Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.9%, FCF Yield is 29%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.1%
Key risks
FSBW key risks include [1] a loan portfolio concentrated in higher-risk consumer and indirect home improvement loans amid slowing growth, Show more.
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -22%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -8.7%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -27%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 66%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 63%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.9%, FCF Yield is 29%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -22%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 66%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 63%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.1%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -8.7%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -27%
7 Key risks
FSBW key risks include [1] a loan portfolio concentrated in higher-risk consumer and indirect home improvement loans amid slowing growth, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FSBW Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. CEO Succession Plan. FS Bancorp announced a CEO succession plan on August 15, 2025, with Matthew D. Mullet assuming the roles of President and CEO of 1st Security Bank effective September 1, 2025.

2. Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results. The company reported third-quarter 2025 net income of $9.2 million, or $1.18 per diluted share, which was a decrease from $10.3 million a year prior but surpassed analyst estimates.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FSBW Return-12%25%2%14%14%11%61%
Peers Return-18%34%-7%9%13%12%40%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FSBW Win Rate58%58%33%50%58%42% 
Peers Win Rate48%67%38%52%52%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FSBW Max Drawdown-54%-3%-18%-21%-16%-12% 
Peers Max Drawdown-49%-1%-18%-31%-15%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ABCB, BUSE, HOPE, OCFC, RBCAA. See FSBW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFSBWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven233 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-53.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven116.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven346 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-35.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven802 days120 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

FS Bancorp's stock fell -28.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2023. A -28.7% loss requires a 40.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About FS Bancorp (FSBW)

Better Bets than FS Bancorp (FSBW)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FSBW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for FS Bancorp

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FSBWABCBBUSEHOPEOCFCRBCAAMedian
NameFS Banco.Ameris B.First Bu.Hope Ban.OceanFir.Republic. 
Mkt Price43.8277.5125.2011.5120.2374.3134.51
Mkt Cap0.35.32.21.51.21.51.5
Rev LTM1541,156636470391406438
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM9639515712590149137
FCF 3Y Avg6731916325495130147
CFO LTM10141417313796157147
CFO 3Y Avg70335173266103137155

Growth & Margins

FSBWABCBBUSEHOPEOCFCRBCAAMedian
NameFS Banco.Ameris B.First Bu.Hope Ban.OceanFir.Republic. 
Rev Chg LTM14.7%7.4%40.1%-4.5%1.8%9.5%8.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.9%4.2%14.8%-8.4%0.7%10.6%7.1%
Rev Chg Q5.9%10.9%65.7%21.8%6.3%6.1%8.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.4%2.7%13.9%5.7%1.6%1.3%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM65.9%35.8%27.1%29.2%24.5%38.7%32.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg48.2%30.5%34.5%48.2%24.7%36.4%35.5%
FCF/Rev LTM62.6%34.1%24.7%26.7%22.9%36.7%30.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg46.2%29.1%32.6%45.9%22.9%34.6%33.6%

Valuation

FSBWABCBBUSEHOPEOCFCRBCAAMedian
NameFS Banco.Ameris B.First Bu.Hope Ban.OceanFir.Republic. 
Mkt Cap0.35.32.21.51.21.51.5
P/S2.14.33.22.92.63.53.1
P/EBIT-------
P/E10.212.620.128.512.611.212.6
P/CFO3.212.111.910.010.49.110.2
Total Yield13.0%9.0%5.0%8.6%8.0%11.3%8.8%
Dividend Yield3.1%1.0%0.0%5.0%0.0%2.3%1.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg25.1%8.7%11.5%21.7%10.5%11.0%11.2%
D/E0.60.10.10.11.90.30.2
Net D/E-0.2-0.5-0.1-0.20.4-0.5-0.2

Returns

FSBWABCBBUSEHOPEOCFCRBCAAMedian
NameFS Banco.Ameris B.First Bu.Hope Ban.OceanFir.Republic. 
1M Rtn12.6%10.1%13.7%17.0%17.6%14.4%14.0%
3M Rtn7.1%4.8%4.0%7.6%14.5%-1.0%6.0%
6M Rtn18.0%28.5%14.5%17.4%23.5%9.7%17.7%
12M Rtn0.6%20.1%2.4%-6.2%12.6%1.5%1.9%
3Y Rtn46.7%75.0%18.1%7.3%11.6%89.3%32.4%
1M Excs Rtn11.8%9.3%12.9%16.2%16.9%13.7%13.3%
3M Excs Rtn2.9%0.4%-0.0%2.5%9.2%-5.2%1.4%
6M Excs Rtn5.6%16.1%2.1%5.0%11.1%-2.7%5.3%
12M Excs Rtn-11.6%6.7%-10.6%-20.0%-1.9%-11.9%-11.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-26.9%-8.1%-54.5%-67.0%-63.2%24.1%-40.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Commercial and Consumer Banking122104878074
Home Lending2219375020
Total14412212412993


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Commercial and Consumer Banking3631221619
Home Lending0-116234
Total3630373923


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Commercial and Consumer Banking2,4212,018 1,6531,401
Home Lending552417 460312
Total2,9732,436 2,1131,713


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity66,665
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-2.0%
Average Daily Volume12,257
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.44
Basic Shares Quantity7,488,139
Short % of Basic Shares0.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/22/2025-2.0%-2.9%-1.0%
7/22/20250.8%-2.2%-1.9%
4/22/20253.7%2.9%3.2%
1/21/2025-4.7%-4.2%-6.9%
10/22/20240.1%2.7%4.4%
7/23/20242.6%6.8%2.3%
4/24/20240.2%1.2%4.9%
1/24/20246.0%4.1%-6.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive171615
# Negative789
Median Positive2.1%6.2%7.2%
Median Negative-3.1%-3.3%-6.8%
Max Positive9.3%15.6%25.2%
Max Negative-5.3%-11.4%-19.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024317202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021316202210-K 12/31/2021