190.020.290.510.921.13
Up Capture20%-206%-78%311%1689%258%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days12202966124339
Down Capture-249%-251%-28%-19%169%111%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days9213258125366

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NXTC
NXTC44.2%1,149.2%0.99-
Sector ETF (XLV)6.4%17.4%0.200.2%
Equity (SPY)18.5%19.2%0.761.4%
Gold (GLD)78.4%26.1%2.20-2.8%
Commodities (DBC)19.7%17.1%0.89-5.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.3%16.6%0.144.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-20.7%45.1%-0.384.8%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NXTC
NXTC-38.1%517.0%0.36-
Sector ETF (XLV)8.3%14.5%0.391.7%
Equity (SPY)13.9%17.0%0.652.8%
Gold (GLD)23.4%17.3%1.11-1.1%
Commodities (DBC)11.2%19.0%0.47-1.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.2%18.8%0.183.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.7%56.8%0.363.0%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NXTC
NXTC-25.5%456.3%0.35-
Sector ETF (XLV)10.8%16.5%0.542.8%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.744.1%
Gold (GLD)15.0%15.6%0.80-1.5%
Commodities (DBC)9.0%17.6%0.42-0.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.5%20.7%0.283.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)66.2%66.8%1.062.5%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date2132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.1 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 131202629.9%
Average Daily Volume0.0 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity2.7 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.3%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
1/23/2026-5.8%-17.6%4.5%
11/5/20252.0%-3.5%17.3%
8/7/2025-4.4%1.0%-3.4%
3/6/20255.2%1.0%-45.3%
11/7/2024-2.3%1.5%-12.1%
8/1/2024-0.6%-3.1%-8.7%
3/21/202419.1%37.2%13.5%
11/2/20230.9%-8.5%6.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive686
# Negative10810
Median Positive3.6%2.5%5.2%
Median Negative-1.8%-7.5%-10.9%
Max Positive19.1%37.2%17.3%
Max Negative-21.1%-33.1%-45.3%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202403/06/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/01/202410-Q
03/31/202405/02/202410-Q
12/31/202303/21/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202203/02/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/05/202210-Q
12/31/202103/03/202210-K