Moog (MOG-A)
Market Price (3/15/2026): $300.2 | Market Cap: $9.5 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
Moog (MOG-A)
Market Price (3/15/2026): $300.2Market Cap: $9.5 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Exceptional Earnings Performance and Optimistic Future Guidance Fueled Investor Confidence.
Moog reported robust financial results, starting with its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings released on November 21, 2025. The company announced record net sales of $1.049 billion, marking a 14% increase year-over-year, and adjusted diluted net earnings per share surged 19% to $2.56. Additionally, Moog achieved a record free cash flow of $199 million in Q4 2025. This strong performance was complemented by an optimistic fiscal 2026 guidance, projecting net sales of $4.2 billion (a 9% increase) and approximately $10 in diluted EPS. The positive trend continued with Q1 2026 earnings, reported on January 30, 2026, where Moog significantly surpassed analyst expectations, reporting an EPS of $2.63 against a consensus estimate of $2.21, a 19% beat. Quarterly revenue also increased by 21.2% year-over-year to $1.10 billion.
2. Robust Demand and a Record Backlog in Key Aerospace and Defense Segments Provided Strong Revenue Visibility.
The company experienced strong demand across its core Aerospace and Defense segments. Fiscal year 2025 saw Commercial Aircraft sales increase by 15%, while both Space and Defense and Military Aircraft sales grew by 9%. This broad-based growth contributed to Moog reporting a record total backlog of $7.21 billion as of January 3, 2026. This substantial backlog provides a clear runway for future revenue and signals sustained operational strength in its specialized markets.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 31.6% change in MOG-A stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 20.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 229.19 | 301.59 | 31.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,858 | 4,051 | 5.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 30.3 | 36.6 | 20.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 32 | 32 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 31.6% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MOG-A | 31.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | -3.1% | 32.4% |
| Sector (XLI) | 7.1% | 57.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 54.3% change in MOG-A stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 29.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 195.43 | 301.59 | 54.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,731 | 4,051 | 8.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.8% | 6.4% | 10.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 28.3 | 36.6 | 29.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 32 | 32 | -0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 54.3% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MOG-A | 54.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.0% | 41.5% |
| Sector (XLI) | 8.8% | 59.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 77.8% change in MOG-A stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 47.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 169.59 | 301.59 | 77.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,660 | 4,051 | 10.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 24.8 | 36.6 | 47.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 32 | 32 | 0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 77.8% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MOG-A | 77.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.4% | 64.7% |
| Sector (XLI) | 22.0% | 70.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 212.1% change in MOG-A stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 85.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 96.63 | 301.59 | 212.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,072 | 4,051 | 31.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.0% | 6.4% | 27.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 19.8 | 36.6 | 85.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 32 | 32 | 0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 212.1% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MOG-A | 212.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 73.4% | 53.2% |
| Sector (XLI) | 70.2% | 63.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MOG-A Return | 3% | 10% | 67% | 37% | 24% | 29% | 316% |
| Peers Return | 6% | 2% | 41% | 33% | 37% | 16% | 221% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 80% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MOG-A Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 75% | 58% | 58% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 47% | 60% | 63% | 62% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MOG-A Max Drawdown | -13% | -12% | 0% | -4% | -23% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -12% | -20% | -6% | -4% | -13% | -1% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -2% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PH, CW, WWD, TDG, HON.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/13/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MOG-A | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 407 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -63.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 172.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,055 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 106 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -62.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 169.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,527 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to PH, CW, WWD, TDG, HON
In The Past
Moog's stock fell -26.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/1/2021. A -26.0% loss requires a 35.1% gain to breakeven.
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About Moog (MOG-A)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Moog (MOG-A):
- A more specialized Parker-Hannifin, building precise motion and fluid controls for critical aerospace, defense, and industrial systems.
- Honeywell, but laser-focused on designing the high-tech motion and fluid control systems for everything from fighter jets to medical devices.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```html- Flight Control Systems: Designs and manufactures primary and secondary flight controls for military and commercial aircraft.
- Space and Launch Vehicle Controls: Provides control systems for spacecraft, space vehicles, and launch vehicles.
- Defense Control Systems: Develops controls for armored combat vehicles, missiles, and naval vessels, including gun aiming, stabilization, and steering.
- Industrial Manufacturing Systems: Supplies components and systems for applications in injection and blow molding, metal forming, and other heavy industries.
- Motion Simulation Platforms: Offers electromechanical motion simulation bases used in flight simulation and training applications.
- Custom Test Systems: Provides customized control and test systems for automotive, structural, and fatigue testing.
- Energy Industry Components: Manufactures systems and components for oil and gas exploration, production, and wind turbine applications.
- Medical Device Components: Supplies components and systems for diagnostic imaging, sleep apnea equipment, infusion therapy, and other medical devices.
- Precision Industrial Components: Produces specialized components such as hydraulics, slip rings, rotary unions, fiber optic rotary joints, and motors.
- Aftermarket Support: Offers support services for its aircraft control products.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Moog Inc. (MOG-A) sells primarily to other companies rather than individuals. Its major customers can be broadly categorized into the following types:
1. Aerospace and Defense Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) and Prime Contractors
Moog provides precision motion and fluid controls for military and commercial aircraft, spacecraft, space vehicles, launch vehicles, armored combat vehicles, tactical and strategic missiles, naval surface ships, and submarines. Customers in this segment are typically large aerospace and defense companies that integrate Moog's components into their final products. Based on the markets Moog serves, examples of such public companies include:
- Boeing (BA)
- Lockheed Martin (LMT)
- Northrop Grumman (NOC)
- Airbus (EADSY)
- General Dynamics (GD)
- RTX Corporation (RTX)
2. Industrial Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs)
Moog supplies components and systems to a diverse range of industrial OEMs across various sectors. These customers integrate Moog's solutions into their machinery and equipment for various applications. This broad category includes manufacturers in industries such as:
- Machinery for injection and blow molding, metal forming presses, and heavy industry (e.g., steel and aluminum production).
- Power generation (including wind turbines).
- Oil and gas exploration and production equipment.
- Medical equipment (e.g., diagnostic imaging CT scan, sleep apnea, oxygen concentrators, infusion therapy, and enteral clinical nutrition devices).
- Flight simulation and training systems.
- Automotive, structural, and fatigue testing systems.
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| 02272026 | EFX | Equifax | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02202026 | LZ | LegalZoom.com | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.2% | 7.2% | -5.0% |
| 02132026 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.1% | 1.1% | -3.0% |
| 02132026 | TREX | Trex | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.2% | -3.2% | -5.9% |
| 02132026 | PCTY | Paylocity | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.6% | -0.6% | -4.8% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 506.41 |
| Mkt Cap | 47.5 |
| Rev LTM | 6,580 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,448 |
| FCF LTM | 1,216 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,133 |
| CFO LTM | 1,381 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,258 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 11.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 14.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 15.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 47.5 |
| P/S | 5.6 |
| P/EBIT | 23.7 |
| P/E | 35.8 |
| P/CFO | 31.7 |
| Total Yield | 3.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -6.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 20.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 24.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 59.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 208.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 22.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 19.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 39.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 108.6% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Space and Defense | 1,018 | 947 | 872 | 799 | 770 |
| Industrial | 991 | 983 | 907 | 892 | 909 |
| Military Aircraft | 812 | 720 | |||
| Commercial Aircraft | 788 | 669 | |||
| Aircraft Controls | 1,256 | 1,161 | 1,206 | ||
| Total | 3,609 | 3,319 | 3,036 | 2,852 | 2,885 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Space and Defense | 127 | 96 | 87 | 88 | 102 |
| Commercial Aircraft | 99 | 84 | |||
| Industrial | 93 | 102 | 72 | 86 | 80 |
| Military Aircraft | 86 | 60 | |||
| Aircraft Controls | 124 | 97 | 35 | ||
| Total | 404 | 343 | 283 | 271 | 216 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industrial | 1,099 | 1,089 | 1,047 | 1,078 | 1,102 |
| Space and Defense | 1,036 | 1,013 | 873 | 840 | 762 |
| Military Aircraft | 961 | 882 | |||
| Commercial Aircraft | 953 | 802 | |||
| Corporate | 29 | 23 | 42 | 44 | 39 |
| Aircraft Controls | 1,470 | 1,471 | 1,322 | ||
| Total | 4,078 | 3,808 | 3,432 | 3,433 | 3,226 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $301.59 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 9.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 02/21/1992 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -13.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $306.63 | $227.91 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -1.6% | 32.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 30.2% | 32.4% |
| Downside Capture | 28.80 | 84.93 |
| Upside Capture | 171.88 | 126.04 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 28.8% | 65.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.11 | 0.39 | 0.65 | 0.95 | 1.08 | 1.12 |
| Up Beta | -0.74 | -0.23 | -0.34 | 0.96 | 1.18 | 1.18 |
| Down Beta | 0.34 | 0.46 | 0.47 | 0.75 | 1.07 | 1.13 |
| Up Capture | 114% | 196% | 250% | 206% | 150% | 184% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 25 | 37 | 69 | 138 | 411 |
| Down Capture | -147% | -95% | -27% | 40% | 77% | 99% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 16 | 24 | 55 | 111 | 338 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MOG-A | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOG-A | 75.4% | 32.3% | 1.76 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 28.0% | 19.2% | 1.16 | 70.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 19.6% | 18.9% | 0.81 | 65.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 71.9% | 26.3% | 2.05 | -1.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.3% | 17.3% | 0.89 | 25.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.2% | 16.3% | 0.19 | 51.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -15.3% | 44.2% | -0.25 | 22.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MOG-A | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOG-A | 30.6% | 30.7% | 0.91 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.4% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 65.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.0% | 0.61 | 54.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.1% | 17.3% | 1.14 | 8.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.2% | 19.0% | 0.47 | 20.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 18.8% | 0.16 | 41.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.3% | 56.7% | 0.33 | 19.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MOG-A | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOG-A | 21.7% | 36.1% | 0.65 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.8% | 19.8% | 0.61 | 70.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 17.9% | 0.70 | 59.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.4% | 15.6% | 0.77 | 2.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 27.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 49.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.4% | 66.8% | 1.07 | 16.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 1/30/2026 | 6.0% | 13.1% | 20.0% |
| 11/21/2025 | 8.2% | 14.0% | 26.6% |
| 7/25/2025 | -1.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% |
| 4/25/2025 | -0.2% | 0.4% | 6.8% |
| 1/24/2025 | -7.2% | -10.6% | -19.9% |
| 11/1/2024 | 2.7% | 18.0% | 17.8% |
| 8/2/2024 | -8.3% | -3.6% | 4.2% |
| 4/26/2024 | 7.2% | 3.2% | 10.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 16 | 18 |
| # Negative | 12 | 8 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 2.9% | 4.7% | 8.9% |
| Median Negative | -4.1% | -3.0% | -4.4% |
| Max Positive | 11.7% | 18.0% | 26.6% |
| Max Negative | -9.9% | -10.6% | -19.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 01/30/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/25/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/25/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 01/24/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/26/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 01/26/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/14/2023 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/28/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/28/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/29/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/29/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fishback, Donald R | 401 (k) | Sell | 12092025 | 220.00 | 253 | Form | |||
| 2 | Scannell, John | Direct | Sell | 12052025 | 231.73 | 4,500 | 1,042,786 | 8,467,422 | Form | |
| 3 | Scannell, John | Spouse | Sell | 12052025 | 231.73 | 4,500 | 1,042,786 | 6,105,164 | Form | |
| 4 | Gisel, William G Jr | Direct | Sell | 9152025 | 198.11 | 1,255 | 248,631 | 331,838 | Form | |
| 5 | Wilkinson, Paul | Vice President | Direct | Sell | 2092026 | 329.80 | 992 | 327,162 | 2,373,900 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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