Helios Technologies (HLIO)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $55.0 | Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Helios Technologies (HLIO)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $55.0Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -4.5%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 51x |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.1% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.8% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics. Themes include Industrial Robotics, Factory Automation, and Process / Warehouse Automation. | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 58% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.1% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics. Themes include Industrial Robotics, Factory Automation, and Process / Warehouse Automation. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -4.5%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 51x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.8% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 58% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
HLIO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Helios Technologies (HLIO) experienced a 0.9% stock movement in the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors: 1. 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat. Helios Technologies reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025, surpassing Wall Street expectations for both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. The company posted an adjusted EPS of $0.72 against an estimated $0.65-$0.66, and revenue reached $220.3 million compared to forecasts of $211.25-$212.5 million. This beat signaled better-than-anticipated performance. 2. 2. Significant Sales Growth Across Segments. The company achieved a 13% year-over-year increase in sales during Q3 2025, with growth observed across all geographical regions and both business segments. Notably, its electronics business recorded a record quarter, driven by strong demand in the recreational industry. 3.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HLIO Return | 16% | 98% | -48% | -16% | -1% | 21% | 20% |
| Peers Return | 6% | -1% | -19% | 64% | 66% | 13% | 161% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HLIO Win Rate | 58% | 83% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 42% | 67% | 54% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HLIO Max Drawdown | -35% | -2% | -53% | -30% | -11% | -42% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -15% | -38% | -2% | -6% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GGG, GHM, ADVEN, BENN, HRDG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | HLIO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -66.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 200.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 211 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -55.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 125.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 805 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -80.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 417.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1667 days | 1480 days |
Compare to GGG, GHM, ADVEN, BENN, HRDG
In The Past
Helios Technologies's stock fell -66.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/18/2021. A -66.7% loss requires a 200.1% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to HLIO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 05312022 | HLIO | Helios Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -23.3% | -27.3% | -27.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 05312022 | HLIO | Helios Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -23.3% | -27.3% | -27.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Helios Technologies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 57.30 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.8 |
| Rev LTM | 808 |
| Op Inc LTM | 79 |
| FCF LTM | 89 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 74 |
| CFO LTM | 117 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 108 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.8 |
| P/S | 2.6 |
| P/EBIT | 23.3 |
| P/E | 44.1 |
| P/CFO | 20.9 |
| Total Yield | 2.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 3.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 40.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 4.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 22.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 25.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -8.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -47.2% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/27/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2252025 | 10-K 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 10/1/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 7/2/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 4/2/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 1/1/2022 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Sacchi Diana | 11122025 | Sell | 58.35 | 620 | 36,180 | 403,992 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |