First Bank (FRBA)
Market Price (8/8/2026): $18.57 | Market Cap: $463.3 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks
First Bank (FRBA)
Market Price (8/8/2026): $18.57Market Cap: $463.3 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Regional Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.1%, FCF Yield is 12% Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -32% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8% Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -11%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -13% | Key risksPlease provide the summary of key risks. Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.1%, FCF Yield is 12% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -32% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -11%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -13% |
| Key risksPlease provide the summary of key risks. Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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First Bank (FRBA) stock has gained about 25% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Outperformance and Enhanced Profitability. First Bank reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.43 for fiscal Q2 2026, which concluded on June 30, 2026, surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.40 by $0.03, representing a 7.50% earnings surprise. This positive surprise was significantly bolstered by a 43% linked-quarter increase in EPS and a substantial reduction in credit loss expense to $2.2 million, down from $5.6 million in fiscal Q1 2026.
2. Robust Loan and Deposit Growth. The bank demonstrated strong balance sheet expansion in fiscal Q2 2026, achieving annualized linked-quarter growth of 8.3% in total loans and 12.0% in total deposits. Specifically, total loans increased by $68 million to $3.37 billion and total deposits grew by $96 million to $3.32 billion, indicating healthy operational expansion and enhanced funding stability.
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First Bank (FRBA) stock has gained about 25% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Outperformance and Enhanced Profitability. First Bank reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.43 for fiscal Q2 2026, which concluded on June 30, 2026, surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.40 by $0.03, representing a 7.50% earnings surprise. This positive surprise was significantly bolstered by a 43% linked-quarter increase in EPS and a substantial reduction in credit loss expense to $2.2 million, down from $5.6 million in fiscal Q1 2026.
2. Robust Loan and Deposit Growth. The bank demonstrated strong balance sheet expansion in fiscal Q2 2026, achieving annualized linked-quarter growth of 8.3% in total loans and 12.0% in total deposits. Specifically, total loans increased by $68 million to $3.37 billion and total deposits grew by $96 million to $3.32 billion, indicating healthy operational expansion and enhanced funding stability.
3. Share Repurchase Program Activity. First Bank repurchased 359,007 shares for an aggregate amount of $5.5 million through fiscal Q2 2026, at an average price of $15.45 per share. This active share repurchase program signals management's confidence in the company's valuation and its commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
4. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets. Financial analysts maintained a "Moderate Buy" or "Buy" consensus rating for FRBA during the period. The average 12-month price target of $19.67 from analysts suggests a positive outlook for the stock, indicating potential upside from its price of approximately $18.50 at the beginning of August 2026.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 26.9% change in FRBA stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 32.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302026 | 8072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 14.68 | 18.63 | 26.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 147 | 150 | 1.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 29.7% | 28.0% | -5.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.3 | 11.1 | 32.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 25 | 25 | -0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 26.9% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 8/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FRBA | 26.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.6% | -5.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 10.5% | 39.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 13.5% change in FRBA stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 13.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 8072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 16.42 | 18.63 | 13.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 143 | 150 | 4.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 29.4% | 28.0% | -4.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.7 | 11.1 | 13.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 25 | 25 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 13.5% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 8/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FRBA | 13.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.1% | 13.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 8.3% | 38.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 28.0% change in FRBA stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 18.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 8072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 14.55 | 18.63 | 28.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 132 | 150 | 13.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 29.7% | 28.0% | -5.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.3 | 11.1 | 18.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 25 | 25 | 0.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 28.0% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 8/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FRBA | 28.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 23.4% | 22.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | 11.3% | 45.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 58.1% change in FRBA stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 69.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312023 | 8072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 11.78 | 18.63 | 58.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 99 | 150 | 51.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 35.5% | 28.0% | -21.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.5 | 11.1 | 69.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 20 | 25 | -21.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 58.1% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2023 to 8/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FRBA | 58.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.9% | 36.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 70.4% | 53.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FRBA Return | 56% | -3% | 9% | -3% | 19% | 15% | 121% |
| Peers Return | 47% | -6% | -7% | 19% | 13% | 22% | 110% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 105% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FRBA Win Rate | 67% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 58% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 75% | 38% | 43% | 52% | 55% | 68% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FRBA Max Drawdown | -16% | -18% | -38% | -20% | -18% | -16% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -17% | -25% | -41% | -22% | -23% | -12% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PFS, OCFC, CNOB, MPB, UNTY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/7/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FRBA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -15.2% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 17.9% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 31 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -11.6% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.1% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 47 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -37.9% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 223 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.7% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.6% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 310 days | 140 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -16.0% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.0% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 11 days | 123 days |
In The Past
First Bank's stock fell -15.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 17.9% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | FRBA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -37.9% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 223 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.7% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.6% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 310 days | 140 days |
In The Past
First Bank's stock fell -15.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 17.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About First Bank (FRBA)
First Bank (FRBA) is a community banking institution that offers a full suite of financial products and services. It caters to a diverse client base, including individuals, businesses, and governmental entities. The bank operates through a network of 18 full-service branches located across various counties in New Jersey and Pennsylvania, with its headquarters in Hamilton, New Jersey.
The company's core business involves accepting a wide array of deposits and providing various lending options. Deposit products include non-interest bearing and interest bearing demand accounts, money market accounts, savings accounts, certificates of deposit, and commercial checking accounts. On the lending side, First Bank offers commercial and industrial loans, a full spectrum of commercial real estate loans (owner-occupied, investor, construction, and multi-family), residential real estate loans (mortgages, home equity loans, and lines of credit), and consumer loans such as auto and personal loans.
In addition to traditional banking, First Bank provides modern electronic banking services like internet and mobile banking, electronic bill payment, and banking by phone. It also offers ATM and debit cards, wire and ACH transfer services, remote deposit capture, and comprehensive cash management solutions to meet the evolving needs of its customers.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for First Bank (FRBA):
- A regional version of Bank of America.
- A community-focused Wells Fargo.
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- Deposit Accounts: Offers various accounts including non-interest bearing and interest-bearing demand deposits, money market accounts, savings accounts, certificates of deposit, and commercial checking accounts.
- Commercial & Industrial Loans: Provides financing to businesses for their operational and growth requirements.
- Commercial Real Estate Loans: Offers loans for properties such as owner-occupied, investor, construction and development, and multi-family real estate.
- Residential Real Estate Loans: Includes residential mortgages, first and second lien home equity loans, and revolving lines of credit for homeowners.
- Consumer Loans: Provides personal financing options such as auto loans, personal loans, and traditional installment loans.
- Digital & Cash Management Services: Encompasses electronic banking services like internet and mobile banking, bill payment, ATM and debit cards, wire and ACH transfers, remote deposit capture, and cash management.
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First Bank (FRBA) serves the following major categories of customers:
- Individuals: The bank provides a range of personal banking products and services to individuals, including non-interest bearing demand deposits, interest bearing demand accounts, money market accounts, savings accounts, and certificates of deposit. For loans, it offers residential real estate loans (residential mortgages, first and second lien home equity loans, and revolving lines of credit) and consumer loans (auto, personal, and traditional installment loans). Individuals also utilize its electronic banking services, ATM and debit cards.
- Businesses: First Bank caters to various businesses by offering commercial checking accounts, commercial and industrial loans, and commercial real estate loans (owner-occupied, investor, construction and development, and multi-family loans). Additionally, it provides specialized services such as remote deposit capture and cash management services to meet the operational needs of its business clientele.
- Governmental Entities: The company also extends its banking products and services to governmental entities, providing deposit accounts and potentially other tailored banking solutions to support their financial operations.
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- Fiserv, Inc. (FI)
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Patrick L. Ryan, President and Chief Executive Officer
Patrick L. Ryan directly manages all areas of First Bank, including Strategy, Operations, Marketing, Finance, Information Technology, Retail Administration, and Lending Departments. He was appointed CEO in January 2013. Ryan began his financial services career at Goldman Sachs, followed by roles at Medsite, Inc., an internet healthcare and technology company, and Bain Consulting, a management consulting firm. At Bain and Company, he worked on private equity consulting projects. He joined Yardville National Bank in 2005 as head of Strategic Planning and Corporate Development. Ryan was part of the investment group that recapitalized First Bank with a $20 million infusion in November 2008 and initially served as Chief Operating Officer before becoming President and CEO. His father, Patrick M. Ryan, was previously President and CEO of Yardville National Bank until its sale to PNC Corporation in 2007.
Andrew L. Hibshman, EVP/Chief Financial Officer
Andrew L. Hibshman was appointed Director of Finance/CFO on June 30, 2021. He holds the title of Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.
Peter Cahill, EVP/Chief Lending Officer
Peter Cahill serves as Executive Vice President and Chief Lending Officer. He was appointed to this role on March 1, 2016.
Darleen Gillespie, EVP/Chief Retail Banking Officer
Darleen Gillespie holds the position of Executive Vice President and Chief Retail Banking Officer.
Chris Ewing, EVP/Chief Operating Officer
Chris Ewing is the Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer.
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The clear emerging threat for First Bank is the accelerating competition from digital-only banks and financial technology (fintech) companies. These entities often operate with significantly lower overhead due to the absence of physical branches, allowing them to potentially offer more competitive rates or superior digital-first user experiences. While First Bank provides electronic banking services, its business model still relies on 18 full-service branches, which incurs substantial operational costs. This fundamental difference in cost structure and service delivery model poses a threat by potentially drawing away customers who prioritize digital convenience and cost efficiency over physical branch access, especially as banking habits continue to shift towards online and mobile platforms.
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Commercial and Industrial (C&I) Loans
- The Commercial Banking industry in New Jersey, which includes commercial and industrial loans, is projected to have a market size of approximately $50.6 billion in 2026.
- For Pennsylvania, a specific market size for C&I loans was not identified. However, the total U.S. Commercial and Industrial Loans amounted to $2.743 trillion in January 2026.
Commercial Real Estate (CRE) Loans
- In New Jersey, the Commercial Banking industry, encompassing commercial real estate loans, is expected to reach a market size of about $50.6 billion in 2026.
- For Pennsylvania, the Real Estate Loans & Collateralized Debt industry, which includes commercial real estate loans, is projected to have a market size of $11.7 billion in 2026.
- The total commercial real estate mortgage borrowing and lending in the U.S. was estimated at $498 billion in 2024.
Residential Real Estate Loans
- In Pennsylvania, the Real Estate Loans & Collateralized Debt industry, including residential real estate loans, is projected to be $11.7 billion in 2026.
- For New Jersey, a direct market size specifically for residential real estate loans was not identified. However, the broader U.S. Real Estate Loan Market, which includes both residential and commercial real estate loans, was valued at $3.5 trillion in 2024. The residential segment held a dominant position, accounting for over 61% of the global real estate loan market in 2024.
Consumer Loans
- For the regions of New Jersey and Pennsylvania, specific total market sizes for consumer loans were not identified. However, insights into consumer credit and debt conditions are available, with the average total debt in Q1 2025 being approximately $87,900 in New Jersey and $65,900 in Pennsylvania.
- The personal loans market in North America, a component of consumer loans, was valued at approximately $172.44 billion in 2025.
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First Bank (FRBA) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several strategic initiatives aimed at expanding its loan portfolio, growing its deposit base, and leveraging technology.
- Increased Focus on Commercial and Industrial (C&I) Loans and Relationship Banking: First Bank is strategically shifting its lending approach, aiming for a reduced concentration in investor real estate loans and an increased emphasis on higher-yielding commercial and industrial (C&I) loans and fostering stronger relationship banking. The bank reported growth in C&I and owner-occupied commercial real estate loans in Q1 2024 and maintains a robust loan pipeline, particularly in C&I loans. This strategy is anticipated to contribute to significant net loan growth in the coming years, with a target of $200 million in net loan growth for 2026.
- Expansion of the Deposit Base and Optimization of Deposit Costs: The company plans to grow its deposit and loan portfolios by developing a specialized small business group and building strong business pipelines in targeted regions. A key focus is on attracting and growing non-interest-bearing funding, which is a core strategy for managing the cost of deposits. In Q1 2024, First Bank onboarded $40 million in new core deposits and is actively working to reduce deposit costs, which directly enhances net interest income.
- Strategic Investments in Technology and Business Units: First Bank is investing in technology and business units, including implementing online account opening services and middleware technology. These technological advancements are expected to improve operational efficiency, enhance customer acquisition, and provide a more streamlined banking experience, thereby supporting overall revenue growth.
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Share Repurchases
- First Bank's Board of Directors authorized a new share repurchase program on October 23, 2024.
- The program allows for the repurchase of up to 1.0 million shares of common stock.
- The aggregate repurchase amount authorized under this program is up to $16.0 million, and it is set to expire on September 30, 2025.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| With First Bank Stock Down 7.8% In A Month, How Confident Are You? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 28.64 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.0 |
| Rev LTM | 333 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 90 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 81 |
| CFO LTM | 97 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 85 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 15.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 30.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 32.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 28.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 30.6% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $18.63 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/13/2007 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -0.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $17.18 | $16.25 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 8.4% | 14.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 24.5% | 25.3% |
| Downside Capture | -35.81 | 41.67 |
| Upside Capture | 61.72 | 58.93 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -9.4% | 21.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.16 | -0.33 | -0.10 | 0.24 | 0.45 | 0.66 |
| Up Beta | -2.66 | -1.39 | -0.75 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| Down Beta | -0.32 | -0.65 | -0.46 | -0.41 | 0.07 | 0.65 |
| Up Capture | 95% | 68% | 74% | 58% | 52% | 38% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 35 | 67 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 22 | 32 | 67 | 123 | 362 |
| Down Capture | 28% | -47% | -33% | 49% | 54% | 85% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 28 | 59 | 114 | 326 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 20 | 30 | 55 | 122 | 375 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FRBA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRBA | 26.8% | 25.2% | 0.90 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 12.3% | 14.6% | 0.57 | 45.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 23.3% | 12.8% | 1.36 | 20.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 28.5% | 28.4% | 0.87 | -7.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 32.9% | 19.8% | 1.32 | -31.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.2% | 13.8% | 0.72 | 34.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -44.2% | 42.9% | -1.23 | 5.6% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FRBA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRBA | 9.0% | 28.7% | 0.32 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 11.4% | 18.4% | 0.48 | 51.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.2% | 0.61 | 38.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.6% | 18.6% | 0.81 | -0.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 19.6% | 0.31 | 4.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.3% | 18.9% | 0.02 | 40.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 8.8% | 53.0% | 0.35 | 13.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FRBA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRBA | 11.3% | 36.2% | 0.40 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.6% | 22.1% | 0.56 | 50.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 43.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.1% | 16.2% | 0.61 | 0.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.4% | 18.0% | 0.33 | 13.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 43.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.2% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 12.1% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/3/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Aug 8, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager |
|---|
Industry Resources
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| American Banker |
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| Regional Banks Resources |
| Bank Director |
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External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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