Minerals Technologies (MTX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $58.55 | Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Specialty Chemicals
Minerals Technologies (MTX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $58.55Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Specialty Chemicals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -54%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 31x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Water Treatment Solutions, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.4% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Water Treatment Solutions, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -54%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 31x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.4% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MTX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Minerals Technologies (MTX) experienced a decline in its stock price from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, influenced by several factors. While daily fluctuations were observed, the broader context of the company's performance and market sentiment contributed to a negative movement.
1. Deepening Unprofitability and Annual Losses: Minerals Technologies continued to be unprofitable, with its losses deepening at an annual rate of 19.9% over the past five years as of October 25, 2025. This persistent unprofitability likely weighed on investor confidence.
2. Structural Risks from Declining Paper Demand: The company faced ongoing challenges due to declining demand in the North American and European paper markets. This subdued volume in its core Specialty Additives business exerted pressure on revenue and hindered margin improvement.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MTX Return | 8% | 18% | -17% | 18% | 7% | -23% | 3% |
| Peers Return | -2% | 9% | -5% | 1% | -18% | -5% | -20% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MTX Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 50% | 42% | 42% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 57% | 48% | 50% | 42% | 34% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MTX Max Drawdown | -50% | -1% | -32% | -20% | -9% | -33% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -48% | -10% | -19% | -22% | -26% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FUL, IOSP, NGVT, SCL, ECVT. See MTX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MTX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -44.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 80.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 277 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -50.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 103.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 236 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -45.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 83.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 626 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -63.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 170.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1287 days | 1480 days |
Compare to FUL, IOSP, NGVT, SCL, ECVT
In The Past
Minerals Technologies's stock fell -44.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/1/2021. A -44.6% loss requires a 80.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MTX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Minerals Technologies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 55.66 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.8 |
| Rev LTM | 1,930 |
| Op Inc LTM | 208 |
| FCF LTM | 81 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 116 |
| CFO LTM | 178 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 198 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -0.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 0.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.8 |
| P/S | 1.0 |
| P/EBIT | 12.7 |
| P/E | -19.9 |
| P/CFO | 8.4 |
| Total Yield | 0.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -6.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -24.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | -26.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -12.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -10.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -38.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -97.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer & Specialties | 1,160 | 1,125 | |||
| Engineered Solutions | 1,010 | 1,001 | |||
| Performance Materials | 976 | 826 | 823 | ||
| Refractories | 303 | 258 | 298 | ||
| Specialty Minerals | 579 | 511 | 574 | ||
| Energy Services | 95 | ||||
| Total | 2,170 | 2,126 | 1,858 | 1,595 | 1,791 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Engineered Solutions | 148 | 147 | |||
| Consumer & Specialties | 42 | 79 | |||
| Provision for litigation reserve and credit losses | 0 | ||||
| Acquisition-related expenses | -0 | -5 | -4 | -3 | |
| Litigation expenses | -2 | -2 | -10 | ||
| Restructuring and other items | -3 | 0 | |||
| Unallocated corporate expenses | -12 | -5 | -8 | -11 | -19 |
| Performance Materials | 125 | 109 | 97 | ||
| Refractories | 49 | 36 | 40 | ||
| Specialty Minerals | 73 | 68 | 83 | ||
| Energy Services | 8 | ||||
| Total | 172 | 215 | 236 | 188 | 209 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Engineered Solutions | 2,028 | 2,188 | |||
| Consumer & Specialties | 1,245 | 1,108 | |||
| Corporate | 73 | 107 | 82 | 140 | 82 |
| Performance Materials | 2,393 | 2,219 | 2,091 | ||
| Refractories | 293 | 291 | 293 | ||
| Specialty Minerals | 606 | 560 | 525 | ||
| Energy Services | 122 | ||||
| Total | 3,347 | 3,402 | 3,374 | 3,209 | 3,113 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10242025 | 10-Q 9/28/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7252025 | 10-Q 6/29/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4252025 | 10-Q 3/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2212025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10252024 | 10-Q 9/29/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7262024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4262024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2162024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 10/1/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 10-Q 7/2/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 4/2/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2172023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 10/2/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 7/3/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 4/3/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2182022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |