Hooker Furnishings (HOFT)
Market Price (5/4/2026): $12.2 | Market Cap: $129.6 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Household Appliances
Hooker Furnishings (HOFT)
Market Price (5/4/2026): $12.2Market Cap: $129.6 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Household Appliances
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 12% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -89% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.5% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -20% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -23% Key risksHOFT key risks include [1] operating losses driven by weak consumer demand for home goods and [2] a heavy reliance on offshore sourcing, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 12% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -89% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.5% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -20% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -23% |
| Key risksHOFT key risks include [1] operating losses driven by weak consumer demand for home goods and [2] a heavy reliance on offshore sourcing, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Q4 Fiscal 2026 Revenue Miss and Negative Market Reaction. Hooker Furnishings reported its fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results on April 16, 2026, with revenue of $67 million, which missed analysts' consensus estimates of $76.21 million by 12.09%. This revenue shortfall, partially attributed to severe winter weather and a shorter selling week, triggered a negative market response, with the stock declining 11.58% on the day of the announcement.
2. Overall Weak Fiscal 2026 Performance and Dismal Outlook. The company's full-year fiscal 2026 net sales from continuing operations decreased by 12.4% year-over-year to $278.1 million, resulting in a consolidated net loss of approximately $27 million, which included $15.6 million in non-cash impairment charges. Following these results, Sidoti analysts significantly lowered their Q1 and Q2 2027 EPS estimates to ($0.09) per share, anticipating continued near-term challenges.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -7.7% change in HOFT stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -5.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.15 | 12.14 | -7.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 322 | 305 | -5.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 0.4 | -2.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 11 | 11 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -7.7% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HOFT | -7.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | -2.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | -1.9% | 15.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 36.4% change in HOFT stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 49.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.90 | 12.14 | 36.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 334 | 305 | -8.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.3 | 0.4 | 49.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 11 | 11 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 36.4% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HOFT | 36.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | -3.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | -0.7% | 11.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 34.7% change in HOFT stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 58.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.01 | 12.14 | 34.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 356 | 305 | -14.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.3 | 0.4 | 58.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 11 | 11 | -0.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 34.7% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HOFT | 34.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 17.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 21.2% | 28.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -9.1% change in HOFT stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -47.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.35 | 12.14 | -9.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 583 | 305 | -47.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.3 | 0.4 | 65.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 11 | 11 | 5.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -9.1% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HOFT | -9.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 25.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | 64.4% | 30.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HOFT Return | -26% | -16% | 46% | -43% | -13% | 9% | -51% |
| Peers Return | 4% | -9% | 29% | 32% | -3% | 3% | 62% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 5% | 92% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HOFT Win Rate | 25% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 38% | 57% | 52% | 47% | 45% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HOFT Max Drawdown | -31% | -42% | -20% | -48% | -45% | -2% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -14% | -30% | -8% | -18% | -23% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ETD, LZB, BSET, FLXS, HVT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/1/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | HOFT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -40.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.8% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 274 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.3% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 41 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -29.3% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.4% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 76 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -42.9% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 75.2% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 322 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -43.7% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 77.6% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 103 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -26.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.1% | 23.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 716 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Hooker Furnishings's stock fell -40.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 68.8% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | HOFT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -40.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.8% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 274 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.3% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 41 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -29.3% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.4% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 76 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -42.9% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 75.2% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 322 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -43.7% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 77.6% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 103 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -26.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.1% | 23.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 716 days | 105 days |
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -20.7% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.1% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 52 days | 1 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -38.2% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.7% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 895 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -73.1% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 272.3% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1748 days | 1085 days |
| Summer 2007 Credit Crunch | ||
| % Loss | -22.7% | -8.6% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.4% | 9.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 55 days | 47 days |
In The Past
Hooker Furnishings's stock fell -40.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 68.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Hooker Furnishings (HOFT)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Think of it as the Procter & Gamble of the furniture world, managing a portfolio of diverse brands across residential, hospitality, and contract furniture segments.
Alternatively, imagine a more diversified version of Ashley Furniture, manufacturing and importing a wide array of furniture that it supplies to various retailers, hotels, and senior living facilities.
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- Residential Home Furnishings: A diverse range of furniture for various rooms including bedroom, dining, home office, entertainment, and accent pieces.
- Upholstered Furniture: Stationary and motion upholstered furniture options, including leather and fabric, for residential use.
- Hospitality Furnishings: Specialized furniture and casegoods designed for hotels, upscale senior living, and assisted living facilities.
- Ready-to-Assemble Furniture: Consumer-friendly furniture products designed for easy self-assembly.
- Interior Designer Products: Custom and specialty furniture solutions catering to the needs of interior design professionals.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Hooker Furnishings (HOFT) primarily sells its products to other companies (B2B) through various channels. The company's major customers are not listed as specific named entities with ticker symbols in the provided description, but rather as categories of businesses that purchase and distribute its furniture products. These categories include:
- Retailers: This broad category encompasses a diverse range of furniture sellers, including independent furniture stores, department stores, mass merchants, national chains, catalog merchants, e-commerce retailers, and warehouse clubs.
- Hotels: Through its Samuel Lawrence Hospitality brand, the company designs and supplies furnishings for four and five-star hotels.
- Senior Living and Assisted Living Facilities: Under its H Contract brand, Hooker Furnishings supplies upholstered seating and casegoods to upscale senior living and assisted living facilities.
- Interior Designers, Design Firms, Industry Dealers, and Distributors: These professionals and businesses procure products from Hooker Furnishings for their clients and projects, including specialized products under the Lifestyle Brands name.
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Jeremy Hoff, Chief Executive Officer
Jeremy Hoff was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Hooker Furnishings effective February 1, 2021. He joined Hooker in 2017, serving as President of Hooker Legacy Brands, which included the upholstery, case goods, and legacy brands divisions, before his appointment as CEO. Prior to joining Hooker, he held leadership positions as President of Theodore Alexander and Senior Vice President at A.R.T. Furniture. Mr. Hoff began his career in retail with Louis Shanks. He is the first non-family member to hold the CEO position in the company's history. Additionally, he serves as vice chair of the High Point Market board and is a member of the American Home Furnishings Alliance board.
C. Earl Armstrong III, Chief Financial Officer
C. Earl Armstrong III assumed the role of Chief Financial Officer for Hooker Furnishings effective February 3, 2025, succeeding Paul A. Huckfeldt. He commenced his tenure at Hooker in 2009 as Manager of Financial Reporting. Throughout his career at the company, Mr. Armstrong has held various financial positions, including Director of Accounting from January 2013 to January 2016, Corporate Controller from February 2017 to June 2019, and Corporate Controller and Secretary from June 2019 through April 2024. In February 2021, he also took on the responsibility of Chief Financial Officer for Hooker's Home Meridian segment, overseeing its SLH hospitality division from November 2021 to December 2023. He is a Certified Public Accountant licensed in North Carolina with over two decades of accounting experience, which includes working with other publicly traded home furnishings companies. Mr. Armstrong started his accounting career in the assurance practice of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP.
Paul B. Toms Jr., Chairman of the Board
Paul B. Toms Jr. served as Chief Executive Officer of Hooker Furniture Corporation from 2000 until his retirement on January 31, 2021, and currently holds the position of Chairman of the Board. As a grandson of Clyde Hooker Sr., who founded the company in 1924, Mr. Toms joined Hooker in 1983 and advanced through various management roles before becoming CEO. He is recognized for his pivotal role in diversifying the company through strategic expansions and acquisitions, which transformed it into one of the top five furniture resources in North America. In 2018, he was inducted into the American Home Furnishings Hall of Fame. Under his leadership, the company transitioned its business model to become an importer of residential case goods and upholstery, and a manufacturer of residential upholstery. Notable acquisitions during his tenure include Bradington-Young, Sam Moore, Shenandoah Furniture, and Home Meridian International in 2016.
Michael W. Delgatti Jr., President of Hooker Legacy Brands
Michael W. Delgatti Jr. was named Executive Vice President - Sales and Marketing for Hooker Furniture Upholstery in March 2010, where he was responsible for overseeing sales, marketing, and merchandising for the Bradington-Young and Sam Moore brands. He was promoted to President of Hooker Furniture's legacy companies, or Hooker Legacy Brands, around 2017. Before his time with Hooker Upholstery, Mr. Delgatti served as president of Clayton Marcus, held executive vice president roles in merchandising for occasional and upholstery product lines at Broyhill Furniture, and was vice president of sales and marketing at Southern Furniture Company.
Craig Young, President of Bradington-Young and President of HF Custom
Craig Young was promoted to President of Bradington-Young in 2016. He has been affiliated with Bradington-Young for over 30 years and with Hooker Furnishings since the acquisition of Bradington-Young in 2003. His father, Charles S. Young Jr., founded Bradington-Young in 1978. Prior to his presidency, Mr. Young served as Vice President of Sales for Bradington-Young for more than a decade, and subsequently as VP Sales—Southern Region (2012) and VP Sales—Eastern Region (2016) for all Hooker brands. In March 2023, he took on the additional role of President of HF Custom, which was formerly the Sam Moore division of Hooker Furnishings. Mr. Young has been instrumental in driving operational improvements and consistent business growth for Bradington-Young.
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The key risks to Hooker Furnishings (HOFT) business are primarily driven by macroeconomic factors impacting consumer spending, intense competition within the home furnishings market, and potential disruptions in its global supply chain.
- Economic Downturns and Reduced Consumer Discretionary Spending: The most significant risk stems from general economic conditions, both domestically and internationally. A challenging economic environment, characterized by factors such as persistent softness in the housing market, higher mortgage rates, and declining consumer sentiment, directly dampens consumer spending patterns on discretionary items like home furnishings. This macroeconomic headwind significantly impacts demand, existing home sales (which traditionally fuel furniture demand), and ultimately Hooker Furnishings' sales and profitability.
- Intense Competition and Dynamic Industry Landscape: Hooker Furnishings operates in a highly competitive and fragmented home furnishings sector. This environment is constantly reshaped by economic trends and evolving consumer tastes. The company faces competition from a mix of established manufacturers, specialized brands, and increasingly, emerging digital-first brands, all vying for consumer attention. This necessitates continuous adaptation, product diversification, and effective market strategies to maintain its market position and avoid losing market share to rivals who may leverage economies of scale or advanced technologies.
- Supply Chain Disruptions, Tariffs, and Cost Volatility: As a company that designs, manufactures, imports, and markets furniture, Hooker Furnishings is exposed to risks related to its global supply chain. While the company has taken steps to mitigate tariff-related inventory risks and improve its warehousing strategy through facilities like its Vietnam warehouse, disruptions in the supply chain (e.g., shipping delays, raw material availability, labor shortages) or changes in tariff policies can impact production schedules, increase costs, and affect delivery times. Furthermore, fluctuations in raw material prices (such as lumber) and other operational expenses can pressure profit margins.
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Emergence and growth of furniture-as-a-service (FaaS) and subscription-based furniture rental models. This business model challenges the traditional ownership of furniture by offering temporary access and flexibility, potentially reducing the long-term demand for new furniture purchases among consumers.
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Hooker Furnishings (HOFT) operates in several distinct furniture markets within North America. The addressable markets for their main products and services are sized as follows:Residential Furniture
The North American home furniture market was valued at USD 202.25 billion in 2025 and is estimated to grow to USD 267.29 billion by 2031, at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.76%. Another estimate valued the North America furniture market at USD 220.44 billion in 2024, projected to grow to USD 305.86 billion by 2035. The U.S. home furniture market alone was valued at USD 125.81 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 157.2 billion by 2031. Specifically within the U.S. residential furniture sector:- The overall U.S. furniture market, which includes a dominant residential segment (68% share in 2025), was valued at USD 195.7 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 256.9 billion by 2034.
- Bedroom furniture accounted for about 35.13% of the U.S. furniture market in 2024.
- Living room and dining room furniture held the largest share, with 37.05% of the U.S. home furniture market revenue in 2025.
Upholstered Furniture
The global upholstered furniture market was valued at USD 68.88 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 122.45 billion by 2034. North America is anticipated to hold a dominant share in this global market. The U.S. upholstered furniture market was estimated at USD 21.15 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 28.63 billion by 2031. Within the U.S. upholstered furniture market, sofas led with a 34.70% revenue share in 2025.Hospitality Furniture
The global hospitality furniture market was valued at USD 4.72 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 6.01 billion by 2031. North America holds a dominant position in the global hospitality furniture market. The North America hotel furniture, fixtures, and equipment (FF&E) market was estimated at USD 21.65 billion in 2023 and is expected to grow to USD 34.02 billion by 2030. The U.S. market constituted approximately 76% of the North American hotel FF&E market in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 32,736.9 million by 2033.Contract Furniture (Senior Living/Assisted Living Facilities)
The North America assisted living market was valued at USD 63.51 billion in 2025 and USD 67.06 billion in 2026. North America dominated the assisted living market in 2025 with a valuation of USD 63.51 billion. This market is driven by an aging population and increasing demand for specialized furniture solutions in homes and institutional settings.AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Hooker Furnishings (HOFT) over the next 2-3 years:
- Growth in Hospitality and Contract Furniture: Hooker Furnishings anticipates continued expansion in its hospitality and contract furniture segments, particularly with H Contract and Samuel Lawrence Hospitality (SLH). These divisions have already demonstrated double-digit increases in fiscal 2024 and are expected to be significant contributors to future growth.
- New Product Introductions and Brand Expansion: The company expects to drive revenue through new product launches and brand development. Notable initiatives include the successful launch of the "M modern lifestyle brand" and the "Margaritaville collection," which has generated strong order commitments and is projected to deliver meaningful incremental revenue. Expanded showroom footprints are also contributing to increased traffic and visibility.
- Strategic Focus on Higher-Margin and Design-Driven Brands: Hooker Furnishings is strategically shifting its focus towards higher-margin, design-driven brands and optimizing its product offerings. This includes retooling product lines in divisions like Samuel Lawrence Furniture and exiting unprofitable product lines, aiming to enhance overall revenue quality and growth.
- Market Share Gains and Enhanced Distribution: The company has reported consistent year-over-year market share growth in its legacy divisions. The expansion of successful brands, such as Sunset West's growth through East Coast distribution, along with operational improvements like a new Vietnam fulfillment warehouse reducing lead times, are expected to further boost market share and revenue.
- Industry Rebound in Home Furnishings Demand: While the home furnishings industry has faced challenges with soft demand and macroeconomic uncertainties, an anticipated industry turnaround is expected to be a significant driver of revenue growth for Hooker Furnishings in the coming years. Analysts project elevated revenue growth for the industry as market demand rebounds. The company's management also believes they will return to profitability once demand and revenue rebound.
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Share Repurchases
- Hooker Furnishings repurchased $11.7 million in shares during fiscal 2024.
- The company purchased 1.4 million shares of its stock in fiscal 2024.
- A new $5 million share repurchase program was authorized in fiscal Q3 2026 (period ended November 2, 2025).
Outbound Investments
- In fiscal 2024, the company spent $2.4 million on the BOBO acquisition.
- Hooker Furnishings completed the sale of its Pulaski Furniture and Samuel Lawrence Furniture casegoods brands for approximately $6.1 million in December 2025 (fiscal Q3 2026) as part of a shift towards higher-margin, design-driven brands.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for fiscal 2024 totaled $6.8 million, which included investments in new showrooms.
- The company spent $5.1 million in fiscal 2024 on the development of its cloud-based ERP system.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Hooker Furnishings Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| With Hooker Furnishings Stock Surging, Have You Considered The Downside? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 21.28 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.3 |
| Rev LTM | 526 |
| Op Inc LTM | 29 |
| FCF LTM | 36 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 30 |
| CFO LTM | 48 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 48 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -10.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | -0.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.1% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 21.8% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 30.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.3 |
| P/S | 0.5 |
| P/Op Inc | 11.0 |
| P/EBIT | 10.5 |
| P/E | 14.8 |
| P/CFO | 7.0 |
| Total Yield | 9.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.0% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -7.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 7.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 0.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 8.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 5.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -20.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -71.1% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $12.14 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/27/2002 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -21.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $13.06 | $11.23 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -7.0% | 8.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 63.0% | 56.9% |
| Downside Capture | -0.45 | 0.14 |
| Upside Capture | -92.48 | 53.93 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -1.8% | 17.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.05 | 0.32 | -0.08 | -0.12 | 0.78 | 0.82 |
| Up Beta | 0.17 | 0.64 | 0.65 | 0.38 | 1.71 | 0.73 |
| Down Beta | 2.23 | 1.95 | 1.97 | 1.03 | 0.64 | 0.88 |
| Up Capture | -33% | -48% | -74% | -14% | 43% | 46% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 19 | 30 | 69 | 129 | 391 |
| Down Capture | -265% | 2% | -115% | -186% | 21% | 99% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 22 | 31 | 53 | 117 | 349 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with HOFT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOFT | 34.9% | 56.9% | 0.73 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 21.3% | 18.8% | 0.90 | 28.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 30.6% | 12.5% | 1.88 | 17.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 39.5% | 27.2% | 1.20 | -6.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 51.5% | 17.9% | 2.20 | -11.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.1% | 13.5% | 0.67 | 15.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -17.1% | 42.2% | -0.33 | 3.5% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with HOFT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOFT | -15.0% | 44.0% | -0.23 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.7% | 23.8% | 0.24 | 31.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 28.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.5% | 17.9% | 0.94 | 0.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 14.3% | 19.1% | 0.61 | 3.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.5% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 29.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.7% | 56.2% | 0.35 | 12.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with HOFT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOFT | -3.6% | 43.9% | 0.07 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.7% | 22.0% | 0.53 | 36.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 35.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.6% | 15.9% | 0.71 | -1.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.7% | 17.7% | 0.46 | 8.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.7% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 33.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.7% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 7.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/16/2026 | -11.6% | -9.1% | |
| 12/11/2025 | -3.3% | -3.7% | 10.4% |
| 9/11/2025 | -2.3% | -6.4% | -14.8% |
| 4/17/2025 | 14.8% | 18.6% | 28.8% |
| 12/5/2024 | -6.6% | -3.6% | -23.9% |
| 9/5/2024 | 2.3% | 1.6% | 7.6% |
| 4/11/2024 | 1.8% | -11.7% | -11.6% |
| 12/7/2023 | 10.4% | 19.3% | 20.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| # Negative | 13 | 12 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 5.1% | 2.1% | 12.7% |
| Median Negative | -4.0% | -7.5% | -11.6% |
| Max Positive | 14.8% | 19.3% | 28.8% |
| Max Negative | -17.0% | -17.1% | -23.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 01/31/2026 | 04/17/2026 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 04/18/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 04/12/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 04/14/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2022 | 06/09/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 4/16/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2027 Share Repurchases | 5.00 Mil | 0 | Same New | Actual: 5.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
Prior: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 12/11/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2027 Fixed Cost Reduction | 25.00 Mil | 25.75 Mil | 26.50 Mil | 3.0% | Raised | Guidance: 25.00 Mil for 2027 | |
| 2026 Share Repurchases | 5.00 Mil | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Dividends | 0.46 | Lower New | |||||
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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