Liberty Capital (GLIBA)
Market Price (11/5/2026): $23.01 | Market Cap: $918.2 MilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Integrated Telecommunication Services
Liberty Capital (GLIBA)
Market Price (11/5/2026): $23.01Market Cap: $918.2 MilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Integrated Telecommunication Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33% Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.3% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, and Wireless Services. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -101% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 84% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is 0.0% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -42% Key risksGLIBA key risks include [1] satellite competition threatening its rural Alaska contracts, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.3% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, and Wireless Services. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -101% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 84% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is 0.0% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -42% |
| Key risksGLIBA key risks include [1] satellite competition threatening its rural Alaska contracts, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Liberty Capital (GLIBA) stock has remained largely at the same level since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Liberty Capital reported a significant earnings miss for fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026. The company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $0.40 on August 6, 2026, falling short of analysts' consensus estimates of $1.15 by $0.75. This substantial miss, coupled with flat revenue of $261 million year-over-year, likely contributed to investor concern and a negative re-evaluation of the stock. Furthermore, Liberty Capital has historically failed to beat consensus EPS estimates, doing so in 0% of quarters on record, which may have amplified investor skepticism regarding future performance.
2. Rising interest rates and broader macroeconomic headwinds during fiscal Q3 2026 increased financing costs, disproportionately affecting smaller-cap companies. The Federal Reserve raised the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00% in September 2026, its first hike since 2023. Concurrently, the 10-year Treasury yield surged by 88 basis points over fiscal Q3 2026, reaching approximately 5.3%, its highest level since 2002. These higher interest rates increase borrowing costs for companies, and as a small-capitalization company, Liberty Capital (with a market cap around $900 million) is generally more sensitive to such refinancing expenses.
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Liberty Capital (GLIBA) stock has remained largely at the same level since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Liberty Capital reported a significant earnings miss for fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026. The company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $0.40 on August 6, 2026, falling short of analysts' consensus estimates of $1.15 by $0.75. This substantial miss, coupled with flat revenue of $261 million year-over-year, likely contributed to investor concern and a negative re-evaluation of the stock. Furthermore, Liberty Capital has historically failed to beat consensus EPS estimates, doing so in 0% of quarters on record, which may have amplified investor skepticism regarding future performance.
2. Rising interest rates and broader macroeconomic headwinds during fiscal Q3 2026 increased financing costs, disproportionately affecting smaller-cap companies. The Federal Reserve raised the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00% in September 2026, its first hike since 2023. Concurrently, the 10-year Treasury yield surged by 88 basis points over fiscal Q3 2026, reaching approximately 5.3%, its highest level since 2002. These higher interest rates increase borrowing costs for companies, and as a small-capitalization company, Liberty Capital (with a market cap around $900 million) is generally more sensitive to such refinancing expenses.
3. A weakening outlook for the broader Communication Services sector, excluding interactive media, and Liberty Capital's elevated capital spending also weighed on the stock. In July 2026, State Street Global Advisors downgraded the Communication Services sector to neutral, citing factors such as rising AI capital expenditures, new debt and equity issuance, and uneven sector momentum, particularly outside of the interactive media segment. This broader sector headwind created a challenging operating environment for Liberty Capital, a communications provider. Additionally, the company's capital expenditures for fiscal Q2 2026 were $74.0 million, marking a 37% increase year-over-year and 32% quarter-over-quarter, with expectations for capital spending to peak at $290 million in 2026 before declining in 2027-2028 to improve free cash flow. This near-term elevated spending may have presented a drag on short-term financial performance and investor sentiment.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -2.4% change in GLIBA stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -2.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312026 | 11042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 23.64 | 23.07 | -2.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 942 | 942 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.0 | 1.0 | -2.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 40 | 40 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -2.4% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2026 to 11/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GLIBA | -2.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.6% | -5.1% |
| Sector (XLC) | -3.0% | 28.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -33.8% change in GLIBA stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -27.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302026 | 11042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 34.86 | 23.07 | -33.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 952 | 942 | -1.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.4 | 1.0 | -27.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 37 | 40 | -7.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -33.8% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 11/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GLIBA | -33.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.0% | -9.6% |
| Sector (XLC) | -9.7% | 17.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -31.7% change in GLIBA stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -28.2% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 11042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 33.77 | 23.07 | -31.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 942 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | � | 1.0 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 29 | 40 | -28.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 11/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GLIBA | -31.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 13.4% | 0.8% |
| Sector (XLC) | -7.8% | 21.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
10/31/2023 to 11/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GLIBA | ||
| Market (SPY) | 89.7% | 4.9% |
| Sector (XLC) | 67.3% | 19.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GLIBA Return | - | - | - | - | 29% | -37% | -19% |
| Peers Return | -7% | -1% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 1% | 13% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 102% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GLIBA Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 67% | 45% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 47% | 55% | 58% | 48% | 49% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 36% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GLIBA Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | -51% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -24% | -29% | -26% | -22% | -25% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ATNI, T, VZ, TMUS, CMCSA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/4/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
GLIBA has limited trading history. Below is the Communication Services sector ETF (XLC) in its place.
| Event | XLC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -17.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 21.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 63 days | 79 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -38.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.1% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 470 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -30.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 43.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 112 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -20.2% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.3% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 109 days | 105 days |
In The Past
State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -17.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 21.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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GLIBA has limited trading history. Below is the Communication Services sector ETF (XLC) in its place.
| Event | XLC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -38.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.1% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 470 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -30.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 43.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 112 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -20.2% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.3% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 109 days | 105 days |
In The Past
State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -17.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 21.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Liberty Capital (GLIBA)
GCI Liberty, Inc., trading under the symbol GLIBA, functions as a telecommunications and technology services provider primarily through its subsidiaries. The company offers a comprehensive range of essential communication services, including data, wireless, video, and voice solutions, under its well-known GCI brand name.
GLIBA's service offerings extend to managed services, catering to a broad spectrum of clients. Its primary market is Alaska, where it serves residential customers, various businesses, governmental entities, and institutions within the educational and medical sectors. Founded in 1979, the company is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.
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The AT&T or Verizon of Alaska.
Alaska's version of Comcast or Spectrum.
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- Data Services: Provides internet access and related data communication solutions.
- Wireless Services: Offers mobile phone and cellular connectivity services.
- Video Services: Delivers television programming and video content.
- Voice Services: Supplies traditional landline and voice communication services.
- Managed Services: Provides IT management and support for businesses and institutions.
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Liberty Capital (GLIBA), operating through its GCI brand in Alaska, serves a diverse range of customers. While it caters to both individuals and organizations, its customer base can be broadly categorized as follows:
- Residential Customers: Individuals who subscribe to data, wireless, video, and voice services for personal use.
- Businesses: Various companies that utilize GCI's data, wireless, voice, and managed services.
- Governmental, Educational, and Medical Institutions: Entities such as government agencies, schools, and healthcare facilities that rely on GCI for their communication and managed service needs.
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Ronald A. Duncan
President & CEO
Mr. Duncan co-founded GCI with Bob Walp in 1979, establishing it as Alaska's largest communications provider. Prior to co-founding GCI, he started a cable television company in Fairbanks in 1978. Mr. Duncan holds an undergraduate degree in Economics from Johns Hopkins University and an MBA from Harvard. He serves on the boards of the National Cable and Telecommunications Association and Cable Labs, and is a past chairman of the Anchorage Economic Development Corporation and the Alaska Science and Technology Foundation.Brian J. Wendling
Chief Accounting Officer & Principal Financial Officer
Mr. Wendling serves as Chief Accounting Officer and Principal Financial Officer for Liberty Capital Corporation, Liberty Media Corporation, and Liberty Broadband Corporation. He has held various positions with these companies and their predecessors since 1999. Before joining these organizations, Mr. Wendling worked in the assurance practice of KPMG. He currently serves on the board of Comscore, Inc. and has previously served on the boards of Fun Technologies Inc. and CommerceHub, Inc.Renee L. Wilm
Chief Legal Officer & Chief Administrative Officer
Ms. Wilm serves as Chief Legal Officer and Chief Administrative Officer of Liberty Media Corporation, Liberty Capital Corporation, and Liberty Broadband Corporation. In this capacity, she is responsible for managing legal matters, providing strategic support across departments, and supervising the day-to-day operations of the parent companies.Ben Oren
Executive Vice President & Treasurer
Mr. Oren serves as Executive Vice President and Treasurer of Liberty Media Corporation, Liberty Capital Corporation, and Liberty Broadband Corporation. He spent two decades in various investment banking roles, most recently as a Managing Director with Credit Suisse, where he advised companies across sectors including Technology, Media, and Telecom on capital markets transactions. At Credit Suisse, he was a member of the Investment Banking Committee, Corporate Insights Advisory Counsel, Capital Markets Innovation Counsel, and Americas Head of Liability Management. Earlier in his career, Mr. Oren was an Executive Director at UBS Securities, LLC.AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to Liberty Capital (GLIBA):
-
Heavy Reliance on Universal Service Fund (USF) Subsidies and Regulatory Risk
Liberty Capital's GCI business is significantly dependent on Universal Service Fund (USF) subsidies, which constituted 42% of its revenue in fiscal year 2024. Any reduction in these subsidies or a successful legal challenge to the constitutionality of the USF could materially disrupt GCI's financial support.
-
Limited Organic Growth and Competition in the Alaskan Market
The business operates in Alaska, a state characterized by slowly growing demographics, which inherently limits organic growth in its customer base of households and businesses. This demographic trend constrains GCI's ability to expand its market share. Furthermore, the company faces competition from alternative service providers, such as Starlink, which offers a cheaper option in remote areas, potentially pressuring GCI's existing contracts and market position, despite current challenges faced by Starlink regarding reliability and latency.
-
Complexity of Corporate Structure and Potential for Market Confusion
Liberty Capital's corporate structure, including its multi-series voting stock and potential tracking stock arrangements, may contribute to market confusion. This complexity, alongside the company's history of corporate reorganizations and spin-offs, could negatively impact share valuation and investor confidence.
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The emergence and expansion of Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellite internet services, such as Starlink by SpaceX, pose a significant threat to GCI Liberty's traditional data and wireless services. These services can bypass GCI's established physical infrastructure, offering an alternative for customers, particularly in the remote and challenging terrain of Alaska where GCI primarily operates.
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Liberty Capital (GLIBA) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several strategic initiatives focused on enhancing its network, expanding services, and acquiring key infrastructure in Alaska.
- Acquisition of Quintillion: The planned acquisition of Quintillion, a fiber infrastructure provider in Alaska, is a significant driver. This transaction is expected to be accretive to free cash flow and will combine Quintillion's subsea and terrestrial fiber network with GCI's statewide operations, enhancing network resiliency and reliability across Alaska. This integration is projected to contribute $50-55 million of adjusted OIBDA in 2026, including an estimated $20 million in annual synergies over 24 months.
- 5G Network Expansion and Upgrades: GCI is actively expanding and upgrading its 5G network across Alaska. The company has extended 5G service to over 125 communities, reaching approximately 83% of Alaskans. These investments are aimed at enhancing network performance, improving troubleshooting capabilities, and driving operating efficiency, which should lead to growth in wireless service adoption.
- Growth in Converged Broadband and Wireless Services: Liberty Capital is seeing increasing traction in its converged offerings, which bundle broadband and wireless services. A notable portion of broadband customers also subscribe to wireless services, and a majority of postpaid wireless lines are part of these converged relationships. This strategy, along with subscriber additions, is expected to drive consumer revenue, partially offsetting declines from the company's exit from the video business.
