NexMetals Mining (NEXM)
Market Price (8/8/2026): $2.34 | Market Cap: $66.5 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining
NexMetals Mining (NEXM)
Market Price (8/8/2026): $2.34Market Cap: $66.5 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Diversified Metals & Mining
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -57% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Rare Earth Elements, Advanced Battery Components, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -115%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -142% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -51 Mil Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -93% Key risksNEXM key risks include [1] its critical need for dilutive financing to fund operations due to its pre-revenue status and limited cash runway, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -57% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Rare Earth Elements, Advanced Battery Components, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -115%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -142% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -51 Mil |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -93% |
| Key risksNEXM key risks include [1] its critical need for dilutive financing to fund operations due to its pre-revenue status and limited cash runway, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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NexMetals Mining (NEXM) stock has lost about 15% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Continued weak financial performance and negative earnings outlook. NexMetals Mining reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.22 for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026). However, the company has a recorded net income of -$42.29 million and a trailing EPS of -$1.05 as of May 13, 2026. Earnings are projected to remain negative, with an estimated ($0.27) per share for the coming year. This ongoing pattern of financial losses and significant cash burn, characteristic of pre-revenue operations, likely undermined investor confidence despite positive operational updates.
2. Significant share dilution impacting per-share value. Shareholders experienced substantial dilution over the past year, with the total number of shares outstanding increasing by 66.2%. This significant increase in share count, which carried into the specified period, negatively affected the per-share value and investor perception, despite the company's efforts in resource development.
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NexMetals Mining (NEXM) stock has lost about 15% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Continued weak financial performance and negative earnings outlook. NexMetals Mining reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.22 for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026). However, the company has a recorded net income of -$42.29 million and a trailing EPS of -$1.05 as of May 13, 2026. Earnings are projected to remain negative, with an estimated ($0.27) per share for the coming year. This ongoing pattern of financial losses and significant cash burn, characteristic of pre-revenue operations, likely undermined investor confidence despite positive operational updates.
2. Significant share dilution impacting per-share value. Shareholders experienced substantial dilution over the past year, with the total number of shares outstanding increasing by 66.2%. This significant increase in share count, which carried into the specified period, negatively affected the per-share value and investor perception, despite the company's efforts in resource development.
3. Comparatively less favorable market sentiment for the company within the broader materials sector. While NexMetals Mining announced positive drilling results and a 70% increase in copper-equivalent metal inventory at its Selkirk Project during Q2 2026, the company's stock maintained a consensus "Hold" rating from analysts, contrasting with the "Moderate Buy" average consensus rating for the overall "materials" sector. This suggests that despite company-specific positive developments, the broader market viewed NexMetals Mining less favorably than its peers, contributing to its stock decline.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -13.3% change in NEXM stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302026 | 8072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.70 | 2.34 | -13.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 28 | 28 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 8/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NEXM | -13.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.6% | 31.8% |
| Sector (XLB) | 2.7% | 13.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -40.6% change in NEXM stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -24.5% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 8072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.94 | 2.34 | -40.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 21 | 28 | -24.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 8/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NEXM | -40.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.1% | 31.7% |
| Sector (XLB) | 7.8% | 28.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -56.2% change in NEXM stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -60.7% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 8072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.34 | 2.34 | -56.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 11 | 28 | -60.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 8/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NEXM | -56.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 23.4% | 24.0% |
| Sector (XLB) | 22.2% | 29.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
7/31/2023 to 8/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NEXM | ||
| Market (SPY) | 74.9% | 22.6% |
| Sector (XLB) | 30.2% | 25.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NEXM Return | - | - | - | - | -49% | -43% | -71% |
| Peers Return | 22% | 3% | 11% | -2% | 116% | 20% | 257% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 105% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NEXM Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 50% | 62% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 52% | 52% | 43% | 70% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NEXM Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | -54% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -33% | -49% | -32% | -31% | -28% | -34% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FCX, NEM, SCCO, TECK, HL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/7/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
NEXM has limited trading history. Below is the Materials sector ETF (XLB) in its place.
| Event | XLB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -17.0% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 84 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -12.5% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 14.3% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 52 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -23.5% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.7% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 456 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -36.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 114 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -18.3% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.4% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 101 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -17.9% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 21.7% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 52 days | 62 days |
In The Past
State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -17.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 20.5% gain to breakeven.
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NEXM has limited trading history. Below is the Materials sector ETF (XLB) in its place.
| Event | XLB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -23.5% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.7% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 456 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -36.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 114 days | 140 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -23.8% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.2% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 171 days | 15 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -28.2% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.3% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 459 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -56.6% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 130.3% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 701 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -17.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 20.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About NexMetals Mining (NEXM)
NexMetals Mining (NEXM) operates as a mineral exploration and resource development company. Its core business involves identifying, evaluating, and advancing mineral properties to ultimately extract valuable resources.
The company's primary focus is on the exploration and development of properties containing nickel, copper, cobalt, and precious metal sulphides. NexMetals Mining's principal asset is the Maniitsoq project, a significant nickel-copper-cobalt-precious metal sulphide deposit located in southwest Greenland, covering an area of over 3,000 square kilometers. Additionally, the company conducts exploration activities in Morocco, Canada, and Botswana.
As a developer of base and precious metal resources, NexMetals Mining's prospective outputs would serve various industrial and manufacturing sectors globally. The company aims to supply materials essential for industries such as electric vehicles, electronics, and specialized alloys that utilize nickel, copper, and cobalt, while also potentially contributing to the precious metals market.
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Here are 1-2 brief analogies for NexMetals Mining (NEXM):
An Ivanhoe Mines for nickel and copper, exploring for large-scale deposits of these critical battery and industrial metals.
Like an early-stage Albemarle for nickel and copper, seeking to become a major supplier of essential battery metals.
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- Nickel: A metallic element primarily used in alloys, batteries, and stainless steel production.
- Copper: A metallic element valued for its high electrical and thermal conductivity, commonly used in wiring and plumbing.
- Cobalt: A metallic element essential for high-strength alloys, magnets, and particularly in rechargeable batteries.
- Precious Metals: Valuable metallic elements (such as gold, silver, or platinum group metals) often sought for investment, jewelry, and industrial applications.
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Key Risks to NexMetals Mining (NEXM)
- Exploration and Development Risk: As a mineral exploration and development company, NexMetals Mining faces significant inherent uncertainties in identifying and developing commercially viable mineral deposits. The company currently has no production or revenue, and its valuation primarily depends on successfully advancing its Selebi and Selkirk projects in Botswana to a producing mine status. There is no guarantee that exploration and drilling results will culminate in a "real mine," making this the fundamental risk to its business model.
- Commodity Price Volatility: The economic viability and attractiveness of NexMetals Mining's projects are heavily influenced by the fluctuating prices of the target minerals, including copper, nickel, and cobalt. Significant drops in commodity prices, such as the 4.6% decline in nickel prices over the past year (as of November 2025), can adversely affect project economics and the company's overall appeal to investors.
- Financing and Dilution Risk: Mineral exploration and mine development are highly capital-intensive endeavors. Despite recent capital raises, NexMetals Mining has experienced negative operating cash flow, indicating an ongoing need for substantial funding. The reliance on new financing often leads to the issuance of additional shares, which can dilute the ownership stake and value for existing shareholders.
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NexMetals Mining Corp. (NEXM) focuses on the exploration and development of copper, nickel, cobalt, and platinum group metals resources in Botswana. The addressable markets for these main products are as follows:
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Copper: The global copper market size was approximately USD 262 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach around USD 467 billion by 2034.
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Nickel: The global nickel market size was valued between approximately USD 44 billion and USD 49 billion in 2025.
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Cobalt: The global cobalt market size was estimated at USD 18.72 billion in 2025.
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Precious Metals (including Platinum Group Metals): The global precious metals market size was valued between approximately USD 303 billion and USD 342 billion in 2025.
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Re-initiation of Production at Selebi and Selkirk Mines: The paramount driver of future revenue growth for NexMetals Mining is the successful redevelopment and re-initiation of mining operations at its flagship Selebi and Selkirk copper, nickel, and cobalt sulphide mines in Botswana. The company is actively focused on bringing these previously producing assets back into operation, which will transition it from an exploration and development stage to a revenue-generating producer.
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Expansion of Mineral Resources and Reserves: Ongoing exploration and drilling programs at both the Selebi and Selkirk projects are anticipated to expand the known mineral resources and reserves. Recent activities include step-out and infill drilling at Selebi Main to extend mineralized zones and surface drilling at Selkirk to expand its known resource, aiming to support future resource updates and ultimately increase the scale of potential production.
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Optimized Metallurgical Processing and Operational Efficiency: NexMetals is investing in metallurgical flowsheet development and has reported a "metallurgical breakthrough" at Selebi. These advancements are expected to provide lower-cost processing routes and de-risk the assets, thereby enhancing recovery rates of valuable metals and making a broader range of resources economically viable for extraction, directly impacting profitability and revenue.
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Strategic Partnerships and Capital Attraction via Nasdaq Listing: The company's uplisting to the Nasdaq Stock Market in July 2025 is considered a significant milestone. This move is expected to strengthen NexMetals' global presence and create a platform for future strategic partnerships, which could provide essential capital, expertise, and potential off-take agreements necessary to accelerate mine development and production, thereby boosting future revenue.
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Favorable Commodity Market Conditions: As a critical metals company, NexMetals Mining's future revenue will be significantly influenced by the market prices of copper, nickel, and cobalt, and to a lesser extent, platinum group elements (PGEs). Sustained or increasing demand and favorable pricing for these commodities will directly contribute to higher revenue once production commences.
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Share Issuance
- In November 2025, NexMetals Mining completed a public offering, raising C$80,000,070 through the sale of units, each comprising one common share and one common share purchase warrant. This offering was initially planned for C$50 million, then upsized to C$65 million, and finally to C$80 million due to strong demand.
- In March 2025, the company completed a C$46 million equity financing.
- The number of NexMetals Mining's outstanding shares increased by 102.02% in one year. As of February 25, 2026, there were 35,512,606 issued and outstanding shares.
Inbound Investments
- Condire Investors, LLC became a new 9.9% shareholder in NexMetals Mining in November 2025, participating as a lead order in the C$80 million public offering.
- EdgePoint Investment Group Inc., an existing significant shareholder, invested approximately C$9 million in the November 2025 public offering, maintaining a 17.6% stake in the company.
- NexMetals Mining has a non-binding letter of interest from the U.S. Export-Import Bank for potential financing of up to US$150 million.
Capital Expenditures
- In December 2025, NexMetals Mining made a US$25.0 million contingent milestone payment to secure unencumbered title to its Selebi and Selkirk copper, nickel, and cobalt assets in Botswana.
- The proceeds from the C$80 million public offering in November 2025 are primarily allocated to advance exploration and development activities at the Selebi and Selkirk mines in Botswana.
- Planned capital expenditures for 2026 include an aggressive program of exploration drilling and the completion of Preliminary Economic Assessments (PEAs) for both the Selebi and Selkirk mines, with the aim of expanding the mineral resource.
Research & Analysis
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Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 68.05 |
| Mkt Cap | 66.3 |
| Rev LTM | 14,889 |
| Op Inc LTM | 4,947 |
| FCF LTM | 1,844 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 962 |
| CFO LTM | 5,274 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,887 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 32.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 16.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 40.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 7.7% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 64.9% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 88.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 47.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 26.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 42.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 31.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 30.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.9% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $2.34 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 02/23/2007 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -63.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $4.88 | $5.81 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -52.0% | -59.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 66.4% | 70.5% |
| Downside Capture | 249.22 | 209.14 |
| Upside Capture | 54.16 | 64.11 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 31.0% | 24.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.02 | 1.15 | 1.92 | 1.69 | 1.33 | 0.34 |
| Up Beta | 3.10 | 0.99 | 2.04 | 2.13 | 1.24 | -0.76 |
| Down Beta | 1.86 | 1.28 | 1.90 | 2.40 | 1.45 | -0.02 |
| Up Capture | 116% | 27% | 121% | 39% | 51% | 2% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 35 | 67 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 16 | 26 | 54 | 110 | 113 |
| Down Capture | 233% | 182% | 225% | 182% | 152% | 88% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 28 | 59 | 114 | 326 |
| Stock -ve Days | 14 | 25 | 35 | 69 | 137 | 144 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NEXM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEXM | -56.5% | 70.4% | -0.89 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 22.6% | 17.8% | 0.99 | 29.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 23.3% | 12.8% | 1.36 | 24.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 28.5% | 28.4% | 0.87 | 46.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 32.9% | 19.8% | 1.32 | 9.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.2% | 13.8% | 0.72 | 7.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -44.2% | 42.9% | -1.23 | 15.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NEXM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEXM | -21.3% | 72.3% | -1.25 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 6.7% | 19.1% | 0.24 | 25.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.2% | 0.61 | 22.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.6% | 18.6% | 0.81 | 43.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 19.6% | 0.31 | 8.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.3% | 18.9% | 0.02 | 6.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 8.8% | 53.0% | 0.35 | 14.0% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NEXM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEXM | -11.3% | 72.3% | -1.25 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 10.1% | 20.7% | 0.43 | 25.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 22.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.1% | 16.2% | 0.61 | 43.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.4% | 18.0% | 0.33 | 8.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 6.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.2% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 14.0% |
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Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/2/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Aug 8, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
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