Tearsheet

Maxeon Solar Technologies (MAXN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.88 | Market Cap: $48.1 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Maxeon Solar Technologies (MAXN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.88
Market Cap: $48.1 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, and Renewable Energy Equipment.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -150%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -173%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -460 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -90%
1   Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 553%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -55%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -79%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -53%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -63%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 2055%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -1116%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, and Renewable Energy Equipment.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -150%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -173%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -460 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -90%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 553%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -55%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -79%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -53%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -63%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 2055%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -1116%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MAXN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Maxeon Solar Technologies (MAXN) experienced a significant decline between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, attributed to several key factors. 1. 1. Steep Revenue Decline and U.S. Import Challenges: Maxeon Solar Technologies faced an approximate 89% year-over-year revenue collapse in the first half of 2025, plummeting to around $39 million from approximately $371 million in the first half of 2024. This significant drop was primarily due to U.S. Customs detentions of Maxeon's solar modules under the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act, which severely disrupted its access to the U.S. market. 2. 2. Continued Impact of U.S. Customs & Border Protection (CBP) Actions: The challenges from U.S. Customs & Border Protection's (CBP) exclusion of Maxeon's solar panels from U.S. import, which began in July 2024, continued to significantly impact the company's financial results in the first half of 2025. In April 2025, CBP denied Maxeon's protests regarding these module detentions, indicating an uphill battle for the company's litigation to overturn these restrictions. 3.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MAXN Return--51%16%-55%-99%-61%-100%
Peers Return46%17%-5%13%-4%5%85%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MAXN Win Rate50%42%58%42%0%40% 
Peers Win Rate52%42%32%42%35%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MAXN Max Drawdown--51%-42%-75%-99%-66% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-12%-30%-12%-16%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMAXNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-92.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1264.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven72.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven63 days148 days

Compare to QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ


In The Past

Maxeon Solar Technologies's stock fell -92.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2021. A -92.7% loss requires a 1264.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Maxeon Solar Technologies (MAXN)

Better Bets than Maxeon Solar Technologies (MAXN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MAXN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Maxeon Solar Technologies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MAXNQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameMaxeon S.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Price2.88174.18256.06137.6836.1927.5386.94
Mkt Cap0.0187.827.54.52.0-4.5
Rev LTM50944,2844,34374344669626
Op Inc LTM-46012,3941,362-965-38-16
FCF LTM-32212,820-9437480-2127
FCF 3Y Avg-23511,277-557-165--1
CFO LTM-27014,01229997100-1699
CFO 3Y Avg-17412,5047621985-85

Growth & Margins

MAXNQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameMaxeon S.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
Rev Chg LTM-54.7%13.7%15.4%47.1%10.5%-13.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.5%1.2%20.6%-0.7%-12.3%--0.7%
Rev Chg Q-78.7%10.0%8.6%23.8%2.7%-8.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-26.1%2.4%2.0%5.6%0.7%-2.0%
Op Mgn LTM-90.5%28.0%31.3%-12.9%1.2%-54.6%-5.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-39.2%25.9%22.9%-15.6%5.4%-5.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-28.1%-0.2%-0.9%3.2%-3.5%--0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM-53.1%31.6%6.9%13.1%22.5%-22.6%10.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-25.1%31.5%21.7%2.8%19.4%-19.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-63.3%28.9%-21.7%9.9%17.9%-29.7%-5.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-32.5%28.4%-14.8%0.1%14.8%-0.1%

Valuation

MAXNQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameMaxeon S.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Cap0.0187.827.54.52.0-4.5
P/S0.14.05.45.85.0-5.0
P/EBIT-0.113.517.1-52.3420.2-13.5
P/E-0.132.418.8-50.0125.0-18.8
P/CFO-0.212.879.144.222.4-22.4
Total Yield-1,111.6%5.2%5.3%-2.0%2.9%-2.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.1%0.0%0.0%2.1%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-462.8%7.0%-2.6%-0.1%2.2%--0.1%
D/E6.10.10.00.00.0-0.0
Net D/E5.50.0-0.0-0.1-0.1--0.0

Returns

MAXNQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameMaxeon S.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
1M Rtn-20.4%-3.6%-3.6%7.6%-12.5%-6.0%-4.8%
3M Rtn-21.5%10.7%27.1%5.1%-17.1%-28.3%-6.0%
6M Rtn-4.6%18.2%60.2%9.9%-32.9%-9.9%
12M Rtn-65.0%9.5%23.4%22.7%-44.2%-9.5%
3Y Rtn-99.9%47.6%52.1%-2.8%-52.4%--2.8%
1M Excs Rtn-20.4%-3.6%-3.6%7.6%-12.5%-6.0%-4.8%
3M Excs Rtn-26.7%3.7%21.5%-3.3%-23.9%-37.5%-13.6%
6M Excs Rtn-19.4%3.5%45.5%-4.9%-47.7%--4.9%
12M Excs Rtn-78.0%-1.2%14.9%10.9%-57.3%--1.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-172.7%-16.6%-18.2%-72.8%-123.3%--72.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment1,1231,0607838451,198
Total1,1231,0607838451,198


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity493,544
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-17.7%
Average Daily Volume72,688
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.79
Basic Shares Quantity16,711,109
Short % of Basic Shares3.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202581420256-K 6/30/2025
12312024430202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024120520246-K 9/29/2024
630202490320246-K 6/30/2024
331202453020246-K 3/31/2024
12312023530202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023111520236-K 10/1/2023
630202381020236-K 7/2/2023
331202351620236-K 4/2/2023
12312022307202320-F 1/1/2023
9302022111020226-K 10/2/2022
630202281820226-K 7/3/2022
331202252620226-K 4/3/2022
12312021324202220-F 1/2/2022
9302021111720216-K 10/3/2021
630202181220216-K 7/4/2021