MDxHealth (MDXH)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.56 | Market Cap: $185.2 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
MDxHealth (MDXH)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.56Market Cap: $185.2 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, and Personalized Diagnostics. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -41% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -17 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -17% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, and Personalized Diagnostics. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -41% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -17 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -17% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -34% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MDXH Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For the period between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, several factors related to MDxHealth (MDXH) could contribute to a hypothetical 0% stock movement, assuming no new significant market catalysts emerge during this time.
Here are five key points based on available information up to early December 2025:
1. Absence of Major Unexpected News: A consistent lack of unexpected positive or negative news, such as breakthrough clinical trial results, regulatory approvals or rejections, or significant legal challenges, could lead to stagnant stock performance. The available information for MDxHealth up to early December 2025 includes their Q1 and Q2 2025 financial results, reiteration of 2025 revenue guidance, and an acquisition announcement in August 2025 that closed in September 2025. If no further major announcements were made during the specified period, this could contribute to stable stock prices.
2. Stable Financial Performance Aligning with Expectations: If the company's financial performance during Q3 2025 and any subsequent updates align precisely with previously issued guidance and analyst expectations, with no significant surprises in revenue or profitability, the stock might not experience considerable movement. MDxHealth reported Q1 and Q2 2025 results, reiterating 2025 revenue guidance of $108-110 million and expecting adjusted EBITDA profitability in the first half of 2025. Q3 2025 results were expected to be released around November 12, 2025. If these results met expectations, it could lead to a flat stock price.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MDXH Return | -8% | 3% | -100% | 3939900% | -40% | 46% | 215% |
| Peers Return | 42% | 3% | -9% | -5% | -14% | 33% | 43% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MDXH Win Rate | 42% | 33% | 17% | 33% | 42% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 33% | 32% | 28% | 25% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MDXH Max Drawdown | -41% | 0% | -100% | 0% | -60% | -41% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -12% | -25% | -25% | -21% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: A, ATEC, CERS, BLLN, BNBX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MDXH | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -83.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 515.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to A, ATEC, CERS, BLLN, BNBX
In The Past
MDxHealth's stock fell -83.7% during the 2018 Correction from a high on 3/13/2017. A -83.7% loss requires a 515.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Would You Still Hold MDxHealth Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MDXH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for MDxHealth
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 12.39 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.8 |
| Rev LTM | 199 |
| Op Inc LTM | -13 |
| FCF LTM | -3 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -15 |
| CFO LTM | 4 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -12 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 20.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -10.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -21.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 1.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -7.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -0.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -21.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.8 |
| P/S | 2.3 |
| P/EBIT | -12.1 |
| P/E | -8.8 |
| P/CFO | 42.6 |
| Total Yield | -6.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -8.1% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 26.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 52.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 46.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 52.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 17.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 37.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 29.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -11.0% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5142025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3312025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8212024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4302024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8232023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 4252023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 1202023 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8262022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |