Fulcrum Therapeutics (FULC)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $12.06 | Market Cap: $754.9 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Fulcrum Therapeutics (FULC)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $12.06Market Cap: $754.9 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -34% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -82 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 166% | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17% | |
| Key risksFULC key risks include [1] heightened development uncertainty for its lead candidate, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D. |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -82 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 166% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17% |
| Key risksFULC key risks include [1] heightened development uncertainty for its lead candidate, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FULC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
**1. Positive Initial Results from Phase 1b PIONEER Trial of Pociredir in Sickle Cell Disease**
On December 6, 2025, Fulcrum Therapeutics announced positive initial results from the 20 mg dose cohort of its Phase 1b PIONEER trial of pociredir in sickle cell disease (SCD) at the 67th American Society of Hematology Annual Meeting. This significant positive clinical data contributed to a surge in shares, with the stock closing 46% higher on December 8, 2025, the day of the public offering announcement, following the presentation of the trial results. The company also hosted an investor event on December 7, 2025, to review this new clinical data.
**2. Upsized Public Offering to Strengthen Financial Position**
Following the positive clinical trial results, Fulcrum Therapeutics announced a proposed $150.0 million public offering of common stock on December 8, 2025, which was subsequently upsized to $175.0 million and priced on December 10, 2025. While the stock experienced a dip of 4.8% in after-hours trading following the initial announcement of the offering due to dilution concerns, the capital raised is intended for general corporate purposes, including research and development and funding clinical trials, which strengthens the company's long-term financial position.
**3. Analyst Upgrades and Increased Price Targets**
The period saw several financial analysts reiterating or upgrading their ratings and significantly increasing price targets for FULC. For example, on December 8, 2025, HC Wainwright raised its price target to $25 from $18, while maintaining a "buy" rating, indicating a strong upside potential. Other analysts, including Truist Securities, Piper Sandler, RBC Capital, and Cantor Fitzgerald, also issued or updated their price targets and ratings in early December, reflecting a generally positive sentiment from the market on the company's prospects.
**4. Encouraging Prior Clinical Data from PIONEER Trial's 12 mg Cohort**
Although announced just prior to the specified period in July 2025, the company had reported encouraging results from the 12 mg dose cohort of the Phase 1b PIONEER trial of pociredir in sickle cell disease. These results, which showed robust increases in fetal hemoglobin and improvements in markers of hemolysis and anemia, set a positive precedent and built anticipation for the later 20 mg cohort data, contributing to sustained investor interest.
**5. Solid Cash Position and Extended Cash Runway**
In its third-quarter 2025 financial results reported on October 29, 2025, Fulcrum Therapeutics announced that it ended Q3 2025 with $200.6 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities. The company projected this cash position to provide a runway into 2028, offering financial stability and reducing immediate funding concerns, which is a positive indicator for investors regarding the company's ability to fund its ongoing clinical development programs.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FULC Return | -30% | 51% | -59% | -7% | -30% | 166% | -25% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FULC Win Rate | 67% | 33% | 50% | 58% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FULC Max Drawdown | -57% | -38% | -76% | -69% | -56% | -47% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FULC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -92.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1270.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -67.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 205.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 349 days | 148 days |
Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN
In The Past
Fulcrum Therapeutics's stock fell -92.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/20/2021. A -92.7% loss requires a 1270.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FULC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Fulcrum Therapeutics
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 11.75 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.8 |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -82 |
| FCF LTM | -60 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -8 |
| CFO LTM | -60 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -8 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -44.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 473.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 168.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -280.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 26.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 987.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -285.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -286.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.8 |
| P/S | 8.5 |
| P/EBIT | 7.7 |
| P/E | -4.4 |
| P/CFO | -5.8 |
| Total Yield | -12.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -6.6% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 16.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 45.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 80.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 86.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 14.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 32.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 89.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 6.2% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Developing small molecules to improve the lives of patients with genetically defined rare diseases | 6 | 19 | 9 | ||
| Total | 6 | 19 | 9 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Developing small molecules to improve the lives of patients with genetically defined rare diseases | 258 | 110 | |||
| Total | 258 | 110 |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/29/2025 | -6.4% | -16.3% | 13.2% |
| 7/29/2025 | -2.8% | -10.9% | -16.5% |
| 2/25/2025 | 0.0% | -12.4% | -15.9% |
| 11/13/2024 | -2.2% | -17.3% | 10.7% |
| 7/31/2024 | 10.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| 5/13/2024 | -1.6% | 1.1% | -0.9% |
| 2/27/2024 | 4.6% | 16.4% | -6.2% |
| 11/7/2023 | 19.5% | -3.3% | 29.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 9 | 11 |
| # Negative | 9 | 12 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 5.0% | 16.4% | 22.5% |
| Median Negative | -3.3% | -11.7% | -16.2% |
| Max Positive | 125.3% | 161.0% | 223.8% |
| Max Negative | -48.0% | -55.1% | -52.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7292025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2252025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5132024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3092023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3032022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Tourangeau Greg | Principal Accounting Officer | 5092025 | Sell | 5.06 | 498 | 2,520 | 71,154 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |