Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0  Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -223 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 530%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 234%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -29%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 129%

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Valuation, Metrics & Events

KOD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KOD Return104%-42%-92%-58%227%163%-64%
Peers Return47%5%-26%17%11%50%124%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KOD Win Rate67%50%42%42%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate35%28%22%33%32%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KOD Max Drawdown-47%-47%-94%-80%-28%-79% 
Peers Max Drawdown-24%-19%-39%-19%-16%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PTGX, RIGL, ANIK, AIXC, ALPS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/8/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKODS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-99.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven11647.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven93.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven209 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-41.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven70.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven171 days120 days

Compare to PTGX, RIGL, ANIK, AIXC, ALPS


In The Past

Kodiak Sciences's stock fell -99.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/19/2021. A -99.1% loss requires a 11647.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Kodiak Sciences (KOD)

Better Bets than Kodiak Sciences (KOD)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KOD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.5%11.5%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-8.4%-8.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.2%2.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.4%9.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.5%11.5%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-8.4%-8.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.2%2.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.4%9.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Kodiak Sciences

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KODPTGXRIGLANIKAIXCALPSMedian
NameKodiak S.Protagon.Rigel Ph.Anika Th.AIxCryptoALPS  
Mkt Price26.1490.2543.409.632.271.1517.89
Mkt Cap1.45.80.80.1--1.1
Rev LTM02092821130-113
Op Inc LTM-22319119-12-7--7
FCF LTM-12764681-7-1
FCF 3Y Avg-1575814-4-8--4
CFO LTM-12765688-7-8
CFO 3Y Avg-14159194-8-4

Growth & Margins

KODPTGXRIGLANIKAIXCALPSMedian
NameKodiak S.Protagon.Rigel Ph.Anika Th.AIxCryptoALPS  
Rev Chg LTM--35.4%79.1%30.6%--30.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--48.7%-6.2%--21.3%
Rev Chg Q-0.8%25.6%-5.9%--0.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.0%5.3%-1.5%--0.0%
Op Mgn LTM-9.1%42.2%-11.0%--9.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--11.3%2.1%--6.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--2.4%3.1%-2.9%---2.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.3%24.2%7.2%--24.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--4.9%3.9%--4.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-30.5%24.2%0.6%--24.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--1.1%-3.4%---1.2%

Valuation

KODPTGXRIGLANIKAIXCALPSMedian
NameKodiak S.Protagon.Rigel Ph.Anika Th.AIxCryptoALPS  
Mkt Cap1.45.80.80.1--1.1
P/S-20.21.81.2--1.8
P/EBIT-4.1222.94.2-10.9--0.1
P/E-6.492.34.5-4.1--0.2
P/CFO-10.964.77.516.7--12.1
Total Yield-15.7%1.1%22.2%-24.4%---7.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-110.0%-0.8%-0.8%-1.3%---1.1%
D/E0.10.00.10.2--0.1
Net D/E-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2---0.1

Returns

KODPTGXRIGLANIKAIXCALPSMedian
NameKodiak S.Protagon.Rigel Ph.Anika Th.AIxCryptoALPS  
1M Rtn48.3%13.5%23.3%-2.2%-57.5%23.3%
3M Rtn167.0%60.6%6.2%7.7%--34.2%
6M Rtn529.9%62.1%98.6%-16.4%--80.4%
12M Rtn233.8%114.6%70.5%-44.8%--92.6%
3Y Rtn282.2%1,092.2%397.2%-68.6%--339.7%
1M Excs Rtn52.8%11.2%18.3%-3.1%-30.6%18.3%
3M Excs Rtn154.7%49.5%15.7%5.2%--32.6%
6M Excs Rtn515.9%48.1%84.6%-30.4%--66.4%
12M Excs Rtn246.1%109.9%51.3%-57.6%--80.6%
3Y Excs Rtn190.6%989.1%466.5%-137.3%--328.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Business of researching, developing and commercializing transformative therapeutics to treat a broad4796679041,067359
Total4796679041,067359


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,506,500
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120255.3%
Average Daily Volume686,409
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.57
Basic Shares Quantity52,859,308
Short % of Basic Shares8.5%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/13/20253.4%3.8% 
8/13/202516.5%10.2%7.3%
3/27/2025-4.9%-21.6%37.6%
11/14/20244.3%11.3%53.2%
8/14/20241.6%9.4%6.3%
3/28/2024-29.4%-45.2%-56.0%
11/14/20235.2%17.2%60.4%
8/14/2023-10.0%-21.3%-28.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121110
# Negative8910
Median Positive4.4%9.4%15.8%
Median Negative-8.8%-15.3%-12.6%
Max Positive23.3%17.2%60.4%
Max Negative-29.4%-45.2%-56.0%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251113202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025813202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024327202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023328202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022328202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021