NorthStar Earth & Space Enterprises (NSTR)


Market Price (10/23/2026): $3.56 | Market Cap: $146.5 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

NorthStar Earth & Space Enterprises (NSTR)


Market Price (10/23/2026): $3.56
Market Cap: $146.5 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -95%

High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 200%

Key risks
NSTR key risks include [1] significant portfolio concentration in supermarket-anchored real estate, Show more.

0 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -95%
1 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 200%
2 Key risks
NSTR key risks include [1] significant portfolio concentration in supermarket-anchored real estate, Show more.

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NSTR Return------28%-28%
Peers Return-21%-20%9%20%139%-17%63%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%104%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NSTR Win Rate-----0% 
Peers Win Rate44%40%55%55%62%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NSTR Max Drawdown------ 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-44%-34%-33%-38%-55% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PL, BKSY, KTOS, LHX, LMT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/22/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

NSTR has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

EventXLIS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-15.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.8%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven34 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-11.7%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven13.2%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven45 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-20.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven125 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-41.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven71.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven231 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-23.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.1%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven120 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-11.1%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.5%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven51 days62 days

Compare to PL, BKSY, KTOS, LHX, LMT

In The Past

State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

NSTR has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

EventXLIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-20.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven125 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-41.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven71.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven231 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-23.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.1%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven120 days105 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-22.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.0%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven114 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-60.5%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven153.2%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven700 days1085 days

Compare to PL, BKSY, KTOS, LHX, LMT

In The Past

State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About NorthStar Earth & Space Enterprises (NSTR)

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NorthStar Earth & Space Enterprises (NSTR) is a pioneering Canadian company at the forefront of Space Domain Awareness (SDA) and Earth Observation (EO). The company is developing and deploying a proprietary constellation of satellites designed to provide unparalleled data and information services. Its core mission is to deliver comprehensive, real-time insights into both the orbital environment surrounding Earth and critical changes occurring on the planet's surface.

The primary service offering, often referred to as Space Situational Awareness, involves utilizing its advanced satellite network to continuously monitor objects in Earth orbit. This includes tracking active satellites, defunct spacecraft, and dangerous space debris. NorthStar provides critical data and analytics for collision avoidance, orbital safety, and mission planning, serving a diverse customer base that includes satellite operators, launch providers, national space agencies, defense organizations, and insurers who require precise information to safeguard their valuable space assets and ensure the sustainable use of space.

In addition to its space monitoring capabilities, NorthStar leverages its Earth Observation technology to collect high-resolution data from the planet's surface. These services offer valuable insights for various terrestrial applications, such as monitoring environmental changes, managing natural resources, and tracking agricultural and maritime activities. Its Earth Observation solutions cater to clients in sectors like agriculture, forestry, maritime operations, and governmental bodies focused on climate monitoring, resource management, and informed policy-making.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Space Situational Awareness (SSA) Services: NorthStar provides data and intelligence services to monitor objects in orbit, track space debris, predict potential collisions, and support the safe and sustainable operation of satellites.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Stewart Bain, CEO and Founder

Stewart Bain is the CEO and founder of NorthStar Earth & Space, a role he has held since the company's inception in 2018. He has over thirty years of experience in the aerospace sector, where he has focused on creating and commercializing disruptive technologies. His background includes contributions to the design of the Artemis SILEX demonstration, leading engineering teams for RadarSat 1 and 2 antennas, and work on systems for the International Space Station (ISS). He established a space optics systems center of excellence at CAL Corporation (now Honeywell) and was recognized with a NASA R&D 100 award. Bain is a founding member of the Board of Space Canada. He holds an MBA from Queen's University and a Master of Engineering from Carleton University.

Beth Michelson, Chief Financial Officer & President NorthStar US

Beth Michelson was appointed NorthStar's Chief Financial Officer in May 2024 and has served as President of NorthStar U.S. since December 2025. She has been a board member of NorthStar since December 2022. Michelson is a Partner with Cartesian Capital Group, a New York City-based global private equity firm that has been an investor in NorthStar since December 2022. She has been with Cartesian since its inception in 2006, bringing more than twenty years of experience in building businesses globally and leading numerous investments and acquisitions across 20 countries. Before joining Cartesian, she was a subadvisor to AIG Capital Partners and an Associate at Wasserstein Perella. Her career demonstrates a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms.

Peter Klimas, Chief Technology Officer

Peter Klimas serves as the Chief Technology Officer and Executive Director of Engineering at NorthStar Earth & Space. He is responsible for leading and overseeing NorthStar's engineering strategy. Klimas has a proven track record in both terrestrial and space-based multi-disciplinary projects and holds a Bachelor of Aerospace Engineering and an M.A.Sc in Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering.

Jean-Philippe Arseneau, Chief of Communications and PR Strategy

Jean-Philippe Arseneau holds the title of Chief of Communications and PR Strategy at NorthStar Earth & Space. A brief background is not readily available in the provided information.

Daniel O'Connell, Chief System of Systems Architect

Daniel O'Connell serves as the Chief System of Systems Architect for NorthStar Earth & Space. A brief background is not readily available in the provided information.

AI Analysis | Feedback

NorthStar Earth & Space Enterprises (NSTR) faces several key risks inherent to its operations as a space intelligence and data analytics company.

The most significant risk to NorthStar Earth & Space Enterprises' business is its **operational reliance on the performance and availability of its space-based sensor constellation**, including potential issues with third-party providers. The company's core service of Space Situational Awareness (SSA) and Space Domain Awareness (SDA) depends critically on its ability to detect, track, and characterize objects in orbit using its sensors. Evidence from August 2024 revealed significant problems with a "space as a service" contract, where one satellite failed in orbit, and others experienced on-board issues, leading to "far less usable data" than contractually stipulated. These issues included misaligned optical systems, contamination, and even visible cracks in the optical systems, impacting the delivery of usable data. Such failures directly hinder NorthStar's ability to provide its fundamental services and could severely impact its business and prospects.

Another key risk is NorthStar Earth & Space Enterprises being an **early-stage company with a history of financial losses and anticipated ongoing expenses**. As of October 2026, the company had just gone public with the aim to raise capital for constructing a comprehensive space-based sensor constellation. The development of advanced data analytics services is complex, and the company expects to incur significant expenses and continuing losses from operations. This financial profile poses a risk regarding its ability to fund its ambitious growth plans and achieve profitability in the future.

Finally, the **protection of NorthStar Earth & Space Enterprises' intellectual property (IP) portfolio** constitutes a significant risk. The company relies heavily on its proprietary algorithms, software, and imagery processing to deliver critical intelligence to its clients. A failure to adequately protect these intellectual property rights could severely harm its business and competitive position in the rapidly evolving space intelligence market.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

NorthStar Earth & Space Enterprises (NSTR) operates in several significant addressable markets, primarily focused on space situational awareness, space domain awareness, and various earth observation services. The market sizes for their main products and services, along with the relevant regions, are as follows:

Space Situational Awareness (SSA) and Space Domain Awareness (SDA)

  • The global Space Situational Awareness (SSA) market was estimated at USD 1.8 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 1.9 billion in 2026, growing to USD 3 billion by 2035, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 5.1% from 2026 to 2035. North America is a dominant region in this market. Another report valued the global SSA market at USD 1.7 billion in 2025, anticipating growth to USD 2.4 billion by 2033 with a CAGR of 4.0% from 2026 to 2033, with North America holding a 39% market share in 2025.
  • The global Space Domain Awareness (SDA) market size reached USD 1.85 billion in 2024. This market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 7.9% from 2025 to 2033, reaching an anticipated total value of USD 3.71 billion by 2033. North America accounts for approximately USD 830 million of this market in 2024.

Earth Observation (EO) and Satellite-based Earth Observation

  • The global earth observation market was valued at USD 5.1 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow from USD 5.6 billion in 2026 to USD 7.2 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 6.2% from 2025 to 2030. North America held the largest share of this market, accounting for 45% of the revenue in 2024.
  • The global satellite-based earth observation market reached USD 3.8 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 5.9 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 4.84% during the period of 2026-2034. North America accounted for the largest market share in this segment.
  • The global commercial earth observation market was valued at USD 5.50 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow from USD 6.02 billion in 2026 to USD 12.34 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 9.40%. North America dominated this market with a revenue share of 38% in 2025.

Airborne Spectral Imagery (Hyperspectral Imaging / Aerial Imaging)

  • The global hyperspectral imaging market size was valued at USD 259.3 million in 2025 and is projected to grow from USD 292.5 million in 2026 to USD 729.9 million by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 12.11%. North America dominated the market with a 33.19% market share in 2025.
  • The global airborne hyperspectral imager market size is predicted to grow from US$ 97 million in 2025 to US$ 355 million in 2032, at a CAGR of 20.7% from 2026 to 2032. North America and Europe each account for approximately 41% of the market share.
  • The global aerial imaging market size is estimated at USD 5.91 billion in 2026 and is expected to reach approximately USD 18.22 billion by 2035, expanding at a CAGR of 13.38%. North America captured the largest market share of 35.14% in 2026.

AI Analysis | Feedback

NorthStar Earth & Space Enterprises (NSTR) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key factors stemming from its core business in space situational awareness (SSA) and space domain awareness (SDA) services, coupled with recent strategic developments.

  1. Growing Demand for Space Situational Awareness (SSA) and Space Domain Awareness (SDA) Services: NorthStar's primary business revolves around providing critical SSA and SDA services to commercial and government customers, enabling continuous, real-time operational pictures of the space domain. The increasing congestion in Earth's orbit, driven by a surge in new launches, escalates the need for robust infrastructure to monitor and protect high-value space assets, thereby expanding the market for NorthStar's offerings. The company is recognized as mission-critical by key defense, civil, and commercial customers, indicating sustained demand for its services.
  2. Deployment and Expansion of Space-Based Sensor Constellation: A significant driver of future revenue is the ongoing deployment and expansion of NorthStar's proprietary constellation of space-based sensors. The company's recent public listing provides "unprecedented access to capital to scale our operations" and accelerate the deployment of this network. This expansion is crucial for delivering advanced, scalable SSA and geospatial intelligence services, enhancing its capacity to systematically and automatically catalog objects in Earth's orbit.
  3. Expansion into New Markets and Geographies: NorthStar serves a diverse range of sectors, including defense, national security, civil, government, and commercial operations. The company aims to expand its sensing network, analytics platform, and operational services to meet the growing global demand for space intelligence, reflecting the increasing importance of space for security, commerce, and communications worldwide. The business model is designed to capitalize on "powerful secular tailwinds across defense, security, and commercial space," indicating strategic market expansion as a key growth area.
  4. Advancement and Growth of Data Analytics Platform and Services: NorthStar is fundamentally a space intelligence and data analytics company, with its Space Information & Intelligence (Si²) platform transforming diverse observation data into actionable insights. The capital infused from its public market debut is also earmarked for the expansion of its data analytics platform. This will enable NorthStar to offer more advanced services such as real-time monitoring, threat detection, and predictive analytics, further solidifying its position and increasing its value proposition to customers across government, defense, and commercial sectors.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Issuance

  • In October 2026, NorthStar Earth & Space completed a business combination with Viking Acquisition Corp. I, which valued NorthStar at an equity value of $300 million.
  • NorthStar's equity holders were set to receive 30 million shares as part of the $300 million pre-money valuation.
  • The transaction included $30 million in common-stock Private Investment in Public Equity (PIPE) financing.

Inbound Investments

  • In October 2026, the company secured $30 million in common-stock Private Investment in Public Equity (PIPE) financing, anchored by Cartesian Capital Group and supported by Canadian and U.S. institutional investors.
  • Cartesian Capital Group previously led NorthStar's $47 million Series C funding round in early 2023.

Capital Expenditures

  • NorthStar's Capital Expenditure for the six months ended December 2025 was -$0.06 million.
  • Proceeds from the $30 million PIPE financing are intended to support the continued deployment of NorthStar's dedicated space-based sensor constellation.
  • Funds from the SPAC merger are specifically directed toward payload capital expenditures for proprietary sensors for future satellites, spacecraft integration, and the expansion of their data analytics platform.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NSTRPLBKSYKTOSLHXLMTMedian
NameNorthSta.Planet L.BlackSky.Kratos D.L3Harris.Lockheed. 
Mkt Price3.3712.9516.4237.67252.87588.9427.05
Mkt Cap-4.70.67.147.1135.67.1
Rev LTM-3781091,52222,93277,0141,522
Op Inc LTM--103-47232,3139,15323
FCF LTM-19-70-1292,8088,72919
FCF 3Y Avg--15-29-622,1526,336-15
CFO LTM-118-54-403,29210,402118
CFO 3Y Avg-53-14122,5948,08053

Growth & Margins

NSTRPLBKSYKTOSLHXLMTMedian
NameNorthSta.Planet L.BlackSky.Kratos D.L3Harris.Lockheed. 
Rev Chg LTM-44.1%4.1%25.5%7.3%7.2%7.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-22.7%15.3%16.6%8.6%4.6%15.3%
Rev Chg Q-58.1%50.1%30.5%8.4%10.5%30.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-12.7%11.4%7.6%2.0%2.5%7.6%
Op Inc Chg LTM--42.8%-4.6%13.2%4.5%53.7%4.5%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-7.2%11.2%109.1%9.9%7.5%9.9%
Op Mgn LTM--27.2%-43.4%1.5%10.1%11.9%1.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--39.9%-42.8%2.3%9.9%10.7%2.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-4.8%11.2%-0.4%0.2%2.0%2.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.1%-49.7%-2.6%14.4%13.5%13.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-15.0%-12.8%1.4%11.9%11.0%11.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-5.0%-63.9%-8.5%12.2%11.3%5.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--7.8%-27.2%-4.4%9.8%8.6%-4.4%

Valuation

NSTRPLBKSYKTOSLHXLMTMedian
NameNorthSta.Planet L.BlackSky.Kratos D.L3Harris.Lockheed. 
Mkt Cap-4.70.67.147.1135.67.1
P/S-12.35.84.72.11.84.7
P/Op Inc--45.3-13.3306.220.414.814.8
P/EBIT--13.3-12.4181.716.815.915.9
P/E--12.9-9.5229.925.321.621.6
P/CFO-39.6-11.6-179.414.313.013.0
Total Yield--7.7%-10.4%0.4%5.9%7.0%0.4%
Dividend Yield-0.0%0.0%0.0%1.9%2.3%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--5.2%-10.8%-0.7%4.4%5.6%-0.7%
D/E-0.10.40.00.20.20.2
Net D/E--0.1-0.0-0.20.20.1-0.0

Returns

NSTRPLBKSYKTOSLHXLMTMedian
NameNorthSta.Planet L.BlackSky.Kratos D.L3Harris.Lockheed. 
1M Rtn-24.3%-23.4%-29.2%-19.8%5.4%12.8%-21.6%
3M Rtn-24.3%-42.1%-27.9%-23.8%-15.2%4.2%-24.0%
6M Rtn-24.3%-66.2%-57.3%-42.5%-22.7%12.6%-33.4%
12M Rtn-24.3%3.6%-24.4%-55.3%-11.0%24.0%-17.7%
3Y Rtn-24.3%513.7%60.4%119.4%51.4%43.0%55.9%
1M Excs Rtn-23.7%-20.3%-25.6%-17.8%6.3%12.9%-19.1%
3M Excs Rtn-27.4%-40.0%-27.2%-23.7%-18.7%-1.6%-25.4%
6M Excs Rtn-31.6%-73.9%-64.9%-50.1%-30.5%4.8%-40.9%
12M Excs Rtn-37.2%-13.3%-48.3%-71.9%-25.7%9.7%-31.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-95.0%360.7%-13.6%40.1%-24.5%-30.4%-19.0%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024
Services revenue118
Total118


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$3.58 
First Trading Date12/29/2006 
Distance from 52W High-21.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price  
DMA Trend  
Distance from DMA  
 3M1YR
Volatility199.5%199.5%
Downside Capture  
Upside Capture  
Correlation (S&P 500)  
NSTR Betas & Captures as of 9/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta      
Up Beta������
Down Beta������
Up Capture0%0%0%0%0%0%
Bmk +ve Days6162766132424
Stock +ve Days      
Down Capture-0%-0%-0%-0%-0%-0%
Bmk -ve Days16263760120328
Stock -ve Days      

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NSTR
NSTR-19.6%199.5%-1.08-
Sector ETF (XLI)8.6%17.2%0.31-26.1%
Equity (SPY)14.8%12.7%0.80-46.5%
Gold (GLD)-2.2%28.4%-0.09-60.1%
Commodities (DBC)52.1%20.7%1.91-29.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.7%13.9%0.08-33.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-22.4%43.4%-0.47-18.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NSTR
NSTR-4.3%199.5%-1.08-
Sector ETF (XLI)12.0%17.6%0.51-26.1%
Equity (SPY)13.0%17.1%0.57-46.5%
Gold (GLD)17.1%18.9%0.72-60.1%
Commodities (DBC)9.3%19.5%0.36-29.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.1%18.9%-0.05-33.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.0%51.7%0.33-18.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NSTR
NSTR-2.2%199.5%-1.08-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.2%20.0%0.57-26.1%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.73-46.5%
Gold (GLD)11.9%16.4%0.59-60.1%
Commodities (DBC)8.3%18.1%0.37-29.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.2%20.7%0.21-33.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.0%66.2%1.03-18.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

SEC Filings

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06/30/202610/13/2026POS AM
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