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Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 19%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.3%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 30x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.1%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.4%
  Key risks
HOLX key risks include [1] an FDA warning letter and over 100 lawsuits related to its BioZorb product, Show more.
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more.
  
0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 19%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.4%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.3%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 30x
8 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.1%
9 Key risks
HOLX key risks include [1] an FDA warning letter and over 100 lawsuits related to its BioZorb product, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HOLX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining Hologic's stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025:

1. Hologic Announced Strong Fiscal Fourth Quarter 2025 Results and an Acquisition Agreement. Hologic reported its fiscal fourth quarter results on November 3, 2025, announcing revenue of $1,049.5 million, a 6.2% increase, and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $1.13, up 11.9%. These results surpassed analyst expectations for both revenue and earnings per share. The company also announced a definitive agreement on October 21, 2025, to be acquired by funds managed by Blackstone and TPG in a transaction valued at up to $79 per share. This news likely provided a significant boost to investor confidence and the stock price.

2. Strong Performance in Key Business Segments, Particularly Diagnostics and Surgical. The company's Diagnostics segment saw a 2.4% increase in revenue, driven by higher core U.S. molecular diagnostics sales, particularly from BV CV/TV and Panther Fusion assays. The Surgical segment experienced substantial growth of 10.2%, or 9.5% in constant currency, fueled by increased sales of MyoSure and Fluent, and the acquired Gynesonics business. These segment performances contributed to the overall positive financial results.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HOLX Return39%5%-2%-4%1%4%44%
Peers Return17%17%-10%-0%-1%15%39%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HOLX Win Rate75%58%50%50%42%75% 
Peers Win Rate57%58%47%48%47%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HOLX Max Drawdown-44%-17%-20%-13%-1%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-6%-20%-14%-6%-11% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ABT, BDX, DHR, JNJ, MDT. See HOLX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHOLXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-27.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven38.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven604 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-46.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven86.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven88 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-22.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven494 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-73.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven279.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven367 days1,480 days

Compare to RMD, COO, HSIC, DAVI, EMI


In The Past

Hologic's stock fell -27.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/4/2021. A -27.7% loss requires a 38.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Hologic (HOLX)

Better Bets than Hologic (HOLX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HOLX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
HOLX_4302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302025HOLXHologicDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
27.1%28.9%-9.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
HOLX_4302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302025HOLXHologicDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
27.1%28.9%-9.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Hologic

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HOLXABTBDXDHRJNJMDTMedian
NameHologic Abbott L.Becton D.Danaher Johnson .Medtronic 
Mkt Price74.93126.71195.36222.63210.3398.30161.03
Mkt Cap16.8220.756.0158.2506.5126.0142.1
Rev LTM4,10043,84321,84024,26892,14934,75829,513
Op Inc LTM7857,7132,9884,61324,1466,7195,666
FCF LTM9056,9172,6715,01718,6795,2065,112
FCF 3Y Avg9845,9652,6195,61217,8144,9175,264
CFO LTM1,0579,1193,4316,31824,2047,1136,716
CFO 3Y Avg1,1318,1323,4066,89723,2096,6266,762

Growth & Margins

HOLXABTBDXDHRJNJMDTMedian
NameHologic Abbott L.Becton D.Danaher Johnson .Medtronic 
Rev Chg LTM1.7%6.4%8.2%2.2%5.1%5.3%5.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.1%-0.6%5.0%-1.9%6.1%4.1%1.8%
Rev Chg Q6.2%6.9%8.4%4.4%6.8%6.6%6.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%1.7%2.1%1.1%1.7%1.6%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM19.2%17.6%13.7%19.0%26.2%19.3%19.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg20.4%16.3%13.4%21.0%26.4%18.6%19.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%0.2%-0.1%0.6%1.7%-0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM25.8%20.8%15.7%26.0%26.3%20.5%23.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg27.9%19.5%16.7%30.3%26.4%19.9%23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM22.1%15.8%12.2%20.7%20.3%15.0%18.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg24.3%14.3%12.8%24.7%20.3%14.8%17.5%

Valuation

HOLXABTBDXDHRJNJMDTMedian
NameHologic Abbott L.Becton D.Danaher Johnson .Medtronic 
Mkt Cap16.8220.756.0158.2506.5126.0142.1
P/S4.15.32.65.84.83.64.5
P/EBIT21.027.022.431.713.819.721.7
P/E29.716.733.440.217.826.528.1
P/CFO15.925.616.322.318.417.718.1
Total Yield3.4%7.7%5.1%2.5%8.4%6.6%5.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.7%2.1%0.0%2.7%2.9%1.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.8%3.0%4.1%3.3%4.4%4.3%4.2%
D/E0.20.10.30.10.10.20.1
Net D/E0.00.00.30.10.10.20.1

Returns

HOLXABTBDXDHRJNJMDTMedian
NameHologic Abbott L.Becton D.Danaher Johnson .Medtronic 
1M Rtn1.1%-2.6%2.9%1.0%6.1%2.1%1.6%
3M Rtn9.9%-5.1%4.7%15.6%19.5%4.7%7.3%
6M Rtn17.1%-3.4%17.1%14.9%41.5%16.5%16.8%
12M Rtn3.7%14.0%-11.5%-4.1%48.1%24.8%8.8%
3Y Rtn1.6%25.6%-17.4%-2.9%31.2%41.5%13.6%
1M Excs Rtn0.3%-3.3%2.1%0.3%5.3%1.4%0.8%
3M Excs Rtn8.4%-6.8%2.9%12.9%20.2%2.3%5.7%
6M Excs Rtn4.8%-15.8%4.8%2.5%29.1%4.1%4.4%
12M Excs Rtn-9.3%2.8%-22.6%-15.7%36.8%12.0%-3.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-68.7%-45.8%-87.3%-75.4%-38.9%-32.2%-57.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Corporate3,6683,8843,4552,9362,356
Diagnostics2,4312,5962,8823,3492,161
Breast Health1,5891,1701,2461,2341,201
GYN Surgical1,4201,4551,4621,3701,439
Skeletal Health4834283239
Total9,1569,1399,0718,9207,196


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,315,796
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202511.1%
Average Daily Volume3,323,011
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.30
Basic Shares Quantity224,251,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/20250.1%0.3%1.1%
7/30/20252.8%2.9%2.5%
5/1/2025-5.4%-1.9%8.3%
1/13/2025-2.0%-2.7%-10.1%
11/4/2024-5.9%-5.2%-8.2%
7/29/20243.6%3.4%0.1%
5/2/20240.8%-0.2%-1.8%
2/1/2024-2.6%-1.3%0.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141214
# Negative101210
Median Positive3.2%6.3%3.9%
Median Negative-3.1%-2.4%-6.2%
Max Positive9.3%14.6%12.3%
Max Negative-8.5%-9.5%-13.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251118202510-K 9/27/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024206202510-Q 12/28/2024
93020241127202410-K 9/28/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023202202410-Q 12/30/2023
93020231121202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023502202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022201202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221115202210-K 9/24/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/25/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/26/2022
12312021202202210-Q 12/25/2021