Genius Sports (GENI)
Market Price (6/23/2026): $5.98 | Market Cap: $1.6 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services
Genius Sports (GENI)
Market Price (6/23/2026): $5.98Market Cap: $1.6 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Interactive Media & Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -10% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -48% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Markets & Betting, Digital Content & Streaming, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Prediction Markets, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -157 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -22% Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 32x Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.3% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14% Key risksGENI key risks include [1] the potential loss of exclusive data rights to competitors or to leagues bringing data distribution in-house, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -10% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -48% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Markets & Betting, Digital Content & Streaming, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Prediction Markets, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -157 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -22% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 32x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.3% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14% |
| Key risksGENI key risks include [1] the potential loss of exclusive data rights to competitors or to leagues bringing data distribution in-house, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Genius Sports (GENI) stock has lost about 5% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Mixed fiscal Q1 2026 earnings report resulted in initial pressure but subsequent rebound. Genius Sports reported fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026) revenue of $187.95 million, exceeding consensus estimates by reporting 30.5% year-over-year growth. However, the company missed EPS estimates by $0.12, posting -$0.21 against a -$0.09 consensus, and recorded a wider net loss of $55.5 million compared to $8.2 million in the prior year's quarter. This mixed financial performance, combining strong revenue growth with widening losses, initially contributed to stock volatility, seeing shares dip to a 52-week low of $3.83 in April 2026. Nevertheless, Genius Sports' decision to raise its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to between $990 million and $1.01 billion, alongside an increased Adjusted EBITDA margin target of 28%, helped to stabilize and subsequently lift the stock.
2. Legend acquisition created both initial investor concern and later positive outlook. The closing of the approximately $1.2 billion Legend acquisition after fiscal Q1 2026, while previously announced, initially contributed to a nearly 28% drop in shares during February 2026 due to investor concerns regarding valuation and increased exposure to media and affiliate revenue. However, management clarified that the acquisition was immediately accretive to margins, cash flow, and long-term growth, and it was a key factor in the company raising its 2026 guidance. This strategic expansion into digital media and affiliate marketing, aiming to reshape the company's revenue mix and accelerate profitability targets, helped to mitigate earlier concerns and supported the stock's recovery.
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Genius Sports (GENI) stock has lost about 5% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Mixed fiscal Q1 2026 earnings report resulted in initial pressure but subsequent rebound. Genius Sports reported fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026) revenue of $187.95 million, exceeding consensus estimates by reporting 30.5% year-over-year growth. However, the company missed EPS estimates by $0.12, posting -$0.21 against a -$0.09 consensus, and recorded a wider net loss of $55.5 million compared to $8.2 million in the prior year's quarter. This mixed financial performance, combining strong revenue growth with widening losses, initially contributed to stock volatility, seeing shares dip to a 52-week low of $3.83 in April 2026. Nevertheless, Genius Sports' decision to raise its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to between $990 million and $1.01 billion, alongside an increased Adjusted EBITDA margin target of 28%, helped to stabilize and subsequently lift the stock.
2. Legend acquisition created both initial investor concern and later positive outlook. The closing of the approximately $1.2 billion Legend acquisition after fiscal Q1 2026, while previously announced, initially contributed to a nearly 28% drop in shares during February 2026 due to investor concerns regarding valuation and increased exposure to media and affiliate revenue. However, management clarified that the acquisition was immediately accretive to margins, cash flow, and long-term growth, and it was a key factor in the company raising its 2026 guidance. This strategic expansion into digital media and affiliate marketing, aiming to reshape the company's revenue mix and accelerate profitability targets, helped to mitigate earlier concerns and supported the stock's recovery.
3. Significant insider selling during fiscal Q1 2026 exerted downward pressure. During fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), Ophir Asset Management Pty Ltd liquidated its entire stake in Genius Sports, selling an estimated $26.85 million worth of shares. This substantial insider selling exceeded the USD 5 million threshold and likely contributed to the downward movement and price volatility experienced by the stock within the specified period.
4. Sustained positive analyst sentiment and new partnerships provided underlying support. Despite the intra-period fluctuations, Wall Street analysts largely maintained a positive outlook for Genius Sports, with a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" or "Strong Buy" and an average 12-month price target ranging from $10.19 to $11.83. This generally bullish sentiment, coupled with new business developments such as the LIGA MX partnership in early June 2026 to power prediction-market products with official league data, offered underlying support and likely contributed to the stock's rebound towards its initial levels. The potential for new monetization channels through these partnerships further reinforced investor confidence.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -4.3% change in GENI stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/22/2026 was primarily driven by a -15.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.21 | 5.94 | -4.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 605 | 713 | 18.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.6 | 2.2 | -15.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 258 | 269 | -4.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -4.3% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GENI | -4.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.8% | 29.4% |
| Sector (XLC) | -9.2% | 36.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -41.0% change in GENI stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/22/2026 was primarily driven by a -47.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.07 | 5.94 | -41.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 605 | 713 | 18.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 4.3 | 2.2 | -47.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 258 | 269 | -4.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -41.0% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GENI | -41.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.5% | 28.9% |
| Sector (XLC) | -6.8% | 27.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -38.1% change in GENI stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/22/2026 was primarily driven by a -49.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.59 | 5.94 | -38.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 535 | 713 | 33.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 4.5 | 2.2 | -49.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 248 | 269 | -7.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -38.1% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GENI | -38.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 27.7% | 30.4% |
| Sector (XLC) | 6.7% | 30.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 3.8% change in GENI stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 102.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.72 | 5.94 | 3.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 352 | 713 | 102.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.6 | 2.2 | -37.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 222 | 269 | -17.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 3.8% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GENI | 3.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.1% | 36.5% |
| Sector (XLC) | 77.4% | 33.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GENI Return | -62% | -53% | 73% | 40% | 27% | -45% | -69% |
| Peers Return | -7% | -39% | 55% | -5% | -15% | 4% | -26% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 100% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GENI Win Rate | 33% | 25% | 58% | 67% | 58% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 45% | 33% | 55% | 47% | 62% | 63% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GENI Max Drawdown | - | -71% | -41% | -34% | -36% | -65% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -54% | -33% | -33% | -43% | -33% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DKNG, FLUT, PENN, CZR, MGM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/22/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GENI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -13.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -39.2% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 299 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -29.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -71.4% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 249.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 376 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Genius Sports's stock fell -13.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 16.0% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | GENI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -39.2% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 299 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -29.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -71.4% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 249.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 376 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Genius Sports's stock fell -13.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 16.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Genius Sports (GENI)
Genius Sports Limited (GENI) is a technology company that provides a comprehensive suite of products and services primarily to the global sports, sports betting, and sports media industries. The company specializes in leveraging technology to collect, integrate, and distribute official live sports data, as well as enabling the commercialization of live video content from sports leagues. It acts as a crucial technology and data partner, serving a wide array of stakeholders within the sports and betting ecosystem.
The company's main offerings include technology infrastructure for live data collection and distribution, along with streaming solutions that help sports organizations monetize their video content. Genius Sports also delivers end-to-end integrity services, utilizing advanced mathematical algorithms to monitor betting markets for suspicious activity and providing educational and consultancy support. For its sports betting clients, the company supplies critical services such as pre-game and in-game odds feeds, sophisticated risk management tools (including customer profiling and bet monitoring), and personalized online marketing campaign services. Additionally, it develops fan engagement widgets for digital publishers, offering real-time game statistics and betting-related content to enhance audience interaction.
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Here are 1-2 brief analogies to describe Genius Sports (GENI):
The Intel Inside the sports betting industry. Genius Sports provides the foundational technology, data, and integrity services that power sportsbooks and make the global sports betting ecosystem run.
A Shopify for sports leagues and sportsbooks. Genius Sports offers a comprehensive suite of tools and services—from live data collection and streaming technology to risk management and marketing solutions—that enable sports organizations and betting operators to run their operations and engage fans.
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- Technology Infrastructure for Data & Streaming: Provides solutions for the collection, integration, and distribution of live sports data, along with automatic production and distribution technology for sports video footage.
- Sports Integrity Services: Offers end-to-end monitoring technology and consultancy to identify and prevent suspicious betting activity in global sports markets.
- Sports Data & Odds Feeds: Delivers live sports data collection and comprehensive pre-game and in-game odds feeds to sports betting operators.
- Sports Betting Risk Management: Supplies services including customer profiling, bet monitoring, and automated acceptance/rejection of bets to manage risk for betting clients.
- Sports Marketing & Fan Engagement Solutions: Creates and measures personalized online marketing campaigns and provides fan engagement widgets with live game statistics and betting content.
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Sports Leagues and Federations: Genius Sports provides official data, streaming, and integrity services to many of the world's leading sports organizations. Key partners include:
- National Football League (NFL)
- National Basketball Association (NBA)
- Major League Baseball (MLB)
- Premier League
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Sports Betting Operators: The company supplies critical data, odds feeds, and risk management solutions to major sportsbooks globally. Prominent customers include:
- FanDuel (part of Flutter Entertainment plc) - FLUT
- DraftKings Inc. - DKNG
- BetMGM (a joint venture primarily involving MGM Resorts International) - MGM
- Caesars Sportsbook (part of Caesars Entertainment, Inc.) - CZR
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Sports Media and Technology Companies: Genius Sports offers data and fan engagement solutions to various digital publishers and media outlets. Examples include:
- ESPN (part of The Walt Disney Company) - DIS
- Yahoo Sports (part of Verizon Communications Inc.) - VZ
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Amazon (AMZN)
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Mark Locke, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer
Mark Locke is the Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Genius Sports. He co-founded Betgenius in London in 2000, which focused on providing real-time sports data for the in-play betting market. Betgenius merged with SportingPulse International in 2016 to form Genius Sports, and Locke continued as CEO. Genius Sports Group was acquired by Apax Partners, a UK-based private equity firm, in July 2018, prior to its public listing. He is recognized as an expert in sports integration and regulation.
Bryan Castellani, Chief Financial Officer
Bryan Castellani is the Chief Financial Officer of Genius Sports, a role he assumed effective October 1, 2025. He oversees all aspects of Genius Sports' global financial operations, including financial planning, accounting, treasury, tax, investor relations, risk management, and capital allocation. Castellani brings over two decades of senior experience from prominent media and entertainment companies, having held senior roles at ESPN and The Walt Disney Company. Most recently, he served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer at Warner Music Group.
Jack Davison, Chief Commercial Officer
Steven Burton, Chief Partnerships Officer
Tom Russell, Chief Legal Officer
AI Analysis | Feedback
Genius Sports (GENI) faces several key risks, primarily stemming from its business model's reliance on exclusive sports data rights and the evolving regulatory landscape of the sports betting industry.
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Reliance on Exclusive Sports Data Rights and Associated Costs: Genius Sports' core business revolves around securing and commercializing official live data from sports leagues. The company has significant, often exclusive, partnerships with major sports organizations like the NFL, English Premier League, and various European football leagues, which are crucial for its data and betting services. The primary risk here is the high cost associated with acquiring and renewing these exclusive data rights, which contributes to "persistent net losses and high cash burn." Should Genius Sports fail to secure or renew these key contracts, or if the cost of these rights escalates significantly, it could severely impact its ability to operate and its financial performance. Additionally, antitrust lawsuits have been filed against Genius Sports and Sportradar, alleging anti-competitive practices due to their exclusive control over official sports data, which could introduce legal and operational challenges.
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Regulatory Changes in the Sports Betting Industry: Genius Sports provides technology and services to the sports betting industry, making it susceptible to changes in the regulatory environment. The sports betting market is subject to varying and evolving regulations across different jurisdictions. Stricter regulations, bans on sports betting in key markets, or increased scrutiny of data usage and integrity could directly impact the demand for Genius Sports' products and services from its clients. The company itself has highlighted the critical role of data and sporting integrity for regulators, especially as the event contracts space grows, indicating an awareness of the regulatory complexities.
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Intense Competition in the Sports Data and Technology Market: The market for sports data, technology, and related services is highly competitive. Genius Sports faces significant competition from other data providers like Sportradar, which has a "market-leading scale" and "over 900 sports partnerships." The competition for exclusive data partnerships is "fiercely-fought," with companies constantly vying for agreements with sports leagues. Failure to differentiate its offerings, secure new partnerships, or maintain existing ones against aggressive competitors could lead to a loss of market share and revenue. While Genius Sports has strengthened its partnerships recently, the competitive landscape remains a notable risk.
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1. Direct Commercialization by Sports Leagues: A significant emerging threat arises from sports leagues increasingly opting to bring the collection, integration, distribution, and commercialization of their live data and video footage in-house, or by forging direct, exclusive partnerships with major media or technology companies. As leagues become more sophisticated digital businesses, they may seek to cut out third-party aggregators and distributors like Genius Sports, taking greater control over their valuable intellectual property, reducing costs, and maximizing revenue potential directly from betting operators and media partners.
2. Expansion of Major Technology Companies into Sports Data and Infrastructure: Large technology companies (e.g., Amazon, Google, Apple) with vast resources, existing cloud infrastructure, advanced AI capabilities, and growing investments in sports media rights (like Amazon's NFL broadcasts) pose a clear emerging threat. These giants could leverage their scale and technology to offer integrated, end-to-end sports data, streaming infrastructure, integrity, and marketing solutions directly to sports leagues and betting operators, potentially undercutting or outcompeting specialized providers like Genius Sports by bundling services or offering superior technological platforms.
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Global Sports Betting Market
The global sports betting market is a primary addressable market for Genius Sports' core services, including technology infrastructure for live data, pre-game and in-game odds feeds, risk management, and integrity services. This market was valued at approximately $83.6 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $155.4 billion by 2030. Another projection estimates the global sports betting market to exceed $223 billion by 2030, with Europe identified as a leading region. Specifically, the online betting market size was estimated at $23.3 billion in 2023 and is expected to grow to $64.6 billion by 2032, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.6%.Sports Data and Technology Market
Genius Sports is a significant player in the rapidly evolving sports data and technology sector, which sees growing demand for real-time information and advanced analytics globally. The company provides essential data and technology solutions to sports organizations and betting operators worldwide.Sports Media and Advertising Market
The sports media and advertising market represents another substantial addressable market, particularly for Genius Sports' marketing campaigns and fan engagement solutions. The sports sponsorship market alone is estimated to exceed $160 billion by 2030. Genius Sports' media division has experienced rapid growth, driven by increasing demand for programmatic advertising and fan engagement services, especially in the Americas. The acquisition of Sports Innovation Lab in 2025 further aimed to enhance fan targeting capabilities for advertisers.Sports Streaming Market
Genius Sports offers streaming solutions, including products like BetVision, which integrates live streaming with betting functionalities, and GeniusLive, an automated streaming, production, and over-the-top (OTT) solution for sports leagues. The US digital live sports viewership is forecast to reach 127.4 million by 2027, surpassing traditional TV sports viewership.AI Analysis | Feedback
Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Genius Sports (GENI)
Genius Sports (NYSE: GENI) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies, including the expansion of its core betting and media technology services, strategic acquisitions, and continued product innovation.
- Expansion of Betting Technology, Content & Services: Genius Sports expects continued revenue growth from its Betting Technology, Content & Services segment through a combination of new customer acquisitions and increased business with existing clients. This growth is also fueled by price increases on contract renewals and renegotiations. The expanded adoption of innovative products, such as BetVision, across various sports like the NFL, Serie A, FIBA Basketball, soccer, tennis, and esports, is also a significant contributor, driving greater in-play wagering for sportsbook partners. The company has also highlighted strong revenue share performance in the U.S. market as a driver.
- Growth in Media Technology, Content & Services: The Media Technology, Content & Services segment is projected to be a strong growth driver, particularly through programmatic advertising services and new partnerships with major brands and advertising agencies like PMG and Publicis Sports. Genius Sports is leveraging its audience intelligence and technology to build the next era of advertising and fan engagement, further enhancing its offerings in this segment.
- Strategic Acquisitions: A significant driver of future revenue growth is the strategic acquisition of companies, such as Legend. This acquisition is expected to boost combined revenue significantly, with projections indicating approximately $1.1 billion in combined Group Revenue by 2026 on a pro forma basis, and expanding the addressable market by approximately 70%. This integration is anticipated to accelerate Genius Sports' scale and profitability targets.
- Geographic Market Penetration and Product Innovation: Genius Sports anticipates continued revenue momentum from deepening its geographic market penetration, with strong growth observed in the Americas and sustained expansion in established European markets. Underlying the growth in both its betting and media segments is the continuous development and widespread adoption of its technology, particularly the GeniusIQ platform, which is positioned as the "operating system of sport" that enables the creation of new, value-enhancing products and services for leagues, content distributors, sportsbooks, and brands. Sales of products built on GeniusIQ technology are also expected to contribute to revenue growth.
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Share Repurchases
- Genius Sports authorized a share buyback program of up to $100 million in May 2025.
Share Issuance
- In January 2025, Genius Sports completed a public offering of 17,647,059 ordinary shares at $8.50 per share, generating estimated net proceeds of approximately $144 million.
- In 2023, the company had an issuance of common stock in connection with business combinations, amounting to approximately $10.157 million.
Inbound Investments
- The January 2025 public offering, which generated approximately $144 million in net proceeds, included participation from existing top shareholders such as Caledonia and Wellington Management, as well as new investors.
Outbound Investments
- In February 2026, Genius Sports entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Legend for up to $1.2 billion, with $900 million due at closing and an earnout of up to $300 million. This acquisition is expected to close in the second quarter of 2026.
- For the full year ended December 31, 2025, the company reported an acquisition of business, net of cash acquired, of approximately $14.841 million.
Capital Expenditures
- For the last 12 months, as of March 13, 2026, capital expenditures were approximately -$21.85 million.
- In 2025, purchases of intangible assets amounted to approximately $2.076 million.
- Capital expenditures primarily focus on developing its technology infrastructure, including its next-generation big data and artificial intelligence platform (GeniusIQ), streaming solutions, and tools for data collection and distribution across sports, sports betting, and sports media industries.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Genius Sports Stock Pre-Market (-5.5%) : Q4 Revenue Miss Overshadows Strong EPS Beat | 12/31/2026 | |
| Can Genius Sports Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | 10/17/2025 | |
| GENI Dip Buy Analysis | 07/10/2025 | |
| Genius Sports (GENI) Valuation Ratios Comparison | 05/15/2025 | |
| Genius Sports Stock Soars 23% In A Single Month, Should You Buy The Stock? | 02/28/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | 03/11/2026 |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 27.47 |
| Mkt Cap | 9.0 |
| Rev LTM | 9,315 |
| Op Inc LTM | 368 |
| FCF LTM | 482 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 282 |
| CFO LTM | 1,011 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 900 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -15.1% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 5.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 2.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $5.94 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/21/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -56.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $5.18 | $8.30 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | 14.6% | -28.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 81.8% | 65.3% |
| Downside Capture | 67.95 | 170.41 |
| Upside Capture | 119.06 | 67.59 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 28.1% | 29.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -2.90 | 0.51 | 1.31 | 1.58 | 1.52 | 1.35 |
| Up Beta | -2.54 | 1.92 | 1.84 | 1.30 | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Down Beta | 8.76 | 5.41 | 3.47 | 3.37 | 2.77 | 1.70 |
| Up Capture | -63% | 44% | 26% | 26% | 40% | 133% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 21 | 28 | 52 | 116 | 355 |
| Down Capture | -1515% | -458% | 80% | 178% | 136% | 108% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 20 | 34 | 68 | 126 | 371 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GENI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GENI | -42.0% | 65.2% | -0.57 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 4.6% | 13.6% | 0.09 | 31.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.1% | 12.4% | 1.59 | 30.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.1% | 27.5% | 0.77 | 10.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 18.5% | 18.8% | 0.77 | -2.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.8% | 13.8% | 0.57 | 16.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -40.2% | 42.5% | -1.09 | 19.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GENI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GENI | -20.5% | 67.2% | -0.06 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 7.0% | 20.7% | 0.25 | 40.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 40.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.3% | 0.76 | 3.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.28 | 5.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.1% | 18.9% | 0.01 | 29.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 9.4% | 54.1% | 0.37 | 21.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GENI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GENI | -11.6% | 67.4% | -0.07 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 8.7% | 22.2% | 0.45 | 40.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 40.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.2% | 16.1% | 0.62 | 3.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.0% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 5.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 29.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 59.9% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 21.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/3/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/17/2026 | 20-F |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/14/2025 | 20-F |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/15/2024 | 20-F |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/13/2023 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/30/2023 | 20-F |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/16/2022 | 6-K |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/17/2026 | 20-F |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/14/2025 | 20-F |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/15/2024 | 20-F |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/13/2023 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/30/2023 | 20-F |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/16/2022 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/12/2022 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/18/2022 | 20-F |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/23/2021 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2021 | 09/08/2021 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/20/2021 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2019 | 11/10/2022 | 20-F/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 04/28/2021 | 20-F |
Industry Resources
| Communication Services Resources |
| Variety |
| The Hollywood Reporter |
| Adweek |
| Interactive Media & Services Resources |
| Social Media Today |
| Search Engine Land |
| Nieman Journalism Lab |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.