Tearsheet

Great Elm Capital (GECC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $7.82 | Market Cap: $96.3 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Great Elm Capital (GECC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $7.82
Market Cap: $96.3 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.2%, Dividend Yield is 15%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.1%, FCF Yield is 8.1%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -51%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 162%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 5631%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 5631%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 693x
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -99%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -476%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit.
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 6457%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.2%, Dividend Yield is 15%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.1%, FCF Yield is 8.1%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 5631%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 5631%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -51%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 162%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 693x
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -99%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -476%
8 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 6457%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GECC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Great Elm Capital (GECC) stock moved by approximately -28.4% from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Significant Decline in Net Asset Value (NAV) Per Share. Great Elm Capital's Net Asset Value (NAV) per share dropped from $12.10 at the end of Q2 2025 to $10.01 as of September 30, 2025. This substantial decrease was primarily attributed to losses incurred from the bankruptcy of First Brands.

2. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss and Lower Net Investment Income. For the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, GECC reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.20, falling short of the forecasted $0.2625. The company's net investment income (NII) also saw a decline, decreasing to $2.4 million from $5.9 million in the prior quarter, largely due to uneven distributions from CLO joint ventures and the absence of a preference share dividend.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GECC Return-41%-4%-47%51%19%-23%-59%
Peers Return18%14%-11%8%1%1%33%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GECC Win Rate58%42%25%67%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate50%40%28%45%38%36% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GECC Max Drawdown-66%-16%-51%-1%-4%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-10%-25%-9%-9%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, FGNX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGECCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-66.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven200.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-68.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven222.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, FGNX


In The Past

Great Elm Capital's stock fell -66.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/11/2021. A -66.7% loss requires a 200.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Great Elm Capital (GECC)

Better Bets than Great Elm Capital (GECC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GECC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Great Elm Capital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GECCVRTSSLRCDHILGEGFGNXMedian
NameGreat El.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmFG Nexus  
Mkt Price7.79163.1616.02116.902.603.1711.90
Mkt Cap0.11.10.90.30.1-0.3
Rev LTM0874100152161258
Op Inc LTM-179-44-8-44
FCF LTM1070104-35-9-43
FCF 3Y Avg-2912513816-10-65
CFO LTM1077104-32-9-43
CFO 3Y Avg-2913213817-9-66

Growth & Margins

GECCVRTSSLRCDHILGEGFGNXMedian
NameGreat El.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmFG Nexus  
Rev Chg LTM-98.5%-1.2%-6.2%2.9%-8.5%-41.5%-7.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.7%-2.4%159.6%-2.1%13.5%80.0%11.6%
Rev Chg Q-475.9%-4.8%8.2%-2.0%-37.1%73.2%-3.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-99.3%-1.2%2.1%-0.6%-16.9%47.7%-0.9%
Op Mgn LTM-20.5%-28.8%-49.1%-20.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-18.9%-26.5%-74.1%-18.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.1%--0.2%-6.5%--0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM5,630.9%8.9%104.5%-21.2%-55.2%-33.1%-6.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1,596.3%15.6%142.9%11.7%-56.6%-34.5%13.6%
FCF/Rev LTM5,630.9%8.0%104.5%-23.1%-55.2%-33.5%-7.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1,596.3%14.7%142.9%11.0%-66.7%-35.0%12.9%

Valuation

GECCVRTSSLRCDHILGEGFGNXMedian
NameGreat El.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmFG Nexus  
Mkt Cap0.11.10.90.30.1-0.3
P/S693.21.58.32.53.4-3.4
P/EBIT-3.6-8.72.8-3.6
P/E-15.59.49.38.14.3-8.1
P/CFO12.316.68.0-11.8-6.1-8.0
Total Yield8.2%15.6%21.5%16.6%23.4%-16.6%
Dividend Yield14.7%5.0%10.7%4.3%0.0%-5.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-25.3%8.7%16.7%2.9%-17.7%-2.9%
D/E1.62.01.40.01.1-1.4
Net D/E1.61.60.9-0.1-0.9-0.9

Returns

GECCVRTSSLRCDHILGEGFGNXMedian
NameGreat El.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmFG Nexus  
1M Rtn4.1%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.4%-12.2%3.0%
3M Rtn-28.4%-14.1%-0.8%-14.0%-15.9%-72.2%-15.0%
6M Rtn-21.4%-1.2%0.7%-10.1%20.6%--1.2%
12M Rtn-13.8%-30.3%5.6%-24.3%43.6%--13.8%
3Y Rtn23.8%-7.0%43.3%-24.8%31.3%-23.8%
1M Excs Rtn4.2%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.5%-12.2%3.0%
3M Excs Rtn-33.8%-21.2%-6.9%-21.0%-18.7%-74.5%-21.1%
6M Excs Rtn-36.1%-15.9%-14.1%-24.8%5.9%--15.9%
12M Excs Rtn-26.3%-44.0%-8.0%-37.4%29.3%--26.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-50.5%-75.8%-22.7%-96.4%-43.4%--50.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Investment management49    
Single Segment -23-169
Total49-23-169


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity175,188
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120258.0%
Average Daily Volume107,841
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.62
Basic Shares Quantity12,315,210
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024310202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022302202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022511202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021304202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Kaplan Matthew DCEO and President11102025Buy7.6419,650150,1261,087,936Form