M-Tron Industries (MPTI)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $52.67 | Market Cap: $150.7 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Components
M-Tron Industries (MPTI)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $52.67Market Cap: $150.7 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Electronic Components
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12% | Key risksMPTI key risks include [1] high customer concentration, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Network Equipment, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Network Equipment, Show more. |
| Key risksMPTI key risks include [1] high customer concentration, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MPTI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For M-Tron Industries (MPTI) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025, the stock's 17.1% movement can be attributed to several key developments:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance.
M-tron Industries reported robust third-quarter 2025 results on November 12, 2025, exceeding analyst expectations with an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.63 against a forecast of $0.57 and revenue of $14.2 million, surpassing the anticipated $13.91 million. The company achieved a 7.2% year-over-year revenue growth and a significant 48% increase in its backlog to $58.8 million as of September 30, 2025, signaling strong future demand.
2. Award of a $20 Million Defense Program Contract.
On December 11, 2025, M-tron Industries announced it was awarded a $20 million production contract for a major U.S. defense program. This substantial contract win highlights the company's strong position in the aerospace and defense sectors and is a significant positive driver for investor confidence.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MPTI Return | � | � | � | 308% | 36% | 10% | � |
| Peers Return | 40% | 7% | -25% | 38% | 17% | 31% | 141% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MPTI Win Rate | � | � | 0% | 83% | 50% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 52% | 32% | 65% | 57% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MPTI Max Drawdown | � | � | � | -4% | -33% | -28% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -41% | -11% | -41% | -8% | -22% | -32% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CTS, FEIM, MTSI, QRVO, SWKS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MPTI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -46.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 86.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 230 days | 464 days |
Compare to GLW, BELFA, APH, CLS, COHR
In The Past
M-Tron Industries's stock fell -46.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/10/2022. A -46.4% loss requires a 86.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| M-Tron Industries Earnings Notes | ||
| With M-Tron Industries Stock Surging, Have You Considered The Downside? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MPTI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for M-Tron Industries
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 58.68 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.6 |
| Rev LTM | 749 |
| Op Inc LTM | 106 |
| FCF LTM | 117 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 111 |
| CFO LTM | 167 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 142 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.6 |
| P/S | 2.6 |
| P/EBIT | 17.1 |
| P/E | 21.3 |
| P/CFO | 12.3 |
| Total Yield | 4.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 17.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 11.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 92.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 2.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -8.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 12.8% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | -2.9% | -0.7% | -5.7% |
| 8/12/2025 | -10.6% | -11.4% | 3.2% |
| 5/13/2025 | -17.8% | -21.3% | -22.9% |
| 2/26/2025 | 3.2% | 11.2% | 6.7% |
| 11/13/2024 | 11.3% | 7.8% | 12.4% |
| 8/14/2024 | 11.1% | 15.7% | 6.6% |
| 3/25/2024 | -23.8% | -24.4% | -29.5% |
| 11/9/2023 | 12.5% | 23.0% | -3.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| # Negative | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Median Positive | 11.3% | 15.7% | 6.7% |
| Median Negative | -14.2% | -16.3% | -14.3% |
| Max Positive | 27.9% | 25.7% | 81.3% |
| Max Negative | -23.8% | -24.4% | -29.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11122025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5142024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3252024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3302023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8192022 | 10-12B/A 6/30/2022 |
| 12312021 | 8032022 | 10-12B/A 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |