Gambling.com (GAMB)
Market Price (12/15/2025): $5.65 | Market Cap: $201.0 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Casinos & Gaming
Gambling.com (GAMB)
Market Price (12/15/2025): $5.65Market Cap: $201.0 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Casinos & Gaming
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -112% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% | ||
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -42% | ||
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 10.0% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, Digital Advertising, and Markets & Betting. Themes include Gaming Content & Platforms, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -42% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 10.0% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, Digital Advertising, and Markets & Betting. Themes include Gaming Content & Platforms, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -112% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
GAMB Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Gambling.com (GAMB) stock moved by approximately -35.6% from August 31, 2025, to December 15, 2025:
1. Q2 2025 Earnings Report and Initial Guidance Cut: Gambling.com Group reported its second-quarter 2025 earnings in mid-August, revealing a net loss of $13.42 million compared to a net income in the prior year, despite sales growth. Following these results, Stifel lowered its price target for GAMB and reduced its fiscal year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance by 7% at the midpoint. This guidance cut was attributed to challenges related to generative AI growth, a temporary disruption to search rankings from an early third-quarter Google algorithm update, and increased investments in alternative marketing channels.
2. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss and Further Guidance Reduction: On November 13, 2025, Gambling.com Group's third-quarter earnings report showed that while EPS exceeded forecasts, revenue of $38.98 million was lower than the expected $41.25 million. The marketing business segment experienced flat year-on-year revenue due to less favorable search rankings, and adjusted EBITDA grew only 3% year-over-year, with adjusted net income falling 16%. Consequently, the company revised its annual revenue forecast for 2025 to approximately $165 million and further cut its EBITDA forecast by 7%. This announcement led to a significant 20.2% drop in GAMB shares in premarket trading.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GAMB Return | � | � | -10% | 7% | 44% | -59% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | -49% | 66% | 54% | 3% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 111% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GAMB Win Rate | � | 40% | 42% | 67% | 50% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | 33% | 32% | 57% | 58% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GAMB Max Drawdown | � | � | -34% | -4% | -22% | -67% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | -61% | -14% | -21% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GENI, FLUT, DKNG, PENN, RSI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GAMB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -59.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 148.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 847 days | 464 days |
Compare to CHDN, BYD, MCRI, FLL, LVS
In The Past
Gambling.com's stock fell -59.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/1/2021. A -59.8% loss requires a 148.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Would You Still Hold Gambling.com Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to GAMB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.2% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.1% | 1.1% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.9% | 17.9% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.2% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.1% | 1.1% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.9% | 17.9% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Gambling.com
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 16.79 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.4 |
| Rev LTM | 3,261 |
| Op Inc LTM | 53 |
| FCF LTM | 59 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 13 |
| CFO LTM | 313 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 63 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 20.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 24.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 18.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -1.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 0.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.4 |
| P/S | 2.2 |
| P/EBIT | 9.3 |
| P/E | -14.9 |
| P/CFO | 22.0 |
| Total Yield | -1.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -1.7% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 12.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -19.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -5.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -15.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 107.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -21.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -19.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -29.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 25.3% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11132025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5152025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3202025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8152024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5162024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3212024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11152023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8172023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5182023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3232023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11172022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8292022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5312022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3252022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |