M-Tron Industries (MPTI)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $53.39 | Market Cap: $152.7 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Components
M-Tron Industries (MPTI)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $53.39Market Cap: $152.7 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Electronic Components
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% | Key risksMPTI key risks include [1] high customer concentration, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Network Equipment, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Network Equipment, Show more. |
| Key risksMPTI key risks include [1] high customer concentration, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MPTI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
There is no direct information stating the stock moved by exactly 19.5% between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025. However, I can extract information about price movements and significant events during this period that would influence the stock. Based on the search results, the stock price of M-Tron Industries (MPTI) has shown some volatility and specific events between August and December 2025.
1. Mixed Q2 2025 Earnings Report (August 2025): M-tron Industries reported its Q2 2025 financial results on August 12, 2025. The company announced earnings per share of $0.53, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.6 per share by 11.67%. However, revenues for the quarter were $13.28 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.62%. This mixed performance could have contributed to initial price fluctuations.
2. Strong Q3 2025 Revenue Growth and Backlog Increase (November 2025): M-tron Industries announced preliminary Q3 2025 results on November 4, 2025, and full results on November 12, 2025. The company reported strong revenues of $14.2 million, a 7.2% increase from the previous year, beating consensus estimates. Additionally, the company experienced a significant backlog increase of 47.9% to $58.8 million, driven by robust demand across aerospace and defense programs. This positive news likely had a significant upward impact on the stock.
3. Appointment of New Chief Executive Officer (November 2025): M-tron Industries appointed Cameron Pforr as its Chief Executive Officer on November 13, 2025. Changes in leadership, especially at the CEO level, can be a significant factor influencing investor sentiment and future outlook for a company's stock.
4. Presentation at Investor Conference (December 2025): M-tron Industries was scheduled to present at the Sidoti Year End Virtual Investor Conference on December 10-11, 2025, with CEO Cameron Pforr hosting one-on-one meetings with investors. Such presentations often provide increased visibility and can generate investor interest, potentially impacting stock price.
5. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets (September - December 2025): Throughout this period, analyst ratings and price targets for MPTI generally reflected a positive outlook. For example, by September 3, 2025, Freedom Broker initiated coverage with a "Buy" rating and a price target of $61.00. By December 17, 2025, Wall Street analysts had a "Strong Buy" consensus with a median price target of $64.00, implying a potential upside. These favorable analyst views would contribute to a positive stock movement.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MPTI Return | � | � | � | 308% | 36% | 9% | � |
| Peers Return | 40% | 7% | -25% | 38% | 17% | 33% | 145% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MPTI Win Rate | � | � | 0% | 83% | 50% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 52% | 32% | 65% | 57% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MPTI Max Drawdown | � | � | � | -4% | -33% | -28% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -41% | -11% | -41% | -8% | -22% | -32% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CTS, FEIM, MTSI, QRVO, SWKS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MPTI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -46.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 86.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 230 days | 464 days |
Compare to GLW, BELFA, APH, CLS, COHR
In The Past
M-Tron Industries's stock fell -46.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/10/2022. A -46.4% loss requires a 86.6% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| M-Tron Industries Earnings Notes | ||
| Can M-Tron Industries Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MPTI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for M-Tron Industries
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 59.36 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.6 |
| Rev LTM | 749 |
| Op Inc LTM | 106 |
| FCF LTM | 117 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 111 |
| CFO LTM | 167 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 142 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.6 |
| P/S | 2.9 |
| P/EBIT | 20.7 |
| P/E | 20.9 |
| P/CFO | 12.1 |
| Total Yield | 5.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 16.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 6.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 85.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 4.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 3.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -6.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 8.8% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | -2.9% | -0.7% | -5.7% |
| 8/12/2025 | -10.6% | -11.4% | 3.2% |
| 5/13/2025 | -17.8% | -21.3% | -22.9% |
| 2/26/2025 | 3.2% | 11.2% | 6.7% |
| 11/13/2024 | 11.3% | 7.8% | 12.4% |
| 8/14/2024 | 11.1% | 15.7% | 6.6% |
| 3/25/2024 | -23.8% | -24.4% | -29.5% |
| 11/9/2023 | 12.5% | 23.0% | -3.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| # Negative | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Median Positive | 11.3% | 15.7% | 6.7% |
| Median Negative | -14.2% | -16.3% | -14.3% |
| Max Positive | 27.9% | 25.7% | 81.3% |
| Max Negative | -23.8% | -24.4% | -29.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11122025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5142024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3252024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3302023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8192022 | 10-12B/A 6/30/2022 |
| 12312021 | 8032022 | 10-12B/A 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |