Tearsheet

NIQ Global Intelligence (NIQ)


Market Price (12/13/2025): $15.86 | Market Cap: $4.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

NIQ Global Intelligence (NIQ)


Market Price (12/13/2025): $15.86
Market Cap: $4.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
1 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NIQ Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points that contributed to the downward movement of NIQ Global Intelligence's stock in the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 13, 2025: 1. Challenging IPO Performance and Subsequent Declines. NIQ's initial public offering in July 2025 saw its shares close down 9.5% on its first day of trading, opening below the offering price, which set a negative precedent for its public market performance.

2. Weak Financial Health and Persistent Net Losses. The company entered public markets in July 2025 with challenging financials, including a weak overall financial health score and no profitability over the preceding twelve months, reporting a net loss of $625.5 million. It also reported a net loss of $119.8 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025. Persistent net losses and muted revenue growth continued to weigh on investor confidence.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NIQ Return
Peers Return-15%61%-35%-6%-33%-31%-61%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NIQ Win Rate40% 
Peers Win Rate50%72%33%44%39%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NIQ Max Drawdown 
Peers Max Drawdown-51%-5%-49%-35%-41%-44% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: IT, FORR, SCOR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

NIQ has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven278 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven79 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-53.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1183 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -34.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -34.0% loss requires a 51.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About NIQ Global Intelligence (NIQ)

Better Bets than NIQ Global Intelligence (NIQ)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1NIQ Global Intelligence Earnings Notes 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NIQ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for NIQ Global Intelligence

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NIQITFORRSCORMedian
NameNIQ Glob.Gartner Forreste.comScore  
Mkt Price15.92233.897.136.5611.53
Mkt Cap4.417.50.10.02.3
Rev LTM4,1026,4604043592,253
Op Inc LTM721,15913243
FCF LTM-791,21620-133
FCF 3Y Avg-1,16910-210
CFO LTM1781,331229100
CFO 3Y Avg-1,280152222

Growth & Margins

NIQITFORRSCORMedian
NameNIQ Glob.Gartner Forreste.comScore  
Rev Chg LTM-5.2%-8.7%0.8%0.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-7.0%-8.9%-1.4%-1.4%
Rev Chg Q7.2%2.7%-8.0%0.5%1.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.7%0.6%-2.0%0.1%0.4%
Op Mgn LTM1.8%17.9%3.3%0.5%2.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-18.7%3.6%1.8%3.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.8%-0.3%0.6%-0.9%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM4.3%20.6%5.6%2.6%5.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-20.8%3.4%5.9%5.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.9%18.8%4.9%-3.7%1.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.0%2.5%-0.5%2.5%

Valuation

NIQITFORRSCORMedian
NameNIQ Glob.Gartner Forreste.comScore  
Mkt Cap4.417.50.10.02.3
P/S1.13.00.30.10.7
P/EBIT-18.4-2.6-7.9
P/E-8.522.2-1.6-4.6-3.1
P/CFO24.814.86.14.910.4
Total Yield-11.7%4.5%-62.4%-21.6%-16.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.4%4.2%-4.3%
D/E-0.10.3-0.2
Net D/E-0.1-0.3--0.1

Returns

NIQITFORRSCORMedian
NameNIQ Glob.Gartner Forreste.comScore  
1M Rtn11.7%1.6%-10.3%-1.6%-0.0%
3M Rtn-12.7%-5.4%-30.2%-3.5%-9.1%
6M Rtn--42.2%-28.8%31.4%-28.8%
12M Rtn--54.5%-56.7%-7.5%-54.5%
3Y Rtn--33.5%-80.2%-76.1%-76.1%
1M Excs Rtn12.1%2.0%-10.0%-1.3%0.3%
3M Excs Rtn-16.4%-8.5%-34.4%-4.9%-12.5%
6M Excs Rtn--56.5%-43.1%17.2%-43.1%
12M Excs Rtn--67.5%-71.2%-26.0%-67.5%
3Y Excs Rtn--105.3%-153.1%-145.5%-145.5%

Financials

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,448,487
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-1.4%
Average Daily Volume1,765,180
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.09
Basic Shares Quantity281,956,522
Short % of Basic Shares1.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/13/2025-1.6%5.1% 
8/14/2025-4.9%-5.6%-0.4%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive010
# Negative212
Median Positive 5.1% 
Median Negative-3.3%-5.6%-0.4%
Max Positive 5.1% 
Max Negative-4.9%-5.6%-0.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251113202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025815202510-Q 6/30/2025
123120247242025424B4 12/31/2024
123120232122025DRS 12/31/2023