Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.8%, FCF Yield is 5.8%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.4%, Dist 3Y High is -0.4%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.8%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -32%
Key risks
ISTR key risks include [1] lackluster financial performance and [2] a significant concentration risk in its reliance on a few core banking technology vendors.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.8%, FCF Yield is 5.8%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.4%, Dist 3Y High is -0.4%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -32%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.8%
7 Key risks
ISTR key risks include [1] lackluster financial performance and [2] a significant concentration risk in its reliance on a few core banking technology vendors.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ISTR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The 17.9% movement in Investar (ISTR) stock from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, can be attributed to several key developments:

1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat: Investar Holding Corporation reported its Q3 2025 diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.54 on October 20, 2025, which significantly surpassed analyst estimates of $0.46 by 17.39%. This substantial earnings beat likely generated considerable positive investor sentiment and contributed significantly to the stock's appreciation.

2. Strategic Acquisition Progress: The announcement and ongoing progress of the acquisition of Wichita Falls Bancshares, Inc., expected to close by January 1, 2026, positioned Investar for significant growth. This deal is projected to expand Investar's asset base by approximately 50% to over $4.2 billion, signaling robust future prospects and market expansion to investors.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ISTR Return-30%13%19%-29%51%28%30%
Peers Return-12%33%-1%-1%14%13%48%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ISTR Win Rate50%58%58%33%67%58% 
Peers Win Rate50%68%45%52%52%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ISTR Max Drawdown-61%-4%-1%-56%-1%-28% 
Peers Max Drawdown-49%-1%-14%-29%-13%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HWC, PB, TRMK, OBK, HOMB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventISTRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-60.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven154.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven364 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven163.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,709 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

Investar's stock fell -60.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/25/2022. A -60.7% loss requires a 154.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Investar (ISTR)

Better Bets than Investar (ISTR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1How Low Can Investar Stock Really Go?Return
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ISTR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Investar

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ISTRHWCPBTRMKOBKHOMBMedian
NameInvestar Hancock .Prosperi.TrustmarkOrigin B.Home Ban. 
Mkt Price27.5166.0571.9240.8839.4428.8840.16
Mkt Cap0.35.66.82.51.25.74.0
Rev LTM891,4851,1916803661,054867
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM13566238267133354252
FCF 3Y Avg21541501156116400278
CFO LTM14580265286145386275
CFO 3Y Avg22559530189135432311

Growth & Margins

ISTRHWCPBTRMKOBKHOMBMedian
NameInvestar Hancock .Prosperi.TrustmarkOrigin B.Home Ban. 
Rev Chg LTM11.7%8.7%7.1%57.5%3.3%6.8%7.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.8%4.1%2.7%12.2%7.6%9.2%5.8%
Rev Chg Q19.1%5.2%3.9%4.2%20.8%8.5%6.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.5%1.3%1.0%1.0%5.4%2.1%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM16.0%39.1%22.3%42.0%39.7%36.6%37.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg25.5%39.0%47.5%32.1%37.1%42.7%38.1%
FCF/Rev LTM14.8%38.1%20.0%39.2%36.3%33.5%34.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg24.4%37.8%44.9%25.8%31.7%39.6%34.8%

Valuation

ISTRHWCPBTRMKOBKHOMBMedian
NameInvestar Hancock .Prosperi.TrustmarkOrigin B.Home Ban. 
Mkt Cap0.35.66.82.51.25.74.0
P/S2.63.65.33.52.95.33.5
P/EBIT-------
P/E9.911.011.810.718.012.211.4
P/CFO16.09.223.88.47.414.511.8
Total Yield11.9%10.6%11.9%11.8%6.0%11.0%11.4%
Dividend Yield1.8%1.5%3.5%2.4%0.4%2.8%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg15.6%13.1%8.4%8.4%11.8%8.0%10.1%
D/E0.40.30.40.20.10.10.2
Net D/E0.20.00.0-0.8-1.2-0.3-0.1

Returns

ISTRHWCPBTRMKOBKHOMBMedian
NameInvestar Hancock .Prosperi.TrustmarkOrigin B.Home Ban. 
1M Rtn18.0%18.3%11.9%12.0%17.6%10.1%14.8%
3M Rtn22.7%5.4%10.2%3.4%11.6%-0.1%7.8%
6M Rtn52.2%25.0%8.0%22.1%14.7%6.3%18.4%
12M Rtn22.1%19.6%-5.2%13.3%12.2%-0.3%12.8%
3Y Rtn37.7%53.2%16.7%35.0%14.9%41.2%36.3%
1M Excs Rtn17.2%17.6%11.1%11.2%16.9%9.4%14.0%
3M Excs Rtn16.1%2.1%6.8%-1.2%6.5%-3.6%4.3%
6M Excs Rtn39.8%12.6%-4.3%9.8%2.3%-6.1%6.0%
12M Excs Rtn10.8%6.8%-18.1%0.7%-0.1%-13.2%0.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-32.4%-30.1%-55.1%-39.7%-60.4%-36.9%-38.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment108968671
Total108968671


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity119,927
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-3.2%
Average Daily Volume21,442
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.59
Basic Shares Quantity9,830,387
Short % of Basic Shares1.2%

Returns Analyses

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/20/20255.1%15.0%8.4%
7/21/20251.1%-1.3%1.4%
4/21/20254.8%12.5%20.7%
1/24/2025-0.3%-2.0%-5.1%
10/21/2024-2.6%0.4%14.3%
7/22/20240.7%7.4%-1.9%
4/22/20242.4%3.6%2.3%
1/25/20243.6%4.8%-4.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151415
# Negative101110
Median Positive2.0%4.5%7.0%
Median Negative-1.5%-3.3%-4.8%
Max Positive5.5%15.0%20.7%
Max Negative-7.3%-10.2%-22.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024312202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023307202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022308202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021309202210-K 12/31/2021