Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.7%, FCF Yield is 12%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Key risks
Please provide the summary of key risks. Show more.
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -14%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -43%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.7%, FCF Yield is 12%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -14%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -43%
7 Key risks
Please provide the summary of key risks. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FRBA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the public company First Bank (FRBA), several factors typically influence stock price movements. While a specific 6.3% movement for a future period cannot be explained, general reasons for stock fluctuations include:

1. Earnings Reports: Positive earnings surprises, where the company reports higher-than-expected earnings per share (EPS) or revenue, can lead to an increase in stock price. Conversely, missing earnings estimates can cause a stock to decline. For instance, First Bank reported $0.47 EPS for a recent quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $0.46. The bank earned $37.97 million during that quarter, exceeding the consensus estimate of $36.76 million.

2. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets: Changes in analyst ratings (upgrades or downgrades) or adjustments to price targets can impact investor sentiment and stock movement. First Bank has received a consensus rating of "Buy" with an average rating score of 3.00, based on analyst reports. The consensus price target for First Bank is close to its current price, suggesting limited near-term upside or downside. According to one analyst, the rating for FRBA stock is "Strong Buy" and the 12-month stock price target is $19.0.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FRBA Return-14%56%-3%9%-3%27%77%
Peers Return-22%47%-6%-6%19%20%44%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FRBA Win Rate50%67%42%58%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate47%75%38%43%52%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FRBA Max Drawdown-45%-4%-5%-37%-20%-8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-55%-2%-17%-36%-19%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PFS, OCFC, CNOB, MPB, UNTY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFRBAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-48.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven93.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven847 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-44.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven313 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven785 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-61.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven158.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,163 days1,480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

First Bank's stock fell -48.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/16/2022. A -48.4% loss requires a 93.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About First Bank (FRBA)

Better Bets than First Bank (FRBA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FRBA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for First Bank

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FRBAPFSOCFCCNOBMPBUNTYMedian
NameFirst Ba.Providen.OceanFir.ConnectO.Mid Penn.Unity Ba. 
Mkt Price17.8120.9320.2327.8032.4955.4924.37
Mkt Cap0.42.71.21.40.70.61.0
Rev LTM143851391344208126276
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM556069085586072
FCF 3Y Avg723329593575482
CFO LTM596139691716181
CFO 3Y Avg7533910398635587

Growth & Margins

FRBAPFSOCFCCNOBMPBUNTYMedian
NameFirst Ba.Providen.OceanFir.ConnectO.Mid Penn.Unity Ba. 
Rev Chg LTM14.8%40.9%1.8%31.5%21.3%23.4%22.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.6%21.4%0.7%5.3%9.2%10.6%9.9%
Rev Chg Q16.6%5.3%6.3%85.0%35.8%22.0%19.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.9%1.3%1.6%19.4%8.3%5.0%4.5%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM41.2%72.0%24.5%26.4%34.0%48.4%37.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg65.2%48.3%24.7%33.2%34.5%50.3%41.4%
FCF/Rev LTM38.5%71.2%22.9%24.7%27.9%47.6%33.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg62.7%47.3%22.9%31.4%31.7%49.2%39.5%

Valuation

FRBAPFSOCFCCNOBMPBUNTYMedian
NameFirst Ba.Providen.OceanFir.ConnectO.Mid Penn.Unity Ba. 
Mkt Cap0.42.71.21.40.70.61.0
P/S3.13.02.63.63.23.93.1
P/EBIT-------
P/E10.69.812.620.313.29.111.6
P/CFO7.54.110.413.79.38.08.7
Total Yield10.8%15.2%8.0%7.3%10.2%12.1%10.5%
Dividend Yield1.4%5.0%0.0%2.4%2.6%1.1%1.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg23.1%15.9%10.5%10.9%12.3%16.4%14.1%
D/E0.81.01.90.90.10.50.8
Net D/E-0.1-0.40.4-0.1-0.5-0.1-0.1

Returns

FRBAPFSOCFCCNOBMPBUNTYMedian
NameFirst Ba.Providen.OceanFir.ConnectO.Mid Penn.Unity Ba. 
1M Rtn17.7%17.8%17.6%19.0%14.4%18.3%17.7%
3M Rtn9.6%7.5%14.5%11.6%6.6%7.1%8.5%
6M Rtn22.7%33.0%23.5%28.8%23.5%27.1%25.3%
12M Rtn24.8%9.2%12.6%11.9%8.4%21.7%12.3%
3Y Rtn35.6%19.5%11.6%32.2%13.7%119.0%25.8%
1M Excs Rtn17.0%17.0%16.9%18.3%13.6%17.5%17.0%
3M Excs Rtn4.1%3.0%9.2%5.4%2.1%2.2%3.6%
6M Excs Rtn10.3%20.6%11.1%16.5%11.1%14.7%12.9%
12M Excs Rtn12.7%-2.8%-1.9%-0.8%-2.6%8.9%-1.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-42.5%-56.3%-63.2%-44.3%-56.8%45.8%-50.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Financial services industry104    
Community Banking 97907662
Total10497907662


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity113,755
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520257.8%
Average Daily Volume43,069
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.64
Basic Shares Quantity24,844,262
Short % of Basic Shares0.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
1/30/2015-0.5%-0.2%-0.2%
10/30/20140.3%0.3%-0.6%
7/25/20140.6%1.1%2.1%
5/2/20140.2%1.7%-2.9%
2/7/20142.3%2.5%1.5%
10/18/20130.0%2.5%2.0%
8/6/20131.8%4.2%4.7%
4/26/20130.0%0.0%9.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive191510
# Negative2611
Median Positive0.0%1.1%2.9%
Median Negative-8.6%-8.1%-4.8%
Max Positive2.3%5.0%17.6%
Max Negative-16.7%-10.0%-22.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report Date