- Rural Expansion and Bridging the Digital Divide: The company is committed to expanding its network infrastructure into underserved rural areas of Alaska as part of its efforts to bridge the digital divide. GCI has received significant broadband infrastructure grants, such as $121.2 million, to improve connectivity in these regions, which will support further service expansion and customer growth.
- Growth in Business Data Services: The business segment is experiencing revenue growth, particularly from higher data revenue. This growth is attributed to service upgrades provided to enterprise, healthcare, and education customers, indicating an expanding demand for advanced connectivity solutions within these institutional sectors in Alaska.
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Outbound Investments
- In April 2026, GCI Holdings, a wholly owned subsidiary of Liberty Capital (formerly GCI Liberty, Inc.), agreed to acquire all equity interests in Quintillion. The acquisition consideration includes $310 million in cash, up to $50 million for certain capital expenditures incurred by Quintillion prior to closing, and potential earn-out payments.
Capital Expenditures
- Net capital expenditures for GCI are projected to be $290 million for the full year 2026, which accounts for $20 million carried over from 2025.
- A significant portion of the increased capital expenditures in 2026 is directed towards hybrid fiber-coaxial network improvements in urban Alaska.
- The company anticipates 2026 to be the peak year for capital spending, with expectations for meaningful declines in capital expenditures during 2027 and 2028, aiming to drive stronger free cash flow generation.
Peer Outperformance in Integrated Telecommunication Services
null| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wireless Telecommunication Services | 3 | -8.2% | 13.5% | 36.5% | ECHO 280% · TMUS 36% |
| Publishing | 5 | 19.3% | 9.4% | 12.5% | NYT 37% · NWSA 36% |
| Movies & Entertainment | 23 | 17.3% | 48.9% | -28.0% | IMAX 163% · CNK 102% · BATRA 83% |
| Integrated Telecommunication Services ← | 21 | -14.5% | 11.9% | -28.3% | GSAT 234% · AD 122% · TDS 111% |
| Interactive Media & Services | 33 | -28.1% | -30.1% | -68.6% | GOOGL 97% · META 89% · CARG 2% |
| Broadcasting | 14 | -7.0% | -19.9% | -70.1% | FOXA 79% · NXST 35% · SIRI -37% |
| Interactive Home Entertainment | 8 | -40.8% | -58.4% | -70.2% | TTWO 8% · RBLX -40% · PINS -51% |
| Alternative Carriers | 4 | -33.4% | 16.5% | -70.4% | IRDM 11% · LUMN -64% |
| Advertising | 18 | -30.7% | -7.3% | -74.1% | APP 176% · OMC 55% · STGW 12% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 25.37 |
| Mkt Cap | 119.5 |
| Rev LTM | 108,410 |
| Op Inc LTM | 18,742 |
| FCF LTM | 17,420 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 15,401 |
| CFO LTM | 30,222 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 30,041 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -4.2% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 20.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 29.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 27.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 13.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.7% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $23.07 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.9 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/15/2025 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -42.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $23.44 | $28.60 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -1.6% | -19.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 43.2% | 43.6% |
| Downside Capture | -19.67 | 38.98 |
| Upside Capture | -70.18 | -13.95 |
| Correlation (S&P 500) | -14.8% | 2.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -2.31 | -1.00 | -0.26 | -0.44 | 0.02 | -0.01 |
| Up Beta | -7.38 | -0.85 | 0.14 | -1.00 | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| Down Beta | -1.88 | -1.86 | -1.23 | -0.99 | -0.44 | -0.34 |
| Up Capture | -246% | -128% | -23% | -43% | -8% | 1% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 18 | 28 | 62 | 130 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 20 | 32 | 57 | 122 | 158 |
| Down Capture | -218% | 2% | 3% | 56% | 50% | 32% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 25 | 36 | 64 | 121 | 325 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 23 | 30 | 67 | 127 | 166 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GLIBA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLIBA | -32.0% | 43.6% | -0.76 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | -6.8% | 16.7% | -0.60 | 21.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.2% | 12.9% | 0.68 | 0.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 1.0% | 28.8% | 0.03 | -0.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 35.9% | 21.2% | 1.34 | -5.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.3% | 14.1% | 0.70 | 26.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -28.2% | 43.4% | -0.65 | -0.6% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GLIBA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLIBA | -4.2% | 41.3% | -0.29 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 6.7% | 21.1% | 0.23 | 19.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.5% | 17.2% | 0.55 | 4.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.3% | 19.1% | 0.73 | -0.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.0% | 19.6% | 0.29 | -3.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.8% | 18.9% | -0.01 | 25.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 5.5% | 51.5% | 0.29 | 1.9% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GLIBA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLIBA | -2.1% | 41.3% | -0.29 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 8.6% | 22.1% | 0.42 | 19.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 4.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.9% | 16.5% | 0.59 | -0.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.4% | 18.1% | 0.33 | -3.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.7% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 25.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 61.0% | 66.2% | 1.01 | 1.9% |
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Earnings Returns History
Updated 10/9/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/6/2026 | 0.7% | 10.1% | 9.0% |
| 5/7/2026 | -1.4% | -3.5% | -23.6% |
| 2/11/2026 | -1.3% | 3.8% | -4.3% |
| 11/5/2025 | -3.3% | -4.2% | -3.2% |
| 8/7/2025 | -1.2% | -4.7% | 1.2% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| # Negative | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Median Positive | 0.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Median Negative | -1.3% | -4.2% | -4.3% |
| Max Positive | 0.7% | 10.1% | 9.0% |
| Max Negative | -3.3% | -4.7% | -23.6% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/6/2026 | 0.7% | 10.1% | 9.0% |
| 5/7/2026 | -1.4% | -3.5% | -23.6% |
| 2/11/2026 | -1.3% | 3.8% | -4.3% |
| 11/5/2025 | -3.3% | -4.2% | -3.2% |
| 8/7/2025 | -1.2% | -4.7% | 1.2% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| # Negative | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Median Positive | 0.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Median Negative | -1.3% | -4.2% | -4.3% |
| Max Positive | 0.7% | 10.1% | 9.0% |
| Max Negative | -3.3% | -4.7% | -23.6% |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 11/2/2026Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/6/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2026 Dividends | Reported | 15.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2026 Dividends | Reported | 60.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | Reported | 290.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 290.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/5/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Capital Expenditures | Reported | 225.00 Mil | 237.50 Mil | 250.00 Mil | -5.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 250.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 9/8/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malone, John C | Direct | Buy | 8172026 | 26.00 | 1,000 | 26,000 | 66,553,552 | Form | |
| 2 | Malone, John C | Direct | Buy | 8122026 | 25.57 | 66,702 | 1,705,624 | 65,429,336 | Form | |
| 3 | Malone, John C | Direct | Buy | 8122026 | 25.22 | 68,800 | 1,735,452 | 62,860,964 | Form | |
| 4 | Malone, John C | Direct | Buy | 8122026 | 24.87 | 406,730 | 10,116,404 | 60,272,359 | Form | |
| 5 | Duncan, Ronald A | President and CEO | Direct | Buy | 6042026 | 21.05 | 2,500 | 52,625 | 2,739,952 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malone, John C | Direct | Buy | 8172026 | 26.00 | 1,000 | 26,000 | 66,553,552 | Form | |
| 2 | Malone, John C | Direct | Buy | 8122026 | 25.57 | 66,702 | 1,705,624 | 65,429,336 | Form | |
| 3 | Malone, John C | Direct | Buy | 8122026 | 25.22 | 68,800 | 1,735,452 | 62,860,964 | Form | |
| 4 | Malone, John C | Direct | Buy | 8122026 | 24.87 | 406,730 | 10,116,404 | 60,272,359 | Form | |
| 5 | Duncan, Ronald A | President and CEO | Direct | Buy | 6042026 | 21.05 | 2,500 | 52,625 | 2,739,952 | Form |
| 6 | Duncan, Ronald A | President and CEO | Missy, LLC | Buy | 6042026 | 21.11 | 5,000 | 105,550 | 148,234 | Form |
| 7 | Duncan, Ronald A | President and CEO | RAD, LLC | Buy | 6042026 | 21.01 | 25,000 | 525,350 | 549,768 | Form |
| 8 | Duncan, Ronald A | President and CEO | Spouse | Buy | 6042026 | 21.06 | 35,000 | 736,992 | 895,255 | Form |
| 9 | Malone, John C | Direct | Buy | 3042026 | 43.29 | 1,834 | 79,394 | 15,486,521 | Form | |
| 10 | Gould, Jedd | Direct | Buy | 11182025 | 34.11 | 15,000 | 511,683 | 513,423 | Form | |
| 11 | Malone, John C | Direct | Buy | 9302025 | 35.00 | 763 | 26,704 | 42,746,187 | Form | |
| 12 | Malone, John C | Direct | Buy | 9252025 | 35.00 | 1,594 | 55,790 | 42,720,825 | Form | |
| 13 | Malone, John C | Direct | Buy | 9252025 | 35.00 | 725 | 25,375 | 42,665,035 | Form | |
| 14 | Malone, John C | Direct | Buy | 9222025 | 34.93 | 2,178 | 76,076 | 42,553,406 | Form | |
| 15 | Malone, John C | Direct | Buy | 9222025 | 34.98 | 8,092 | 283,083 | 42,542,878 | Form | |
| 16 | Malone, John C | Direct | Buy | 9172025 | 34.99 | 42,170 | 1,475,570 | 42,269,338 | Form | |
| 17 | Malone, John C | Direct | Buy | 9172025 | 34.93 | 2,228 | 77,832 | 40,726,732 | Form | |
| 18 | Malone, John C | Direct | Buy | 9172025 | 34.96 | 5,500 | 192,289 | 40,681,714 | Form | |
| 19 | Malone, John C | Direct | Buy | 9102025 | 36.00 | 300 | 10,800 | 11,335,788 | Form | |
| 20 | Malone, John C | Direct | Buy | 9102025 | 35.99 | 13,798 | 496,564 | 41,678,107 | Form | |
| 21 | Malone, John C | Direct | Buy | 9102025 | 36.00 | 71 | 2,556 | 41,195,160 | Form | |
| 22 | Malone, John C | Direct | Buy | 9042025 | 36.00 | 2,700 | 97,200 | 41,192,604 | Form | |
| 23 | Malone, John C | Direct | Buy | 9042025 | 36.00 | 1,000 | 36,000 | 41,095,404 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Nov 5, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kontiki Capital Management (HK) Ltd. | $73.0 Mil | 5.1% | 7 | ADD +181.1% | 13F |
| Luxor Capital Group, LP | $10.7 Mil | 1.7% | 38 | TRIM -22.1% | 13F |
| Hi-Line Capital Management, LLC | $5.3 Mil | 1.7% | 32 | ADD +233.2% | 13F |
| Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb L.P. | $23.6 Mil | 0.4% | 50 | TRIM -5.4% | 13F |
| Elliott Investment Management L.P. | $24.6 Mil | 0.2% | 19 | Hold | 13F |
| Rothschild & Co Wealth Management UK Ltd | $9.4 Mil | 0.1% | 25 | Hold | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kontiki Capital Management (HK) Ltd. | $73.0 Mil | 5.1% | 7 | ADD +181.1% | 13F |
| Elliott Investment Management L.P. | $24.6 Mil | 0.2% | 19 | Hold | 13F |
| Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb L.P. | $23.6 Mil | 0.4% | 50 | TRIM -5.4% | 13F |
| Luxor Capital Group, LP | $10.7 Mil | 1.7% | 38 | TRIM -22.1% | 13F |
| Rothschild & Co Wealth Management UK Ltd | $9.4 Mil | 0.1% | 25 | Hold | 13F |
| Hi-Line Capital Management, LLC | $5.3 Mil | 1.7% | 32 | ADD +233.2% | 13F |
Industry Resources
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