Tearsheet

Fulcrum Therapeutics (FULC)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $8.76 | Market Cap: $548.3 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Fulcrum Therapeutics (FULC)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $8.76
Market Cap: $548.3 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -34%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -40%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -82 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 150%
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -34%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -40%
3 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -82 Mil
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 150%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FULC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FULC Return-30%51%-59%-7%-30%86%-47%
Peers Return2%-1%6%8%-0%3%18%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FULC Win Rate67%33%50%58%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate13%8%13%12%10%90% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FULC Max Drawdown-57%-38%-76%-69%-56%-47% 
Peers Max Drawdown-2%-5%0%-0%-1%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFULCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-92.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1270.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-67.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven205.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven349 days148 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Fulcrum Therapeutics's stock fell -92.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/20/2021. A -92.7% loss requires a 1270.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Fulcrum Therapeutics (FULC)

Better Bets than Fulcrum Therapeutics (FULC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FULC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Fulcrum Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FULCVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameFulcrum .Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Price8.76457.362.631.1711.5421.9310.15
Mkt Cap0.5116.9----58.7
Rev LTM011,7230-0100
Op Inc LTM-82-92-5--93-70-82
FCF LTM-603,337-6--60-64-60
FCF 3Y Avg-522,064-10----10
CFO LTM-603,718-6--60-64-60
CFO 3Y Avg-522,419-10----10

Growth & Margins

FULCVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameFulcrum .Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Rev Chg LTM-100.0%10.3%-----44.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg937.4%10.5%----473.9%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%----2.7%
Op Mgn LTM--0.8%----700.7%-350.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%----1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.7%----635.6%-302.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.5%----636.5%-304.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

FULCVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameFulcrum .Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Cap0.5116.9----58.7
P/S-8.5----8.5
P/EBIT-7.122.4----7.7
P/E-8.127.2----9.6
P/CFO-9.626.9----8.7
Total Yield-12.3%3.7%-----4.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-15.5%2.3%-----6.6%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.3-0.0-----0.2

Returns

FULCVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameFulcrum .Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
1M Rtn4.7%8.5%-23.2%-4.6%-6.6%
3M Rtn27.3%15.2%--14.5%-15.2%
6M Rtn23.2%3.1%----13.1%
12M Rtn149.6%-1.4%----74.1%
3Y Rtn33.5%44.0%----38.8%
1M Excs Rtn3.4%7.2%-22.0%-5.9%-5.3%
3M Excs Rtn8.6%9.7%--10.8%-9.7%
6M Excs Rtn7.8%-12.4%-----2.3%
12M Excs Rtn112.4%-15.2%----48.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-39.5%-28.7%-----34.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Developing small molecules to improve the lives of patients with genetically defined rare diseases 6199 
Total 6199 


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Developing small molecules to improve the lives of patients with genetically defined rare diseases258   110
Total258   110


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,564,671
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120251.1%
Average Daily Volume618,942
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.76
Basic Shares Quantity62,597,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.7%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024513202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022309202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021303202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Tourangeau GregPrincipal Accounting Officer5092025Sell5.064982,52071,154Form