3M (MMM)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $162.23 | Market Cap: $86.6 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Conglomerates
3M (MMM)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $162.23Market Cap: $86.6 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Industrial Conglomerates
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%, CFO LTM is 2.5 Bil | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 34x |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -10% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, Water Infrastructure, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Lightweight Composites, Show more. | Key risksMMM key risks include [1] massive liabilities from its PFAS "forever chemicals" litigation and [2] a multi-billion dollar settlement for its defective Combat Arms Earplugs. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%, CFO LTM is 2.5 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, Water Infrastructure, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Lightweight Composites, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 34x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -10% |
| Key risksMMM key risks include [1] massive liabilities from its PFAS "forever chemicals" litigation and [2] a multi-billion dollar settlement for its defective Combat Arms Earplugs. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MMM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The public company 3M (MMM) experienced significant events between August 31, 2025, and December 21, 2025, that could have influenced its stock performance. While precise daily movements for a 4.6% change require specific opening and closing prices for the exact dates, the following key points highlight major developments during this period that would explain such a movement.
1. Strong Third-Quarter 2025 Financial Results. 3M reported robust third-quarter 2025 results on October 21, 2025, showcasing a 10% increase in adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS) year-over-year and 3.2% organic sales growth. The company also improved its operating margin, indicating strong operational performance.
2. Increased Full-Year 2025 Guidance. Following its strong Q3 performance, 3M raised its full-year 2025 guidance for organic sales growth, operating income margin expansion, and adjusted EPS. This upward revision signaled management's confidence in the company's continued financial health and strategic execution.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MMM Return | 3% | 5% | -30% | -3% | 46% | 28% | 37% |
| Peers Return | 20% | 17% | -9% | 10% | 13% | 24% | 97% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MMM Win Rate | 42% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 67% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 60% | 38% | 42% | 55% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MMM Max Drawdown | -33% | -5% | -38% | -25% | -15% | -2% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -42% | -5% | -27% | -10% | -10% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HON, ITW, DD, GLW, AVY. See MMM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MMM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -58.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 140.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 772 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -35.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 53.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 310 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -41.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -56.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 129.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 781 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to GE, HON, GLW, EMR, DD
In The Past
3M's stock fell -58.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/4/2021. A -58.5% loss requires a 140.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MMM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.0% | 18.0% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.6% | 7.6% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -1.2% |
| 10312023 | MMM | 3M | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 30.9% | 75.2% | -0.4% |
| 06302022 | MMM | 3M | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.8% | -18.7% | -24.2% |
| 01312020 | MMM | 3M | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.4% | 14.8% | -25.0% |
| 05312019 | MMM | 3M | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.2% | 1.6% | -24.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.0% | 18.0% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.6% | 7.6% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -1.2% |
| 10312023 | MMM | 3M | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 30.9% | 75.2% | -0.4% |
| 06302022 | MMM | 3M | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.8% | -18.7% | -24.2% |
| 01312020 | MMM | 3M | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.4% | 14.8% | -25.0% |
| 05312019 | MMM | 3M | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.2% | 1.6% | -24.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for 3M
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 171.56 |
| Mkt Cap | 74.0 |
| Rev LTM | 15,399 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,152 |
| FCF LTM | 1,452 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,629 |
| CFO LTM | 2,404 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,666 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 74.0 |
| P/S | 3.3 |
| P/EBIT | 17.0 |
| P/E | 22.3 |
| P/CFO | 19.5 |
| Total Yield | 5.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 9.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 13.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 40.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 6.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -6.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -0.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -32.9% |
Comparison Analyses
FDA Approved Drugs Data
Expand for More| Post-Approval Fwd Returns | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA App # | Brand Name | Generic Name | Dosage Form | FDA Approval | 3M Rtn | 6M Rtn | 1Y Rtn | 2Y Rtn | Total Rtn |
| NDA021586 | DURAPREP | iodine povacrylex | sponge | 9292006 | 5.3% | 3.9% | 28.7% | -2.0% | 359.5% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safety and Industrial | 10,956 | 11,604 | 11,981 | 11,734 | 11,514 |
| Transportation and Electronics | 8,501 | 8,902 | 9,262 | 8,833 | 9,591 |
| Consumer | 5,026 | 5,292 | 5,513 | 5,311 | 5,151 |
| Corporate and Other | 90 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 110 |
| Other | 37 | ||||
| Health Care | 8,427 | 8,597 | 8,345 | 7,431 | |
| Elimination of Dual Credit | -2,037 | -1,661 | |||
| Total | 24,610 | 34,229 | 35,355 | 32,184 | 32,136 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safety and Industrial | 2,324 | 1,135 | 2,466 | 2,784 | 2,510 |
| Transportation and Electronics | 1,312 | 973 | 1,880 | 1,814 | 2,221 |
| Consumer | 904 | 978 | 1,162 | 1,203 | 1,124 |
| Other | 55 | ||||
| Corporate and Other | -15,284 | 1,654 | -176 | 91 | -1,130 |
| Health Care | 1,799 | 2,037 | 1,790 | 1,858 | |
| Elimination of Dual Credit | -521 | -409 | |||
| Total | -10,689 | 6,539 | 7,369 | 7,161 | 6,174 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate and Unallocated and Other | 16,195 | ||||
| Non-current assets of discontinued operations | 11,343 | ||||
| Safety and Industrial | 11,212 | 11,774 | 11,744 | 11,711 | 11,682 |
| Transportation and Electronics | 6,826 | 6,485 | 6,999 | 6,997 | 6,871 |
| Consumer | 2,625 | 2,774 | 2,783 | 2,567 | 2,428 |
| Current assets of discontinued operations | 2,379 | ||||
| Corporate and Other | 12,058 | 11,491 | 11,538 | 8,888 | |
| Health Care | 13,364 | 14,055 | 14,531 | 14,790 | |
| Total | 50,580 | 46,455 | 47,072 | 47,344 | 44,659 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/21/2025 | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% |
| 7/18/2025 | -3.7% | -6.1% | -4.2% |
| 4/22/2025 | 8.1% | 9.4% | 22.3% |
| 1/21/2025 | 4.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% |
| 10/22/2024 | -2.3% | -3.4% | -4.4% |
| 7/26/2024 | 23.0% | 22.3% | 26.3% |
| 4/30/2024 | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% |
| 1/23/2024 | -11.0% | -10.8% | -13.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 11 | 13 |
| # Negative | 12 | 13 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% |
| Median Negative | -3.0% | -3.4% | -4.2% |
| Max Positive | 23.0% | 22.3% | 26.3% |
| Max Negative | -11.0% | -10.8% | -15.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10212025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7182025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4222025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2052025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10222024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7262024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4302024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2072024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10242023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7252023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4252023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2082023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10252022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7272022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4262022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2092022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
