Tearsheet

LGI Homes (LGIH)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $46.38 | Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding

LGI Homes (LGIH)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $46.38
Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Homebuilding

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.7%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -105%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -122%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 143%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, Renewable Integration in Buildings, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -39%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.5%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.6%
3   Key risks
LGIH key risks include [1] heightened scrutiny over its sales practices and high foreclosure rates, Show more.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.7%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, Renewable Integration in Buildings, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -105%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -122%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 143%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -39%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.5%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.6%
7 Key risks
LGIH key risks include [1] heightened scrutiny over its sales practices and high foreclosure rates, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LGIH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -25.1% stock movement for LGI Homes (LGIH) between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025: 1. Q3 2025 Earnings and Revenue Miss. LGI Homes reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 4, 2025, with an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.85, missing the consensus estimate of $0.94. The company's quarterly revenue also fell short, coming in at $396.63 million against an estimated $421.66 million. Net income for Q3 2025 significantly declined to $19.7 million from $69.58 million in the prior year.

2. Declining Revenue Growth and Profitability. The company experienced a continued decline in revenue growth over the past three years, with a reported rate of -8.7%. For the first nine months of 2025, home sales revenue decreased by 25.1% year-over-year. LGI Homes' operating margin stood at 8.11%, and its net margin was 7.63%, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LGIH Return50%46%-40%44%-33%-47%-32%
Peers Return29%40%-16%72%11%21%249%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LGIH Win Rate58%67%42%58%42%33% 
Peers Win Rate60%68%47%60%52%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LGIH Max Drawdown-51%-8%-52%-8%-36%-54% 
Peers Max Drawdown-61%-7%-38%-3%-8%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DY, TMHC, MTH, KBH, DHI. See LGIH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLGIHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-59.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven147.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-63.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven176.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven95 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-52.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven108.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven303 days120 days

Compare to DY, TMHC, MTH, KBH, DHI


In The Past

LGI Homes's stock fell -59.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/7/2021. A -59.5% loss requires a 147.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About LGI Homes (LGIH)

Better Bets than LGI Homes (LGIH)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LGIH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
LGIH_1312022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01312022LGIHLGI HomesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.2%-8.6%-40.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
LGIH_1312022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01312022LGIHLGI HomesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.2%-8.6%-40.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for LGI Homes

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LGIHDYTMHCMTHKBHDHIMedian
NameLGI HomesDycom In.Taylor M.Meritage.KB Home D.R. Hor. 
Mkt Price46.36340.0261.0268.2962.94152.0065.62
Mkt Cap1.19.86.04.84.245.05.4
Rev LTM1,7895,1738,3786,0486,54234,2506,295
Op Inc LTM1074301,2276616354,424648
FCF LTM-171297570-2533503,284323
FCF 3Y Avg-1481195711615883,154366
CFO LTM-170552609-2253943,421473
CFO 3Y Avg-1463596121936283,305485

Growth & Margins

LGIHDYTMHCMTHKBHDHIMedian
NameLGI HomesDycom In.Taylor M.Meritage.KB Home D.R. Hor. 
Rev Chg LTM-20.6%13.2%7.0%-6.0%-0.9%-6.9%-3.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-11.5%12.3%0.7%1.6%-0.5%0.9%0.8%
Rev Chg Q-39.2%14.1%-1.2%-10.7%-7.5%-3.2%-5.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-12.5%3.6%-0.3%-2.8%-2.0%-0.9%-1.5%
Op Mgn LTM6.0%8.3%14.6%10.9%9.7%12.9%10.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.5%7.8%14.9%13.9%11.2%15.4%12.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.1%0.7%-0.4%-1.6%-0.7%-1.2%-1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-9.5%10.7%7.3%-3.7%6.0%10.0%6.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-7.1%7.5%7.6%2.9%9.5%9.4%7.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-9.6%5.7%6.8%-4.2%5.3%9.6%5.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-7.2%2.3%7.1%2.4%8.9%8.9%4.7%

Valuation

LGIHDYTMHCMTHKBHDHIMedian
NameLGI HomesDycom In.Taylor M.Meritage.KB Home D.R. Hor. 
Mkt Cap1.19.86.04.84.245.05.4
P/S0.71.90.80.80.61.30.8
P/EBIT11.221.75.37.36.610.28.7
P/E11.233.17.69.58.212.510.3
P/CFO-7.017.810.7-22.810.713.110.7
Total Yield8.9%3.0%13.1%12.9%12.6%9.1%10.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%2.3%0.4%1.1%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.1%1.2%11.1%4.6%14.4%7.1%5.9%
D/E1.50.10.30.40.50.10.4
Net D/E1.40.10.30.20.40.10.3

Returns

LGIHDYTMHCMTHKBHDHIMedian
NameLGI HomesDycom In.Taylor M.Meritage.KB Home D.R. Hor. 
1M Rtn1.1%15.7%5.6%6.4%7.5%10.3%7.0%
3M Rtn-19.4%30.0%-10.5%-8.9%-2.8%-10.3%-9.6%
6M Rtn-2.1%46.0%6.3%10.7%25.4%26.0%18.0%
12M Rtn-51.9%92.1%-4.4%-14.5%-9.1%4.8%-6.8%
3Y Rtn-54.6%284.8%97.2%55.6%104.7%75.1%86.2%
1M Excs Rtn0.4%15.0%4.8%5.7%6.8%9.6%6.2%
3M Excs Rtn-21.1%24.3%-13.2%-11.6%-4.1%-11.5%-11.5%
6M Excs Rtn-14.5%33.7%-6.1%-1.7%13.0%13.7%5.6%
12M Excs Rtn-64.6%78.4%-16.8%-27.6%-21.5%-8.5%-19.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-121.8%226.8%31.9%-7.7%39.4%13.1%22.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Homebuilding business2,359    
Retail home sales revenues 1,9642,7012,1911,714
Wholesale home sales revenues 341349177124
Total2,3592,3043,0502,3681,838


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,067,170
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-1.2%
Average Daily Volume368,611
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.32
Basic Shares Quantity23,056,904
Short % of Basic Shares13.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/20259.1%12.3%24.3%
8/5/20258.6%4.2%14.6%
2/25/20252.5%-7.4%-6.7%
11/5/20247.4%4.6%5.3%
7/30/202413.8%-3.1%6.0%
4/30/2024-6.4%1.7%-2.5%
2/20/2024-8.4%-11.1%-13.6%
10/31/20236.3%22.9%34.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1379
# Negative101614
Median Positive2.5%5.2%14.6%
Median Negative-6.6%-6.8%-6.2%
Max Positive13.8%22.9%45.1%
Max Negative-14.3%-13.3%-47.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021215202210-K 12/31/2021