Tearsheet

Nutanix (NTNX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $50.83 | Market Cap: $13.7 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Nutanix (NTNX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $50.83
Market Cap: $13.7 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -14%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 91x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
  Key risks
NTNX key risks include [1] competitive uncertainty stemming from Broadcom's acquisition of VMware, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Hybrid Cloud Solutions, Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS), Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Hybrid Cloud Solutions, Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS), Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -14%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 91x
5 Key risks
NTNX key risks include [1] competitive uncertainty stemming from Broadcom's acquisition of VMware, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NTNX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -25.3% stock movement for Nutanix (NTNX) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Disappointing Q1 FY2026 Guidance Following Strong Q4 FY2025 Results: On August 27, 2025, despite reporting better-than-expected financial results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, Nutanix shares tumbled by 6% in after-hours trading. This decline was primarily driven by the company's first-quarter fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance, which, at a midpoint of $675 million, fell slightly short of analyst expectations of $678 million.

2. Q1 FY2026 Revenue Miss and Significantly Lowered Future Guidance: Nutanix's stock experienced a significant plunge of 13.2% in after-hours trading on November 25, 2025, following the release of its first-quarter fiscal year 2026 financial results. Although adjusted earnings per share met estimates, revenue of $670.6 million missed the consensus estimate of $676.85 million. The substantial drop was further exacerbated by disappointing guidance for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, projected between $705-715 million, which was well below analyst expectations of $748.9 million.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NTNX Return2%-0%-18%83%28%-21%54%
Peers Return21%49%-17%55%45%26%325%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NTNX Win Rate58%42%50%75%50%42% 
Peers Win Rate57%72%40%70%65%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NTNX Max Drawdown-60%-20%-57%-10%-6%-24% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-3%-33%-6%-6%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DELL, AVGO, HPE, MSFT, CSCO. See NTNX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNTNXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-68.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven219.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven535 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-66.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven199.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven455 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-71.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven250.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,661 days120 days

Compare to CSCO, NTAP, SNCR, CHOW, ECST


In The Past

Nutanix's stock fell -68.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/7/2021. A -68.7% loss requires a 219.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Nutanix (NTNX)

Better Bets than Nutanix (NTNX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NTNX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Nutanix

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NTNXDELLAVGOHPEMSFTCSCOMedian
NameNutanix Dell Tec.Broadcom Hewlett .MicrosoftCisco Sy. 
Mkt Price50.20127.89326.0224.02476.1276.00101.94
Mkt Cap20.195.11,536.931.83,539.0300.7197.9
Rev LTM2,618104,09059,92633,075293,81257,69658,811
Op Inc LTM1956,92423,3662,035135,93712,9919,958
FCF LTM7734,44924,93022578,01712,7338,591
FCF 3Y Avg5614,78120,3191,47171,30213,8799,330
CFO LTM8577,09625,4382,484147,03913,74410,420
CFO 3Y Avg6337,47420,8214,086121,38414,73611,105

Growth & Margins

NTNXDELLAVGOHPEMSFTCSCOMedian
NameNutanix Dell Tec.Broadcom Hewlett .MicrosoftCisco Sy. 
Rev Chg LTM17.4%10.8%28.0%14.0%15.6%8.9%14.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg17.0%0.2%24.0%5.9%13.2%3.7%9.6%
Rev Chg Q13.5%10.8%22.0%18.5%18.4%7.5%16.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.1%2.6%5.0%4.5%4.3%1.8%3.7%
Op Mgn LTM7.4%6.7%39.0%6.2%46.3%22.5%15.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg0.8%6.1%38.4%7.6%44.6%24.2%15.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.6%0.2%1.5%-0.8%0.6%0.4%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM32.7%6.8%42.4%7.5%50.0%23.8%28.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg27.3%7.8%44.6%13.6%47.2%26.1%26.7%
FCF/Rev LTM29.5%4.3%41.6%0.7%26.6%22.1%24.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg24.1%5.0%43.5%5.0%28.0%24.6%24.4%

Valuation

NTNXDELLAVGOHPEMSFTCSCOMedian
NameNutanix Dell Tec.Broadcom Hewlett .MicrosoftCisco Sy. 
Mkt Cap20.195.11,536.931.83,539.0300.7197.9
P/S7.70.921.70.813.15.26.4
P/EBIT--56.513.129.621.925.7
P/E91.018.368.621.736.729.132.9
P/CFO23.413.451.110.926.221.922.7
Total Yield1.1%7.0%1.5%7.1%3.4%5.6%4.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.5%0.0%2.5%0.6%2.1%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--3.1%5.8%2.3%6.0%4.4%
D/E--0.00.90.00.10.1
Net D/E--0.00.7-0.00.00.0

Returns

NTNXDELLAVGOHPEMSFTCSCOMedian
NameNutanix Dell Tec.Broadcom Hewlett .MicrosoftCisco Sy. 
1M Rtn-22.3%4.4%-4.9%13.1%-6.2%-2.3%-3.6%
3M Rtn-35.4%-1.5%-5.8%-2.9%-6.5%12.9%-4.3%
6M Rtn-31.8%10.6%30.3%35.8%-0.5%16.8%13.7%
12M Rtn-24.1%10.1%37.0%14.5%5.5%33.2%12.3%
3Y Rtn61.1%246.9%517.3%66.1%99.2%73.5%86.4%
1M Excs Rtn-23.0%3.7%-5.6%12.4%-6.9%-3.0%-4.3%
3M Excs Rtn-37.1%-4.2%-6.9%-6.2%-7.5%10.0%-6.6%
6M Excs Rtn-44.2%-1.8%17.9%23.4%-12.9%4.4%1.3%
12M Excs Rtn-35.1%-1.1%35.4%1.9%-3.8%21.9%0.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-13.8%149.2%448.1%-8.5%24.6%-0.1%12.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Support, entitlements and other services1,081951823689542
Product1,068912758706766
Total2,1491,8631,5811,3941,308


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,420,828
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-21.1%
Average Daily Volume6,699,388
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.26
Basic Shares Quantity269,872,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/25/2025-17.7%-19.8% 
8/27/2025-5.1%-1.3%10.8%
5/28/2025-3.8%-2.2%-4.5%
2/26/202510.4%11.2%3.8%
11/26/2024-7.8%-5.4%-13.6%
8/28/202420.3%20.2%14.0%
5/29/2024-23.1%-27.2%-22.4%
2/28/20247.0%9.3%4.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121112
# Negative121312
Median Positive9.9%16.3%11.3%
Median Negative-8.1%-11.9%-13.1%
Max Positive29.2%32.8%26.3%
Max Negative-28.6%-30.1%-46.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251204202510-Q 10/31/2025
7312025924202510-K 7/31/2025
4302025603202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025306202510-Q 1/31/2025
103120241205202410-Q 10/31/2024
7312024919202410-K 7/31/2024
4302024610202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024307202410-Q 1/31/2024
103120231207202310-Q 10/31/2023
7312023921202310-K 7/31/2023
4302023602202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023524202310-Q 1/31/2023
103120221207202210-Q 10/31/2022
7312022921202210-K 7/31/2022
4302022602202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022310202210-Q 1/31/2022