Tearsheet

LGI Homes (LGIH)


Market Price (11/16/2025): $48.65 | Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding

LGI Homes (LGIH)


Market Price (11/16/2025): $48.65
Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Homebuilding

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.3%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -109%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -119%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 152%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, Renewable Integration in Buildings, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -39%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.5%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.6%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.3%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, Renewable Integration in Buildings, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -109%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -119%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 152%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -39%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.5%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.6%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

LGIH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the -8.4% stock movement for LGI Homes (LGIH) from July 31, 2025, to November 15, 2025:

1. Disappointing Third Quarter 2025 Earnings: LGI Homes reported third quarter 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.85, which fell short of Wall Street's consensus estimates of $0.94 or $0.95. Revenue for the quarter, at $396.6 million, matched expectations but represented a substantial year-over-year decline of 39.2%.

2. Decline in Closings and Margins: The company's closings decreased by 39.4% year-over-year, and unit closings of approximately 1,107 to 1,200 homes missed estimates. Additionally, the gross margin for the third quarter was 21.5%, down from 25.1% in the prior year, primarily due to higher lot costs and a greater mix of wholesale closings.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LGIH Return50%46%-40%44%-33%-45%-31%
Peers Return22%29%-13%58%12%-9%120%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LGIH Win Rate58%67%42%58%42%30% 
Peers Win Rate47%53%38%48%50%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LGIH Max Drawdown-51%-8%-52%-8%-36%-54% 
Peers Max Drawdown-52%-6%-30%-3%-6%-34% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DY, TMHC, MTH, KBH, SPHL. See LGIH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLGIHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-59.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven147.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-63.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven176.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven95 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-52.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven108.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven303 days120 days

Compare to DY, TMHC, MTH, KBH, SPHL


In The Past

LGI Homes's stock fell -59.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/7/2021. A -59.5% loss requires a 147.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About LGI Homes (LGIH)

Better Bets than LGI Homes (LGIH)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LGIH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.8%-5.8%-5.8%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-1.6%-1.6%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.2%-3.2%-3.2%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%
LGIH_1312022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01312022LGIHLGI HomesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.2%-8.6%-40.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.8%-5.8%-5.8%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-1.6%-1.6%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.2%-3.2%-3.2%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%
LGIH_1312022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01312022LGIHLGI HomesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.2%-8.6%-40.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for LGI Homes

Financials

LGIHDYTMHCMTHKBHSPHLMedian
NameLGI HomesDycom In.Taylor M.Meritage.KB Home Springvi. 
Mkt Price48.78291.2059.7366.7460.160.4559.94
Mkt Cap1.18.45.94.74.0-4.7
Rev LTM1,7894,9938,3786,0486,542-6,048
Op Inc LTM1073811,227661635-635
FCF LTM-171123570-253350-123
FCF 3Y Avg-14844571161588-161
CFO LTM-170397609-225394-394
CFO 3Y Avg-146284612193628-284

Growth & Margins

LGIHDYTMHCMTHKBHSPHLMedian
NameLGI HomesDycom In.Taylor M.Meritage.KB Home Springvi. 
Rev Chg LTM-20.6%12.6%7.0%-6.0%-0.9%--0.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-11.5%13.0%0.7%1.6%-0.5%-0.7%
Rev Chg Q-39.2%14.5%-1.2%-10.7%-7.5%--7.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-12.5%3.6%-0.3%-2.8%-2.0%--2.0%
Op Mgn LTM6.0%7.6%14.6%10.9%9.7%-9.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.5%7.5%14.9%13.9%11.2%-11.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.1%0.5%-0.4%-1.6%-0.7%--0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM-9.5%8.0%7.3%-3.7%6.0%-6.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-7.1%6.2%7.6%2.9%9.5%-6.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-9.6%2.5%6.8%-4.2%5.3%-2.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-7.2%0.9%7.1%2.4%8.9%-2.4%

Valuation

LGIHDYTMHCMTHKBHSPHLMedian
NameLGI HomesDycom In.Taylor M.Meritage.KB Home Springvi. 
Mkt Cap1.18.45.94.74.0-4.7
P/S0.61.70.70.80.6-0.7
P/EBIT10.520.64.86.76.3-6.7
P/E10.632.36.98.77.7-8.7
P/CFO-6.621.29.7-21.010.1-9.7
Total Yield9.4%3.1%14.5%14.0%13.4%-13.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%2.5%0.4%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.1%0.6%11.1%4.6%14.4%-4.6%
D/E1.60.10.40.40.5-0.4
Net D/E1.50.10.30.20.4-0.3

Returns

LGIHDYTMHCMTHKBHSPHLMedian
NameLGI HomesDycom In.Taylor M.Meritage.KB Home Springvi. 
1M Rtn7.9%-1.4%-3.3%-4.4%-1.5%-31.5%-2.4%
3M Rtn-25.6%8.1%-12.1%-12.8%-3.9%-9.6%-10.9%
6M Rtn-16.2%49.5%-0.5%-2.1%10.2%-25.0%-1.3%
12M Rtn-53.2%55.3%-14.7%-23.9%-22.1%-89.9%-23.0%
3Y Rtn-48.0%176.1%116.9%67.5%106.3%-106.3%
1M Excs Rtn6.3%-3.0%-4.8%-6.0%-3.1%-33.1%-4.0%
3M Excs Rtn-29.8%2.3%-16.7%-17.5%-7.3%-14.3%-15.5%
6M Excs Rtn-29.2%36.4%-13.5%-15.1%-2.8%-38.1%-14.3%
12M Excs Rtn-66.1%41.3%-27.4%-37.0%-35.0%-102.3%-36.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-119.4%97.4%53.0%9.5%45.2%-45.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Homebuilding business2,359    
Retail home sales revenues 1,9642,7012,1911,714
Wholesale home sales revenues 341349177124
Total2,3592,3043,0502,3681,838


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,072,510
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-3.5%
Average Daily Volume341,085
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.01
Basic Shares Quantity23,056,904
Short % of Basic Shares13.3%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/20259.1%12.3% 
8/5/20258.6%4.2%14.6%
2/25/20252.5%-7.4%-6.7%
11/5/20247.4%4.6%5.3%
7/30/202413.8%-3.1%6.0%
4/30/2024-6.4%1.7%-2.5%
2/20/2024-8.4%-11.1%-13.6%
10/31/20236.3%22.9%34.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1378
# Negative101615
Median Positive2.5%5.2%11.3%
Median Negative-6.6%-6.8%-6.2%
Max Positive13.8%22.9%45.1%
Max Negative-14.3%-13.3%-47.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021215202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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