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Fulcrum Therapeutics (FULC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $12.06 | Market Cap: $754.9 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Fulcrum Therapeutics (FULC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $12.06
Market Cap: $754.9 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -34%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -82 Mil
2  Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 166%
3  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null
4  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%
5  Key risks
FULC key risks include [1] heightened development uncertainty for its lead candidate, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -34%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
2 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -82 Mil
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 166%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%
7 Key risks
FULC key risks include [1] heightened development uncertainty for its lead candidate, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FULC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

**1. Positive Initial Results from Phase 1b PIONEER Trial of Pociredir in Sickle Cell Disease**

On December 6, 2025, Fulcrum Therapeutics announced positive initial results from the 20 mg dose cohort of its Phase 1b PIONEER trial of pociredir in sickle cell disease (SCD) at the 67th American Society of Hematology Annual Meeting. This significant positive clinical data contributed to a surge in shares, with the stock closing 46% higher on December 8, 2025, the day of the public offering announcement, following the presentation of the trial results. The company also hosted an investor event on December 7, 2025, to review this new clinical data. **2. Upsized Public Offering to Strengthen Financial Position**

Following the positive clinical trial results, Fulcrum Therapeutics announced a proposed $150.0 million public offering of common stock on December 8, 2025, which was subsequently upsized to $175.0 million and priced on December 10, 2025. While the stock experienced a dip of 4.8% in after-hours trading following the initial announcement of the offering due to dilution concerns, the capital raised is intended for general corporate purposes, including research and development and funding clinical trials, which strengthens the company's long-term financial position. **3. Analyst Upgrades and Increased Price Targets**

The period saw several financial analysts reiterating or upgrading their ratings and significantly increasing price targets for FULC. For example, on December 8, 2025, HC Wainwright raised its price target to $25 from $18, while maintaining a "buy" rating, indicating a strong upside potential. Other analysts, including Truist Securities, Piper Sandler, RBC Capital, and Cantor Fitzgerald, also issued or updated their price targets and ratings in early December, reflecting a generally positive sentiment from the market on the company's prospects. **4. Encouraging Prior Clinical Data from PIONEER Trial's 12 mg Cohort**

Although announced just prior to the specified period in July 2025, the company had reported encouraging results from the 12 mg dose cohort of the Phase 1b PIONEER trial of pociredir in sickle cell disease. These results, which showed robust increases in fetal hemoglobin and improvements in markers of hemolysis and anemia, set a positive precedent and built anticipation for the later 20 mg cohort data, contributing to sustained investor interest. **5. Solid Cash Position and Extended Cash Runway**

In its third-quarter 2025 financial results reported on October 29, 2025, Fulcrum Therapeutics announced that it ended Q3 2025 with $200.6 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities. The company projected this cash position to provide a runway into 2028, offering financial stability and reducing immediate funding concerns, which is a positive indicator for investors regarding the company's ability to fund its ongoing clinical development programs.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FULC Return-30%51%-59%-7%-30%166%-25%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FULC Win Rate67%33%50%58%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FULC Max Drawdown-57%-38%-76%-69%-56%-47% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFULCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-92.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1270.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-67.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven205.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven349 days148 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Fulcrum Therapeutics's stock fell -92.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/20/2021. A -92.7% loss requires a 1270.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Fulcrum Therapeutics (FULC)

Better Bets than Fulcrum Therapeutics (FULC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Fulcrum Therapeutics Earnings Notes 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FULC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Fulcrum Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FULCVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameFulcrum .Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Price12.08449.522.850.9811.4315.9211.75
Mkt Cap0.8114.9--0.5-0.8
Rev LTM011,7230-0130
Op Inc LTM-82-92-7--124-73-82
FCF LTM-603,337-7--87-78-60
FCF 3Y Avg-522,064-8----8
CFO LTM-603,718-7--87-78-60
CFO 3Y Avg-522,419-8----8

Growth & Margins

FULCVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameFulcrum .Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Rev Chg LTM-100.0%10.3%-----44.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg937.4%10.5%----473.9%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%---333.3%168.0%
Op Mgn LTM--0.8%----560.1%-280.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%---1,973.2%987.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.7%----602.0%-285.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.5%----602.0%-286.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

FULCVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameFulcrum .Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Cap0.8114.9--0.5-0.8
P/S-8.5----8.5
P/EBIT-7.122.4----7.7
P/E-8.127.2---4.4--4.4
P/CFO-9.626.9---5.8--5.8
Total Yield-12.3%3.7%---22.8%--12.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%--0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-15.5%2.3%-----6.6%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.3-0.0-----0.2

Returns

FULCVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameFulcrum .Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
1M Rtn25.2%3.6%-9.5%-16.8%-18.1%3.6%
3M Rtn65.0%16.1%--5.9%-16.1%
6M Rtn89.9%0.2%----45.1%
12M Rtn166.1%-4.2%----80.9%
3Y Rtn125.8%47.5%----86.6%
1M Excs Rtn24.4%2.8%-8.8%-17.5%-18.9%2.8%
3M Excs Rtn58.9%14.8%--4.3%-14.8%
6M Excs Rtn77.6%-12.1%----32.7%
12M Excs Rtn194.0%-14.1%----89.9%
3Y Excs Rtn37.7%-25.4%----6.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Developing small molecules to improve the lives of patients with genetically defined rare diseases 6199 
Total 6199 


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Developing small molecules to improve the lives of patients with genetically defined rare diseases258   110
Total258   110


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,806,493
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520256.8%
Average Daily Volume966,028
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.94
Basic Shares Quantity62,597,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-6.4%-16.3%13.2%
7/29/2025-2.8%-10.9%-16.5%
2/25/20250.0%-12.4%-15.9%
11/13/2024-2.2%-17.3%10.7%
7/31/202410.3%5.5%5.5%
5/13/2024-1.6%1.1%-0.9%
2/27/20244.6%16.4%-6.2%
11/7/202319.5%-3.3%29.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive12911
# Negative91210
Median Positive5.0%16.4%22.5%
Median Negative-3.3%-11.7%-16.2%
Max Positive125.3%161.0%223.8%
Max Negative-48.0%-55.1%-52.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024513202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022309202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021303202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Tourangeau GregPrincipal Accounting Officer5092025Sell5.064982,52071,154Form