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Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.1%, Dist 3Y High is -0.1%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Ophthalmic Biopharmaceuticals.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -207 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 478%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 216%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -106%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 129%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Ophthalmic Biopharmaceuticals.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.1%, Dist 3Y High is -0.1%
3 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -207 Mil
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 478%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 216%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -106%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 129%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KOD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

**1. Positive Follow-up Data for KSI-101 in APEX Study.** Kodiak Sciences announced compelling follow-up data through week 20 from its Phase 1b APEX study of KSI-101 in patients with macular edema secondary to inflammation (MESI). The data demonstrated meaningful vision gains, with more than half of patients achieving an improvement of three lines or more on the eye chart (≥15 letter gain), and over 90% of patients in the top two dose levels achieving and sustaining retinal dryness. The enrollment in the Phase 3 PEAK and PINNACLE studies for KSI-101 is also proceeding at a faster-than-expected pace, underscoring the potential of this bispecific antibody in a significant market.

**2. Accelerated Progress in Tarcocimab Tedromer (KSI-301) Phase 3 Clinical Trials.** Kodiak Sciences successfully completed enrollment in its GLOW2 Phase 3 clinical trial evaluating tarcocimab tedromer in patients with diabetic retinopathy, surpassing its initial target. Additionally, enrollment was completed for the Phase 3 DAYBREAK study, which is investigating tarcocimab in patients with treatment-naive neovascular age-related macular degeneration (wet AMD). These milestones indicate the rapid advancement of Kodiak's lead anti-VEGF therapy through late-stage development.

**3. Advancement of KSI-501 into Phase 3 DAYBREAK Study.** The company has progressed KSI-501, an investigational bispecific antibody biopolymer conjugate, into a Phase 3 DAYBREAK study to evaluate its efficacy and safety in wet AMD. This strategic move expands Kodiak's pipeline within a key indication and demonstrates the potential of its proprietary Antibody Biopolymer Conjugate (ABC) Platform to develop next-generation retinal disease therapies with enhanced durability and efficacy.

**4. Overall Pipeline Momentum and Upcoming Pivotal Data Readouts.** Kodiak Sciences has reported entering a period of "strong, sustained momentum" across its three late-stage clinical programs. The company anticipates an action-packed 2026, with all three Phase 3 assets on track for topline data readouts, which are crucial steps toward potential regulatory approvals and a planned Biologics License Application (BLA) filing. This strong outlook for multiple clinical milestones is a significant driver of investor optimism.

**5. Scientific Validation of KSI-101's Mechanism of Action.** External validation from the scientific community, particularly at recent American Academy of Ophthalmology (AAO) meetings, has supported the mechanism of action behind KSI-101. Evidence from Phase 3 clinical trials indicated that intraocular interleukin-6 inhibition could deliver meaningful improvements in vision and anatomy in patients with uveitic macular edema, which is a key component of macular edema secondary to inflammation (MESI). This scientific endorsement reinforces the potential clinical impact of KSI-101.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KOD Return104%-42%-92%-58%227%121%-69%
Peers Return47%5%-26%17%11%48%121%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KOD Win Rate67%50%42%42%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate35%28%22%33%32%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KOD Max Drawdown-47%-47%-94%-80%-28%-79% 
Peers Max Drawdown-24%-19%-39%-19%-16%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PTGX, RIGL, ANIK, AIXC, ALPS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKODS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-99.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven11647.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven93.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven209 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-41.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven70.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven171 days120 days

Compare to PTGX, RIGL, ANIK, AIXC, ALPS


In The Past

Kodiak Sciences's stock fell -99.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/19/2021. A -99.1% loss requires a 11647.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Kodiak Sciences (KOD)

Better Bets than Kodiak Sciences (KOD)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KOD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Kodiak Sciences

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KODPTGXRIGLANIKAIXCALPSMedian
NameKodiak S.Protagon.Rigel Ph.Anika Th.AIxCryptoALPS  
Mkt Price22.9686.0747.219.472.541.0716.21
Mkt Cap1.25.50.90.1--1.0
Rev LTM02092821130-113
Op Inc LTM-20719119-12-5--5
FCF LTM-11664681-6-1
FCF 3Y Avg-1665814-4-10--4
CFO LTM-11565688-6-8
CFO 3Y Avg-14859194-10-4

Growth & Margins

KODPTGXRIGLANIKAIXCALPSMedian
NameKodiak S.Protagon.Rigel Ph.Anika Th.AIxCryptoALPS  
Rev Chg LTM--35.4%79.1%30.6%--30.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--48.7%-6.2%--21.3%
Rev Chg Q-0.8%25.6%-5.9%--0.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.0%5.3%-1.5%--0.0%
Op Mgn LTM-9.1%42.2%-11.0%--9.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--11.3%2.1%--6.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--2.4%3.1%-2.9%---2.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.3%24.2%7.2%--24.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--4.9%3.9%--4.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-30.5%24.2%0.6%--24.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--1.1%-3.4%---1.2%

Valuation

KODPTGXRIGLANIKAIXCALPSMedian
NameKodiak S.Protagon.Rigel Ph.Anika Th.AIxCryptoALPS  
Mkt Cap1.25.50.90.1--1.0
P/S-20.21.81.2--1.8
P/EBIT-1.0222.94.2-10.9--1.6
P/E-1.092.34.5-4.1--1.8
P/CFO-1.764.77.516.7--12.1
Total Yield-101.5%1.1%22.2%-24.4%---11.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-83.1%-0.8%-0.8%-1.3%---1.1%
D/E0.30.00.10.2--0.1
Net D/E-0.2-0.1-0.1-0.2---0.2

Returns

KODPTGXRIGLANIKAIXCALPSMedian
NameKodiak S.Protagon.Rigel Ph.Anika Th.AIxCryptoALPS  
1M Rtn23.7%13.3%54.0%-3.6%--18.5%
3M Rtn167.9%48.1%19.2%5.1%--33.7%
6M Rtn478.3%67.0%129.8%-18.7%--98.4%
12M Rtn215.8%108.7%74.5%-45.4%--91.6%
3Y Rtn207.8%966.5%466.4%-70.0%--337.1%
1M Excs Rtn23.7%13.4%54.1%-3.5%--18.5%
3M Excs Rtn163.2%39.1%12.3%-1.2%--25.7%
6M Excs Rtn463.6%52.3%115.1%-33.4%--83.7%
12M Excs Rtn230.7%83.0%57.4%-60.1%--70.2%
3Y Excs Rtn148.3%996.6%491.1%-140.6%--319.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Operating Income by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Business of researching, developing and commercializing transformative therapeutics to treat a broad  -267  
Total  -267  


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Business of researching, developing and commercializing transformative therapeutics to treat a broad479667 1,067359
Total479667 1,067359


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,506,500
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120255.3%
Average Daily Volume686,409
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.57
Basic Shares Quantity52,779,162
Short % of Basic Shares8.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025813202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024327202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023328202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022328202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211109202110-Q 9/30/2021