Monte Rosa Therapeutics (GLUE)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $13.77 | Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Monte Rosa Therapeutics (GLUE)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $13.77Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -31% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 132x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 54x | |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1112% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 231% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 82%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 80% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3% | |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 13% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -31% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1112% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 82%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 80% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 13% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 132x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 54x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 231% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
GLUE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Strategic Collaboration with Novartis
Monte Rosa Therapeutics announced a new strategic partnership with Novartis in September 2025 to develop molecular glue degraders for immune-mediated diseases. This collaboration included an upfront payment of $120 million and the potential for milestone payments of up to $5.7 billion, significantly bolstering Monte Rosa's financial position and accelerating its immunology and inflammation pipeline.
2. Better-than-Expected Q3 2025 Financial Results
In November 2025, Monte Rosa Therapeutics reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results, exceeding analyst expectations. The company posted an earnings per share (EPS) of ($0.33), beating the consensus estimate of ($0.39), and recorded revenue of $12.77 million, surpassing the estimated $7.37 million.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GLUE Return | - | - | -63% | -26% | 23% | 96% | -33% |
| Peers Return | -15% | -9% | -6% | -3% | -3% | -17% | -44% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GLUE Win Rate | - | 67% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 18% | 15% | 23% | 31% | 22% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GLUE Max Drawdown | - | - | -70% | -67% | -40% | -47% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -13% | -14% | -15% | -30% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GLUE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -94.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1588.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND
In The Past
Monte Rosa Therapeutics's stock fell -94.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/3/2021. A -94.1% loss requires a 1588.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to GLUE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -11.9% | -11.9% | -11.9% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.3% | -0.3% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -31.5% | -31.5% | -31.5% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.6% | -1.6% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.6% | 15.6% | -7.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -11.9% | -11.9% | -11.9% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.3% | -0.3% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -31.5% | -31.5% | -31.5% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.6% | -1.6% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.6% | 15.6% | -7.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Monte Rosa Therapeutics
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 9.24 |
| Mkt Cap | 56.0 |
| Rev LTM | 182 |
| Op Inc LTM | -92 |
| FCF LTM | 145 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,025 |
| CFO LTM | 149 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,208 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 561.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 24.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 26.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 56.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 54.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 56.0 |
| P/S | 7.8 |
| P/EBIT | 78.3 |
| P/E | 41.9 |
| P/CFO | 18.7 |
| Total Yield | 2.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -5.8% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 11.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 22.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 34.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 37.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 8.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 10.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -10.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -29.1% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 5.7% | 15.0% | |
| 8/7/2025 | -2.9% | 2.0% | 13.4% |
| 3/20/2025 | 5.4% | -18.1% | -32.1% |
| 11/7/2024 | 0.8% | -8.7% | -0.4% |
| 5/9/2024 | -1.5% | -0.6% | -24.3% |
| 11/9/2023 | -10.6% | -0.3% | 17.3% |
| 8/10/2023 | -1.6% | -4.7% | -12.1% |
| 3/16/2023 | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| # Negative | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% |
| Median Negative | -2.9% | -6.7% | -24.3% |
| Max Positive | 16.3% | 37.5% | 17.3% |
| Max Negative | -10.6% | -18.1% | -32.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3142024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5112022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3292022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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