Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
 
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Moog (MOG-A) stock has gained about 30% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Exceptional Earnings Performance and Optimistic Future Guidance Fueled Investor Confidence.

Moog reported robust financial results, starting with its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings released on November 21, 2025. The company announced record net sales of $1.049 billion, marking a 14% increase year-over-year, and adjusted diluted net earnings per share surged 19% to $2.56. Additionally, Moog achieved a record free cash flow of $199 million in Q4 2025. This strong performance was complemented by an optimistic fiscal 2026 guidance, projecting net sales of $4.2 billion (a 9% increase) and approximately $10 in diluted EPS. The positive trend continued with Q1 2026 earnings, reported on January 30, 2026, where Moog significantly surpassed analyst expectations, reporting an EPS of $2.63 against a consensus estimate of $2.21, a 19% beat. Quarterly revenue also increased by 21.2% year-over-year to $1.10 billion.

2. Robust Demand and a Record Backlog in Key Aerospace and Defense Segments Provided Strong Revenue Visibility.

The company experienced strong demand across its core Aerospace and Defense segments. Fiscal year 2025 saw Commercial Aircraft sales increase by 15%, while both Space and Defense and Military Aircraft sales grew by 9%. This broad-based growth contributed to Moog reporting a record total backlog of $7.21 billion as of January 3, 2026. This substantial backlog provides a clear runway for future revenue and signals sustained operational strength in its specialized markets.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 31.6% change in MOG-A stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 20.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020253142026Change
Stock Price ($)229.19301.5931.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,8584,0515.0%
Net Income Margin (%)6.2%6.4%3.7%
P/E Multiple30.336.620.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)32320.0%
Cumulative Contribution31.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MOG-A31.6% 
Market (SPY)-3.1%32.4%
Sector (XLI)7.1%57.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 54.3% change in MOG-A stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 29.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120253142026Change
Stock Price ($)195.43301.5954.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,7314,0518.6%
Net Income Margin (%)5.8%6.4%10.4%
P/E Multiple28.336.629.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3232-0.5%
Cumulative Contribution54.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MOG-A54.3% 
Market (SPY)3.0%41.5%
Sector (XLI)8.8%59.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 77.8% change in MOG-A stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 47.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820253142026Change
Stock Price ($)169.59301.5977.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,6604,05110.7%
Net Income Margin (%)6.0%6.4%7.8%
P/E Multiple24.836.647.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)32320.9%
Cumulative Contribution77.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MOG-A77.8% 
Market (SPY)12.4%64.7%
Sector (XLI)22.0%70.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 212.1% change in MOG-A stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 85.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820233142026Change
Stock Price ($)96.63301.59212.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,0724,05131.9%
Net Income Margin (%)5.0%6.4%27.6%
P/E Multiple19.836.685.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)32320.2%
Cumulative Contribution212.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MOG-A212.1% 
Market (SPY)73.4%53.2%
Sector (XLI)70.2%63.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
MOG-A Return3%10%67%37%24%29%316%
Peers Return6%2%41%33%37%16%221%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-1%80%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MOG-A Win Rate50%58%75%58%58%67% 
Peers Win Rate52%47%60%63%62%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MOG-A Max Drawdown-13%-12%0%-4%-23%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-12%-20%-6%-4%-13%-1% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-2% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PH, CW, WWD, TDG, HON.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/13/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMOG-AS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven407 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-63.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,055 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven106 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-62.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven169.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,527 days1,480 days

Compare to PH, CW, WWD, TDG, HON

In The Past

Moog's stock fell -26.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/1/2021. A -26.0% loss requires a 35.1% gain to breakeven.

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About Moog (MOG-A)

Moog Inc. designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion and fluid controls and controls systems for original equipment manufacturers and end users in the aerospace, defense, and industrial markets worldwide. The company's Aircraft Controls segment offers primary and secondary flight controls for military and commercial aircrafts; aftermarket support services; and ground-based navigation aids. Its Space and Defense Controls segment provides controls for spacecrafts, space vehicles, launch vehicles, armored combat vehicles, tactical and strategic missiles, security and surveillance, and other defense applications; and gun aiming, stabilization, and automatic ammunition loading for armored combat vehicles. This segment also offers controls for steering tactical and strategic missiles, and naval surface ships and submarines; and weapons stores management systems for light attack aerial reconnaissance, ground, and sea platforms. The company's Industrial Systems segment provides components and systems for applications in injection and blow molding machinery, metal forming presses, and heavy industry customers in steel and aluminum production; supplies electromechanical motion simulation bases for the flight simulation and training applications; and supplies solutions for power generation applications, as well as custom test systems and controls for automotive, structural, and fatigue testing. This segment also offers systems and components for applications in oil and gas exploration and production; components for wind turbine applications; components and systems for diagnostic imaging CT scan medical equipment, sleep apnea equipment, oxygen concentrators, infusion therapy, and enteral clinical nutrition; and hydraulics, slip rings, rotary unions and fiber optic rotary joints, motors, and infusion and enteral pumps. The company was incorporated in 1951 and is headquartered in East Aurora, New York.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Moog (MOG-A):

  • A more specialized Parker-Hannifin, building precise motion and fluid controls for critical aerospace, defense, and industrial systems.
  • Honeywell, but laser-focused on designing the high-tech motion and fluid control systems for everything from fighter jets to medical devices.

AI Analysis | Feedback

```html
  • Flight Control Systems: Designs and manufactures primary and secondary flight controls for military and commercial aircraft.
  • Space and Launch Vehicle Controls: Provides control systems for spacecraft, space vehicles, and launch vehicles.
  • Defense Control Systems: Develops controls for armored combat vehicles, missiles, and naval vessels, including gun aiming, stabilization, and steering.
  • Industrial Manufacturing Systems: Supplies components and systems for applications in injection and blow molding, metal forming, and other heavy industries.
  • Motion Simulation Platforms: Offers electromechanical motion simulation bases used in flight simulation and training applications.
  • Custom Test Systems: Provides customized control and test systems for automotive, structural, and fatigue testing.
  • Energy Industry Components: Manufactures systems and components for oil and gas exploration, production, and wind turbine applications.
  • Medical Device Components: Supplies components and systems for diagnostic imaging, sleep apnea equipment, infusion therapy, and other medical devices.
  • Precision Industrial Components: Produces specialized components such as hydraulics, slip rings, rotary unions, fiber optic rotary joints, and motors.
  • Aftermarket Support: Offers support services for its aircraft control products.
```

AI Analysis | Feedback

Moog Inc. (MOG-A) sells primarily to other companies rather than individuals. Its major customers can be broadly categorized into the following types:

1. Aerospace and Defense Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) and Prime Contractors

Moog provides precision motion and fluid controls for military and commercial aircraft, spacecraft, space vehicles, launch vehicles, armored combat vehicles, tactical and strategic missiles, naval surface ships, and submarines. Customers in this segment are typically large aerospace and defense companies that integrate Moog's components into their final products. Based on the markets Moog serves, examples of such public companies include:

  • Boeing (BA)
  • Lockheed Martin (LMT)
  • Northrop Grumman (NOC)
  • Airbus (EADSY)
  • General Dynamics (GD)
  • RTX Corporation (RTX)

2. Industrial Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs)

Moog supplies components and systems to a diverse range of industrial OEMs across various sectors. These customers integrate Moog's solutions into their machinery and equipment for various applications. This broad category includes manufacturers in industries such as:

  • Machinery for injection and blow molding, metal forming presses, and heavy industry (e.g., steel and aluminum production).
  • Power generation (including wind turbines).
  • Oil and gas exploration and production equipment.
  • Medical equipment (e.g., diagnostic imaging CT scan, sleep apnea, oxygen concentrators, infusion therapy, and enteral clinical nutrition devices).
  • Flight simulation and training systems.
  • Automotive, structural, and fatigue testing systems.

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Better Bets vs. Moog (MOG-A)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to MOG-A.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
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ADP_2132026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02132026ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
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TREX_2132026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02132026TREXTrexDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
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PCTY_2132026_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE02132026PCTYPaylocityDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.6%-0.6%-4.8%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MOG-APHCWWWDTDGHONMedian
NameMoog Parker H.Curtiss-.Woodward TransDigmHoneywel. 
Mkt Price301.59889.86656.02356.801,214.66234.50506.41
Mkt Cap9.6112.324.221.370.7148.947.5
Rev LTM4,05120,4613,4983,7919,10937,4426,580
Op Inc LTM4394,2936385494,2576,5672,448
FCF LTM2153,3395544101,8785,4221,216
FCF 3Y Avg263,1654803351,7865,0821,133
CFO LTM3613,7416435512,1186,4081,381
CFO 3Y Avg1863,5695454431,9715,9481,258

Growth & Margins

MOG-APHCWWWDTDGHONMedian
NameMoog Parker H.Curtiss-.Woodward TransDigmHoneywel. 
Rev Chg LTM10.7%2.8%12.1%14.5%11.7%7.8%11.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.7%6.2%11.0%15.7%17.5%2.0%10.3%
Rev Chg Q21.2%9.1%14.9%29.0%13.9%8.8%14.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.0%2.2%3.6%6.3%3.2%1.5%3.4%
Op Mgn LTM10.8%21.0%18.2%14.5%46.7%17.5%17.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.6%19.7%17.6%12.7%45.9%18.4%18.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%0.3%-0.1%1.0%-0.7%-0.6%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM8.9%18.3%18.4%14.5%23.3%17.1%17.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.9%17.8%17.2%12.9%24.4%17.0%17.1%
FCF/Rev LTM5.3%16.3%15.8%10.8%20.6%14.5%15.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg0.5%15.8%15.2%9.8%22.1%14.5%14.8%

Valuation

MOG-APHCWWWDTDGHONMedian
NameMoog Parker H.Curtiss-.Woodward TransDigmHoneywel. 
Mkt Cap9.6112.324.221.370.7148.947.5
P/S2.45.56.95.67.84.05.6
P/EBIT22.924.636.533.816.621.823.7
P/E36.631.750.043.734.931.535.8
P/CFO26.430.037.638.733.423.231.7
Total Yield3.1%3.9%2.1%2.6%10.4%5.2%3.5%
Dividend Yield0.4%0.8%0.1%0.3%7.5%2.0%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.2%4.0%3.7%2.9%2.6%3.8%3.3%
D/E0.10.10.00.00.40.20.1
Net D/E0.10.10.00.00.40.20.1

Returns

MOG-APHCWWWDTDGHONMedian
NameMoog Parker H.Curtiss-.Woodward TransDigmHoneywel. 
1M Rtn-6.6%-9.4%-2.2%-6.2%-6.3%-1.7%-6.2%
3M Rtn23.7%0.8%20.2%19.8%-6.2%21.7%20.0%
6M Rtn52.6%17.7%29.0%50.1%-4.5%18.9%24.0%
12M Rtn71.3%47.7%103.7%98.5%-3.6%21.3%59.5%
3Y Rtn223.3%193.7%299.4%293.2%103.8%41.0%208.5%
1M Excs Rtn-3.8%-8.3%5.8%-6.0%-6.0%-0.5%-4.9%
3M Excs Rtn27.8%1.9%19.8%24.7%-5.2%24.3%22.1%
6M Excs Rtn47.2%13.2%25.6%46.1%-8.9%13.9%19.8%
12M Excs Rtn54.0%25.5%88.2%79.4%-23.1%2.1%39.7%
3Y Excs Rtn132.9%84.2%208.9%198.5%16.1%-34.1%108.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Space and Defense1,018947872799770
Industrial991983907892909
Military Aircraft812720   
Commercial Aircraft788669   
Aircraft Controls  1,2561,1611,206
Total3,6093,3193,0362,8522,885


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Space and Defense127968788102
Commercial Aircraft9984   
Industrial93102728680
Military Aircraft8660   
Aircraft Controls  1249735
Total404343283271216


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Industrial1,0991,0891,0471,0781,102
Space and Defense1,0361,013873840762
Military Aircraft961882   
Commercial Aircraft953802   
Corporate2923424439
Aircraft Controls  1,4701,4711,322
Total4,0783,8083,4323,4333,226


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$301.59 
Market Cap ($ Bil)9.6 
First Trading Date02/21/1992 
Distance from 52W High-13.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$306.63$227.91
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-1.6%32.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility30.2%32.4%
Downside Capture28.8084.93
Upside Capture171.88126.04
Correlation (SPY)28.8%65.5%
MOG-A Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.110.390.650.951.081.12
Up Beta-0.74-0.23-0.340.961.181.18
Down Beta0.340.460.470.751.071.13
Up Capture114%196%250%206%150%184%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days13253769138411
Down Capture-147%-95%-27%40%77%99%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days8162455111338

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MOG-A
MOG-A75.4%32.3%1.76-
Sector ETF (XLI)28.0%19.2%1.1670.9%
Equity (SPY)19.6%18.9%0.8165.5%
Gold (GLD)71.9%26.3%2.05-1.0%
Commodities (DBC)19.3%17.3%0.8925.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.2%16.3%0.1951.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-15.3%44.2%-0.2522.2%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MOG-A
MOG-A30.6%30.7%0.91-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.4%17.1%0.6265.3%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.0%0.6154.7%
Gold (GLD)24.1%17.3%1.148.4%
Commodities (DBC)11.2%19.0%0.4720.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%18.8%0.1641.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)6.3%56.7%0.3319.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MOG-A
MOG-A21.7%36.1%0.65-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.8%19.8%0.6170.7%
Equity (SPY)14.5%17.9%0.7059.5%
Gold (GLD)14.4%15.6%0.772.0%
Commodities (DBC)8.6%17.6%0.4027.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.6%20.7%0.2349.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.4%66.8%1.0716.2%

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Short Interest

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
1/30/20266.0%13.1%20.0%
11/21/20258.2%14.0%26.6%
7/25/2025-1.8%4.2%6.5%
4/25/2025-0.2%0.4%6.8%
1/24/2025-7.2%-10.6%-19.9%
11/1/20242.7%18.0%17.8%
8/2/2024-8.3%-3.6%4.2%
4/26/20247.2%3.2%10.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121618
# Negative1286
Median Positive2.9%4.7%8.9%
Median Negative-4.1%-3.0%-4.4%
Max Positive11.7%18.0%26.6%
Max Negative-9.9%-10.6%-19.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202501/30/202610-Q
09/30/202511/26/202510-K
06/30/202507/25/202510-Q
03/31/202504/25/202510-Q
12/31/202401/24/202510-Q
09/30/202411/27/202410-K
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202404/26/202410-Q
12/31/202301/26/202410-Q
09/30/202311/14/202310-K
06/30/202307/28/202310-Q
03/31/202304/28/202310-Q
12/31/202202/03/202310-Q
09/30/202211/14/202210-K
06/30/202207/29/202210-Q
03/31/202204/29/202210-Q

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Fishback, Donald R401 (k)Sell12092025220.00253  Form
2Scannell, JohnDirectSell12052025231.734,5001,042,7868,467,422Form
3Scannell, JohnSpouseSell12052025231.734,5001,042,7866,105,164Form
4Gisel, William G Jr DirectSell9152025198.111,255248,631331,838Form
5Wilkinson, PaulVice PresidentDirectSell2092026329.80992327,1622,373,900Form