Tearsheet

LENZ Therapeutics (LENZ)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $16.36 | Market Cap: $466.9 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

LENZ Therapeutics (LENZ)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $16.36
Market Cap: $466.9 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -68 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -388%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Presbyopia Treatments, and Targeted Ophthalmic Therapies.
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -258%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -264%
2  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.6%
3  Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 28%
4  Key risks
LENZ key risks include [1] an overwhelming dependence on its sole product, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Presbyopia Treatments, and Targeted Ophthalmic Therapies.
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -68 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -388%
3 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -258%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -264%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.6%
5 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 28%
6 Key risks
LENZ key risks include [1] an overwhelming dependence on its sole product, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LENZ Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why LENZ Therapeutics' stock moved by -57.6% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Adverse Event Report for VIZZ Eye Therapy: LENZ Therapeutics shares plummeted significantly on December 12, 2025, after reports emerged from the FDA's adverse-event reporting system (FAERS) highlighting a retinal tear associated with Vizz, the company's newly launched eye treatment for presbyopia.

2. Investor Concerns Over VIZZ's Safety and Market Impact: The reported retinal tear sparked considerable investor worry regarding the safety profile of VIZZ and its potential impact on the therapy's commercial trajectory. This concern was amplified by comparisons to a rival presbyopia therapy whose launch was affected by perceived safety risks related to retinal detachment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LENZ Return-73%-21%1002%-42%
Peers Return34%37%15%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LENZ Win Rate17%42%42%67%67% 
Peers Win Rate51%52%60%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LENZ Max Drawdown-83%-44%-0%-42% 
Peers Max Drawdown-10%-12%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ABBV, GKOS, REGN, BLCO, OCUL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLENZS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-94.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1561.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven670 days464 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

LENZ Therapeutics's stock fell -94.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/30/2021. A -94.0% loss requires a 1561.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About LENZ Therapeutics (LENZ)

Better Bets than LENZ Therapeutics (LENZ)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LENZ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for LENZ Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LENZABBVGKOSREGNBLCOOCULMedian
NameLENZ The.AbbVie Glaukos Regenero.Bausch &.Ocular T. 
Mkt Price16.37224.31112.42749.7916.8813.7264.65
Mkt Cap0.5396.86.577.76.02.56.2
Rev LTM1859,64447014,2484,976562,723
Op Inc LTM-6814,366-883,807116-25124
FCF LTM-4619,684-283,881-196-199-37
FCF 3Y Avg-5520,012-613,853-91-130-58
CFO LTM-4520,860-215,071169-19074
CFO 3Y Avg-5420,962-484,848174-12463

Growth & Margins

LENZABBVGKOSREGNBLCOOCULMedian
NameLENZ The.AbbVie Glaukos Regenero.Bausch &.Ocular T. 
Rev Chg LTM-7.4%30.4%2.9%6.2%-9.2%6.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.2%18.5%1.4%9.8%4.4%4.4%
Rev Chg Q-9.1%38.1%0.9%7.1%-5.7%7.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM250.0%2.3%8.5%0.2%1.7%-1.6%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM-388.0%24.1%-18.8%26.7%2.3%-449.7%-8.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-27.0%-30.3%30.0%3.7%-273.7%3.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM851.2%0.6%3.5%-0.9%0.3%-47.1%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-258.4%35.0%-4.5%35.6%3.4%-340.7%-0.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-37.0%-13.8%35.4%3.8%-214.8%3.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-263.8%33.0%-5.9%27.2%-3.9%-357.5%-4.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-35.3%-17.8%28.2%-1.9%-225.7%-1.9%

Valuation

LENZABBVGKOSREGNBLCOOCULMedian
NameLENZ The.AbbVie Glaukos Regenero.Bausch &.Ocular T. 
Mkt Cap0.5396.86.577.76.02.56.2
P/S76.06.910.04.11.138.58.4
P/EBIT-19.690.2-57.211.265.9-9.11.1
P/E-22.6171.5-53.412.7-17.5-8.6-13.1
P/CFO-29.419.6-221.611.531.6-11.30.1
Total Yield-4.4%3.4%-1.9%8.3%-5.7%-11.6%-3.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.8%0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-29.5%6.2%-1.3%4.9%-1.6%-15.5%-1.4%
D/E0.00.20.00.00.90.00.0
Net D/E-0.20.2-0.0-0.10.9-0.1-0.1

Returns

LENZABBVGKOSREGNBLCOOCULMedian
NameLENZ The.AbbVie Glaukos Regenero.Bausch &.Ocular T. 
1M Rtn-36.3%-4.1%27.2%6.5%12.5%15.4%9.5%
3M Rtn-61.2%2.3%36.9%28.2%11.6%12.8%12.2%
6M Rtn-45.5%22.9%9.8%46.4%46.1%64.7%34.5%
12M Rtn-49.5%32.4%-23.2%1.9%-10.5%52.1%-4.3%
3Y Rtn435.0%56.0%164.6%4.3%13.5%402.6%110.3%
1M Excs Rtn-37.0%-4.9%26.4%5.7%11.8%14.7%8.8%
3M Excs Rtn-62.1%0.4%29.6%24.0%8.4%6.6%7.5%
6M Excs Rtn-57.9%10.5%-2.5%34.0%33.8%52.3%22.1%
12M Excs Rtn-58.2%22.8%-30.2%-8.0%-20.3%46.8%-14.2%
3Y Excs Rtn348.0%-17.0%81.1%-66.9%-58.5%325.1%32.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023
Development and commercialization of innovative therapies to improve vision 0
Total 0


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023
Development and commercialization of innovative therapies to improve vision7018
Total7018


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,959,225
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-7.1%
Average Daily Volume840,801
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.47
Basic Shares Quantity28,540,519
Short % of Basic Shares27.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-23.5%-5.7%-4.7%
7/30/2025-2.9%-3.8%18.0%
3/19/20253.1%2.2%-6.7%
11/6/202412.5%30.0%26.0%
8/14/2024-3.8%-4.4%-7.0%
5/8/2024-4.8%-2.1%-3.7%
3/20/2023-4.1%-0.4%20.0%
11/9/20223.0%6.1%0.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive534
# Negative798
Median Positive3.1%6.1%19.0%
Median Negative-4.1%-3.8%-8.9%
Max Positive12.5%30.0%26.0%
Max Negative-23.5%-33.6%-50.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024319202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
123120222132024424B3 12/31/2022

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0MCCOLLUM JAMES W 11102025Buy22.7910,500239,278239,278Form